Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is the early stage of a new upward cycle in the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector investments [11][12] - The underlying investment logic of coal capacity shortages remains unchanged, with short-term supply-demand balance and long-term gaps still present [11][12] - Coal prices have established a bottom and are trending towards a new platform, with high profitability, cash flow, return on equity (ROE) of 10-20%, and dividend yields over 5% for quality coal companies [11][12] - The coal sector is relatively undervalued, with overall valuation expected to improve, supported by high premiums in the primary mining rights market and a price-to-book (PB) ratio around 1 for most companies [11][12] - The coal sector is expected to maintain a tight supply-demand balance over the next 3-5 years, with quality coal companies exhibiting high barriers to entry, cash flow, dividends, and yield characteristics [11][12] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of July 12, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 624 CNY/ton, an increase of 8 CNY/ton week-on-week [28] - The price for coking coal at Jing Tang port is 1310 CNY/ton, up 60 CNY/ton week-on-week [30] Coal Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 93.7%, down 0.3 percentage points week-on-week, while the utilization rate for coking coal mines is 85.52%, up 1.7 percentage points [11][46] - Daily coal consumption in coastal provinces increased by 6.10 thousand tons/day (+2.92%) week-on-week, while inland provinces saw a decrease of 9.50 thousand tons/day (-2.61%) [11][47] Coal Inventory Situation - As of July 10, coal inventory in coastal provinces decreased by 785 thousand tons (-2.18%) week-on-week, while inland provinces saw a slight decrease of 0.70 thousand tons (-0.01%) [11][47] Key Companies to Watch - Focus on stable and robust performers such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and China Coal Energy [12] - Attention to companies with significant upside potential like Yanzhou Coal Mining, China Power Investment, and Guanghui Energy [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Increase" for the coal industry [5]. Core Viewpoints - The coal price rebound is expected to exceed expectations due to continuous improvement in supply and demand margins [1]. - The report highlights strong support for coal prices driven by increased electricity demand during high-temperature weather, with significant historical peaks in power load recorded [7]. - The "anti-involution" policy is anticipated to create long-term uncertainties in domestic coal supply, while short-term supply is affected by heavy rainfall [6][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The coal industry consists of 37 listed companies with a total market value of 17,077.38 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 16,672.70 billion yuan [2]. 2. Price Tracking - The report notes that the price of thermal coal at the Qinhuangdao port was 637 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 9 yuan/ton [8]. - The average daily production of thermal coal from 462 sample mines was 5.642 million tons, showing a slight decrease compared to the previous week [8]. 3. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report indicates that the demand for thermal coal is expected to rise due to increased electricity consumption during the summer heat, with a historical peak load of 2.52 million kilowatts recorded in the southern power grid [7]. - The supply side is constrained by heavy rainfall affecting production capacity, with the utilization rate of coal mines in the Shanxi, Shaanxi, and Inner Mongolia regions at 80.4% [6]. 4. Company Performance and Recommendations - Key companies recommended for investment include Yancoal Energy, Guohui Energy, and Shanxi Coal International, which are expected to benefit from the rebound in coal prices [6][7]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-elasticity stocks in the coal sector, particularly those related to thermal and coking coal [6][7].

Summary of Huabei Mining Conference Call Industry and Company Overview - The conference call pertains to Huabei Mining, a company involved in coal mining and related businesses, particularly focusing on coking coal and non-coal operations [2][3][4]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Coking Coal Price Trends**: In Q3, the long-term contract price for coking coal decreased by approximately 100-130 RMB/ton compared to Q2, leading the company to a near break-even state [2][4]. 2. **Production and Financial Performance**: - Q1 production was around 4.3 million tons, which did not meet expectations due to complex geological conditions. Q2 saw an improvement with an increase of about 200,000 tons [3]. - The coking business turned profitable in Q2, recovering from a loss of 215 million RMB in Q1 to profitability in Q2, with a reduction in losses exceeding 200 million RMB [3][8]. - Non-coal business revenue increased by approximately 300 million RMB compared to Q1, with significant contributions from the titanium-zinc purification project and the forest mining sector [2][14]. 3. **Cost Management**: The company implemented cost reduction measures, achieving a coal cost of about 520 RMB/ton in Q1, a decrease of approximately 70 RMB year-on-year. The target for the full year is to maintain costs around 500 RMB/ton, although further reductions may be limited due to high labor costs [12][14]. 4. **Market Outlook**: Short-term coking coal prices may rebound due to supply constraints and steel mills' restocking needs. However, long-term demand is expected to weaken due to seasonal factors and low inventory strategies at steel mills [6]. 5. **Dividend Policy**: The company plans to increase its dividend payout ratio from 30% to 35% and has established a three-year shareholder return plan from 2025 to 2027 [12][13]. 6. **Non-Coal Mining Performance**: The non-coal mining sector showed improved performance in Q2, with profits increasing significantly due to the gradual release of capacity from new mines [10]. Additional Important Information - **Regulatory Environment**: The national anti-involution policy currently does not impact the coal and steel industries significantly, and the company has not received any related directives [7]. - **Future Production Plans**: The company has no plans to reduce production, emphasizing the need to maintain cash flow and fulfill social responsibilities [5]. - **Profitability Projections**: The profitability per ton of coal was approximately over 100 RMB in Q2, but is expected to decrease in Q3 due to further price declines [15]. This summary encapsulates the essential insights from the conference call, highlighting the company's performance, market conditions, and strategic outlook.

Investment Rating - The coal mining industry is rated as "Recommended" [7] Core Views - The coal supply-demand relationship continues to optimize under high-temperature conditions, with port coal prices rising and inventory decreasing [4][72] - The production side shows a tightening trend, with a decrease in capacity utilization in Shanxi and a reduction in transportation volumes [4][72] - The demand side is supported by power plants replenishing inventory in anticipation of increased consumption due to high temperatures [4][72] Summary by Sections 1. Thermal Coal - Port coal prices increased to 623 RMB/ton, up 3 RMB/ton week-on-week [4][72] - Inventory at northern ports decreased by 797,000 tons week-on-week [30] - Daily consumption at coastal power plants rose by 80,000 tons week-on-week [24][72] 2. Coking Coal - Supply of coking coal has improved, with capacity utilization rising by 1.04 percentage points [5][41] - Coking coal prices at ports remained stable, with the average price at 1,230 RMB/ton [42] - Coking coal inventories at production enterprises decreased by 586,200 tons week-on-week [47] 3. Coke - Coking enterprises are experiencing a decline in production rates due to rising costs from coking coal prices [50] - The average profit per ton of coke is approximately -46 RMB, indicating a decrease in profitability [54] - Steel mills are replenishing raw material inventories, leading to a reduction in coke inventories [62] 4. Anthracite - Anthracite prices remained stable, with the price at 820 RMB/ton [68] - Demand from non-electric sectors remains weak, with procurement primarily focused on long-term contracts [68] 5. Key Companies and Profit Forecasts - Key companies to focus on include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yanzhou Coal, all rated as "Buy" [8] - The report highlights the strong cash flow and asset quality of leading coal companies, emphasizing their investment value [7][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key coal companies including China Qinfa, China Coal Energy, and AnYuan Coal Industry [3][6]. Core Insights - The global coal production is expected to reach a historical high of 924.2 million tons in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 0.9%. The Asia-Pacific region continues to expand production, with India and Indonesia increasing output by 7% and 8% respectively [7]. - Global coal demand is projected to grow to 165.06 exajoules (EJ) in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1%. However, demand in Europe is declining rapidly, with a decrease of 7% [7]. - The report highlights the stability of coal prices, with Newcastle port coal prices at $110.85 per ton, up 4.35 dollars per ton (+4.08%) from the previous week [34]. Summary by Sections Coal Mining - The report indicates that coal prices at European ARA ports have risen to $107.25 per ton, an increase of 3.90 dollars per ton (+3.77%) [34]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring coal production and demand trends, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region, which is driving growth [7]. Investment Recommendations - Key recommended stocks include China Coal Energy, China Shenhua, and the turnaround story of China Qinfa. Other notable mentions are Shaanxi Coal and Energy, and Yancoal Energy, which show potential for growth [3][6]. - The report also suggests keeping an eye on AnYuan Coal Industry, which is undergoing significant changes in its shareholder structure and asset swaps [3]. Market Trends - The report notes that global coal trade volume is expected to reach 35.99 EJ in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 1.3%. Indonesia remains the largest coal exporter, accounting for 29.8% of total exports [7]. - The report provides a detailed analysis of coal price movements, indicating a stable trend in shipping coal prices [30].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the coal industry [10]. Core Insights - The recent strong rebound in coking coal futures is attributed to a combination of supply contraction and improved demand fundamentals, although medium to long-term price pressures may persist if demand does not see significant positive changes [2][7]. - The coal index (Yangtze) increased by 1.68% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.27 percentage points, ranking 25th out of 32 industries [19]. - Coking coal prices are supported by supply tightening due to safety inspections and environmental regulations, while demand remains stable due to steel production [6][20]. Summary by Sections Coking Coal Market - Coking coal futures saw a weekly increase of 6.34%, closing at 848 CNY/ton, significantly outperforming other commodities in the coal-steel-mining chain [7][14]. - Supply-side factors include reduced production from safety checks and environmental inspections, leading to a 0.53% week-on-week decrease in weekly refined coal output [7][20]. - Demand remains stable, with average daily pig iron production from 247 steel mills at 2.4229 million tons, showing a slight increase of 0.05% week-on-week [7][20]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests marginal allocation to long-term stable profit leaders such as China Coal Energy (A+H), China Shenhua (A+H), and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry [8]. - For growth-oriented investments, Electric Power Investment and New集 Energy are recommended, while coking coal companies like Shanxi Coking Coal, Huaibei Mining, and Pingdingshan Coal are highlighted for their potential [8]. Price Trends - As of June 27, the market price for Qinhuangdao 5500 kcal thermal coal is 620 CNY/ton, reflecting an increase of 11 CNY/ton week-on-week [19][42]. - The main coking coal price at Jingtang Port remains stable at 1230 CNY/ton, while the price for first-grade metallurgical coke is 1280 CNY/ton, unchanged from the previous week [19][20].

Core Viewpoint - The Anhui Huaibei Mining Group's Linhuan Coal Preparation Plant has implemented a "5G + Industrial Internet of Things" intelligent management method for coal quality, aiming to enhance operational efficiency and product quality through advanced technology [1][4]. Group 1: Intelligent Management Implementation - The Linhuan Coal Preparation Plant has established a smart control center that displays real-time data on clean coal output, product quality, and production consumption [1]. - The plant has received multiple honors, including being recognized as an intelligent factory and a green factory in China, and is set to be included in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's list of 5G factories by the end of 2024 [1]. - The intelligent management system allows for precise quality control across the entire production chain, moving towards safer, more efficient, and greener operations [1]. Group 2: Technological Innovations - The industrial IoT system utilizes a virtual private network to enhance production site 5G network capabilities, supporting around 200 5G smart terminals for various applications [2]. - The intelligent raw coal blending system incorporates weighing and speed sensors to calculate hourly coal feed amounts, while the intelligent filter press system has reduced coal slurry moisture by 4.5% [2]. - The intelligent flotation system maintains the concentration of the feed within a set range, and the intelligent heavy medium system has improved the stability rate of clean coal ash content by 12 percentage points [2]. Group 3: Efficiency and Cost Savings - The intelligent loading system features automatic vehicle recognition and precise measurement, enabling one-click loading and full-process monitoring [2]. - The plant has achieved a reduction in electricity consumption per ton of coal by 11%, saving approximately 15 million kWh annually, and has decreased steam consumption by 44%, saving 14,000 tons of steam [4]. - Overall, the plant has reduced comprehensive energy consumption by over 3,000 tons of standard coal annually, resulting in cost savings of 13 million yuan [4]. Group 4: Future Development - The "5G + Industrial Internet of Things" intelligent management method aims to maximize resource utilization and increase the production of high-value clean coal [4]. - The plant plans to leverage its status as a 5G factory to promote new technologies and models across various operational areas, driving digital transformation and high-quality development [4].

Group 1 - The company, Huaibei Mining Holdings Co., Ltd., issued convertible bonds approved by the Anhui Provincial State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, with a total issuance of 30 million bonds at a face value of 100 RMB each, raising a total of 3 billion RMB [2][3][17] - The bonds are convertible into A-shares and have a maturity period of six years, from September 14, 2022, to September 13, 2028, with an annual interest rate that increases from 0.2% in the first year to 2.0% in the sixth year [3][4][12] - The initial conversion price is set at 15.17 RMB per share, with provisions for adjustments based on stock dividends, capital increases, and other corporate actions [6][9][22] Group 2 - The company reported a decrease in revenue for the fiscal year 2024, with total revenue of approximately 65.74 billion RMB, down 10.43% from the previous year [16] - The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 22.00% to approximately 4.86 billion RMB, and the net cash flow from operating activities also saw a decline of 30.45% [16] - The company's total assets increased slightly to approximately 87.74 billion RMB, while the net assets attributable to shareholders rose by 13.64% to approximately 42.39 billion RMB [16] Group 3 - The company utilized the raised funds for projects including methanol comprehensive utilization and debt repayment, with a total of 298.13 million RMB used by the end of the reporting period [17][18] - The company has maintained a credit rating of AAA for both the issuer and the bonds, indicating strong creditworthiness [16][19] - The bonds were redeemed early on April 3, 2024, following the fulfillment of specific conditions related to the stock price performance [22]

淮北矿业控股股份有限公司 公开发行可转换公司债券 受托管理事务报告 （2024 年度） 债券受托管理人 （安徽省合肥市梅山路 18 号） 二〇二五年六月 重要声明 本报告依据《公司债券发行与交易管理办法》（以下简称"《管理办法》"）《淮 北矿业控股股份有限公司公开发行可转换公司债券之受托管理协议》（以下简称 "《受托管理协议》"）《淮北矿业控股股份有限公司公开发行可转换公司债券募集 说明书》（以下简称"《募集说明书》"）《淮北矿业控股股份有限公司 2024 年年度 报告》等相关公开信息披露文件、第三方中介机构出具的专业意见等，由本期债券受 托管理人国元证券股份有限公司（以下简称"国元证券"）编制。国元证券对本报告 中所包含的从上述文件中引述内容和信息未进行独立验证，也不就该等引述内容和信 息的真实性、准确性和完整性做出任何保证或承担任何责任。 本报告不构成对投资者进行或不进行某项行为的推荐意见，投资者应对相关事宜 做出独立判断，而不应将本报告中的任何内容据以作为国元证券所作的承诺或声明。 在任何情况下，投资者依据本报告所进行的任何作为或不作为，国元证券不承担任何 责任。 1 | 重要声明 1 | | --- ...

（原标题：23股今日获机构买入评级 5股上涨空间超20%） 23只个股今日获机构买入型评级，11股机构首次关注。 证券时报•数据宝统计显示，今日机构研报共发布23条买入型评级记录，共涉及23只个股。美的集团、 甘肃能源等关注度最高，均有1次机构买入型评级记录。 今日获机构买入型评级个股中，共有6条评级记录中对相关个股给出了未来目标价。以公布的预测目标 价与最新收盘价进行对比显示，共有5股上涨空间超20%，亚翔集成上涨空间最高，6月23日华泰证券预 计公司目标价为38.40元，上涨空间达29.55%，上涨空间较高的个股还有美的集团、淮北矿业等，上涨 空间分别为25.15%、21.10%。 行业来看，电子、计算机等行业最受青睐，均有3只个股上榜机构买入评级榜。电力设备、有色金属等 行业也较受机构关注，分别有2只、2只个股上榜。（数据宝） 机构今日买入型评级记录 | 代码 | 简称 | 机构名称 | 最新评级 | 上次评级 | 预测 | | 最新收盘 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | 目标价（元） | | 价（元） | | ...