Group 1 - Huayang Co. reached the daily limit increase in stock price [1] - Lu'an Environmental Energy rose over 5% [1] - Jin控 Coal Industry, Huaibei Mining, Yanzhou Coal Mining, and China Coal Energy also experienced stock price increases [1]

Company Overview - Huabei Mining Co., Ltd. is located at 276 Renmin Middle Road, Huaibei City, Anhui Province, established on March 18, 1999, and listed on April 28, 2004. The company's main business includes the sale of civil explosive products and blasting engineering services, coal mining, washing, processing, and sales, as well as the production and sales of coal chemical products [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of September 10, 2025, Huabei Mining reported a revenue of 20.682 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 44.58%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.032 billion yuan, down 64.85% year-on-year [2]. - The company has cumulatively distributed 13.156 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 7.318 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3]. Stock Performance - On September 19, Huabei Mining's stock price increased by 2.06%, reaching 12.37 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 175 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.53%. The total market capitalization is 33.316 billion yuan [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has decreased by 7.13%, with a 2.83% increase over the last five trading days, a 6.22% decrease over the last 20 days, and an 8.80% increase over the last 60 days [1]. Shareholder Information - As of September 10, 2025, the number of Huabei Mining shareholders is 45,500, an increase of 10.48% from the previous period, with an average of 59,149 circulating shares per person, a decrease of 9.49% [2]. - The second-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 28.4545 million shares, a decrease of 3.9644 million shares from the previous period [3].

Group 1: Federal Reserve and Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds target rate by 25 basis points in September, marking the first rate cut of the year, with expectations for two more cuts by the end of 2025 [1] - The Fed's statement highlighted increased risks to employment, removing previous language about a stable labor market and introducing concerns about slowing job growth [1] - Market reactions indicate a growing confidence in further rate cuts this year, while expectations for rate cuts in 2026 have been pushed back [1] Group 2: Huabei Mining Industry - Huabei Mining is positioned as a low-valued, net asset-deficient coking coal leader, with expected performance improvements from coal, electricity, and chemical production [2] - The company plans to increase coal production capacity, with a total of 17 operational mines in Anhui province and a certified capacity of 35.85 million tons per year by the end of 2024 [2] Group 3: Renewable Energy Subsidies - The renewable energy sector is facing a growing subsidy gap, with companies like Three Gorges Energy and Huadian New Energy having receivables exceeding 40 billion yuan, indicating a high overall subsidy receivable amount [3] - Despite multiple increases in electricity price surcharges, the funds received are still below the subsidy demand, leading to noticeable delays in subsidy payments [3] Group 4: Silicon Bao Technology - Silicon Bao Technology reported a revenue increase of 5.49 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with specific segments like industrial adhesives and hot melt adhesives showing growth [3] - The company is expanding its presence in the hot melt adhesive market through the acquisition of Jiangsu Jiahai, which has contributed positively to its performance [3] - The sales of silicon-carbon negative materials are rapidly increasing, supported by stable operations of production lines and strong customer relationships [3]

天风证券研报指出，淮北矿业是低估值破净焦煤龙头，煤电化投产有望增厚业绩。截至2024年末，公司 拥有生产矿井17对，均位于安徽省，核定产能为3585万吨/年。未来公司煤炭产能增长主要来源于信湖 煤矿复产及陶忽图煤矿投产，其中信湖煤矿（300万吨/年）于2023年11月因出水而被迫停产，目前主 井、副井、风井已实现贯通，矿井供电、通风、人员定位等保障系统已全面恢复，永久性排水系统已建 成，公司在保证安全的前提下加快进度，力争早日恢复生产。由于山西焦煤、平煤股份、潞安环能、恒 源煤电四家公司与淮北矿业一样，同属于焦煤主业上市公司，可以作为淮北矿业可比公司，公司目前估 值处于较低水平，存在估值修复可能。公司煤炭、电力、煤化工等业务均具备成长性，给予公司2025年 25倍PE，对应2025年目标价16.75元，首次覆盖，给予"买入"评级。 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 16.75 CNY, based on a 25x PE for 2025 [6][4]. Core Viewpoints - The company is considered a low-valued leader in coking coal with potential earnings growth from coal, power, and chemical production [4]. - The coal business is expected to see capacity growth and profit improvement due to the resumption of operations at the Xinhui coal mine and the commissioning of the Taohutu coal mine [4][28]. - The chemical business is diversifying and expanding, with projects in production that are expected to reduce losses [2][3]. - The company is also investing in new power generation projects, which are anticipated to contribute positively to profits [3][4]. Summary by Sections Coal Business - The company has 17 operational mines in Anhui with a total capacity of 35.85 million tons/year, with additional capacity expected from the Xinhui and Taohutu coal mines [1][28]. - The Xinhui coal mine is undergoing recovery efforts after a temporary shutdown, while the Taohutu coal mine is projected to be operational by the end of 2025 [1][38]. - The company primarily sells coking and thermal coal under long-term contracts, which mitigates the impact of market price fluctuations [39][41]. Chemical Business - The chemical segment includes subsidiaries that produce coke, methanol, and ethanol, with capacities of 4.4 million tons/year, 900,000 tons/year, and 600,000 tons/year, respectively [2][3]. - Recent projects in the chemical sector are expected to yield qualified products and improve production loads [2][3]. Other Businesses - The company is constructing a new power plant with a projected annual profit of 196 million CNY upon completion [3]. - The non-coal mining segment is also expanding, with limestone resource reserves expected to increase significantly [3]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company forecasts net profits of 1.8 billion CNY, 2.65 billion CNY, and 3.8 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4][5]. - The company’s current valuation metrics indicate a low PE ratio of 5.03 for 2023, suggesting potential for valuation recovery [5][4].

Core Viewpoint - The coal industry in China is experiencing a downturn in both revenue and profit due to a relaxed supply-demand situation and declining coal prices, with expectations for gradual improvement in the second half of 2025 as demand in non-electric sectors is anticipated to rise [1][7]. Group 1: Revenue and Profit Decline - Major coal companies, including China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Energy, and China Coal Energy, reported significant declines in both revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, with China Shenhua's revenue at 138.11 billion yuan and net profit at 24.64 billion yuan, down 18.34% and 12.0% year-on-year respectively [2][3]. - Shaanxi Coal and Energy's revenue fell to 77.98 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.19%, with net profit dropping 31.18% to 7.64 billion yuan, attributed to lower coal prices [2]. - China Coal Energy's revenue was 74.44 billion yuan, down 19.95%, and net profit decreased by 21.28% to 7.71 billion yuan, while Yanzhou Coal Mining's revenue was 59.35 billion yuan, down 17.93%, with net profit down 38.53% to 4.65 billion yuan [3]. Group 2: Market Characteristics - The coal market in the first half of 2025 showed a pattern of increased production but decreased prices, with national raw coal output rising by 5.4% to 2.4 billion tons, while coal imports fell by 11.1% to 22.2 million tons [4]. - The average price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port dropped by approximately 22.2% to 685 yuan per ton [4]. - The overall revenue for the coal mining and washing industry decreased by 21% to 1.24 trillion yuan, with total profits down 53% to 149.16 billion yuan [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Despite the current downturn, several coal companies are optimistic about the second half of 2025, expecting a stabilization in coal prices and a slight recovery in demand due to seasonal factors and macroeconomic policies [7][8]. - Non-electric demand is projected to become a significant support for the market, with expectations for increased demand in the upcoming months, particularly during the "Golden September and Silver October" period [8]. - Companies like Yanzhou Coal Mining are implementing strategies to increase production and manage costs, anticipating a rise in coal output by over 40 million tons in the latter half of the year [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several coal companies, including China Shenhua, China Coal Energy, and Qinfa, indicating a positive outlook for these stocks [9][42]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes that coal prices are expected to peak by the end of the year, driven by supply constraints and resilient demand [4][44]. - It highlights a continuous decline in coal production and imports, with August coal production down 3.2% year-on-year and imports decreasing by 6.8% compared to the previous year [1][18]. - The report notes a slight increase in thermal power generation, which grew by 1.7% in August, while crude steel production saw a decline of 0.7% [21][31]. Summary by Sections Production - In August, the industrial raw coal output was 390 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 3.2%, with a daily average of 12.6 million tons. For the first eight months, the output was 3.17 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.8% [1][12]. - The forecast for 2025 suggests that coal production may reach approximately 3.88 billion tons, with a growth rate of about 1.4% [12]. Imports - In August, coal imports totaled 42.74 million tons, down from 45.84 million tons in the same month last year, marking a 6.8% decline. However, this was an increase of 20% compared to July [18][19]. - Cumulatively, coal imports for the first eight months of 2025 were 299.94 million tons, reflecting a 12.2% year-on-year decrease [18]. Demand - The report indicates that thermal power generation in August was 936.3 billion kWh, up 1.6% year-on-year, with a daily average of 30.2 billion kWh. The first eight months saw a total generation of 641.93 billion kWh, a 1.5% increase [21][22]. - The report also notes that crude steel production in August was 77.37 million tons, down 0.7% year-on-year, with a daily average iron output of 2.4055 million tons from 247 sample steel mills, reflecting a 7.69% increase [31][38]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends companies with strong earnings elasticity such as Lu'an Environmental Energy, Yanzhou Coal Mining, and Jinneng Holding, while also highlighting the importance of companies focused on smart mining technologies [5][42]. - It suggests maintaining a focus on major coal enterprises like China Shenhua and China Coal Energy, and emphasizes the potential for recovery in companies like Qinfa [42].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Huabei Mining has seen a significant increase in its stock price, rising by 5.07% to reach 12.65 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 663 million CNY and a market capitalization of 34.07 billion CNY [1] - Huabei Mining Co., Ltd. is based in Huabei City, Anhui Province, and was established on March 18, 1999. It was listed on April 28, 2004. The company's main business includes the sale of civil explosive products and blasting engineering services, as well as coal mining, washing, processing, and sales, and the production and sales of coal chemical products [1] - The revenue composition of Huabei Mining's main business includes: commodity trading 39.15%, coal products 26.23%, coal chemical products 20.81%, engineering and labor services 3.55%, blending business 2.55%, electricity sales 1.99%, others 1.96%, blasting engineering services 1.23%, mining business 1.21%, civil explosive product sales 0.81%, and transportation services 0.51% [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of fund holdings, one fund under Taikang Asset Management has heavily invested in Huabei Mining. The Taikang Helun Mixed A Fund (011767) increased its holdings by 10,600 shares in the second quarter, bringing its total to 68,900 shares, which accounts for 0.75% of the fund's net value, ranking it as the fifth-largest holding [2] - The Taikang Helun Mixed A Fund (011767) was established on April 7, 2021, with a latest scale of 89.26 million CNY. Year-to-date, it has achieved a return of 3.08%, ranking 7242 out of 8172 in its category; over the past year, it has returned 7.2%, ranking 7316 out of 7980; and since inception, it has returned 10.12% [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Huabei Mining's stock has shown fluctuations in price and trading volume, with a recent increase of 2.08% and a total market capitalization of 33.1 billion yuan [1] - As of September 10, Huabei Mining's shareholder count increased by 10.48% to 45,500, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 9.49% to 59,149 shares [2] - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue of 20.682 billion yuan, down 44.58% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.032 billion yuan, down 64.85% year-on-year [2] Group 2 - Huabei Mining has distributed a total of 13.156 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 7.318 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3] - The top circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 28.4545 million shares, a decrease of 3.9644 million shares from the previous period [3] - The company operates in various segments, with the main business revenue composition being 39.15% from commodity trading, 26.23% from coal products, and 20.81% from coal chemical products [1]

证 券 研 究 报 告 "反内卷"下，看好旺季煤价反弹，带来焦煤及弹性标的业绩修复 2025年8月煤炭行业热点事件复盘及投资策略 证券分析师：严天鹏 A0230524090004 施佳瑜 A0230521040004 闫海 A0230519010004 研究支持： 施佳瑜 A0230521040004 联系人： 施佳瑜 A0230521040004 2025.09.16 主要内容 2 2. 供给端：国内产量增速放缓，进口量同比 下滑 3. 需求端：动力煤需求边际改善，钢铁利润 改善促使焦煤价格修复 4. 投资分析意见与风险提示 8月热点事件汇总：关注反内卷、印尼及蒙古煤炭行业变化 www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告 3 资料来源：中国煤炭市场网，多彩蒙古公众号，申万宏源研究 ◼ 8月4日，国家能源局综合司关于开展煤矿智能化技术升级应用试点工作的通知。 ➢ 要点：内容包括：井工煤矿智能掘进系统、井工煤矿智能采煤系统、露天煤矿智能采剥系统、智能选煤 系统、辅助及其他智能系统；数量：每地方（企业）推荐项目一般不超过5个（山西、内蒙古、陕西不超 过10个）。8月6日，山西：煤矿智能化建设制定评定办法 ...