Group 1 - The combustible ice concept index rose by 0.75%, ranking 6th among concept sectors, with 8 stocks increasing in value, led by Xinjin Power, Nanjing Steel, and Guangzhou Development, which rose by 8.46%, 5.39%, and 1.68% respectively [1] - The main inflow of funds into the combustible ice sector was 0.81 billion yuan, with 7 stocks receiving net inflows, primarily Xinjin Power, which saw a net inflow of 1.38 billion yuan [1] - The top three stocks by net inflow ratio were Xinjin Power at 18.88%, Zhongji Group at 9.77%, and Nanjing Steel at 8.88% [2] Group 2 - The stocks with the largest declines included Haimer Technology, Luyang Energy, and Shenkai Co., which fell by 3.20%, 3.00%, and 1.67% respectively [1] - The overall market performance showed a mixed trend, with various sectors experiencing both gains and losses, highlighting the volatility in the market [1][3] - The trading volume and turnover rates varied significantly among the stocks, indicating differing levels of investor interest and activity within the combustible ice sector [2]

Core Insights - The steel sector saw a slight increase of 0.5% on September 26, with Nanjing Steel leading the gains. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3828.11, down 0.65%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13209.0, down 1.76% [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Nanjing Steel (600282) closed at 5.08, up 5.39% with a trading volume of 534,800 shares and a turnover of 268 million yuan [1]. - Youfa Group (601686) closed at 6.29, up 3.80% with a trading volume of 309,100 shares and a turnover of 193 million yuan [1]. - Baosteel (600019) closed at 6.96, up 2.50% with a trading volume of 1,399,200 shares and a turnover of 970 million yuan [1]. - Hualing Steel (000932) closed at 6.53, up 2.03% with a trading volume of 692,700 shares and a turnover of 450 million yuan [1]. - Wujin Stainless Steel (603878) closed at 9.00, up 1.35% with a trading volume of 901,000 shares and a turnover of 830 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Fund Flow Analysis - The steel sector experienced a net outflow of 443 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 268 million yuan [2]. - Hualing Steel had a main fund net outflow of 55.14 million yuan, accounting for 12.26% of its total [3]. - Nanjing Steel saw a main fund net inflow of 19.65 million yuan, representing 7.34% of its total [3]. - The overall trend indicates a mixed sentiment among institutional and retail investors within the steel sector [2][3].

Group 1 - The core index, the CSI Dividend Low Volatility 100 Index, experienced a decline of 0.62% as of September 23, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [2] - Notable gainers included Nanjing Bank, which rose by 4.11%, while Yuyuan Inc. led the declines with a drop of 3.68% [2] - The CSI Dividend Low Volatility 100 ETF (159307) decreased by 0.48%, with a latest price of 1.04 yuan, but showed a cumulative increase of 2.29% over the past three months [2] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China highlighted significant achievements in the financial sector, including comprehensive deepening of financial system reforms and modernization of financial governance [3] - The financial services quality, efficiency, and inclusiveness have significantly improved, with a focus on orderly resolution of financial risks [3] - According to Dongfang Securities, the market is currently in a short-term adjustment phase but maintains a medium-term upward trend, with potential focus on high-end manufacturing and low-cycle dividend opportunities [3] Group 3 - The CSI Dividend Low Volatility 100 ETF has seen continuous net inflows over the past nine days, totaling 119 million yuan, with a peak single-day inflow of 26.66 million yuan [5] - The index tracks 100 stocks characterized by good liquidity, continuous dividends, high dividend yields, and low volatility, reflecting the overall performance of such securities [5] - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 20.4% of the total index weight, including companies like Shanxi Coking Coal and Sinopec [5]

Group 1 - The China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index (000824) decreased by 0.17% as of September 23, 2025, with Nanjing Bank (601009) leading the gains at 4.30% [1] - The People's Bank of China announced on September 19 that it would adjust the 14-day reverse repurchase operations to a fixed quantity and interest rate bidding, which aims to enhance liquidity management [1] - Analysts from Galaxy Securities believe this adjustment will improve the pricing mechanism of interest rates and enhance liquidity management efficiency, giving larger state-owned banks a competitive edge over smaller banks [1][2] Group 2 - The China Securities State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index consists of 100 listed companies selected for their high and stable cash dividend yields, reflecting the overall performance of high-dividend state-owned enterprises [2] - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 16.84% of the total index, including companies like COSCO Shipping Holdings (601919) and Jizhong Energy (000937) [2] - The National State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF (159515) closely tracks the performance of the index, providing investors with exposure to high-dividend state-owned enterprises [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry in China [6]. Core Views - The market has fully priced in the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut, and the non-ferrous and steel sectors are set to rebound [9][15]. - Despite a recent decline in aluminum prices, the profitability of the electrolytic aluminum sector remains stable due to a simultaneous decrease in raw material costs [9][15]. - Gold prices are expected to rise in the medium term due to multiple factors, enhancing corporate profitability and dividend intentions [9][15]. - The steel sector is poised for mid-term profitability improvements, with potential increases in dividends as the Simandou iron ore project progresses [9][15]. Summary by Sections Non-Ferrous and Steel Industry Overview - The non-ferrous and steel sectors experienced a notable decline prior to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, driven by speculative trading [9][15]. - The market is expected to shift towards low-risk, high-dividend segments within the non-ferrous and steel sectors [9][15]. Electrolytic Aluminum - Although aluminum prices have decreased, the profitability of the sector remains stable due to lower raw material costs [9][15]. - Future price increases are anticipated as supply-demand dynamics tighten, potentially leading to higher dividend payouts from companies like Tianshan Aluminum [9][15]. Gold Sector - The recent interest rate cut is expected to lead to a short-term stabilization or correction in gold prices, but medium-term prospects remain positive [9][15]. - Increased profitability in gold mining companies is likely to result in higher dividend distributions [9][15]. Steel Sector - The Simandou iron ore project is entering a decisive phase, which could enhance mid-term profitability and dividend capabilities for steel companies [9][15]. - The steel price is expected to stabilize and potentially increase, supported by cost structures and seasonal demand shifts [9][15]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report notes a seasonal increase in rebar consumption, with a week-on-week rise of 6.04% [17][22]. - Inventory levels show a divergence between social and steel mill stocks, indicating structural improvements in demand [22][24]. Price Trends - The overall steel price index has seen a slight increase of 0.50%, with specific products like steel billets showing a 1.18% rise [37][38]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring price movements in raw materials, which are crucial for profitability in the steel sector [29][34].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the steel sector, specifically recommending stocks such as Hualing Steel, Nanjing Steel, Baosteel, and New Steel [3][6][9]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the current market is experiencing uneven performance, with a focus on the technology sector while traditional industries face significant adjustments. The report suggests that the era of capital oversupply is establishing a foundation for a golden period in capital markets [2]. - The report highlights that the average daily pig iron production has slightly increased, and the total inventory growth has narrowed, indicating a potential improvement in market conditions [14][26]. - The apparent consumption of steel has shown a month-on-month improvement, particularly in rebar demand, which has increased significantly [43]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The CITIC Steel Index closed at 1,778.35 points, down 2.74%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.30 percentage points, ranking 25th among 30 CITIC primary sectors [1][92]. Supply and Production - The average daily pig iron production rose by 0.5 million tons to 241.1 million tons, while the production of rebar decreased slightly, and hot-rolled production saw a minor increase [14][19]. - In August 2025, crude steel production was 77.37 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 0.7%, while steel production increased by 9.7% to 122.77 million tons [15][8]. Inventory - Total steel inventory continued to accumulate, with a weekly increase of 0.3%, but the growth rate has narrowed by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous week [26][28]. - The social inventory of five major steel products was 11.014 million tons, up 0.6% week-on-week and 7.3% year-on-year [28]. Demand - The apparent consumption of five major steel products was 8.503 million tons, up 0.8% month-on-month but down 4.6% year-on-year, indicating a mixed demand scenario [53]. - The average weekly transaction volume of construction steel was 106,000 tons, reflecting a 3.3% increase from the previous week [44]. Raw Materials - Iron ore prices have shown a slight increase, with the Platts 62% iron ore price index at $106.6 per ton, up 0.2% week-on-week and 17.9% year-on-year [62]. - The report notes that the coal and electricity investment completion amount reached 96 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 52.4%, indicating a positive outlook for related sectors [8]. Prices and Profits - The comprehensive steel price index increased by 0.5% week-on-week, suggesting a potential for continued price strength as industry fundamentals improve [72]. - The current spot price for rebar in Beijing is 3,200 yuan per ton, reflecting a 0.3% increase week-on-week [73].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for several steel companies, including Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel, and others, based on their projected earnings and valuation metrics [3][4]. Core Insights - The steel prices are showing a strong upward trend supported by raw material costs, with significant increases in various steel products as of September 19, 2025 [1][11]. - The overall steel profit margins have improved, with notable increases in the gross margins for rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled steel [1][2]. - The report indicates a shift from inventory accumulation to inventory reduction for rebar, suggesting a recovery in demand as the industry enters its peak season [3]. Price Trends - As of September 19, 2025, the prices for key steel products in Shanghai are as follows: - Rebar (20mm HRB400) at 3280 CNY/ton, up 70 CNY/ton from the previous week - High-line (8.0mm) at 3420 CNY/ton, up 60 CNY/ton - Hot-rolled (3.0mm) at 3460 CNY/ton, up 10 CNY/ton - Cold-rolled (1.0mm) at 3830 CNY/ton, up 30 CNY/ton - Common medium plate (20mm) at 3510 CNY/ton, up 50 CNY/ton [1][11][12]. Production and Inventory - As of September 19, 2025, the total production of the five major steel products was 8.55 million tons, a decrease of 1.78 million tons week-on-week, with rebar production specifically down by 5.48 million tons to 2.0645 million tons [2]. - The total social inventory of the five major steel products increased by 63,200 tons to 11.0023 million tons, while steel mill inventory decreased by 11,400 tons [2]. Profitability - The report highlights an increase in steel profitability, with gross margins for rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled steel rising by 24 CNY/ton, 28 CNY/ton, and 28 CNY/ton respectively, while electric arc furnace steel margins increased by 10 CNY/ton [1][3]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the following companies: - For the general steel sector: Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel - For the special steel sector: Xianglou New Materials, CITIC Special Steel, Yongjin Co. - For pipe materials: Jiuli Special Materials, Youfa Group, Wujin Stainless Steel - Additionally, it suggests paying attention to high-temperature alloy companies like Fushun Special Steel [3].

Core Viewpoint - Nanjing Steel Co., Ltd. (南钢股份) celebrates its 25th anniversary since listing, highlighting its growth into a leading producer of medium and heavy plates and special steel long products, with a cumulative stock price increase of 384% and a market capitalization of 30 billion yuan [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Since its listing, Nanjing Steel's market value has increased nearly sevenfold, reaching 30 billion yuan, and it has distributed over 13.6 billion yuan in cash dividends, representing more than 50% of cumulative net profit [1]. - The company has implemented 23 cash dividend distributions, showcasing its commitment to returning value to shareholders [1]. Group 2: Technological Innovation - Nanjing Steel invests over 3% of its revenue in R&D annually, establishing an integrated research and development system and an open high-end R&D framework [3]. - The company has achieved significant product advancements, with its advanced steel materials sales ratio increasing from 14% to 29%, and gross profit contribution from these products reaching 47% [3]. Group 3: Global Expansion - Nanjing Steel is extending its industrial chain with an overseas project for an annual production of 6.5 million tons of coke and has participated in high-profile international projects such as the Pelješac Bridge in Croatia and the Qatar offshore oil and gas field [4]. Group 4: Digital Transformation - The company is advancing its digital transformation with a focus on smart manufacturing and has developed a comprehensive smart operation center integrating data governance, industrial internet, and artificial intelligence [5]. - Nanjing Steel is collaborating with Huawei to enhance its digital capabilities and has launched the "Yuanye Steel Model" to promote intelligent manufacturing [5]. Group 5: Sustainability Initiatives - Nanjing Steel aims to be a global leader in green steel production, implementing a three-step low-carbon strategy and achieving recognition for its carbon management efforts [6][5]. - The company has received multiple green product certifications and has completed comprehensive low-emission upgrades, earning an A-level environmental performance rating in the steel industry [6]. Group 6: Strategic Development - Nanjing Steel has undertaken significant capital market operations, including the first public tender offer in China and various fundraising initiatives to support key projects [9]. - The company has restructured its internal organization to enhance efficiency and has expanded its focus to include new materials alongside steel production [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the steel industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of the steel sector in investment allocation, particularly in light of expected policy-driven production limits in the fourth quarter [1][2] - Despite current supply-demand imbalances and declining overall industry profits, the steel demand is anticipated to stabilize or slightly increase due to supportive policies in real estate, infrastructure, and manufacturing sectors [3][2] - The report suggests that the industry is likely to maintain a stable supply-demand situation, with a focus on high-margin specialty steel companies and leading enterprises with strong cost control [3][2] Supply Situation - As of September 19, the capacity utilization rate for blast furnaces among sample steel companies is 90.4%, a week-on-week increase of 0.17 percentage points [25] - The average daily pig iron production is 2.41 million tons, with a week-on-week increase of 0.47 tons and a year-on-year increase of 176,400 tons [25] - The total production of five major steel products is 7.437 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 11,500 tons [25] Demand Situation - The consumption of five major steel products reached 8.503 million tons as of September 19, with a week-on-week increase of 70,000 tons [35] - The transaction volume of construction steel by mainstream traders is 107,000 tons, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 3.32% [35] Inventory Situation - The social inventory of five major steel products is 11.014 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 62,700 tons [43] - The factory inventory of five major steel products is 4.184 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 1.14% [43] Price & Profit Situation - The comprehensive index for ordinary steel is 3,507.3 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 17.52 yuan/ton [49] - The profit for rebar produced in blast furnaces is 22 yuan/ton, a significant week-on-week increase of 257.14% [58] - The average cost of pig iron is 2,381 yuan/ton, with a slight week-on-week increase [58] Raw Material Prices - The spot price index for Australian iron ore (62% Fe) is 802 yuan/ton, a week-on-week increase of 6.0 yuan/ton [72] - The price of primary metallurgical coke is 1,715 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 55.0 yuan/ton [72]

Core Viewpoint - Nanjing Steel Group (南钢股份) celebrates its 25th anniversary since its establishment and listing, highlighting its growth and commitment to innovation, sustainability, and shareholder returns [2][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Nanjing Steel was established on March 18, 1999, and listed on September 19, 2000, becoming a leading producer of medium and heavy plates globally and a competitive player in special steel long products in China [3]. - Since its listing, the company's stock price has increased by 384%, with a market capitalization reaching 30 billion yuan, growing nearly sevenfold [3]. Group 2: Innovation and Development - The company emphasizes technological innovation, with R&D investment consistently exceeding 3% of revenue, and has developed an integrated R&D system [5]. - Nanjing Steel has achieved significant product advancements, including the 9% Ni steel for ultra-low temperature applications and ultra-high strength wear-resistant steel, recognized as national champion products [6]. Group 3: Digital Transformation - The company is undergoing a digital transformation, implementing a strategy that integrates data governance, industrial internet, and artificial intelligence [8]. - Nanjing Steel has developed a smart manufacturing and digital operation system, enhancing its operational efficiency and production management [8]. Group 4: Sustainability Initiatives - Nanjing Steel aims to be a global leader in green steel production, aligning with the "30-60" carbon goals and implementing a three-step strategy for emissions reduction [10]. - The company has received multiple green product certifications and has made significant progress in energy efficiency and environmental upgrades [10]. Group 5: Strategic Upgrades - The company has actively engaged in capital market opportunities, including public offerings and asset restructuring, to enhance its strategic capabilities [12][13]. - Nanjing Steel has adopted a value management system to ensure stable shareholder returns and effective communication with investors [13].