Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the coal mining industry [2] Core Views - The coal mining industry is expected to perform well during the winter peak season, despite low production levels [2] - The supply of thermal coal has slightly increased, with port prices remaining stable at 770 RMB/ton as of October 31 [4][14] - The overall coal supply-demand situation remains favorable, with expectations of strong support for coal prices due to seasonal demand [7][72] Summary by Sections Thermal Coal - Supply has slightly rebounded, with port coal prices stable at 770 RMB/ton [14][15] - Production capacity utilization in the Sanxi region increased by 0.37 percentage points, mainly due to the resumption of previously halted mines [14][19] - Daily coal consumption at coastal and inland power plants decreased by 0.2 and 19.2 thousand tons respectively [14][22] - Power plant inventories are lower than last year, which may lead to increased replenishment demand if a cold winter materializes [14][31] Coking Coal - Coking coal production capacity utilization decreased by 0.27 percentage points to 84.2% due to inspections and underground issues in some mines [5][39] - The average daily crossing volume at Ganqimaodu port has recovered to over 1,000 trucks, indicating improved logistics [5][43] - Coking coal prices at ports remained stable at 1,760 RMB/ton as of October 31 [5][40] Coke - The supply of coke is stable, with the implementation of price increases, although profit margins for coke producers remain limited due to high coking coal prices [6][52] - The average daily pig iron production decreased by 3.54 thousand tons to 236.31 thousand tons, impacting demand for coke [6][58] - Coke prices at the Rizhao port increased to 1,580 RMB/ton, reflecting a positive trend in the market [6][53] Investment Opportunities - The report highlights several key companies for investment, including China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yanzhou Coal, which are expected to perform well due to their strong cash flow and market positioning [7][9] - The report emphasizes the value attributes of the coal sector, particularly in light of recent government support and market conditions [7][74]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Maintain Buy" [5] Core Views - India's coking coal imports increased by 6% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 FY2026, reflecting growth in the steel industry's capacity and output [2] - Future months are expected to see increased coking coal import demand due to replenishment needs post-monsoon [3] - Key investment recommendations include companies with strong performance elasticity such as Yancoal Energy, Jinkong Coal Industry, and those focused on smart mining like Keda Automation [3] Summary by Sections Coal Mining - In Q2 FY2026, India imported 16.9 million tons of coking coal, up from 16 million tons in Q1, with Australia being the largest supplier at 9.7 million tons, a 14.1% increase [2] - Coking coal prices at major ports showed slight increases, with Newcastle port at $112.7 per ton (+1.85%) and European ARA ports at $97.15 per ton (+1.20%) [1][35] Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include: - China Qinfa (00866.HK) - Buy, EPS forecast for 2026E is 0.27 [7] - Jiangxi Tungsten (600397.SH) - Buy, EPS forecast for 2026E is 0.03 [7] - China Shenhua (601088.SH) - Buy, EPS forecast for 2026E is 2.71 [7] - Jinkong Coal Industry (601001.SH) - Buy, EPS forecast for 2026E is 1.47 [7] - Yancoal Energy (600188.SH) - Buy, EPS forecast for 2026E is 1.18 [7] - Zhongmei Energy (601898.SH) - Buy, EPS forecast for 2026E is 1.29 [7] - Shaanxi Coal (601225.SH) - Buy, EPS forecast for 2026E is 1.86 [7] Market Trends - The report indicates a marginal increase in coal demand, with a focus on the recovery of coal power generation as seasonal demand begins to rise [37]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Huabei Mining (600985.SH) [4][6] Core Views - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 31.841 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 43.8%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.07 billion yuan, down 74.1% year-on-year [1] - The significant decline in profit in Q3 2025 was primarily due to a drop in both coal production and prices, with Q3 revenue at 11.229 billion yuan, down 42.2% quarter-on-quarter [1][2] - The report anticipates a potential improvement in Q4 performance due to the upward trend in coking coal prices and expected benefits from supply contraction [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company produced 4.13 million tons of coal, a decrease of 22.8% year-on-year, and sold 3.337 million tons, down 13.2% year-on-year [2] - The average selling price of coal was 743.3 yuan per ton, down 29.4% year-on-year, while the cost per ton was 446.1 yuan, down 17.5% year-on-year [2] - The gross profit margin for coal business in Q3 was 40.0%, a decrease of 8.6 percentage points year-on-year [2] Product Performance - The report noted an increase in sales of coal chemical products, with Q3 2025 coke production at 931,000 tons, a slight decrease of 2.5% year-on-year, but sales increased by 11.3% [3] - Methanol production saw a significant increase of 64.4% year-on-year, with sales up 141.1% [3] Future Projections - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 1.392 billion, 2.531 billion, and 3.877 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.52, 0.94, and 1.44 yuan [4][5] - The report estimates a PE ratio of 26 for 2025, decreasing to 9 by 2027, indicating potential valuation improvement [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for Q3 2025, primarily due to decreased coal production and prices, as well as reduced trading activities [1][2]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q3 2025 was 11.243 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 42.26% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.50% [1]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company was 38.7216 million yuan, down 96.78% year-on-year and down 88.61% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Production and Sales - Coal production and sales in Q3 2025 were 4.13 million tons and 3.34 million tons, respectively, representing a year-on-year decrease of 22.8% and 13.2%, and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 10.2% and 4.8% [2]. - The average selling price of coal was 743 yuan per ton, down 29.4% year-on-year and down 0.6% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The cost of coal was 446 yuan per ton, down 17.5% year-on-year and up 4.8% quarter-on-quarter, resulting in a gross profit of 297 yuan per ton, down 41.9% year-on-year and down 7.7% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Chemical Production - Methanol production and sales in Q3 2025 were 20.8 thousand tons and 9.6 thousand tons, respectively, showing a year-on-year increase of 64.4% and 141.1%, and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.0% and 33.2% [3]. - Ethanol production and sales were 15.2 thousand tons and 14.4 thousand tons, respectively, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.0% and 12.0% [4]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a marginal recovery in performance for Q4 2025, supported by rising coal prices [4]. - The company has closed the Zhuzhuang coal mine due to resource depletion, which is not expected to significantly impact overall performance [5]. - The company is advancing its coal and electricity projects, including the construction of the Tao Hutu mine and a significant power generation project [5]. Non-Coal Business Development - The company is focusing on expanding its chemical industry, with successful production of carbonate and ethylamine [6]. - In the renewable energy sector, the company generated 104 million kWh from solar power and 102 million kWh from gas [6]. - The company has also initiated mining projects in other regions, securing limestone resources [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Huabei Mining [5] Core Views - The company's performance in Q3 2025 showed a significant decline in revenue and net profit, primarily due to decreased coal prices and reduced trading activities [1][2] - There is an expectation for marginal recovery in Q4 2025, driven by improved coal prices and production adjustments [2][4] - The closure of the Zhuzhuang coal mine is not expected to have a significant impact on overall performance [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, total revenue was 11.243 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 42.26% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.50% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 38.7216 million yuan, down 96.78% year-on-year and down 88.61% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company sold 4.13 million tons of commodity coal and 3.34 million tons of coal in Q3 2025, representing year-on-year declines of 22.8% and 13.2%, respectively [9] Production and Capacity - The company operates 16 coal production mines with an approved capacity of 34.25 million tons per year [2] - The closure of the Zhuzhuang coal mine, with a production capacity of 1.6 million tons per year, was approved due to resource depletion [3] - The company is advancing its coal and chemical business, with ongoing projects in methanol and ethanol production [4] Future Outlook - The report projects net profits for 2025 to be 1.604 billion yuan, with estimates of 2.95 billion yuan and 3.339 billion yuan for 2026 and 2027, respectively [4][10] - The expected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 22.7X, 12.4X, and 10.9X, respectively [4][10] - The company is also expanding its non-coal business, including chemical and renewable energy projects [4]

Core Viewpoint - Huabei Mining is a leading player in the coal industry, showcasing strong revenue performance but facing challenges in profitability compared to industry averages [2][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Huabei Mining was established on March 18, 1999, and listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on April 28, 2004, with its headquarters in Huabei City, Anhui Province [1]. - The company operates a complete industrial chain of "coal-coke-chemical" and is a major producer of coking coal in East China, benefiting from significant scale and cost advantages [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - As of Q3 2025, Huabei Mining reported revenue of 31.841 billion yuan, ranking first among 12 companies in the industry, significantly exceeding the industry average of 14.616 billion yuan [2]. - The company's net profit for the same period was 796 million yuan, placing it fourth in the industry, with the top performer, Shanxi Coking Coal, reporting 1.93 billion yuan [2]. Group 3: Financial Ratios - The company's debt-to-asset ratio stood at 48.70% in Q3 2025, slightly up from 48.09% year-on-year, which is lower than the industry average of 53.50%, indicating relatively low debt pressure [3]. - Huabei Mining's gross profit margin was 17.20%, down from 17.58% year-on-year, which is below the industry average of 22.28%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability [3]. Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders decreased by 1.50% to 45,300, while the average number of circulating A-shares held per shareholder increased by 1.52% to 59,400 [5]. - Notable changes among the top ten circulating shareholders include the entry of Guotai Junan CSI Coal ETF as the second-largest shareholder, holding 42.681 million shares [5]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The company has a coal production capacity of 35.85 million tons per year as of the end of 2024, with additional projects under construction expected to enhance production [5]. - Forecasts for net profit from 2025 to 2027 are 2.33 billion, 3.09 billion, and 3.92 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.86, 1.15, and 1.46 yuan [5]. - Analysts predict continued growth in coal production capacity and profitability improvements in the coal chemical sector, with projected net profits of 1.8 billion, 2.65 billion, and 3.8 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6].

证券代码：600985 证券简称：淮北矿业 公告编号：临 2025-037 淮北矿业控股股份有限公司 关于召开 2025 年第三季度业绩说明会的公告 二、说明会召开的时间、地点 （一）会议召开时间：2025 年 11 月 10 日（星期一）上午 10:00-11:00 1 会议召开时间：2025 年 11 月 10 日(星期一)上午 10:00-11:00 会 议 召 开 地 点 ： 上 海 证 券 交 易 所 上 证 路 演 中 心 （ 网 址 ： https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/） 会议召开方式：上证路演中心网络互动 （二）会议召开地点：上证路演中心 重要内容提示： 投资者可于 2025 年 11 月 3 日(星期一)至 11 月 7 日(星期五)16:00 前登 录 上 证 路 演 中 心 网 站 首 页 点 击 " 提 问 预 征 集 " 栏 目 或 通 过 公 司 邮 箱 zqtzb@hbcoal.com 进行提问。公司将在说明会上对投资者普遍关注的问题进行 回答。 淮北矿业控股股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）已于 2025 年 10 月 31 日发 布 2025 年第三季 ...

淮北矿业控股股份有限公司（下称"公司"）根据上海证券交易所《上市公 司行业信息披露指引第二号——煤炭》、《上市公司行业信息披露指引第十三号 —化工》的有关规定，现将公司 2025 年前三季度主要经营数据披露如下： | | 项目 | 单位 | 2025 年 1-9 月 | 2024 年 1-9 月 | 变动比率（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 产量 | 万吨 | 1,303.78 | 1,567.04 | -16.80 | | | 销售量 | 万吨 | 981.34 | 1,187.83 | -17.38 | | 商品煤 | 销售收入 | 万元 | 788,731.21 | 1,324,033.95 | -40.43 | | | 销售成本 | 万元 | 452,539.54 | 661,748.71 | -31.61 | | | 销售毛利 | 万元 | 336,191.67 | 662,285.24 | -49.24 | 一、煤炭产品的产量、销量、收入、成本及毛利情况 说明：以上商品煤销量、收入、成本等数据不包含公司内销。 二、煤化工产品的产量、销量 ...

Financial Performance - Operating revenue for Q3 2025 was CNY 11,229,103,717.57, a decrease of 42.22% compared to the same period last year[3] - Total profit for the quarter was CNY 33,619,281.19, down 97.61% year-on-year[3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 38,721,607.87, reflecting a 96.78% decline compared to the previous year[3] - The company's operating revenue for the reporting period decreased by 43.81%, primarily due to a reduction in coal volume and price, as well as a decline in trading business revenue[9] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the reporting period was down 74.14%, significantly impacted by the dual decline in coal production and prices[9] - The company reported a decrease in total profit of 76.17 million for the reporting period, reflecting ongoing challenges in the coal market[9] - The net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 is CNY 795,694,845.83, a decrease of 79.93% compared to CNY 3,960,929,403.30 in the same period of 2024[19] - The basic earnings per share for the reporting period was -74.68, indicating a substantial loss compared to the previous period[9] - The basic earnings per share for the current period is CNY 0.40, down from CNY 1.58 in the previous period[20] Cash Flow and Liquidity - The net cash flow from operating activities for the year-to-date was CNY 3,856,415,347.37, a decrease of 50.49%[3] - The net cash flow from operating activities for the reporting period was -50.49 million, mainly due to decreased sales revenue from coal and coke[9] - The net cash flow from operating activities for the first three quarters of 2025 is CNY 3,856,415,347.37, a decline of 50.5% compared to CNY 7,789,008,932.08 in 2024[21] - The company's cash and cash equivalents decreased from 4.28 billion to 3.03 billion, reflecting a significant reduction in liquidity[13] - The cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period are CNY 2,248,661,905.72, down from CNY 4,814,995,237.93 at the end of 2024[22] - The net cash flow from financing activities for the reporting period was 111.11 million, mainly due to an increase in interest-bearing liabilities[9] - The net cash flow from financing activities for the first three quarters of 2025 is CNY 414,283,578.33, a recovery from -CNY 3,729,753,624.35 in 2024[22] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets at the end of the reporting period were CNY 89,255,788,210.26, an increase of 1.72% from the end of the previous year[4] - Total liabilities amounted to CNY 43,467,383,993.58, up from CNY 40,869,180,045.77 in the previous year, representing an increase of approximately 6.5%[15] - Shareholders' equity attributable to the company decreased by 2.34% to CNY 41,398,678,143.93 compared to the end of last year[4] - The equity attributable to shareholders of the parent company was CNY 41,398,678,143.93, down from CNY 42,388,718,698.68 in the previous year, reflecting a decrease of about 2.3%[16] Inventory and Borrowings - Inventory decreased by 39.48%, primarily due to the disposal of a subsidiary and reduced coal inventory[8] - Short-term borrowings increased by 106.57%, indicating a rise in the company's short-term financing needs[8] - Long-term borrowings increased by 98.53 million, primarily due to the company securing additional project loans[9] Revenue and Costs - Total operating revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was CNY 31,924,953,670.15, a decrease from CNY 56,785,931,751.93 in the same period of 2024, representing a decline of approximately 43.8%[18] - Total operating costs for the first three quarters of 2025 amounted to CNY 31,005,772,130.29, down from CNY 52,254,045,046.87 in 2024, indicating a reduction of about 40.6%[18] - Operating income for the first three quarters of 2025 was CNY 31,841,216,698.03, compared to CNY 56,668,894,450.53 in 2024, reflecting a decrease of approximately 43.9%[18] Other Financial Metrics - Non-recurring gains and losses totaled CNY 11,552,900.33 for the quarter, significantly lower than the previous year's amount[7] - Research and development expenses for the first three quarters of 2025 totaled CNY 1,495,025,405.21, slightly down from CNY 1,639,697,851.42 in 2024, showing a decrease of about 8.8%[18] - Financial expenses for the first three quarters of 2025 were CNY 364,740,623.51, compared to CNY 406,637,613.14 in 2024, indicating a decline of approximately 10.3%[18] - The total comprehensive income attributable to the parent company's owners for the first three quarters of 2025 is CNY 1,070,337,167.78, compared to CNY 4,139,229,732.33 in 2024[20]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance and strategy of fund manager Huang Hai, emphasizing his continued focus on the coal industry despite recent underperformance compared to the market index [3][6][18]. Fund Performance - In 2025, Huang Hai's flagship fund, Wan Jia Xin Li Flexible Allocation Mixed Fund, reported a year-to-date return of 9.14%, lagging behind the CSI 300 index by 9 percentage points [3][7]. - Huang Hai's management scale has decreased to just over 3 billion yuan, reflecting investor dissatisfaction due to underperformance [3][6]. Industry Analysis - The coal industry faced significant challenges in early 2025 due to high inventory levels and declining prices, but began to recover in the summer with increased demand during peak electricity usage [6][7]. - By the third quarter of 2025, coal companies showed signs of recovery, with major firms like China Shenhua and New Energy showing improved net profits [7][8]. Investment Strategy - Huang Hai maintains a high concentration in coal stocks, with 73% of his fund's net value invested in this sector as of the third quarter [7][8]. - Despite criticism, Huang Hai's investment style remains consistent, focusing heavily on coal and showing little diversification [8][12]. Portfolio Adjustments - In the third quarter, Huang Hai made minor adjustments to his portfolio, reducing holdings in certain coal stocks while increasing positions in gold mining companies, which performed well [14][15]. - The top ten holdings in his flagship fund include several coal companies, with notable increases in gold stocks like Zhongjin Gold and Chifeng Gold [15][14]. Future Outlook - Huang Hai believes that traditional dividend-paying cyclical sectors, such as coal, steel, and non-ferrous metals, will not be absent in future bull markets and will provide substantial absolute returns [16][17]. - The article suggests that long-term capital will likely increase allocations to dividend-generating cyclical assets as manufacturing capacity cycles clear [17][18].