本文来自格隆汇专栏：中信证券研究 作者：杨帆 田良等 12月5日，金融监管总局近日发布《关于调整保险公司相关业务风险因子的通知》，保险公司投资相关 股票的风险因子获得适度调整。12月6日，证监会主席吴清在中国证券业协会大会上明确，券商行业 将"适度拓宽资本空间与杠杆上限"，并推动行业从"价格竞争"转向"价值竞争"，此外还强调头部机构整 合、中小券商特色化发展，分类监管将进一步优化。 ▍资本市场制度根基将持续完善，以更好服务"十五五"时期推进金融强国建设的战略导向。近期金融监 管总局调整保险股票投资风险因子、证监会明确券商行业发展优化方向，正是政策协同发力的重要体 现。 "十五五"时期是我国加快建设金融强国的关键阶段，资本市场作为金融体系的核心枢纽，其发展直接关 乎金融强国建设进程。结合吴清主席的发言内容，资本市场正锚定双重核心使命：一方面要深度对接实 体经济转型需求，聚焦新质生产力发展，通过优化资源配置为科技创新、产业升级注入金融活水；另一 方面要坚守以投资者为中心的导向，丰富金融产品供给，助力居民资产优化配置，让投资者共享经济发 展成果。而实现这一使命的关键抓手在于奋力打造一流投资银行和投资机构，既需要头部 ...

Core Viewpoint - LME copper prices are expected to accelerate towards $12,000 per ton within the year, driven by the dual narratives of "U.S. copper stockpiling" and "domestic production cuts" in the coming year [1] Group 1: Price Forecast - LME copper prices are projected to reach $12,000 per ton, marking a new starting point for copper prices [1] - The supply gap is anticipated to widen by 60% due to the aforementioned factors [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendation - The company recommends a comprehensive allocation to the copper sector [1]

近日，券商股再度崛起护航大盘触底反弹，市场的情绪又一次被点燃。 同花顺iFinD数据显示，12月5日，A股上演普涨行情，板块主力资金净流入排行中，证券行业流入资金 30.06亿元，位居第一；中小券商表现抢眼，中银证券涨停，兴业证券，东方财富、东北证券等涨幅均 超过4%。 12月6日，在中国证券业协会第八次会员大会上，证监会主席吴清围绕证券行业高质量发展发表重要讲 话，肯定行业多方面成绩，监管定调逐步趋暖。 三十三度资本基金经理程靓在接受《华夏时报》记者采访时表示，此次券商股的强势表现是"政策催化 +估值洼地+资金回流"共同作用下的估值修复。 政策端，摩根士丹利看好中国平安、中信证券唱多保险股，带动非银金融板块情绪升温，券商顺势跟 涨。同时，中金系券商整合进程推进，行业集中度提升预期强化了板块信心。 估值层面，截至11月底，券商板块整体PB仅1.2倍，处于近5年20%分位的历史低位，而2025年前三季度 42家上市券商归母净利润同比大增65.08%，头部券商ROE达15%，中小券商净利润增速更是超300%， 业绩高增与估值低迷的背离催生修复动力。 本报（chinatimes.net.cn）记者王兆寰 北京报道 ...

中信证券研报认为，随着国产厂商年终补库，海外厂商在价格具有相对性价比的位置针对2026年赛事需 求、促销等进行提前备货，年终TV面板需求相对旺盛，面板价格有望迎来全面止跌，2025年第四季度 有望迎来普涨，面板厂业绩趋势向好。展望未来，中长期来看，面板行业竞争格局将更加良性化，同时 LCD行业利润释放的逻辑预计将从主要依赖涨价驱动逐步转向更多的产业价值创造升级，主要体现在： 大尺寸化推动供需平衡中枢持续上行，成本端持续国产化降本，折旧迎来达峰退出，少数股东权益收回 后归母贡献的增厚等，我们看好后续龙头厂商业绩加速释放，同时建议关注低估值个股以及上游国产替 代逻辑持续强化的关键环节（掩膜板、玻璃基板、光学膜）等。 ...

圣桐特医向港交所主板提交上市申请，该公司是中国领先的特医食品提供商，专注于特医食品的产品开 发、生产及销售。中信证券为独家保荐人。 圣桐特医是中国特医食品领域的先行者，于2005年成立中国首家特医食品专业部门之一，2007年成为首 个在中国商业化特医食品产品的中国品牌，并于2011年成为中国首家获批生产特医食品产品的企业。 根据2024年零售额数据，圣桐特医稳居中国本土特医食品品牌榜首，在所有特医食品品牌中市场份额为 6.3%(位列第四)；在中国婴儿特医食品市场中，亦稳居本土品牌榜首，在所有品牌中市场份额为9.5% (位列第三)。 2025年1月，公司的"特爱丙佳"(中国首个也是唯一针对丙酸血症或甲基丙二酸血症婴儿的特医食品) 和"特爱本佳"(首个由中国品牌自主研发针对苯丙酮尿症婴儿的特医食品)获得注册证书。 截至2025年11月25日，圣桐特医已推出14款主要特医食品产品，另有16款主要新产品正在研发中；公司 持有的中国婴儿特医食品注册证书数量位居中国特医食品品牌之首。 ...

Core Viewpoints - The article emphasizes the expectation of a robust economic start in 2026 driven by proactive macro policies and structural reforms as part of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1][5] - The appreciation of the RMB is anticipated to improve, nearing the "7" mark against the USD [1][19] Focused Commentary - Wu Qing highlights the importance of enhancing the inclusivity and adaptability of capital market systems during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on public fund reforms and aligning investor interests [3] - The article discusses the need for a binding mechanism for public funds to ensure investor profit and loss are core to assessments, promoting the development of equity funds and index investments [3] Equity Market - CITIC Securities predicts a more proactive policy direction in the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference, with a focus on consumption expansion, technological innovation, and real estate risk mitigation [5] - Huaxia Fund suggests that the "spring rally" may start earlier due to key meetings, improved macro liquidity, and easing of funding pressures, recommending a focus on AI, domestic demand recovery, and resource sectors [6] -招商证券 notes that December's market will be influenced by the Federal Reserve's meetings and domestic conferences, with a preference for large-cap stocks and blue-chip dividends [7] Industry Research - Galaxy Securities indicates that the power industry will see opportunities for capacity upgrades during the "14th Five-Year Plan," with a focus on stable profitability in thermal power and growth in nuclear power [12] - Harvest Fund expresses optimism for the energy storage sector, highlighting its transition to a growth phase driven by policy and technological advancements [13] - CITIC Construction Investment Securities sees significant growth potential in the low-altitude economy, predicting a market size exceeding one trillion by 2030 [14] Macro and Fixed Income - Huatai Securities anticipates a gradual appreciation of the RMB, with a forecast of 6.82 against the USD by the end of 2026, driven by strong export growth and seasonal currency settlement peaks [19] - Bosera Fund notes a cautious sentiment in the bond market, with a need for clearer signals of policy easing to boost demand [20] - Guotai Fund believes that the bond market may see a recovery opportunity following recent volatility, suggesting it could be a good time for long-term positioning [21] Asset Allocation - CICC recommends maintaining a "barbell" strategy in asset allocation, combining dividend stocks with technology investments, while adjusting weights based on market conditions [23]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the securities and banking sectors, while also recommending a focus on quality insurance companies [9]. Core Insights - The report highlights investment opportunities in the order of securities > banking > insurance, emphasizing the optimization of performance evaluation rules for fund companies, which is expected to enhance long-term incentive mechanisms and promote sustainable development in the fund industry [12][31]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has introduced new regulations to strengthen governance and oversight across the entire lifecycle of listed companies, which is anticipated to improve market stability and investor confidence [15][16]. - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has conducted a 1 trillion yuan reverse repurchase operation to support liquidity, particularly during the year-end and Spring Festival periods, with major banks expected to begin distributing mid-term dividends [31][33]. Summary by Sections Securities - The CSRC has proposed to relax capital and leverage restrictions for high-quality securities firms, which is expected to enhance their operational efficiency [14]. - In November, the number of new A-share accounts increased by 3% month-on-month, with a year-to-date growth of 8%, indicating sustained market interest [18]. - The report recommends focusing on high-quality brokers with low price-to-book (PB) ratios, including CITIC Securities, Guotai Junan, and GF Securities [12][13]. Banking - The PBOC's recent reverse repurchase operations are aimed at ensuring ample liquidity in the market, especially during high-demand periods [31][32]. - The report notes that the banking sector's PB ratio is currently at 0.71, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to historical levels, suggesting potential for recovery [31]. - Recommended banking stocks include Nanjing Bank, Chengdu Bank, and Shanghai Bank, which are considered high-quality picks [31][33]. Insurance - The insurance sector has shown resilience, with regulatory adjustments to risk factors for equity investments leading to a significant increase in stock prices [46]. - The report suggests that investors should focus on leading insurance companies, such as China Life and Ping An, which are expected to benefit from improved liquidity conditions [46][47]. - Regulatory changes are aimed at encouraging long-term investments by insurance companies, which could enhance their stability and support economic growth [48][49].

行业周报 | 非银金融 险资股票因子下调，看好券商板块盈利修复 金融行业周报（2025/12/7） 核心结论 金融行业周涨跌幅跟踪：1）本周非银金融（申万）指数涨跌幅为 2.27%，跑 赢沪深 300 指数 0.99pct。本周证券Ⅱ（申万）、保险Ⅱ（申万）、多元金融 指数涨跌幅分别为+1.14%、+5.08%、+0.49%。 2）本周银行（申万）涨跌幅 为-1.18%，跑输沪深 300 指数 2.46pct。其中，国有行、股份行、城商行、 农商行本周涨跌幅分别为-2.67%、-0.50%、-0.86%、+0.41%。 投资观点：保险：本周五保险指数大涨 5.80%，我们认为主要系以下几个因 素形成合力：1）长期股票持仓风险因子调降，虽短期对偿付能力改善有限， 但长期资金入市态度明确，点燃市场做多情绪；2）开门红预计将超预期： 在居民"挪储"需求背景下，分红险优势凸显，成为头部险企主力产品，明 年负债端稳健增长开始被市场交易； 3）12 月美国降息概率提升，全球流动 性改善利好保险等高弹性品种。我们认为，保险将是产业结构转型中金融业 最具成长性的方向，一旦总量政策进一步发力，通胀趋势加强，那么保险的 估值修复 ...

本周三大指数，上证指数涨0.37%，深证成指涨1.26%，创业板指涨1.86%。后市将如何发展？看看机构 怎么说。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 中信证券：当前市场震荡可能是基本面超预期变化出现前的常态 当前的市场震荡可能是基本面超预期变化出现前的常态，债市的调整导致股债平衡型策略在当下遭遇一 定挑战，对控制持仓波动率可能有更高的要求，也间接影响到股票配置策略。未来人民币的潜在升值压 力可能会带来超预期的货币宽松，这可能是超预期变化的来源并打破震荡格局，在此之前，配置上延续 资源/传统制造业定价权的重估和企业出海两个方向。 光大证券：国内外利好共振 市场有所回暖 市场大方向或仍处在牛市中，不过短期或进入宽幅震荡阶段。与往年牛市相比，当前指数仍然有相当大 的上涨空间，但是在国家对于"慢牛"的政策指引之下，牛市持续的时间或许要比涨幅更加重要。不过短 期来看，市场可能缺乏强力催化，叠加年末部分投资者在行为上可能趋于稳健，股市短期或以震荡蓄势 为主。 华金证券：春季行情开启了吗？ 当前来看，明年春季行情可能于今年12 月中下旬提前开启。（1）短期政策和外部事件可能偏积极。一 ...

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·非银金融 非银金融行业跟踪周报 吴清提出拓宽券商资本空间；保险优化股票 风险因子 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 ◼ 行业排序及重点公司推荐：非银金融目前平均估值仍然较低，具有安全 2025 年 12 月 07 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书：S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 罗宇康 执业证书：S0600525090002 -18% -14% -10% -6% -2% 2% 6% 10% 14% 18% 2024/12/9 2025/4/8 2025/8/6 2025/12/4 非银金融 沪深300 相关研究 《适度提升优质券商的资本空间，聚 焦券商高质量发展》 2025-12-06 《优化长期股票持仓风险因子要求， 引导险资发挥耐心资本优势》 2025-12-06 东吴证券研究所 1 / 17 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 luoyk@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 ◼ 非银行金融子行业近期表现：最近 5 个交易日（2025 年 12 月 01 日-2025 年 12 月 05 日）非 ...