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头部券商把脉2026:A股有望震荡上行,科技成长仍是投资主线
Core Viewpoint - The consensus among major securities firms is that the A-share market is expected to enter a "slow bull market" in 2026, with a shift in investment opportunities from technology dominance in 2025 to multiple main lines in 2026 [1][3]. Group 1: Market Outlook - The A-share market has entered a new bull market since the policy measures introduced on September 24, 2024, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a ten-year high in 2025 [2]. - Major securities firms predict that the market will continue to evolve within a slow bull framework, with a key characteristic being the shift in driving forces [3][4]. - CITIC Securities emphasizes that A-shares should be viewed from a global demand perspective, as Chinese companies' advantages in the global value chain are transforming into pricing power, forming the basis for a low-volatility slow bull market [3]. Group 2: Driving Forces - There is a general expectation among securities firms that the driving force for the market will shift from "valuation recovery" to "profit-driven" or "fundamental verification" in 2026 [4]. - CICC estimates that the overall profit growth for A-shares in 2026 could be around 4.7%, with many industries nearing performance improvement [4]. - Dongwu Securities notes that the overall revenue and profit growth for A-shares has ended a four-year downward cycle and is beginning to rebound, supported by economic reforms and improved supply-demand dynamics [4]. Group 3: Investment Styles - The debate among securities firms centers on whether the market style will shift from "growth" to "value" in 2026, with Dongwu Securities identifying June 2026 as a potential key time for this transition [6][7]. - CICC suggests that the market style may become more balanced, as many cyclical industries approach supply-demand equilibrium [8]. - Guotai Junan recommends maintaining a focus on technology while also considering previously underperforming sectors such as real estate and consumer goods during the bull market [8]. Group 4: Investment Themes - Securities firms highlight three main investment themes: technology growth, Chinese companies going global, and cyclical resource products [9][10]. - The technology growth sector remains a favored direction, with a shift in focus from concepts to performance, particularly in application breakthroughs [9]. - The trend of Chinese companies expanding internationally is seen as a significant opportunity, with recommendations to focus on sectors like home appliances, engineering machinery, and global pricing resources [10][11].
统联精密:杨虎等股东询价转让3%股份
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 10:45
统联精密公告,本次询价转让股份数量为484.19万股,占公司总股本3.00%,由股东杨虎、深圳市泛海 统联科技企业(有限合伙)通过中信证券实施,受让方为具备定价能力和风险承受能力的机构投资者; 受让股份转让后6个月内不得转让;价格下限不低于2025年11月17日前20个交易日股票交易均价的 70%。本次转让不会导致公司控制权变更。 ...
英威腾:接受中信证券等投资者调研
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-17 10:19
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Yingweitong (SZ 002334) has engaged with investors through a series of meetings, providing insights into its business structure and revenue composition for the first half of 2025 [1][2] - Yingweitong's market capitalization is reported to be 7.4 billion yuan [2] - The revenue composition for Yingweitong in the first half of 2025 is as follows: Industrial Automation 66.55%, New Energy 16.08%, New Energy Vehicles 13.24%, and Photovoltaic Energy Storage 4.13% [1]
非银金融行业11月17日资金流向日报
沪指11月17日下跌0.46%,申万所属行业中,今日上涨的有17个,涨幅居前的行业为计算机、国防军 工,涨幅分别为1.67%、1.59%。跌幅居前的行业为医药生物、银行,跌幅分别为1.73%、1.31%。非银 金融行业位居今日跌幅榜第三。 | 000750 | 国海证券 | -0.89 | 0.99 | -5149.32 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002670 | 国盛证券 | -3.16 | 2.42 | -4943.23 | | 600390 | 五矿资本 | -0.84 | 0.70 | -4475.33 | | 600155 | 华创云信 | 0.52 | 2.55 | -4393.14 | | 601995 | 中金公司 | -0.88 | 0.54 | -4357.71 | | 002939 | 长城证券 | -0.38 | 0.66 | -4335.29 | | 601878 | 浙商证券 | -0.44 | 0.55 | -3897.56 | | 601059 | 信达证券 | -0.96 | 2.14 | -3824.15 | | 601099 ...
中信的坠落 | 谈股论金
水皮More· 2025-11-17 09:48
Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively declined today, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.46% to close at 3972.03 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 0.11% to 13202.00 points, and the ChiNext Index decreasing by 0.20% to 3105.20 points [3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.91 trillion yuan, a decrease of 47.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [3] Key Events - A significant drop occurred in the last hour of trading last Friday, leading to a breach of the 4000-point mark and a close at a relatively low point [4] - The financial sector did not intervene to stabilize the market, with the insurance sector experiencing the largest decline at 1.70%, followed by banks at 1.27%, and securities at approximately 0.84% [4] - CITIC Securities, a leading indicator of the bull market, hit its lowest price since the current adjustment, contributing to the decline of the Shanghai Composite Index [4] Sector Performance - The Shenzhen Component Index showed relative resilience with a smaller decline of 0.11%, largely due to the performance of Zhongji Xuchuang, which rose against the trend, positively impacting related stocks [4] - The lithium battery sector, including solid-state battery concepts, performed well, although CATL faced significant pressure from a major shareholder's 18.7 billion yuan reduction plan, leading to a notable drop in its stock price [5] Market Sentiment - The ongoing reduction plan for CATL may continue to impact the indices in the future [6] - Despite the modest declines in the indices, there is a sense of weakness in the market, with a balanced distribution of individual stock movements and trading volume remaining around 1.9 trillion yuan, indicating a continued trend of shrinking volatility [6] - The absence of expected stabilizing funds in the Shanghai Composite Index may exceed some investors' expectations, highlighting the competitive and speculative nature of the market [6]
康希诺跌2.88% 2020年上市募52亿中信证券保荐
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-11-17 09:35
Core Points - 康希诺's stock closed at 72.92 yuan, with a decline of 2.88% [1] - The company went public on August 13, 2020, on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board, issuing 24.8 million shares at a price of 209.71 yuan per share [1] - 康希诺 is currently in a state of share price decline, having broken its initial offering price [1] Fundraising and Financials - 康希诺 raised a total of 5.201 billion yuan, with a net amount of 4.979 billion yuan after deducting issuance costs [1] - The net fundraising amount exceeded the original plan by 3.979 billion yuan [1] - The initial fundraising plan was to raise 1 billion yuan for various projects, including the construction of a second production base and vaccine development [1] Issuance Costs - The total issuance costs for 康希诺 were 221 million yuan, with underwriting and sponsorship fees amounting to 205 million yuan [2] - 中信证券 received 496,000 shares, representing 2.00% of the total shares issued, with an investment amount of 104 million yuan [2]
2026年证券行业投资策略:权益浪潮下的券商机遇:财富扩容,国际增效
Group 1 - The report highlights that the brokerage industry is entering an upward trajectory after hitting a low in Q4 2023, with significant growth observed in Q2 and Q3 of 2025 [5][18]. - The brokerage sector has seen a shift from "customer acquisition" to "existing customer management and institutional deepening," focusing on creating a comprehensive product matrix across various investment types [5][29]. - The report identifies three categories of brokers that have outperformed: those with low valuations and improving fundamentals, those involved in mergers and acquisitions, and those driven by innovative business models [5][12]. Group 2 - The report indicates that the performance of H-shares has outpaced A-shares due to a stronger Hong Kong market, lower valuations, and accelerated interconnectivity between capital markets [11][12]. - As of November 14, 2025, the brokerage index has increased by 4.29%, while the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 19.06%, indicating a significant underperformance of the brokerage sector compared to the broader market [11][12]. - The report notes that the brokerage sector's price-to-book ratio is currently at 1.41 times, which is at the 47th percentile since 2018, suggesting that the sector is undervalued [5]. Group 3 - The report emphasizes the importance of wealth management as a core support for brokerage businesses, driven by increased asset allocation from residents into the equity market [5][34]. - The brokerage industry is expected to benefit directly from the increasing attractiveness of the equity market, with specific recommendations for companies like GF Securities, Huatai Securities, and China Galaxy Securities [5]. - The report outlines that the brokerage sector's net profit for the first nine months of 2025 has increased by 66% year-on-year, with significant contributions from brokerage and interest income [18][34]. Group 4 - The report discusses the internationalization of brokerage services, driven by client demand, with major firms establishing overseas subsidiaries and focusing on cross-border services [5][18]. - The brokerage sector is experiencing a "counter-cyclical" asset allocation strategy, with a continued increase in equity asset allocation expected in 2025 [5][18]. - The report highlights that the brokerage industry is positioned for a recovery in public fund profitability, with the potential for increased allocations from public funds to the non-bank financial sector [5][18].
5.73万亿!券商领跑私募资管,固收类产品规模占比超八成
Core Insights - The latest data from the Asset Management Association of China indicates that as of the end of September, the scale of private asset management products from securities firms and their subsidiaries reached 5.73 trillion yuan, accounting for nearly half of the entire market [1][2] Group 1: Market Overview - The total scale of private asset management products from securities and futures institutions reached 12.46 trillion yuan as of the end of September, with a month-on-month increase of 1210.08 billion yuan, although it showed a slight decrease of 0.96% compared to the previous month [2] - Securities firms and their subsidiaries maintained a leading position, with their private asset management products accounting for 46.02% of the total market scale [2][3] Group 2: Product Types - Fixed income products remain the mainstay, with a scale of 4.68 trillion yuan, representing 82% of the total scale of securities firms' asset management products [4] - Equity and mixed products have also seen month-on-month growth, indicating a trend towards diversified market allocation [4][5] Group 3: Business Transformation - The industry is accelerating its transition towards active management, with the scale of actively managed collective asset management plans reaching 55.73% as of the end of September [5] - Despite a clear recovery trend, the industry faces challenges in public offering transformation and finding breakthrough points for scale expansion and business transformation [6]
中信证券:银行股低估值隐含的价值空间依旧显著 建议积极布局
智通财经网· 2025-11-17 00:45
智通财经APP获悉,中信证券发布研报称,金融统计数据报告显示,10月份银行扩表节奏边际放缓,主 要是政府债发行靠前,实体信贷需求仍待提振;居民存款和非银存款转移持续活跃,年底银行将加大对 于流动性管理关注。三季度行业息差初步企稳,同时监管持续释放对息差及盈利空间的关注,未来政策 引导下定价要素有望改善,盈利水平保持稳定。板块投资方面,低估值隐含的价值空间依旧显著;年底 步入长线资金配置时段,有助催化银行股市场表现,建议机构积极布局,收获高确定性回报。 1)季初居民存款再向非银存款转移。10月居民存款/非银存款分别-1.34万亿元/+1.85万亿元(9月分别+2.96 万亿元/-1.06万亿元),同比分别少增7700亿元/多增7700亿元。推测主要是季度末时点考核结束后,居民 资金重新流向理财等非银机构,同时股票市场活跃亦有影响。 2)公司存款增长较弱。10月非金融企业存款下降1.09万亿元,同比多减3553亿元,主要是信贷派生较 弱,叠加去年同期手工补息效应已经消退,基数逐步恢复正常。存款月度间结构变化明显加大,银行需 重视流动性波动及负债成本管理变化。 监管持续关注银行息差及金融机构盈利空间。 事项: 11 ...
中信证券:年内外贸出口基本面仍有支撑
人民财讯11月17日电,中信证券研报指出,10月经济数据在供需两端均有所回落。从需求侧来看,10月 投资增速延续快速下行趋势,新型政策性金融工具落地起效仍待时间;假期效应带来餐饮消费回升,今 年10月社零增速小幅下滑但仍超市场预期。从生产侧来看,需求回落和假期效应拖累工业生产表现,服 务业生产指数在高基数影响下回落。展望后续,判断年内外贸出口基本面仍有支撑,固定资产投资在新 型政策性金融工具等政策发力的带动下有望温和改善,但居民消费的温度可能继续偏低。近期国务院办 公厅发文促进民间投资发展并部署场景培育和开放工作,提示关注相关政策落地实施后对投资和消费的 提振效果。 转自:证券时报 ...