Core Viewpoint - The stock of Guodian NARI has experienced a decline of 5.81% year-to-date, with a notable drop of 7.20% over the past five trading days, indicating potential market concerns regarding its performance [1]. Company Overview - Guodian NARI Technology Co., Ltd. is located in Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, and was established on February 28, 2001. It was listed on October 16, 2003. The company specializes in power grid automation, industrial control (including rail transit), power generation and renewable energy, and energy conservation and environmental protection [1]. - The main business revenue composition includes: Smart Grid 50.43%, Low Carbon Energy 26.98%, Digital Energy Integration 16.09%, Industrial Interconnection 5.13%, Integration and Others 1.24%, and Other (Supplementary) 0.13% [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Guodian NARI achieved operating revenue of 38.577 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.38%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 4.855 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8.55% [2]. - Since its A-share listing, Guodian NARI has distributed a total of 24.308 billion yuan in dividends, with 12.674 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders of Guodian NARI reached 150,100, an increase of 49.47% compared to the previous period. The average circulating shares per person decreased by 33.09% to 53,271 shares [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited as the second-largest shareholder with 777.2 million shares, a decrease of 318 million shares from the previous period. China Securities Finance Corporation remains unchanged with 237 million shares [3].

Core Insights - The report highlights a significant recovery in the new energy sector, particularly in solar, wind, lithium batteries, and grid investments, indicating a positive trend for the industry [4][7][21]. New Energy Sector Performance - Solar and storage: Cumulative new photovoltaic installations reached 240.27 GW from January to September 2025, a year-on-year increase of 49.3%. Additionally, 1,671 new energy storage projects were registered in September 2025, reflecting a 24.15% increase year-on-year, with planned investments amounting to 96.177 billion yuan [4][7]. - Wind power: Cumulative investment in wind power construction reached 148.893 billion yuan, a 10.04% year-on-year increase. The total installed capacity of wind power reached 582 million kilowatts, up 21.30% year-on-year. The average bidding price for onshore wind turbines increased by 22.08% to 1,675 yuan/kW by the end of October [4][7]. - Lithium batteries: The demand for lithium batteries surged, with shipments reaching 490 GWh in Q3 2025, a 47% increase year-on-year. The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate rose to 121,500 yuan/ton, a 94.4% increase within the year [4][7]. - Grid investments: National grid construction investments totaled 437.807 billion yuan from January to September 2025, a 9.94% year-on-year increase. The total investment planned by the State Grid and Southern Grid for 2025 is expected to exceed 825 billion yuan, an increase of 220 billion yuan compared to 2024 [4][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on undervalued stocks with improving fundamentals within the Shenwan Electric Equipment sector, which includes 363 constituent stocks. The selection criteria involve calculating rolling P/E ratios and filtering for companies with positive net profit growth over three consecutive quarters [21][27]. - Recommended stocks include: - DeYe股份 - 阳光电源 - 捷佳伟创 - 横店东磁 - 广大特材 - 大金重工 - 平高电气 - 国电南瑞 - 东方电子 - 科达利 [4][21][27].

Core Viewpoint - Guodian NARI achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.855 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.43% [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.903 billion yuan, up 7.81% year-on-year [1] - The company's gross margin has slightly declined due to business structure adjustments, while cost control management capabilities have improved [1] Contract Liabilities and Orders - As of Q3 2025, the company's contract liabilities reached 8.226 billion yuan, an increase of 53.67% year-on-year [1] - In the first half of 2025, the company signed new contracts worth 35.432 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 23.46% [1] - The new orders are expected to effectively support the company's steady performance growth [1] Overseas Business Development - The company has rapidly expanded its overseas business, establishing branches in 19 countries and regions, including Greece, Chile, Egypt, Brazil, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, and Malaysia [1] - Products are sold to over 140 countries and regions globally, with overseas revenue reaching 1.987 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 139.18% [1] Investment Rating - Based on the average PE valuation of comparable companies for 2025, the company maintains a "Buy" rating [1]

Group 1: Macroeconomic Outlook - The report anticipates a non-typical economic recovery in 2026, driven by confidence rebuilding and policy support, with a potential for profit improvement in the latter half of the year [9][10] - Key factors contributing to export resilience include fiscal expansion in developed economies, easing of US-China tariff conflicts, and improvements in China's industrial competitiveness [9] - The report emphasizes the importance of reform in driving economic benefits, suggesting that 2026 will mark a significant acceleration in reform efforts [9][10] Group 2: A-Share Market Strategy - The report outlines a two-phase bull market strategy, with 2025 characterized as "Bull Market 1.0" focused on technology, and 2026 potentially entering "Bull Market 2.0" with broader market participation [10][11] - It predicts that 2026 will see a rebound in profitability across the A-share market, with expected growth rates of 7% in 2025 and 14% in 2026 for net profits [10][11] - The transition from "Bull Market 1.0" to "Bull Market 2.0" is expected to be marked by a shift towards cyclical stocks and a resurgence in technology-driven sectors [10][11] Group 3: Bond Market Strategy - The bond market outlook for 2026 suggests a low-interest environment with ongoing asset allocation adjustments, although the attractiveness of bond assets may be limited [11][12] - The report highlights the importance of timing in duration strategies, with a focus on credit certainty as a key investment theme [12][13] - Potential risks include a shift towards a more bearish market due to inflationary pressures and fiscal policy changes [12][13] Group 4: Shipping and Shipbuilding Sector - The report indicates a positive outlook for the shipbuilding sector, driven by rising second-hand ship prices surpassing new build prices, signaling a potential supercycle [20][21] - Historical trends show that improvements in shipping market conditions typically lead to delayed increases in shipbuilding stock prices, suggesting a similar pattern may occur [20] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring oil tanker rental rates and their impact on shipbuilding market dynamics [20][21] Group 5: Environmental Sector - The environmental sector is expected to benefit from stable municipal environmental profits, improved cash flows, and adjustments in water pricing, highlighting opportunities in environmental assets [19][21] - The report suggests that the dual carbon goals and AI integration will drive growth in the environmental sector, with specific recommendations for companies involved in waste management and renewable energy [19][21] - The focus on municipal environmental projects is expected to enhance the attractiveness of certain stocks within the sector [19][21]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Guodian Nari (600406) [1] Core Views - The company's performance is steadily improving, with a continuous increase in contract liabilities. As of Q3 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 38.577 billion yuan, representing an 18.45% year-on-year growth, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.855 billion yuan, up 8.43% year-on-year [6] - The gross profit margin has slightly declined due to a higher proportion of lower-margin external business revenue, with a gross margin of 26.47% for the first three quarters of 2025, down 2.79 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The company has seen significant growth in overseas business, with overseas revenue reaching 1.987 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 139.18% increase year-on-year [6] - The report includes new profit forecasts for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of 8.354 billion, 9.344 billion, and 10.197 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.04, 1.16, and 1.27 yuan per share [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 64.567 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12.5% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be 8.354 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.8% year-on-year increase [5] - The company’s gross margin is expected to stabilize around 26.5% for 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 14.5% [5] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025 is estimated at 23 times [5]

Core Insights - State Grid Electric Power Research Institute (NARI Group) achieved recognition for 16 technological innovations, which are deemed internationally leading [1][3] Group 1: Event Overview - The appraisal meeting was held simultaneously in Nanjing and Beijing, attended by over 140 experts from various sectors including academia, power generation, and design institutes [3] - The meeting focused on innovations in power system automation, renewable energy integration, energy storage, smart distribution, and digital platforms [3] Group 2: Company Statements - NARI Group's Chairman, Zheng Zongqiang, emphasized the importance of the meeting in responding to the strategic deployment of the State Grid Corporation and highlighted the challenges faced in the new power system [3] - Zheng expressed the need to explore advancements in power electronics and AI technologies to support the development of a new power system [3] - Xu Haiqing, Deputy Director of the State Grid Corporation's Science and Technology Department, noted the enhanced strategic positioning of NARI Group and the expectation for continued innovation [3] Group 3: Achievements and Future Plans - NARI Group has established a comprehensive innovation framework and formed seven dedicated research teams to tackle long-term challenges [4] - The company has received 123 provincial and ministerial-level science and technology awards and has filed 197 new invention patents this year [4] - Future plans include focusing on core technologies in the energy internet sector and supporting the goal of achieving 3.6 billion kilowatts of green installed capacity by 2035 [5] Group 4: Technological Innovations - The 16 innovations presented include technologies for oscillation suppression in power systems, emergency control for high-proportion renewable energy grids, and advanced protection technologies for transformers [6] - Other notable innovations involve AI-enabled flexible interaction technologies for high-penetration renewable energy areas and integrated hydrogen production technologies [6]

Core Viewpoint - The event hosted by the State Grid Corporation of China at COP30 showcased China's efforts in addressing climate change and promoting a green, low-carbon lifestyle through its power industry [1][6]. Group 1: China's Role in Global Climate Governance - China is recognized as an active participant and significant contributor to global climate governance, providing high-quality, low-cost clean energy technologies that reduce the costs of global green transformation [3][4]. - The country has achieved an average energy consumption growth rate of 3.4%, supporting over 6% economic growth, making it one of the fastest countries in reducing energy intensity [4]. Group 2: Renewable Energy and Infrastructure Development - The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) Director-General highlighted that China has built the world's largest renewable energy system and continues to invest in energy infrastructure, enhancing the digitalization and intelligence of energy systems [6]. - The State Grid Corporation aims to empower better living and promote an energy revolution, collaborating with international counterparts to build a clean, low-carbon, safe, and efficient energy system [8]. Group 3: Initiatives and Reports - The event saw the launch of the "Global Time-of-Use Carbon Factor Brazil Initiative," calling for international organizations and enterprises to engage in the measurement and application of carbon factors [12]. - Several reports were released, including the "State Grid Corporation's Service for New Energy Development Report" and the "State Grid Corporation's Carbon Business System Construction Case Collection," among others, showcasing the company's commitment to sustainability and social responsibility [12]. Group 4: Cultural Engagement - A cultural experience activity themed "Electricity Lights the World, Music Moves the Heart" was held prior to the event, highlighting the State Grid Corporation's social responsibility in promoting public welfare projects and environmental protection in Brazil [13].

李高在致辞中指出，中国始终是全球气候治理的积极参与者和重要贡献者。中国提供的高质量、低成本 的清洁能源技术和产品显著降低了全球绿色低碳转型成本。生态环境部愿与各方务实合作，共建清洁美 丽世界，为推动构建人类命运共同体作出贡献。 COP30中国代表团团长李高、中国气候变化事务特使刘振民，国家电网公司副总经理季明彬在活动中致 辞，国际可再生能源署（IRENA）总干事卡梅拉致辞并作主旨演讲，中国工程院院士舒印彪，巴西国 家电力监管局主席桑多瓦尔·费托萨，国家电网公司一级顾问欧阳昌裕通过现场或视频方式作主旨演 讲。 刘振民在致辞中表示，中国以年均3.4%的能源消费增速，支撑了超过6%的经济增长，成为全球能耗强 度降低最快的国家之一。面向未来，中国将继续坚定不移实施积极应对气候变化国家战略，共同推动全 球能源转型和绿色发展。 卡梅拉认为，全球能源转型已从共识走向行动，中国建成全球最大的可再生能源体系，持续加大能源基 础建设投资，提升能源系统数字化、智能化水平，为全球提供了可借鉴的转型样本。 季明彬表示，国家电网公司始终以"赋能美好生活、推动能源革命"为己任，愿与各国同行携手，推动构 建清洁低碳、安全高效的能源体系，为《 ...

Core Insights - The electric power operation and maintenance (O&M) market in China is experiencing rapid growth, with the market size projected to increase from 5.42 billion yuan in 2017 to 48.83 billion yuan in 2024, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 27.67% [1][9] - The industry is transitioning towards intelligent, automated, and visualized operation and maintenance practices, driven by advancements in big data, cloud computing, IoT, and artificial intelligence [1][9] - The increasing complexity of power systems and the need for high reliability and efficiency are pushing the industry to adopt new technologies and improve operational standards [1][9] Industry Overview - Electric power operation and maintenance (O&M) involves systematic management of power lines, equipment, and supply systems to ensure safe and stable operation [3] - Key activities include equipment inspection, maintenance, fault handling, data monitoring, safety management, and user support [3] Market Growth - The market size for electric power O&M in China is expected to grow significantly, from 5.42 billion yuan in 2017 to 48.83 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 27.67% [1][9] - The investment in power construction has also increased, with the total investment in power construction rising from 270 billion yuan in 2017 to 1,168.7 billion yuan in 2024, a CAGR of 23.28% [6][7] Policy Support - The electric power O&M sector has received increased attention from the government, with various regulations and guidelines aimed at promoting standardization, professionalism, and intelligence in the industry [5] - Recent policies include the establishment of a database for major accident hazards and the promotion of intelligent inspection systems [5][6] Industry Chain - The electric power O&M industry chain consists of three main segments: upstream equipment manufacturing, midstream O&M service integration, and downstream application by power generation companies [6] - Collaboration between equipment manufacturers and power generation companies is deepening, driving the evolution of O&M systems towards greater intelligence and efficiency [6] Key Companies - Notable companies in the electric power O&M sector include Zhiguang Electric, Guodian NARI, and Siyuan Electric, among others [2][10] - These companies are leveraging innovative technologies in intelligent monitoring and data analysis to enhance their market competitiveness [10] Future Trends - The industry is expected to evolve towards greater intelligence, with the integration of big data, AI, and digital twin technologies to create smart O&M platforms [13] - Automation will reshape operational models, with drones and robots gradually replacing traditional manual operations [14] - Green development will become a core focus, emphasizing low-carbon practices and the integration of renewable energy sources [15][16]

张文峰在中国南方电网有限责任公司系统深耕多年，历任南方电网电力调度通信中心副主任(公司系统运行部副主任)、党委委员，广东电网公司董事、副 总经理、党委委员，广东电网公司董事、总经理、党委副书记，南方电网计划发展部主任、计划与财务部(运营监控中心)总经理等职务。 每经编辑｜段炼 2025年11月14日，国家电网有限公司召开领导班子（扩大）会议。受中央组织部领导委托，中央组织部有关干部局负责同志宣布了党中央关于国家电网有 限公司总经理任职的决定：张文峰同志任国家电网有限公司董事、总经理、党组副书记，免去其中国华能集团有限公司董事、总经理、党组副书记职务。 相关职务任免，按有关法律和章程的规定办理。 图片来源：中国华能官微 张文峰出生于1967年9月，大学本科学历，硕士学位，高级工程师，自1989年7月参加工作。 每日经济新闻综合自国家电网官网、大河财立方、公开资料等 2024年8月19日，华能集团召开领导班子(扩大)会议，会上，中央组织部有关干部局负责人宣布，张文峰任华能集团董事、总经理、党组副书记。 编辑|段炼 易启江 校对|何小桃 ...