Guotai Haitong Securities(601211)
Search documents
国泰海通:千问加码外卖补贴 预计一季度现制饮品销售保持高景气度
智通财经网· 2026-02-09 05:53
Group 1 - The launch of the 30 billion yuan subsidy project by Alibaba's Qianwen App is expected to benefit the sales of ready-to-drink beverages [2][3] - The first wave of the subsidy activity runs from February 6 to 12, offering users a 25 yuan no-threshold free order card, which can be used at over 300,000 tea and coffee shops nationwide [2] - The second wave starting February 13 will allow users to receive cash red envelopes, with a maximum of 2888 yuan available [2] Group 2 - The activity has seen significant engagement, with over 1 million orders placed within 3 hours and over 10 million orders within 9 hours of launch [3] - The current trend indicates a high level of activity in the ready-to-drink beverage market during the Spring Festival, with ongoing subsidies for delivery services [3] - The competitive landscape in the beverage industry is improving, with a slowdown in price wars and a reduction in the number of new stores opening [4] Group 3 - Recommended companies in the beverage sector include Gu Ming (01364), Mixue Group (02097), Luckin Coffee (LKNCY.US), Cha Bai Dao (02555), and Hu Shang A Yi (02589) [5]
国泰君安期货商品研究晨报:农产品-20260209
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-02-09 02:54
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overnight US soybeans closed slightly higher, and the Dalian soybean meal futures are expected to fluctuate. The soybean No.1 spot is gradually entering the holiday mode, and the futures price will fluctuate [2][4]. - The callback range of corn futures prices is limited [2][7]. - The sugar futures prices will be sorted in a narrow range [2][10]. - The cotton futures prices are expected to maintain a volatile trend before the holiday [2][15]. - The egg futures prices will be adjusted in a volatile manner [2][21]. - The peak season for live pigs is not prosperous, and the release of the "backlog" has begun [2][25]. - The peanut futures prices will fluctuate [2][30]. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Soybean Meal and Soybean No.1 - **Fundamentals**: The closing prices of DCE soybean No.1 2605 and DCE soybean meal 2605 in the day - session were 4378 yuan/ton (-12, -0.27%) and 2735 yuan/ton (+5, +0.18%) respectively. The overnight CBOT soybean 03 closed at 1114.75 cents/bushel (+2.5, +0.22%). The spot prices of soybean meal in different regions had different changes [4]. - **News**: The US President said that China will increase soybean purchases, and the US Department of Agriculture will release the January supply - demand report on February 10. Analysts predict the US and global soybean ending stocks. The Brazilian soybean exports in January decreased compared with December but increased compared with last January. The Argentine soybean crop good - to - excellent rate decreased compared with a week ago but was higher than the same period last year [6]. - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of soybean meal and soybean No.1 is 0 [6]. 2. Corn - **Fundamentals**: The closing prices of C2603 and C2605 were 2274 yuan/ton (+0.31%) and 2279 yuan/ton (+0.22%) respectively. The trading volume and positions of different contracts had different changes. The basis of the main 03 contract was 61 yuan/ton, and the 03 - 05 inter - period spread was - 5 yuan/ton [7]. - **News**: The northern corn bulk shipping and containerized shipping prices in ports had different changes. The prices of imported sorghum and barley from different origins and time periods were also provided [8]. - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of corn is 0 [9]. 3. Sugar - **Fundamentals**: The raw sugar price was 14.11 cents/pound (-0.16), the mainstream spot price was 5300 yuan/ton (+10), and the futures main - contract price was 5228 yuan/ton (+4). The 15 - spread was 46 yuan/ton (+31), and the 59 - spread was - 11 yuan/ton (-8) [10]. - **News**: In the 25/26 sugar - making season, the Indian sugar production increased year - on - year, the Brazilian sugar exports decreased year - on - year, and the Chinese sugar imports increased in December. The CAOC predicted China's sugar production, consumption, and imports. The ISO predicted the global sugar supply surplus. The production data of Brazil, India, and Thailand were also provided [10][11][12]. - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of sugar is 0 [13]. 4. Cotton - **Fundamentals**: The closing prices of CF2605 and CY2605 were 14580 yuan/ton (-0.21%) and 20405 yuan/ton (-0.20%) respectively. The trading volume and positions of different contracts had different changes. The spot prices of cotton in different regions also had different changes [16]. - **News**: The cotton spot basis was generally stable. The cotton yarn quotation was stable, and the pre - holiday trading atmosphere was light. The ICE cotton futures continued to fall due to the rapid increase in warehouse receipts [17]. - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of cotton is 1 [18]. 5. Eggs - **Fundamentals**: The closing prices of egg2603 and egg2604 were 2904 yuan/500kg (-0.34%) and 3165 yuan/500kg (+0.32%) respectively. The 3 - 4 spread was - 261 yuan/500kg, and the 4 - 9 spread was - 714 yuan/500kg. The spot prices of eggs in different regions and the prices of related feed and livestock had different changes [22]. - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of eggs is 0 [23]. 6. Live Pigs - **Fundamentals**: The spot prices of live pigs in Henan, Sichuan, and Guangdong were 12430 yuan/ton (-450), 11650 yuan/ton (0), and 11860 yuan/ton (-200) respectively. The closing prices of different futures contracts also decreased year - on - year. The trading volume and positions of different contracts decreased. The basis and inter - period spreads of different contracts also had different changes [26]. - **News**: Some companies registered warehouse receipts for March contracts [27]. - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of live pigs is - 2 [28]. 7. Peanuts - **Fundamentals**: The spot prices of peanuts in different regions were stable. The closing prices of PK603 and PK605 were 8054 yuan/ton (+0.07%) and 7918 yuan/ton (-0.03%) respectively. The trading volume and positions of different contracts had different changes. The basis of different varieties and the 03 - 05 inter - period spread were also provided [30]. - **News**: The peanut spot prices in different regions were stable, and the pre - holiday trading was basically ending in some areas [31]. - **Trend Intensity**: The trend intensity of peanuts is 0 [32].
国泰海通:AI大战一触即发 建议关注受益于新场景新生态的赛道
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-08 22:47
基于此,推荐标的主要包括以下几类:1)游戏:AI应用是游戏良好的分发渠道,同时AI与游戏的结合 亦能探索出新玩法;2)影视:包括电影、长剧、短剧、漫剧在内的多种影视形式都有望受益于AI带来 的变革;3)营销:新生态带来更多广告投放需求。 我国互联网普及率突破80%,广告市场现复苏迹象。根据CNNIC在2月5日公布的第57次《中国互联网 络发展状况统计报告》,2025年我国网民规模达11.25亿人,普及率达到80.1%。同时,值得注意的是, 生成式人工智能用户规模大6.02亿人,普及率攀升至42.8%。此外,根据CTR的统计数据,从2025年7月 开始,广告刊例花费同比增长明显,9-11月逐月增速均在双位数以上,11月购物节大促期间增速达 16.6%。后续在AI新技术的加持下,2026年广告市场有望延续2025年下半年开始的良好表现。 国泰海通主要观点如下: 风险提示:AI发展不及预期,游戏流水不及预期。 AI应用"三分天下",流量入口成必争之地。2026年春节期间,元宝、千问和豆包三款AI应用均推出多 种活动获客,抢占AI流量入口。元宝10亿元现金红包的活动最先展开,从2月1日持续到2月17日,首轮 活动的现 ...
非银金融行业周报:新年新开户数亮眼,中国平安再次增持中国人寿(H)-20260208
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-08 13:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-bank financial sector, indicating an "Overweight" rating for the industry [4][48]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in new account openings, with 4.9158 million new accounts in January 2026, representing a year-over-year increase of 213% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 89% [4]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing shift of funds from traditional banks to capital markets and non-bank financial institutions, driven by the expiration of 70 trillion yuan in one-year or longer deposits and a decline in net interest margins [4]. - The report discusses the need for China's financial sector to transition from being large to strong, focusing on mergers and acquisitions as a core growth engine for brokerages [4]. - The report notes that the international business landscape for brokerages is expanding due to the deepening process of RMB internationalization and the demand for cross-border wealth management and investment banking services [4]. - The report mentions that Ping An Group has increased its stake in China Life (H) multiple times, reflecting a strong confidence in the insurance sector [4][12]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,643.60 with a decline of 1.33%, while the non-bank index closed at 2,030.92 with a decline of 0.60% [8]. - The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial indices reported declines of 0.65%, 0.71%, and an increase of 0.43%, respectively [8]. Non-Bank Industry News and Key Announcements - The report outlines regulatory updates regarding virtual currencies and asset tokenization, indicating a tightening of oversight in these areas [10]. - Ping An Group's recent acquisitions of shares in China Life (H) are detailed, showcasing a strategic investment approach [12]. - Huatai Securities plans to issue 10 billion HKD in zero-coupon convertible bonds to support overseas business development [14]. Investment Analysis Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on brokerages with strong comprehensive capabilities, recommending stocks such as Guotai Junan A+H, GF Securities A+H, and CITIC Securities A+H [4]. - For insurance, the report recommends China Life (H), New China Life, Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, and China Property & Casualty Insurance, highlighting the systemic value reassessment opportunities in the insurance sector [4].
生猪:堰塞湖显露,近端压力超预期
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-02-08 10:16
二 〇 二 六 年 度 2026 年 2 月 8 日 生猪:堰塞湖显露,近端压力超预期 周小球 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0001891 zhouxiaoqiu@gtht.com 吴昊 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0018592 wuhao8@gtht.com 报告导读: (1)本周市场回顾(2.1-2.8) 现货市场,生猪价格弱势运行。河南 20KG 仔猪价格 30 元/公斤(上周 29.2 元/公斤),本周河南生 猪价格 12.43 元/公斤(上周 12.68 元/公斤),全国 50KG 二元母猪价格 1559 元/头(上周 1559 元/ 头)。供应端,节前出栏时间紧迫,集团企业增量出栏,南北方散户略增量,出栏意愿增强;需求端,下 游屠宰旺季亏损,旺季虽至,宰量增幅不及预期。根据卓创资讯数据,本周全国出栏平均体重 124.23KG (上周 124.33KG),出栏均重环比下降 0.08%。 期货市场,生猪期货价格弱势运行。本周生猪期货 LH2603 合约最高价为 11330 元/吨,最低价为 10855 元/吨,收盘价为 10860 元/吨(上周同期 11220 元/吨)。基差方面,LH2603 合约基差为 15 ...
非银金融行业:增量资金持续入市,关注非银板块配置机会
GF SECURITIES· 2026-02-08 04:29
Core Insights - The report emphasizes the continuous influx of incremental funds into the market, highlighting investment opportunities in the non-bank financial sector [1][7] - The industry rating remains at "Buy," indicating a positive outlook for the sector [2] Group 1: Market Performance - As of February 6, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4065.58 points, down 1.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 2.11% [12] - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.41 trillion yuan, reflecting a 3.38% decrease [7] Group 2: Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - The performance of listed insurance companies is expected to continue high growth, with a marginal improvement in long-term interest rate spreads [18] - China Ping An Group increased its stake in China Life H shares, indicating positive industry trends [18] - The first quarter of 2026 is anticipated to show better-than-expected performance for some insurance companies due to a low base in the first half of 2025 [18] Securities Sector - A significant increase in new accounts was observed in January 2026, with 491.58 million new A-share accounts opened, a 213% year-on-year increase [19] - The balance of margin trading reached a historical high, providing strong support for interest income in the securities industry [22] - The Hong Kong IPO market is active, with 384 companies applying for listings as of February 6, 2026, and a daily trading volume of 2202 billion yuan in January, a 94% year-on-year increase [24][28] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on specific stocks within the insurance sector, including China Ping An (A/H), China Life (A/H), and New China Life (A/H) [18] - In the securities sector, recommended stocks include Guotai Junan (AH), CICC (H), and Huatai Securities (AH) due to their potential for performance improvement [7][18]
2月6日郑州白糖持仓排行表
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-07 11:26
来源:沐甜科技 品种:白糖SR 日期:2026-02-06名次会员简称交易量(手)增减量会员简称持买仓量增减量会员简称 持卖仓量增减量1东证期货(代客)74,794-438中粮期货(代客)67,9611,553中粮期货(代客) 100,1394,7192中信期货(代客)58,9805,673银河期货(代客)54,914409中信期货(代客)68,5571,7583 国泰君安(代客)39,3854,691东证期货(代客)49,173-861乾坤期货(代客)49,2742,1044广发期货 (代客)32,3971,636中信期货(代客)37,917260东证期货(代客)34,1241,3935南华期货(代客) 28,5403,999国泰君安(代客)28,1821,326浙商期货(代客)32,538-496五矿期货(代客)26,8794,682华 泰期货(代客)23,027-225华泰期货(代客)26,653-1,3007海证期货(代客)23,8153,506永安期货(代 客)18,7412,086永安期货(代客)24,7051,0818银河期货(代客)19,3703,228中信建投(代客)15,917- 1,07 ...
马炜代表:推动期货产融服务从“广度覆盖”到“深度赋能”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-06 08:35
期货市场不仅是实体经济风险管理的核心平台,更是上海国际金融中心与全球资产管理中心建设的重要 支撑。 上海市人大代表、国泰君安期货有限公司计划财务部总经理助理马炜在今年上海两会现场告诉《国际金 融报》记者,上海期货市场一直扎根实体经济,产融服务基地在去年数量达到120多家,还通过系统升 级、机制优化帮助企业降成本,上海自贸试验区也为"期现联动"提供了政策支持。 但马炜认为,当前服务仍存在精准匹配不足、数字化协同不深等问题,比如,对新能源、高端制造这些 重点产业的定制化服务还不够;期现数据没能全部打通;中小微企业想做套期保值、风险管理的门槛较 高;各方协同还有待加强等。 因此,马炜建议,"由上期所牵头,联合行业龙头、优质期货公司及产融服务基地,组建'产业服务联 盟',针对链上中小微企业特点,设计一站式'价格风险解决方案包'",他认为,"龙头带中小"的帮扶机 制能够提升整个产业链抗风险能力。 马炜表示,搭建期现一体化的数字平台,让数据直接帮助企业管理风险,这样能实现"数据多跑路、企 业少跑腿"。对于战略产业链中的中小企业,马炜认为,要降低参与门槛,简化流程、设专项担保,帮 助它们用得上、用得好风险管理工具。 马炜还 ...
张静离任国泰海通资管旗下2只QDII基金
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-02-06 07:48
中国经济网北京2月6日讯 今日,国泰海通资管公告,张静离任国泰海通中证港股通高股息投资指 数发起(QDII)、国泰海通中证香港科技指数发起(QDII)。 张静历任英国瑞盟集团、上海敦煌财富管理公司家族办公室负责人,负责客户家族资产海外投资管 理;2016年8月加入上海国泰君安证券资产管理有限公司,历任跨境业务部、国际业务部、全球资本市 场部总经理助理,现任综合策略投资部总经理助理。自2024年10月8日起担任基金经理。 | 基金名称 | 国泰海通中证港股通高股息投资指数型发起式证券投资基金(QDII) | | --- | --- | | 基金简称 | 国泰海通中证灌胶通高股息投资指数发起(QDII) | | 基金主代码 | 023073 | | 基金管理人名称 | 上海国泰海迪正券资产管理有限公司 | | 公告依据 | 《公开募集证券投资基金信息技解管理办法》、《东企管理公司投资管理 人员管理指导意见》等相关法律法规规定 | | 基金经理变更差型 | 解聘基金经理 | | 共同管理本基金的其他基金经理 姓名 | 钱玲玲,邓雅琨 | | 离任基金经理姓名 | 张静 | | 基金名称 | 国泰海通中证香港科技指数 ...
富特科技不超5.28亿定增获深交所通过 国泰海通建功
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-02-06 06:57
1月7日,富特科技披露《2025年度向特定对象发行A股股票募集说明书(修订稿)》。本次向特定对象发 行A股股票募集资金总额不超过52,822.22万元,扣除发行费用后拟用于新能源汽车核心零部件智能化生 产制造项目(三期)、新能源汽车车载电源生产项目第二基地购置项目、新一代车载电源产品研发项目、 补充流动资金。 | 序号 | 项目名称 | 投资总额 | 募集资金拟投入金额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 杜此還沒有些核心不部件智能化生活 制造项目(三期) | 23.424.79 | 23,424.79 | | | 一带回居在井默申露中出印度提瑞 基地购置项目 | 15,960.26 | 15,500.00 | | | 新一代车载电源产品研发项目 | 3.642.43 | 3.642.43 | | 1 | 补充流动资金 | 10.255.00 | 10,255.00 | | | 合计 | 53,282.47 | 52.822.22 | 本次向特定对象发行的股票为境内上市人民币普通股(A股),每股面值为人民币1.00元。 本次发行采取向特定对象发行股票的方式,公司将在通过深交所审核并 ...