特高压项目陆续落地，板块更新及核心推荐 20250707 摘要 特高压板块在经历三个季度的调整后，目前估值已降至 14-15 倍左右， 相较前期高点 30 倍估值，投资性价比显著提升，尤其考虑到两条直流 线路已获核准，行业逐步恢复活力。 2025 年以来，两条主要直流线路已获批，预计全年将有更多线路陆续 获批，包括五条直流、三条交流及扩建和背靠背工程，下半年或将进入 特高压线路密集核准期。 预计 2025 年特高压相关核心设备投资需求将超过 500 亿元，较去年的 300-400 亿元显著提升，受益于十四五期间国网规划建设的 24 交 14 直特高压线路。 未来几年，特高压建设强度预计保持强劲增长，十五期间预计每年新增 4-5 条直流线和 2-3 条交流线，相关核心公司订单量与业绩兑现性将逐 步提升。 许继电气在特高压直流推进过程中受益显著，其阀和控保设备在单条线 路投资中占比约 15%，中标份额约 20%-30%，预计 2025 年下半年特 高压板块收入和业绩将逐步兑现。 Q&A 特斯拉板块在去年（2024 年）9 月之后经历了哪些变化，导致其进入调整阶 段的原因是什么？ 去年（2024 年）9 月之后，特 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant transformation of China's power system standards, emphasizing that China has become a leader in power technology and standards, influencing even the U.S. power system [1][22]. Historical Development - The introduction of electricity in China began in the late Qing Dynasty, with the first power plant established in 1882, marking the start of China's journey towards self-sufficient power development [4]. - By the 1980s, major projects like the Three Gorges Dam and Qinshan Nuclear Power Plant showcased China's engineering capabilities and integration with international technology [6][8]. - The establishment of the first domestically designed 110 kV transmission line in 1955 marked a significant milestone in China's independent power infrastructure [5]. Technological Advancements - China's installed power generation capacity reached 2.72 billion kilowatts, with clean energy accounting for over 53.9%, surpassing thermal power for the first time [8]. - The development of Ultra High Voltage (UHV) transmission technology, which allows efficient long-distance power transmission, is a key innovation that has positioned China as a global leader in power technology [10][12]. Global Influence - China has successfully exported its power technology and standards to over 40 countries, including Brazil and several African nations, demonstrating the global acceptance of Chinese power standards [14][16]. - The International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC) has seen China take a leading role in establishing various technical standards, further solidifying its position as a standard-setter in the power industry [13]. Organizational Strength - China's unified national grid system contrasts with the fragmented U.S. system, showcasing superior planning and operational efficiency [17]. - The concentration of top talent in power engineering and continuous government investment over the past two decades have been crucial in advancing China's power technology from follower to leader [19].

证券研究报告 25 年 6 月 26 日，经国务院同意，国家林草局、国家发展改革委、国家能源 局联合印发《三北沙漠戈壁荒漠地区光伏治沙规划（2025—2030 年）》， 规划到 2030 年，新增光伏装机规模 253GW，治理沙化土地 1010 万亩。新 能源大基地仍将持续建设，国家发改委和国家能源局目前已规划三批以沙 漠、戈壁、荒漠地区为重点的大型风电光伏基地建设项目。第一批风光大基 地清单建设规模总计 97.05GW。第二批清单计划于"十四五"时期规划建 设风光基地约 200GW，"十五五"时期约 255GW。三北（华北、西北和 东北）仍是风光后续建设的重点区域，西北电网 23 年发电量与用电量的比 值已经达到 125%，我们认为外送需求驱动以特高压为主的跨区输电建设有 望保持长周期高景气。 藏东南-粤港澳特高压线路核准，三北 光伏治沙规划获批复 华泰研究 2025 年 7 月 04 日│中国内地 动态点评 藏东南-粤港澳线路获核准，特高压板块周期向上 国家发改委 6 月 24 日发布藏东南-粤港澳大湾区+800 千伏特高压直流输电 工程的核准批复，工程额定输电容量 10GW，新建送端昌都换流站、察隅换 ...

Group 1 - The company has announced a share repurchase plan with a total expected amount between 500 million and 1 billion RMB [1][2] - The repurchase will be conducted through centralized bidding and is intended for employee stock ownership plans or equity incentives [1][2] - The repurchase period is set for a maximum of 12 months, starting from April 14, 2025, to April 13, 2026 [1][2] Group 2 - As of June 30, 2025, the company has repurchased a total of 7,882,583 shares, representing 0.098% of the total share capital of 8,032,088,259 shares [2] - The total amount spent on the repurchase is 175,247,024.63 RMB, with a purchase price range between 22.13 RMB and 22.31 RMB per share [2] - The company will continue to make repurchase decisions based on market conditions and will fulfill its information disclosure obligations [2]

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Index for Modern Energy of State-Owned Enterprises has shown mixed performance, with a slight increase recently but a year-to-date decline, reflecting the overall trends in the modern energy sector [1][2]. Group 1: Index Performance - The index closed at 1284.8 points, with a trading volume of 20.648 billion yuan [1]. - Over the past month, the index has increased by 1.23%, and over the last three months, it has risen by 1.36%, while it has decreased by 4.08% year-to-date [1]. Group 2: Index Composition - The index is composed of 50 listed companies involved in green energy, fossil energy, and energy transmission and distribution, reflecting the performance of modern energy theme companies [1]. - The top ten weighted companies in the index include: - Changjiang Electric Power (10.02%) - Guodian NARI Technology (7.44%) - China Nuclear Power (6.4%) - Three Gorges Energy (5.1%) - Aluminum Corporation of China (4.68%) - Guodian Power (3.71%) - China Power Construction (3.49%) - China Shenhua Energy (3.08%) - State Power Investment Corporation (3.01%) - China National Petroleum Corporation (2.97%) [1]. Group 3: Market and Sector Breakdown - The Shanghai Stock Exchange accounts for 81.96% of the index's holdings, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange represents 18.04% [1]. - In terms of industry distribution, the index's sample shows: - Utilities: 44.88% - Industrials: 22.59% - Energy: 17.31% - Materials: 14.35% - Communication Services: 0.88% [2]. Group 4: Index Adjustment and Fund Tracking - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2]. - Public funds tracking the index include: - Harvest CSI National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy Link A - Harvest CSI National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy Link C - ICBC CSI National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy ETF - Bosera CSI National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy ETF - Harvest CSI National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy ETF [2].

重要内容提示： 证券代码：600406 证券简称：国电南瑞 公告编号： 临 2025-041 国电南瑞科技股份有限公司 关于以集中竞价交易方式股份回购进展情况的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 | 回购方案首次披露日 | 2025/4/15，由时任董事长山社武先生于 2025/4/7 | | --- | --- | | 提议 | | | 回购方案实施期限 | 自公司董事会审议通过之日起不超过 个月 12 | | 预计回购金额 | 5亿元~10亿元 | | 回购用途 | □减少注册资本 √用于员工持股计划或股权激励 | | | □用于转换公司可转债 | | | □为维护公司价值及股东权益 | | 累计已回购股数 | 7,882,583股 | | 累计已回购股数占总股本比例 | 0.098% | | 累计已回购金额 | 175,247,024.63元 | | 实际回购价格区间 | 22.13元/股~22.31元/股 | 一、回购股份的基本情况 2025 年 4 月 7 日，国电南瑞科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electric equipment and new energy industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2] Core Views - In 2024, global offshore wind government auctions are expected to reach 56GW, setting a historical record. The solid-state battery industrialization is accelerating, with equipment companies beginning to deliver solid-state battery equipment in small batches to clients. Battery manufacturers plan to deliver full solid-state battery samples to clients between 2025 and 2027 [2][3] - The demand for AIDC electric equipment remains strong, driven by continuous updates in AI models requiring sustained computational power [9] Summary by Relevant Sections Wind Power - The global offshore wind government auctions are projected to reach 56GW in 2024, marking a historical high. The total installed offshore wind capacity is expected to reach 83GW by the end of 2024, with an additional 48GW under construction [3] - In Poland, Equinor and Polenergia have made a final investment decision for the Bałtyk 2 and 3 offshore wind farms, with a total capacity of 1.4GW and an investment exceeding €7.2 billion [3] Solid-State Battery - The solid-state battery industrialization is progressing rapidly, with equipment manufacturers successfully delivering solid-state battery production equipment to leading domestic clients. Strategic partnerships are being formed to develop solid-state battery materials and production equipment [6] - The consumer battery sector is seeing an increase in silicon content, with projections indicating that by mid-2025, the silicon content in batteries could reach 25% [6] AIDC Electric Equipment - The demand for AIDC electric equipment is expected to remain robust, supported by the ongoing advancements in AI technologies and the need for enhanced computational capabilities [9] Grid Equipment - In May, the newly installed photovoltaic capacity reached 92.9GW, a year-on-year increase of 388%, while wind power installations reached 26.32GW, a year-on-year increase of 801% [10] - The State Grid Corporation of China has completed the equity transfer for a high-voltage direct current project in Greece, which will enhance connectivity between Crete and the European mainland [10] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the following companies: 1. Wind Power: Goldwind Technology, Oriental Cable, Wide Special Materials, Zhongji United, Daikin Heavy Industries, Times New Material, Hezhong Electric [2][5] 2. Lithium Battery: CATL, Xiamen Tungsten, Rongbai Technology, Tiannai Technology, Zhuhai Guanyu, Haopeng Technology, Shenghong Co., Ltd. [8] 3. AIDC Electric Equipment: Jinpan Technology, Mingyang Electric, Igor, Hezhong Electric, Shenghong Co., Ltd. [9] 4. Grid Equipment: Guodian NARI, Siyuan Electric, Samsung Medical, Jinpan Technology, Pinggao Electric, Oriental Electronics, Sifang Co., Ltd., Jinbei Electric [10]

Core Viewpoint - Guodian NARI Technology Co., Ltd. has launched a green hydrogen production solution, aiming to transition green hydrogen from a "supplementary energy" to a "main energy storage" source, leveraging clean electricity from wind and solar power [2][3]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The global trend is moving towards the synergistic development of "green electricity + green hydrogen," creating unprecedented opportunities for the green hydrogen industry [2]. - The green hydrogen sector faces systemic challenges, including optimization of wind-solar-storage hydrogen systems, limited dynamic adjustment capabilities of hydrogen production equipment, complex multi-time-scale coupling control, low production efficiency, and long investment recovery periods [2]. Group 2: Company Solutions - Guodian NARI's overall solution includes four major products: a steady-state joint simulation platform, an integrated control platform, hydrogen production power sources, and an electrolysis water hydrogen production system [2]. - The solution aims to achieve optimal system operation levels and the lowest green hydrogen costs through technologies such as steady-state joint simulation, hydrogen optimization scheduling, energy management, and cluster control of electrolyzers [2]. Group 3: Cost and Efficiency - Currently, the cost of hydrogen produced from coal ranges from 10 to 15 yuan per kilogram, with each ton of hydrogen produced emitting approximately 11 tons of CO2 [3]. - Guodian NARI's green hydrogen solution aims to lower the cost of electrolysis hydrogen to be on par with or even below that of gray hydrogen [3]. - The solution significantly enhances the power adjustment range of electrolyzers and the efficiency of hydrogen conversion, aligning well with the intermittent and volatile nature of renewable energy [3].

Group 1 - The new technological revolution is driving the demand for computing power, leading to challenges in electricity supply security, as highlighted in the "China Comprehensive Computing Power Index Report (2024)" [1] - Shanxi Province ranks among the top eight in the national comprehensive computing power index, with Datong City being in the top three for urban computing power sub-index [1][2] - Datong City is responsible for over 80% of Shanxi's data center construction and has been included in the "Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Computing Power Corridor" [2] Group 2 - The electricity consumption of the internet data service industry in Datong has increased significantly, from 0.09% to 96.78% of the province's total, establishing it as a major hub for big data development [2] - The State Grid Datong Power Supply Company has actively supported the energy needs of data centers, optimizing the power grid structure and ensuring reliable electricity supply [2][3] Group 3 - By the end of 2024, Datong City will have four operational data bases and two under construction, with data center electricity consumption exceeding that of the coal industry [3][4] - Datong is rich in wind and solar resources, with a total installed capacity of wind and solar energy reaching 9.3992 million kilowatts, accounting for 53.57% of the total installed capacity [3] Group 4 - The PUE (Power Usage Effectiveness) of Datong's data centers is generally below 1.2, meeting the EU's requirements for green data centers, positioning Datong as a global cost-effective area for green computing power [3] - The State Grid Datong Power Supply Company is exploring direct green electricity connection models, which could reduce energy costs for computing centers by 8% [3] Group 5 - The China Mobile Shanxi Taiyuan Data Center has a high power capacity of 139,060 kVA and a monthly maximum electricity consumption exceeding 10 million kWh, making it the largest data center in Shanxi [5][6] - The Baidu Cloud Computing Center in Yangquan is the largest and most advanced in Asia, with a total power capacity of 233,900 kVA and an annual electricity consumption of 450 million kWh [6] Group 6 - The construction of the first full-stack intelligent computing power hub in North China, the Changzhi Intelligent Computing Center, is supported by the State Grid Changzhi Power Supply Company, which is actively involved in project planning and electricity supply [7] - The collaboration between electricity and computing power is essential for the high-quality development of the industry, with plans for coordinated development of computing power layout and power grid planning [7]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The company has announced an adjustment to the maximum repurchase price of its shares following the implementation of the 2024 annual equity distribution plan, reducing the price from RMB 34.13 per share to RMB 33.70 per share, effective from June 27, 2025 [1][3]. Group 1: Share Repurchase Details - The company plans to repurchase shares using its own funds through centralized bidding, with a total repurchase amount between RMB 5 billion and RMB 10 billion [1]. - The repurchase period is set from April 14, 2025, to April 13, 2026, following the board's approval [1][2]. Group 2: Equity Distribution Plan - The company will distribute a cash dividend of RMB 0.435 per share (including tax) to shareholders, totaling approximately RMB 3.48 billion [2]. - The record date for the equity distribution is June 26, 2025, with the ex-dividend date on June 27, 2025 [2]. Group 3: Price Adjustment Calculation - The adjusted maximum repurchase price is calculated as follows: (34.13 - 0.433) / (1 + 0) = 33.70 RMB per share, where 0.433 RMB is the calculated cash dividend per share [3]. - The company will not experience changes in circulating shares due to the nature of the cash dividend distribution [3]. Group 4: Compliance and Disclosure - The company will adhere to relevant regulations regarding share repurchase and will disclose information regarding the progress of the repurchase in a timely manner [3].