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中信证券:钙钛矿电池量产迈向加速阶段 关注相关组件及设备端投资机会
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 00:43
据各公司官网,国内目前已有极电光能、协鑫光电、纤纳光电、仁烁光电等多家初创公司积极布局钙钛 矿太阳能电池及组件领域。2025年2月,极电光能全球首条准GW级产线投入量产,预计每年可产出180 万片钙钛矿光伏组件;同月,仁烁光能GW级钙钛矿项目启动仪式在江苏常熟举行,预计2026年初投 产;2025年6月,协鑫光电GW级基地在江苏昆山正式投产,成为全球首个GW级钙钛矿叠层组件生产基 地;此外,纤纳光电准GW级钙钛矿产线也计划于2026年初投产。 钙钛矿太阳能电池是指以钙钛矿结构(ABX3)为吸光层的新型有机-无机杂化太阳能电池。钙钛矿太阳能 电池具备优异的电学和光学性能,成本低廉且制备简单。据美国可再生能源实验室,在晶硅电池已经接 近其理论效率极限29.4%的情况下,钙钛矿电池可以轻松实现更高的光电转换效率,与晶硅制备成叠层 电池后有望实现45%的效率上限。因此钙钛矿太阳能电池也被认为是最有应用前景的下一代光伏技术。 当前钙钛矿组件成本偏高,但规模化和技术迭代降本空间较大。 该行测算当前钙钛矿光伏组件的单位材料成本合计约为0.95元/W,其中FTO导电玻璃和背板玻璃分别占 材料成本的45%/18%,是材料成本的 ...
中信证券:大众品基本面触底在即 关注乳品及餐供板块
智通财经网· 2025-11-19 00:42
Core Viewpoint - The consumer goods sector is expected to gradually bottom out in demand by 2026, with a narrowing of price declines, although the potential for upward recovery may be limited due to intense competition and weakening raw material cost advantages [1][2]. Group 1: Consumer Goods Industry Overview - The consumer goods sector experienced weak demand and intense competition in the first three quarters of 2025, leading to a decline in both volume and price [2]. - The demand for consumer goods is anticipated to stabilize in 2026, supported by a healthy inventory level and the upcoming consumption peak due to the Spring Festival preparations [2]. - Despite the expected stabilization in demand, the consumer goods sector may still face slight pressure on terminal prices due to ongoing weak demand and a trend towards cost-effective consumption [2]. Group 2: Dairy Products - The liquid milk sector faced a decline in demand due to weakened consumer purchasing power, but the rate of decline has slowed compared to 2024 [3]. - Improvements in raw milk supply and demand are expected, with milk prices projected to stop declining and potentially recover in the second half of 2026 [3]. - The liquid milk industry is anticipated to stabilize at its fundamental bottom in 2026, with reduced promotional pricing and a narrowing of price declines [3]. Group 3: Snacks - The snack industry is expected to continue benefiting from channel growth in 2025, particularly in bulk snack channels and membership supermarkets, despite a slowdown in e-commerce and traditional channels [4]. - The profitability of the snack sector is under pressure due to rising raw material costs and increased competition [4]. - In 2026, the focus will be on growth stocks within the snack sector, particularly those benefiting from the ongoing trends in specific product categories [4]. Group 4: Food Supply Chain - The food supply chain sector is closely tied to the performance of the downstream restaurant industry, which is currently experiencing weak overall conditions [5]. - Structural highlights include resilient leading companies gaining market share and the acceleration of mergers and acquisitions to expand categories and channels [5]. - The sector is expected to show signs of marginal improvement in 2026, with potential recovery in demand and easing competitive pressures [5]. Group 5: Beverage Industry - The beverage sector experienced fluctuations in demand in 2025, with a negative growth trend emerging in the third quarter due to price wars on delivery platforms [6]. - The health and functional beverage categories performed better than others, and despite intense competition, many companies managed to improve net profit margins [6]. - A recovery in beverage demand is anticipated in 2026, with expected growth in the mid to high single digits, contingent on market demand and raw material prices [6][7].
中信证券:基本面触底在即,关注乳品及餐供板块
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 00:27
中信证券指出,我们判断2026年大众品需求量有望逐步触底回升、价格端跌幅有望收窄,但是向上复苏 空间可能有限。行业竞争内卷以及原料成本红利减弱下,部分板块盈利端走势可能存在不确定性。2026 年料是大众品基本面触底、处于左侧投资的阶段。投资建议上从三个维度进行推荐,一个是基本面触 底、估值底部的维度,一个是成长景气维度,最后一个是高股息维度。 ...
中信证券: 储能带动上游材料景气度回升,反内卷发力化工品价格回暖
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 00:27
中信证券研报称, 化工板块目前主要围绕三大主线进行交易:1)储能需求带动产业链景气度提升,上 游锂电等材料供需格局有望重塑,重点推荐新能源相关的材料标的、六氟磷酸锂、磷酸铁及磷酸铁锂产 业链;2)化工反内卷持续加码,多行业发起行业自律,化工品价格有望底部回暖;3)化工品行业自身 高景气,主营业务有望保持高增长。 ...
中信证券:储能带动上游材料景气度回升 “反内卷”发力化工品价格回暖
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-11-19 00:27
人民财讯11月19日电,中信证券研报称,化工板块目前主要围绕三大主线进行交易:1)储能需求带动产 业链景气度提升,上游锂电等材料供需格局有望重塑,重点推荐新能源相关的材料标的、六氟磷酸锂、 磷酸铁及磷酸铁锂产业链;2)化工"反内卷"持续加码,多行业发起行业自律,化工品价格有望底部回 暖;3)化工品行业自身高景气,主营业务有望保持高增长。 ...
纳芯微通过聆讯 中金公司、中信证券、建银国际为联席保荐人
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-11-19 00:26
纳芯微已通过港交所主板上市聆讯,中金公司、中信证券、建银国际为联席保荐人。 公司采用fabless运营模式,专注芯片研发和设计,将晶圆制造及封测等环节外包。产品覆盖汽车电子、 泛能源、消费电子等领域,包括传感器、信号链芯片与电源管理芯片,能够为终端客户提供定制化解决 方案。 ...
中信证券:建议关注钙钛矿组件及设备端的投资机会
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-11-19 00:19
人民财讯11月19日电,中信证券指出,钙钛矿太阳能电池因具备优异的电学和光学性能,以及更高的理 论光电转换效率,已经被认为是最具应用前景的下一代光伏电池技术。2025年以来,极电光能、协鑫光 电等多条准GW级钙钛矿产线投入量产,钙钛矿产业化进程不断加速。预计2030年全球钙钛矿组件出货 量或达20GW左右,市场空间约200亿元,对应2025—2030年CAGR超过200%;扩产周期也将刺激镀 膜、涂布、激光等设备需求大幅释放,建议关注钙钛矿组件及设备端的投资机会。 ...
炒股亏了保险兜底,月收益高达100%?“安我股保”宣称推出全网首款炒股保险,两大机构连忙撇清关系
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-18 14:53
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a new investment product called "An Wo Gu Bao," which claims to provide insurance coverage for stock investments, promising high returns while minimizing risks. However, investigations reveal significant doubts about its legitimacy and the underlying business model [2][11][18]. Group 1: Product Overview - "An Wo Gu Bao" is marketed as the first insurance product for stock investments, offering a monthly return of 60% to 100% [3][5]. - The product allows users to invest with minimal effort, as it is managed by a strategic partnership with CITIC Securities, which handles stock trading on behalf of the investors [5][10]. - Users can invest amounts ranging from 100 yuan to 1 million yuan, with the option to choose investment durations of 1, 3, or 5 days [5][7]. Group 2: Profit and Loss Mechanism - The product claims that if an investment results in a loss, the insurance company will cover the entire loss, while profits will incur a fee of 30% [7][10]. - An example provided shows a user investing in a technology stock, resulting in a profit after deducting the insurance fee [8][9]. Group 3: Regulatory Concerns - Experts express skepticism about the viability of insuring stock investments, as stock trading is considered speculative risk and not typically insurable [11][18]. - The Hong Kong Insurance Authority does not recognize stock insurance as a valid category, raising questions about the product's legitimacy [11][12]. - Both Hong Kong An Wo Insurance and CITIC Securities have denied any association with "An Wo Gu Bao," indicating it may be a fraudulent scheme [12][14]. Group 4: Marketing and Recruitment Strategy - The product employs a multi-level marketing strategy, offering rewards for referrals and promoting a "star customer" program that incentivizes recruitment [14][16]. - The structure resembles a Ponzi scheme, relying on new investments to pay returns to earlier investors, which is a hallmark of such fraudulent schemes [18][19]. Group 5: Expert Opinions - Industry experts warn that the promised returns far exceed reasonable market expectations, indicating a high likelihood of fraud [18][20]. - Investors are advised to remain cautious and skeptical of any investment promising guaranteed returns, especially those lacking transparency and regulatory approval [20].
中信证券维持思科"增持"评级 目标价90美元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 12:09
Core Viewpoint - Citic Securities maintains an "Overweight" rating for Cisco (CSCO.O) with a target price of $90, driven by strong guidance for FY2026Q2 and significant AI order growth [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Cisco's FY2026Q2 guidance exceeded expectations, indicating robust financial health [1] - AI orders reached $1.3 billion, with projected annual AI revenue of $3 billion [1] Group 2: Business Drivers - The initiation of a campus network upgrade cycle is expected to drive growth in traditional business segments [1] - Strong demand for AI infrastructure is a key factor supporting the company's growth trajectory [1] Group 3: Valuation - The target price has been raised to $90 based on comparable company valuations [1]
债市日报:11月18日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 08:52
【行情跟踪】 国债期货收盘全线上涨,30年期主力合约涨0.06%报116.53,10年期主力合约涨0.03%报108.5,5年期主 力合约涨0.03%报105.92,2年期主力合约涨0.01%报102.49。 银行间主要利率债表现分化,30年期国债"25超长特别国债06"收益率下行0.35BP报2.136%,10年期国开 债"25国开15"收益率下行0.2BP报1.866%,5年期国开债"25国开08"收益率上行0.4BP报1.714%。 中证转债指数收盘下跌0.55%,报488.05点,成交金额682.42亿元。中能转债、立中转债、天赐转债、 国城转债、振华转债跌幅居前,分别跌14.87%、11.04%、10.39%、8.84%、8.37%。东时转债、微导转 债、润达转债、惠城转债、路维转债涨幅居前,分别涨14.69%、6.00%、5.09%、4.77%、4.76%。 【海外债市】 北美市场方面,当地时间11月17日,美债收益率涨跌不一,2年期美债收益率涨0.63BP报3.608%,3年 期美债收益率涨0.28BP报3.611%,5年期美债收益率持平报3.728%,10年期美债收益率跌0.78BP报 4.1 ...