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银行周报(2026/1/26-2026/1/30):战略投资者拟扩围,利好银行长期资本补充
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-01 02:45
股 票 研 究 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.01 战略投资者拟扩围,利好银行长期资本补充 [Table_Industry] 商业银行 本报告导读: 证监会拟扩大可参与定增的战略投资者类型,并明确最低持股比例要求,利好上市 银行长期资本补充、金融机构合作深化,以及银行理财多元资产投资转型。 投资要点: [Table_Report] 相关报告 商业银行《银行快报陆续披露,25A 业绩稳健增 长》2026.01.25 商业银行《全年增量 3.34 万亿元,公募基金配置 占比提升 2.1pct 至 5.1%》2026.01.25 商业银行《国有大行投放力度较大,不良压力或 企稳》2026.01.23 商业银行《主动基金环比持平,被动基金增持》 2026.01.23 商业银行《利息净收入增速转正,业绩延续改善 趋势》2026.01.19 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 行 银行周报(2026/1/26-2026/1/30) | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马婷婷(分析 ...
固收专题研究:怎么把握10年二级资本债投资机会?
Guolian Minsheng Securities· 2026-02-01 02:25
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core View of the Report The report delves into the investment opportunities of 10 - year secondary capital bonds. It analyzes the development history of commercial bank secondary capital bonds, the issuance and trading condition of 10 - year secondary capital bonds, the main investors, and provides investment strategies from both allocation and trading perspectives [4][7][49]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 10 - year Commercial Bank Secondary Capital Bond Decryption - **Development History of Commercial Bank Secondary Capital Bonds**: The development of China's commercial bank secondary capital bonds can be divided into four stages. From 2004 - 2012, it was the "old - style sub - debt" stage; from 2013 - 2019, "new - style secondary capital bonds" emerged; from 2020 - 2023, the market's risk perception deepened; from 2024 to the present, the market entered a new innovation cycle [4][8][9]. - **The "Past and Present" of 10 - year Secondary Capital Bonds**: The first 10 + 5 - year secondary capital bond was issued by Agricultural Bank of China in March 2019. Since 2019, only state - owned large - scale banks and state - owned joint - stock banks have issued 10Y secondary capital bonds. The state - owned large - scale banks are the main issuers, with Agricultural Bank of China having the largest issuance volume. In terms of the stock, the secondary capital bonds with a remaining term of 3 - 5 years have the largest stock, followed by those with a remaining term of 7 - 10 years [18][22][24]. - **Secondary Transaction Situation of 10 - year Secondary Capital Bonds**: From January 1, 2025, to January 13, 2026, the secondary capital bonds with a term of 3 - 5 years were the most actively traded, followed by those with a term of 1 - 3 years. The 7 - 10 - year secondary capital bonds ranked fourth in terms of trading volume. The 9 - 10 - year secondary capital bonds had the largest trading volume among long - term bonds, and the 10 - year secondary capital bonds issued by Agricultural Bank of China had the best liquidity [30][32][33]. - **Who is Buying 10 - year Secondary Capital Bonds**: Insurance institutions are the main buyers of 10Y secondary capital bonds, with a net increase of about 1.6 billion yuan in 7 - 10Y secondary capital bonds in the past year. However, due to accounting treatment issues, insurance funds are more cautious in asset allocation. The increase in trading volume in the past month may be due to insurance companies' net purchases. In addition, securities companies, insurance companies, and fund products are the top three buyers in the past month, but the net purchase scale of securities companies is negative, indicating a stronger trading nature [36][42][43]. Investment Strategies for 10 - year Secondary Capital Bonds - **From the Perspective of Allocation**: The report uses interest rate spread and variety premium as key indicators to measure the relative value of 10Y secondary capital bonds. In terms of interest rate spread, when the funds are loose and the interest rate spread is high, the yield of 10Y secondary capital bonds may decline. In terms of variety premium, the trend of 10Y secondary capital bonds is highly consistent with that of ultra - long local bonds, with a "volatility amplification" effect in some periods [50][52][54]. - **From the Perspective of Trading**: The report reviews the term spread, the order of yield peaks of 10Y secondary capital bonds and other varieties, and the spread indicators between secondary capital bonds and urban investment bonds. Since 2025, the term spread between 10Y and 5Y secondary capital bonds has moved in the same direction as the 10Y secondary capital bond. In the interest rate upward cycle since 2023, 10Y secondary capital bonds have risen and fallen in the same direction as other varieties; in the downward cycle, almost all varieties reach the stage low at the same time. When the spread between 10Y secondary capital bonds and 10Y urban investment bonds turns negative, the yield of 10Y secondary capital bonds often has room to decline [59][66][76]. - **Summary of Trading Strategies**: The report provides a basic framework for investment decisions by reviewing historical experiences from the perspectives of allocation and trading, and summarizing the core judgment indicators and rules for the interest rate to reach the stage peak and bottom [81][82][83].
金价巨震前后商业银行集体审慎 1月三家大行要求客户增加风险评测 多家银行提示风险
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 01:57
来源:智通财经 受特朗普提名"鹰派"凯文·沃什出任美联储主席消息影响,贵金属市场昨日出现巨幅波动。1月30日,现 货黄金单日最大跌幅超12%,盘中最低触及4682美元/盎司,收盘下跌9.25%报4880.03美元/盎司。 智通财经记者注意到,就在本周贵金属价格出现剧烈波动前后,有两家国有大行要求客户在办理相关业 务时需增加风险评测。农业银行公告自1月30日起,对个人客户参与存金通黄金积存交易时,需取得谨 慎型及以上评估结果。交通银行最新公告显示,自1月31日起,客户办理相关业务也有了风险评测要 求。 如以今年1月份为限,则已有工行、农行、交行三家国有大行明确公告相关要求。在此期间,黄金及多 种贵金属均迎来一波快速上涨行情。 记者多方采访了解到,前述银行的相关要求和调整或不涉及客户准入门槛的变动,主要是业务办理流程 中增加一道风险评测要求。从近期一轮业务规则调整来看,国有大行和股份行对个人客户参与贵金属业 务的风险提示和风险防范均相对充分,呈现集体审慎的态度。 1月份三家国有大行要求黄金积存业务前置风险评测 智通财经记者注意到,今年1月份,已有工商银行、农业银行、交通银行三家国有大行作出类似要求。 交通银行最新 ...
山东交行:“暖途”服务焕新上线 沃德20周年礼献美好旅程
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-01-30 21:01
Group 1 - The core message of the news is the comprehensive service upgrade of the VIP lounges at Jinan Station, Jinan West Station, and Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport by the Bank of Communications Shandong Branch, coinciding with the 20th anniversary of the Wode Wealth brand [1][2] - The upgraded VIP lounges feature significant improvements in environment, facilities, and services, focusing on privacy and comfort, equipped with multifunctional charging devices, quiet rest areas, and business support services [1] - During the Spring Festival travel season, the lounges will offer warm services such as hot drinks, snacks, and travel consultations to enhance the travel experience for customers [1] Group 2 - As part of the 20th anniversary celebrations, the Bank of Communications Shandong Branch launched the "Warm Winter Travel Benefits" campaign, providing discounts for Wode customers purchasing tickets through designated channels until March 31, 2026 [2] - Credit card customers can enjoy discounts of up to 288 yuan and multiple reward points when booking tickets or hotels through platforms like 12306, Ctrip, and Qunar [2] - The bank will continue to focus on customer-centric services, integrating "finance + scenarios" to enhance the value of the Wode Wealth brand and support customers in their wealth management journey [2]
交通银行“沃德财富万里行”浙江站活动举办
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-01-30 20:04
交通银行"沃德财富万里行"浙江站活动举办 ◎记者 聂林浩 近日,交通银行浙江省分行携手长信基金、汇丰晋信基金、施罗德基金成功举办"沃野万理·共见未来 ——沃德财富万里行"全国巡回路演浙江站活动。 以专业与陪伴护航财富未来 交通银行浙江省分行党委委员、副行长周建明致辞表示,在房地产转型与低利率常态化的背景下,股票 等权益资产配置已成为居民增加财产性收入的重要渠道。当前中国经济稳中有进,资本市场改革为权益 投资注入新动能,高水平对外开放也为全球资产配置提供了丰富机遇。 "交通银行自2006年推出沃德财富品牌以来,始终坚持以客户为中心。近年来,依托交银集团国际化、 综合化优势,积极整合全球研究资源,助力投资者捕捉境内外优质企业的成长红利。"周建明介绍,本 次活动邀请了多家深耕境内外市场的合作伙伴,共同探讨多元化资产配置策略。 他表示,杭州作为科技创新、数字经济与先进制造业的高地,活跃的产业生态为财富管理注入了新活 力。当前浙江省上市公司数量位居全国第二,孕育了众多优秀企业。交通银行浙江省分行扎根于此,积 极推动财富金融与科技金融的融合,积累了丰富的财富管理经验。本次活动正是服务区域高质量发展、 助力共同富裕示范区建 ...
2026年如何布局?六大行全面开花,中小银行探求差异化发展路径
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2026-01-30 16:58
2025年银行的工作成效如何?2026年经营业务将如何安排? 《国际金融报》记者注意到,1月下旬以来,六家国有大行、多家股份行和中小银行密集召开了 2026年度工作会议,承前启后,为迎接"十五五"开局之年做好布局。分机构类型来看,国有大行布局更 为全面,股份行立足优势追求差异化发展,中小银行则更侧重地方经济和改革化险。 例如,光大银行称,将坚持错位发展打造特色优势,推动营收稳健增长,提升客户经营价值,推动 存款成本改善,促进金市业务专业化经营,着力提高财富管理、投行、托管业务等中间业务收入贡献, 持续做好为基层赋能服务,加快推动数字化智能化转型。 平安银行则表示,将坚定贯彻党建引领业务发展,紧跟国家发展方向,积极融入集团"综合金融 +医疗养老"战略,锚定"全面深化改革落地、全效发挥综金优势、全力改善业绩表现"的发展目标,围 绕"两个坚持、两个把握",即坚持"零售做强、对公做精、同业做专"战略不动摇;坚持降本增效、从严 治行要求不放松;把握"十五五"战略机遇,发掘新形势下银行发展新动能;把握科技革命时代机遇,将 科技战略作为银行发展核心驱动力,全面提升经营质效。 华夏银行称,2026年全行要紧紧围绕主要经营目标 ...
多家银行召开经营管理工作会议 为2026年工作“划重点”
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-01-30 16:30
银行是金融系统的重要组成部分。据《证券日报》记者梳理,目前已有多家银行(涵盖政策性银行、国 有大型商业银行、全国性股份制银行)陆续召开2026年经营管理工作会议,梳理总结2025年工作,并结 合当前形势,部署安排2026年工作举措,为新的一年谋好篇、布好局、开好头、起好步。 政策性银行是落实国家发展战略的重要平台。中国进出口银行会议要求,强化政治担当,做优业务专 长,积极践行职责使命。持续巩固政策性业务主体地位,提升境外业务核心竞争力,全力落实新型政策 性金融工具投放。 作为我国金融体系的"压舱石",多家国有大型商业银行充分发挥责任担当,锚定"做优做强",把高质量 发展要求融入经营管理的全流程中,以更加精准有力的金融服务,落实好党中央各项决策部署,为"十 五五"开好局、起好步贡献力量。 多家大行均强调聚焦主责主业,突出优势业务。例如,农业银行(601288)会议要求,要始终把服 务"三农"作为重中之重,全力支持乡村全面振兴和城乡融合发展;中国银行(601988)会议要求,持续 提升全球布局能力、全球产品服务能力、全球一体化营销能力、跨境人民币业务能力、全球化科技保障 能力、全球合规管理能力和参与全球金融治理能 ...
以AI应用为牵引 广东全面启动制造业赋能体系建设
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2026-01-30 06:00
29日的活动由广东省工业和信息化厅主办,珠海香洲产业园区、珠海市工业和信息化局、广东省产业园 区高质量发展专家咨询委员会秘书处(中国联通(广东)新型工业化研究院)共同承办。 中新网珠海1月30日电 (记者 许青青)记者从29日在珠海市举行的广东省制造业赋能对接系列活动(家电行 业园区赋能珠海专场)获悉,广东省已全面启动制造业赋能体系建设,以AI应用为牵引,整合国内外各 类优质资源,围绕"研发创新-制造生产-品牌建设-市场销售"微笑曲线开展全链条精准赋能对接,推动制 造业高质量发展。 4家金融机构向珠海香洲产业园区授信共200亿元。广东省工业和信息化厅 供图 目前,广东已组建近300家优质赋能主体构成的资源库,涵盖全能型、专业型、资源整合型、平台型四 类国内外优质赋能资源,探索地市分行业专题赋能、AI领军企业点对点赋能、平台机构定向赋能、园 区整体赋能、链主企业链式赋能等五种赋能模式。第一批12场赋能对接活动重点聚焦手机、家电、汽车 等10个重点产品(行业),吸引620余家企业及机构参与,现场达成合作意向43个。 本次活动中,格力电器、华为等单位代表,围绕智能制造、AI技术应用、市场拓展等主题进行分享。 中国联 ...
2026年国有大行、股份行怎么干?
券商中国· 2026-01-30 04:45
1月以来,银行业机构陆续召开2026年经营工作会议,总结过去一年乃至整个"十四五"时期的经营 成绩,为新的一年谋篇布局。 谈及2025年经营,"高质量发展"成为高频词。多家银行透露,各项工作"稳中有进""稳中提质",且"综合实力 迈上新台阶",为下一个五年发展打下了坚实基础。 2026年是"十五五"开局之年。多家银行强调,将加大对重点领域金融支持,做实做细金融"五篇大文章",有效 防范化解重点领域风险,支持巩固经济稳中向好态势。 其中,包括工行、建行、农行、交行在内,多家银行明确将加快推动数智化转型。"降本提质增效"等表述也出 现在工行、农行、建行、交行、平安银行的工作部署中。 工商银行:做强主业、做优质效、做大贡献 工商2026年党建暨经营管理工作会议强调,要打造一流银行、领军银行、清廉银行、现代银行,持续做强主 业、做优质效、做大贡献。 一是提升防风险成效,推动全面风险管理取得新进步,加快智能化风控平台进业务进场景。 二是提升强合规能力,确保内控管理实现新跃升,把依法合规经营打造为核心竞争力。 二要加大重点领域融资供给,助力巩固拓展经济稳中向好势头。持续加大"两重""两新"和民生、消费等领域金 融支持;进 ...
11 家大行去年理财代销增超万亿
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2026-01-30 02:45
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights a decline in the scale of bank wealth management sales in December 2025, with a total of 13.46 trillion yuan, a decrease of 1.05% from November, but an increase of 10% from the beginning of the year. The growth is attributed to a "deposit migration" logic, indicating a shift in customer preferences towards wealth management products [2][6]. Group 1: Bank Performance - Postal Savings Bank showed a remarkable growth rate of 27.2%, leading among the 11 national banks, while China Merchants Bank followed with a 12.2% increase [2][4]. - In absolute terms, China Merchants Bank led with a wealth management sales scale of 4.41 trillion yuan, followed by CITIC Bank and Industrial Bank, each exceeding 1 trillion yuan [2][4]. - The ranking of the 11 banks remained relatively stable, with Postal Savings Bank rising from 7th to 4th place by the end of the year [2][4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The overall wealth management sales scale of the 11 banks increased by 1.22 trillion yuan, reflecting a 10% growth from the beginning of the year, with three banks (Postal Savings, China Merchants, and Huaxia) achieving growth rates above 10% [5][6]. - The average yield of wealth management products fell below 2% for the first time, at 1.98%, yet the number of investors increased by 14.37%, indicating a strong demand for stable-return products [8][9]. - The "deposit migration" narrative remains a key driver for the growth of wealth management, as banks focus on deeper market penetration and optimizing customer service [9][10]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Predictions suggest that by the end of 2026, the wealth management scale could reach approximately 38 trillion yuan, with a growth rate of around 12% [11]. - The average risk index is expected to gradually rise, and the proportion of long-term products is anticipated to increase, while T+0 products will decrease [11].