美银证券发布研报称，中资券商股今年迎来五大核心主题，包括再杠杆启动推动净资产收益率（ROE） 扩张；财富管理业务受益于家庭资产重新配置；投行业务增长受在岸市场复苏及离岸市场强劲势头带 动；离岸扩张提振经营杠杆及ROE上行；以及行业持续整合。 该行预计主要上市中资券商去年及今年盈利分别上升46%及15%。受行业利好及再杠杆支撑，海通证券 (02611)、中金公司（601995）(03908)及广发证券（000776）(01776)的盈利增长预计跑赢行业。以A股 今年预测日均成交1.8万亿元人民币（意味同比上升5%）计算，预计经纪业务收入同比上升5%。承销费 收入预计上升16%，受在岸及离岸IPO支持。财富管理收入预计上升9%，受益于证券资产管理规模扩 张。净利息收入预计上升27%，受融资余额增加及融资成本下降支持。交易收入在高基数下预计上升 8%。成本节省空间预计有限。 美银证券提到，成本效率在牛市时较为重要，但监管机构对券商股权融资仍保持审慎态度。该行偏好具 备强劲资本状况的券商，看好海通证券、中金公司及广发证券H股，因其增长前景良好且ROE具备上行 空间。 该行提到，所覆盖H股券商去年平均上涨33%，跑赢中 ...

Core Viewpoint - The restructuring between Sinopec and China National Aviation Fuel Corporation aims to streamline the aviation fuel supply chain from upstream production to downstream refueling, accelerating the industrialization of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) in China, which is expected to benefit domestic biodiesel producers [1][4]. Group 1: Restructuring Details - Sinopec and China National Aviation Fuel Corporation are undergoing a restructuring approved by the State Council, marking a significant move in the integration of state-owned enterprises [2]. - This merger combines the strengths of Sinopec, the world's largest refining company, and China National Aviation Fuel, Asia's largest aviation fuel service provider, enhancing the competitiveness of China's aviation fuel industry [3]. Group 2: SAF Market Dynamics - The global demand for SAF is increasing, driven by regulations such as the EU's ReFuelEU, which mandates that by 2025, 2% of aviation fuel used at EU airports must be SAF, with targets of 6%, 20%, and 70% by 2030, 2035, and 2050 respectively [5]. - In China, a pilot program for SAF blending will begin in March 2025, with an estimated annual SAF blending volume of 32,000 tons from four major airports, contributing to the growing domestic demand [5]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The rising demand and prices for SAF are expected to tighten the supply of raw materials, particularly waste oils, which have a theoretical annual production capacity of 12 million tons in China, with current collection at about 5 million tons [6]. - As the SAF industry accelerates, the focus of supply chain challenges will shift from SAF availability to raw material supply, prompting a comprehensive recommendation for investment in the waste oil-SAF full industry chain [6].

1月13日，安克创新跌1.99%，截至发稿，报103.91元/股，成交6.07亿元，换手率1.88%，总市值557.12 亿元。安克创新股价已经连续6天下跌，区间累计跌幅9.48%。 资料显示，安克创新科技股份有限公司位于湖南省长沙高新开发区尖山路39号长沙中电软件园有限公司 一期七栋7楼701室,广东省深圳市宝安区雪花科创城润智研发中心1栋,香港金钟夏悫道18号海富中心2座8 楼56室，成立日期2011年12月6日，上市日期2020年8月24日，公司主营业务涉及从事自有品牌的移动设 备周边产品、智能硬件产品等消费电子产品的自主研发、设计和销售。主营业务收入构成为：充电储能 类52.97%，智能创新类25.27%，智能影音类21.75%，其他0.01%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，国泰海通资管旗下1只基金重仓安克创新。国泰海通品质生活混合发起A（016130）三季度 持有股数3.95万股，占基金净值比例为4.26%，位居第八大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮亏损失约8.33万 元。连续6天下跌期间浮亏损失42.93万元。 国泰海通品质生活混合发起A（016130）成立日期2022年7月19日，最新规模4798. ...

Core Viewpoint - The restaurant supply industry is experiencing a gradual easing of competition, with a consensus forming around this trend. The key to significant improvement in the sector in 2026 will depend on demand-side changes, with a prolonged bottoming period expected if demand remains stagnant [1][3]. Group 1: Industry Competition - Recent years have seen a weak recovery in the restaurant sector, leading to increased competition under pressure for market share. However, the marginal benefits from price competition have significantly decreased, and leading companies are advocating for rational competition. The profit margins in the sector rebounded in Q3 2025, indicating this shift [1][3]. - As the peak season approaches in Q4 2025 and January 2026, competition continues to ease, with companies like Anjijia adjusting promotional policies for certain products [1][3]. Group 2: New Growth Opportunities - Leading companies are actively seeking new growth through new products, channels, and markets. Anjijia is focusing on new product development and has adjusted its strategy to embrace supermarket customization, becoming a supplier for major retailers like Walmart and Sam's Club. The company is also planning to enter the halal market, which presents significant potential [2]. - Baoli Foods is enhancing its B2B business by tapping into existing customers and attracting new ones, while also maintaining a steady pace of new product launches in the C-end market [2]. - Babbi Foods has received positive feedback for its new store model, which is performing at 2-3 times the efficiency of traditional takeout stores, indicating potential for exceeding store opening expectations [2]. - Yihai International is expected to maintain robust growth in its B2B and overseas businesses, with a gradual stabilization anticipated for its related parties [2]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The market consensus is optimistic about the easing competition in the industry, with key uncertainties revolving around demand recovery, sustained improvement in market structure, and the potential for new products/channels/markets to generate significant incremental growth. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is rising, which may restore consumer confidence, and there is anticipation for more domestic demand stimulus policies [3]. - The current low valuation of the sector suggests potential for a "Davis Double," where earnings exceed expectations, leading to a significant price increase [3]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The restaurant supply sector has passed its worst operational phase, with competition becoming more rational. Leading companies are making strides in new products, channels, and markets. Given the low valuations, the sector is expected to show elasticity, and a positive outlook is maintained. Key investment recommendations include Anjijia Foods, Baoli Foods, Lihai Foods, Babbi Foods, and Yihai International [4].

Group 1 - The humanoid robot industry is entering its initial commercialization phase, with significant progress observed in both domestic and international markets, indicating a potential acceleration in the global commercialization process of humanoid robots [1] - At CES 2026, over 4,000 companies participated, with nearly 25% being Chinese exhibitors, particularly in the humanoid robot sector, where at least 28 Chinese companies showcased their innovations, demonstrating China's technological capabilities [1] - Notable Chinese companies like Zhiyuan Robotics and Yushu Technology presented their flagship products, including the Lingxi X2 and the G1 humanoid robot, which showcased advanced functionalities and interactive capabilities [1] Group 2 - Several international companies also made strides in humanoid robotics at CES 2026, with LG introducing its first humanoid robot CLOiD for home applications, and Boston Dynamics unveiling the new electric Atlas robot with advanced features [2] - The Atlas robot, equipped with 56 degrees of freedom and a battery life of 4 hours, is set to collaborate with Google DeepMind for future enhancements, indicating a strong focus on innovation in the robotics field [2] Group 3 - Hangzhou Xinjian Electromechanical Transmission Co., Ltd. has initiated its listing guidance, with plans to prepare for an IPO, highlighting its role as a core component supplier for Tesla's humanoid robot, Optimus [3] - The company specializes in manufacturing various components, including worm gears and electric drive joints, and is recognized as a "little giant" enterprise in China [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report highlights the significant presence of Chinese companies at CES 2026, with 16 out of 23 exhibitors in the AI glasses category being from China, indicating a strong market focus and innovation in this sector [1][3] - The CES 2026 event showcased approximately 4,300 companies from over 160 countries, with Chinese exhibitors accounting for about 22% of the total, second only to the United States [2] - The report emphasizes the shift in AI development from "digital intelligence" to "physical AI," marking a trend towards deeper integration of AI with hardware [2] Group 2 - Several Chinese smart glasses companies made notable announcements at CES, including Thunderbird's launch of the X3Pro Project eSIM glasses, which support independent functions like calls and real-time AI translation [3] - ByteDance's "Doubao" AI glasses are set to enter the shipping phase, with plans for multiple configurations, including a no-screen version expected to launch in Q1 2026 [3] - Alibaba's Quark glasses sold out of new inventory by December 23, and an OTA upgrade was implemented on December 31, enhancing features like payment and translation [3] Group 3 - The industry trend indicates a focus on lightweight designs, with mainstream products now weighing between 30-50 grams, aiming to return to everyday accessory status [4] - The integration of multimodal technologies is driving AI from passive responses to proactive services, encompassing audio, visual, and tactile experiences [4] - AI glasses are evolving into independent smart terminals capable of functions like calls, internet connectivity, and complex AI computations [4] Group 4 - Global smart glasses shipments are projected to grow by 110% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, maintaining a high growth trajectory [5] - The inclusion of smart glasses in national subsidy programs is expected to provide additional market growth opportunities [5] - A recent policy announcement by the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance includes smart glasses in a new consumer subsidy initiative, which is anticipated to drive further demand [5] Group 5 - Recommended stocks in the sector include Kangnait Optical (02276), Doctor Glasses (300622), and Aishide (002416), with Tianyin Holdings (000829) also mentioned as a relevant stock [6]

该行预计主要上市中资券商去年及今年盈利分别升46%及15%。受行业利好及再杠杆支撑，国泰海通、 中金公司及广发证券盈利增长料跑赢。该行提到，成本效率在牛市时属重要，但监管机构对券商股本融 资维持审慎态度。该行偏好具强劲资本状况的券商，包括国泰海通、中金及广发证券H股，因增长展望 良好及ROE具上行空间；降中国银河H股评级至"中性"，因缺乏增长催化剂。 美银证券发表研究报告指，中资券商股今年迎来五大核心主题，包括再杠杆启动股本回报率(ROE)扩 张；财管业务受惠家庭资产重新配置；投行业务增长受在岸复苏及离岸强劲势头带动；离岸扩张提振经 营杠杆及ROE上行；以及行业持续整合。 ...

Core Insights - The A-share and Hong Kong IPO markets have shown signs of recovery in 2025, leading to discussions about a potential "IPO boom" [1] - The last significant IPO year for both markets was in 2021, marking a peak in IPO numbers and fundraising [2] A-share Market Summary - In 2025, the number of new A-share listings increased to 116, with total fundraising reaching 131.8 billion yuan, nearly doubling year-on-year [3] - The average fundraising amount per IPO rose significantly to 11.36 million yuan, with average underwriting fees for brokers increasing to 0.58 million yuan [7] - The focus has shifted from quantity to quality, with a notable increase in the "value" of individual projects [7] - The largest IPOs in recent years have transitioned from traditional sectors to technology-driven companies, particularly in semiconductors and renewable energy [11] - Leading brokers like CICC and CITIC Securities have maintained their competitive edge, with CICC involved in three of the largest IPOs in the past five years [12][13] Broker Competition in A-share Market - The competition among brokers has evolved, with CITIC Securities and CICC dominating the top spots in underwriting [13][14] - In 2025, the merger of Haitong Securities and Guotai Junan created a new leader in underwriting volume, while the competition in the lower tiers has intensified [14] - CITIC Securities has consistently led in underwriting revenue, with significant contributions from high-quality projects [15][16] Hong Kong Market Summary - The Hong Kong IPO market has experienced a "V-shaped" recovery, with total fundraising in 2025 exceeding 285.8 billion HKD, reclaiming the top position globally [20] - The average fundraising amount per IPO surged to 24.43 million HKD in 2025, driven by large projects from leading companies [20][22] - The narrative of the Hong Kong IPO market has shifted from internet-driven stories to technology and manufacturing innovations [22] Broker Competition in Hong Kong Market - Foreign investment banks like Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs continue to hold key positions in large IPO projects, while Chinese brokers are increasing their participation [23][24] - The rise of Chinese brokers, particularly in joint underwriting roles, reflects their growing influence in the Hong Kong market [24][25] - Futu Securities has consistently led in the number of IPOs underwritten, while traditional bank-affiliated brokers are also making significant contributions [25][28] Future Outlook - The consensus indicates a more active IPO market in 2026, but challenges related to supply and market absorption capacity are anticipated [29] - The ability of brokers to price assets and manage project depth will be crucial for success in the upcoming years [29]

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities forecasts a significant increase in the net profit of listed brokerages for 2025, with a projected non-recurring net profit of 216.7 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 55% [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance Projections - For 2025, the average daily trading volume of stock funds is expected to reach 2.05 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 70%, while the average daily margin balance is projected at 2.08 trillion yuan, up 33% year-on-year [2]. - In Q4 2025, the average daily trading volume of stock funds is anticipated to be 2.43 trillion yuan, reflecting an 18% year-on-year increase, but a 2% decrease quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The brokerage and credit income for 2025 is expected to be 158.9 billion yuan and 50.3 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 50% and 43% [2]. Group 2: Investment Banking and Asset Management - In 2025, the total funds raised through A-share IPOs and refinancing (excluding the four major banks) are projected to be 130.8 billion yuan and 417.7 billion yuan, marking year-on-year increases of 97% and 69% [3]. - The investment banking revenue for 2025 is expected to reach 39 billion yuan, a 27% increase year-on-year [3]. - By the end of 2025, the net value of non-monetary funds is projected to be 22.7 trillion yuan, an 18% increase from the beginning of the year [3]. Group 3: Proprietary Trading and Market Conditions - The report anticipates that proprietary trading income for 2025 will be 234.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 35% [4]. - The market environment is characterized by increased trading volumes and a bullish sentiment, with significant growth in both stock trading and margin financing observed at the beginning of the year [5]. - Regulatory policies in the securities industry are expected to warm up, potentially enhancing the profitability and operational flexibility of brokerages [5].

从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，国泰海通资管旗下1只基金重仓三生国健。国泰海通创新医药混合发起A（014157）三季度 持有股数13.1万股，占基金净值比例为5.04%，位居第六大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约39.69万 元。 国泰海通创新医药混合发起A（014157）成立日期2021年12月23日，最新规模1.05亿。今年以来收益 7.94%，同类排名1609/8836；近一年收益25.4%，同类排名5041/8091；成立以来亏损3.53%。 1月13日，三生国健涨5.07%，截至发稿，报62.84元/股，成交2.49亿元，换手率0.66%，总市值387.59亿 元。 国泰海通创新医药混合发起A（014157）基金经理为李子波。 资料显示，三生国健药业(上海)股份有限公司位于中国(上海)自由贸易试验区李冰路399号，成立日期 2002年1月25日，上市日期2020年7月22日，公司主营业务涉及抗体药物的研发、生产及销售业务。主营 业务收入构成为：销售商品75.24%，提供委托加工服务15.37%，授权许可7.94%，租赁服务1.44%。 截至发稿，李子波累计任职时间4年23天，现任基金资产总规模30. ...