Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [2][9]. Core Insights - The report highlights the increasing geopolitical tensions between China and the U.S., which may elevate demand for safe-haven assets like gold and strategic metals such as rare earths and tungsten [5][9]. - The copper market is experiencing supply disruptions, with prices trending upward due to tight supply conditions [5]. - Aluminum demand is expected to continue, with potential opportunities for investment following market corrections [5]. - The strategic importance of rare earths and tungsten is emphasized due to recent export controls and geopolitical developments [5][9]. Summary by Sections Copper Sector - Supply disruptions are ongoing, with LME copper prices at $10,735 per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.9% [5]. - The processing fee for imported copper concentrate is negative, indicating tight supply [5]. - Companies with rich copper reserves are recommended for investment [9]. Aluminum Sector - LME aluminum prices reached $2,800 per ton, up 3.6% week-on-week [5]. - The operating rate for aluminum processing enterprises has slightly decreased, but demand is expected to remain stable [5]. - Investment opportunities are suggested for companies in the aluminum sector following market corrections [9]. Gold Sector - Gold prices are rising, with SHFE gold at 901.6 RMB per gram, up 3.1% week-on-week [5]. - The report suggests that geopolitical tensions may enhance gold's strategic position as a safe-haven asset [5]. - Investment in gold-related companies is recommended due to their undervalued resource potential [9]. Rare Metals Sector - Rare earth prices remain stable, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide at 683,000 RMB per ton [5]. - Recent export controls on rare earths have heightened their strategic importance amid U.S.-China tensions [5][9]. - Investment opportunities are highlighted in companies involved in rare earth production [9]. Steel Sector - Steel prices are stable, with SHFE rebar at 3,103 RMB per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.0% [6]. - The report notes frequent disruptions in iron ore supply negotiations, which may impact future prices [6]. - Companies with high self-sufficiency in iron ore are recommended for investment [9].

南钢股份今年以来股价涨17.48%，近5个交易日涨3.74%，近20日涨12.34%，近60日涨19.20%。 资料显示，南京钢铁股份有限公司位于江苏省南京市六合区卸甲甸，成立日期1999年3月18日，上市日 期2000年9月19日，公司主营业务涉及黑色金属冶炼及压延加工,钢材、钢坯及其他金属材料销售。主营 业务收入构成为：钢材销售62.34%，其他销售37.66%。 南钢股份所属申万行业为：钢铁-普钢-板材。所属概念板块包括：油气管网、特高压、一带一路、 MSCI中国、工业4.0等。 10月13日，南钢股份盘中下跌2.04%，截至10:18，报5.27元/股，成交1.31亿元，换手率0.40%，总市值 324.90亿元。 截至6月30日，南钢股份股东户数6.37万，较上期增加5.10%；人均流通股96856股，较上期减少4.85%。 2025年1月-6月，南钢股份实现营业收入289.44亿元，同比减少14.06%；归母净利润14.63亿元，同比增 长18.63%。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出169.57万元，特大单买入340.16万元，占比2.60%，卖出434.41万元，占 比3.32%；大单买入293 ...

2020-2025年1-4月中国钢材产量统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 上市企业：宝钢股份（600019）,鞍钢股份（000898）,马钢股份（600808）,沙钢股份（002075）,首钢股 份（000959）,包钢股份（600010）,太钢不锈（000825）,华菱钢铁（000932）,河钢股份（000709）,南 钢股份（600282） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国钢材深加工行业竞争格局分析及投资发展研究报告》 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年4月中国钢材产量为1.3亿吨，同比增长6.6%；2025年1-4月中国钢材 累计产量为4.8亿吨，累计增长6%。 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 10 12 年 月 日 钢铁 纷争的世界 行情回顾（10.9-10.10）： 中信钢铁指数报收 1,891.68 点，上涨 3.67%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 4.18pct，位列 30 个中信 一级板块涨跌幅榜第 3 位。 重点领域分析： 投资策略：节后两个交易日，市场有一些波动，商品先涨后跌。中美贸易摩擦似有烽烟再起 的苗头，造成工业金属有所回落，但黄金价格依然保持强势。黄金的强势本质是对美元信用 弱化的体现。康波萧条期中主导国会面临后发国工业化成熟期产业升级的压力，贸易摩擦加 剧。当较先进的发展中国家完全吸收本轮康波的技术革命，除非发生某些全球性灾难，经济 力量和政治影响的分配将会是 21 世纪上半叶全球竞争舞台的中心特征。上个世纪的历史表 明后发国达到技术成熟可能是一个危险的时代，这一时代注定了是一个冲突和对抗性增强的 世界。民粹主义和民族主义在全球泛起。由于这一切，导致领先国认为追赶国是威胁的看法 出现了，全球化发生逆转，各种"战争"加剧，从贸易和经济战扩展到技术和地缘政治战， 这两年又扩展到资本战。对于全球纷争管控方面我们并不具备判断 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for several steel companies, including Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel, and others in the special steel and pipe sectors [5]. Core Viewpoints - Steel mill profits are under pressure due to rising inventory levels and escalating overseas trade frictions, with production remaining high during the National Day holiday [5]. - The EU has proposed to cut tax-free steel import quotas by 47% to 18.3 million tons per year, increasing tariffs on excess imports from 25% to 50%, which may suppress steel exports from China and the US [5]. - Long-term capacity regulation is expected to be a key theme, with potential recovery in profitability for steel companies under precise control measures [5]. Price Trends - As of October 10, steel prices have increased, with rebar prices at 3,260 CNY/ton (up 50 CNY), hot-rolled prices at 3,400 CNY/ton (up 60 CNY), and cold-rolled prices at 3,810 CNY/ton (up 10 CNY) [3][12]. - The overall steel inventory has risen, with total social inventory increasing by 691,100 tons to 11,268,900 tons [4]. Production and Inventory - Total production of major steel products decreased to 8.63 million tons, a reduction of 37,600 tons week-on-week, with rebar production down to 2.034 million tons [4]. - The apparent consumption of rebar fell to 1.4601 million tons, a decrease of 950,600 tons week-on-week [4]. Profitability - Steel margins have declined, with long-process rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled margins decreasing by 11 CNY/ton, 10 CNY/ton, and 15 CNY/ton respectively [3][5]. Key Company Forecasts and Valuations - Hualing Steel (EPS: 0.29 CNY, PE: 22), Baosteel (EPS: 0.34 CNY, PE: 21), and Nanjing Steel (EPS: 0.37 CNY, PE: 15) are highlighted as recommended stocks [5].

Market Overview - On October 10, the general steel sector rose by 1.09%, led by Wujin Stainless Steel, while the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3897.03, down 0.94% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13355.42, down 2.7% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Wujin Stainless Steel (603878) closed at 10.81, up 9.97% with a trading volume of 594,000 shares and a turnover of 617 million yuan [1] - Nanjing Steel (600282) closed at 5.38, up 4.06% with a trading volume of 608,600 shares and a turnover of 322 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers include: - Sansteel Minguang (002110) at 4.39, up 4.03% [1] - Shandong Steel (600022) at 1.63, up 3.82% [1] - Shougang Group (000959) at 4.39, up 2.57% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The steel sector experienced a net outflow of 767 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 582 million yuan [2] - Notable capital flows include: - Wujin Stainless Steel had a net outflow of 38.74 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Liugang (601003) saw a net inflow of 20.04 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - New Steel (600782) had a net inflow of 15.20 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - Nanjing Steel Co., Ltd. (南钢股份) has experienced fluctuations in stock price and trading volume, with a notable increase in stock price year-to-date and over recent trading periods [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of October 9, Nanjing Steel's stock price decreased by 2.10% to 5.14 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 74.53 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.23%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 31.689 billion CNY [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has increased by 14.58%, with a 5-day increase of 5.76%, a 20-day increase of 9.81%, and a 60-day increase of 17.59% [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Nanjing Steel reported operating revenue of 28.944 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 14.06%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 18.63% to 1.463 billion CNY [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 13.436 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 4.954 billion CNY distributed over the past three years [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 5.10% to 63,700, with an average of 96,856 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 4.85% [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include notable entities such as Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, with changes in their holdings reflecting market dynamics [2].

假期的夜晚，梅钢炼钢化验区一楼仪器大厅灯火通明，直读光谱仪等设备平稳运行。制造管理部的员工 们穿梭于各类分析和制样设备之间，每一个步骤都精益求精。精准操作、及时报出每一个数据，是他们 对钢铁质量的承诺。 在梅山炼钢厂中控室的操作台前，张桐专注监视每项参数，细心调整每个环节。"当屏幕上的数据平稳 跃动，当鼓风机的电流规律如心跳，当氨水泵的声响轻快如歌——这便是节日里最坚定的守护。"张桐 说。 南京重点钢铁企业干部职工"双节"期间坚守岗位 连续生产"不打烊" 加班加点赶订单 □ 南京日报/紫金山新闻记者 刘安琪 通讯员 邵启明 杨景成 钢铁是工业的脊梁，也是我市四大支柱产业之一。作为连续性生产企业，我市两大钢企南钢、梅钢这个 假期连续生产"不打烊"，加班加点赶订单，以坚守传递发展温度，扛起挑大梁的责任担当。 "今年是我参加工作的第14个年头，也是国庆假期坚守岗位的第14年。对我而言，这已然成为一种习 惯，更是一种荣耀，见证着冷轧产品产线的日新月异，也见证着祖国的欣欣向荣。"梅钢冷轧厂员工邢 付山朴实的话语，道出了无数坚守一线员工共同的心声。企业员工们用自己日复一日的步履不停，为南 京高质量发展蓄力。他们的身影，构 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key stocks in the steel industry, including Xining Special Steel, Nanjing Steel, Hualing Steel, and Baosteel [5][8]. Core Viewpoints - The financial attributes of metals continue to drive prices, with the CITIC Steel Index rising by 3.18% [1][86]. - The manufacturing sector shows signs of improvement, with the PMI for September at 49.8%, indicating a slight recovery in manufacturing activity [4][12]. - The report emphasizes the importance of supply-side policies and the potential for a recovery in the steel industry, particularly in the context of energy investments and infrastructure upgrades [2][4]. Supply Analysis - Daily molten iron production has decreased by 0.6 million tons to 241.8 million tons, while the production of rebar and hot-rolled coils has slightly increased [11][16]. - The capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills is at 90.7%, down 0.2 percentage points from the previous week but up 6.2 percentage points year-on-year [16][23]. Inventory Analysis - Total steel inventory has decreased by 2.5% week-on-week, with social inventory declining more than factory inventory [23][25]. - The social inventory of five major steel products stands at 10.589 million tons, down 2.8% week-on-week and up 16.1% year-on-year [25][27]. Demand Analysis - Apparent consumption of five major steel products improved by 3.5% week-on-week, with rebar demand showing significant recovery [37][47]. - The average weekly transaction volume for construction steel was 103,000 tons, down 1.4% from the previous week [38][47]. Raw Material Analysis - Iron ore prices remained stable, with the Platts 62% iron ore price index at $103.9 per ton, unchanged from the previous week [54][66]. - The report notes an increase in Australian iron ore shipments by 8.1% week-on-week, while Brazilian shipments decreased by 13.7% [54][66]. Price and Profit Analysis - The Myspic comprehensive steel price index decreased by 0.9% week-on-week, indicating a slight decline in steel prices [66][67]. - The current cost of long-process rebar is 3,422 yuan per ton, with a loss of 188 yuan per ton, while hot-rolled coil costs 3,648 yuan per ton, with a loss of 299 yuan per ton [67][68].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the production and sales status of the high-purity pig iron industry in China from 2026 to 2032, as well as investment strategies in this sector [1] - According to the National Bureau of Statistics, China's pig iron production in August 2025 was 0.7 million tons, representing a year-on-year increase of 1% [1] - The cumulative pig iron production in China from January to August 2025 reached 5.8 million tons, showing a cumulative decline of 1.1% [1] Group 2 - The article references several listed companies in the steel industry, including Baosteel Co., Ltd. (600019), Maanshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. (600808), and Ansteel Group Corporation (000898) [1] - The data presented is sourced from the National Bureau of Statistics and organized by Zhiyan Consulting, a leading industry consulting firm in China [1] - Zhiyan Consulting has been deeply engaged in industry research for over a decade, providing comprehensive industry research reports and customized services [1]