Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Pacific Insurance (601601.SH) with a current price of 30.82 CNY [5]. Core Insights - In Q1 2025, China Pacific Insurance reported operating revenue of 93.717 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.627 billion CNY, down 18.1% year-on-year [3]. - The decline in net profit is primarily attributed to fluctuations in capital markets affecting fair value changes, with fair value change gains of 1.655 billion CNY in Q1 2025 compared to 15.104 billion CNY in Q1 2024 [3]. - The life insurance segment shows positive performance with a new business value (NBV) of 5.778 billion CNY, an increase of 11.3% year-on-year, and a 39.0% increase on a comparable basis [3]. - The individual insurance channel maintains a stable workforce, with a total workforce of 188,000, up 1.1% year-on-year, and a 13-month new employee retention rate up by 4.8 percentage points [3]. - The bancassurance channel saw significant growth, with premium income increasing by 107.8% year-on-year to 25.722 billion CNY [3]. - The property insurance segment experienced a slight premium growth of 1.0% year-on-year, totaling 63.108 billion CNY, with a combined ratio (COR) improving by 0.6 percentage points to 97.4% [3][4]. Summary by Sections Life Insurance - The life insurance business remains robust, with the implementation of the "North Star Plan" showing positive results and an increase in the proportion of participating insurance products [3]. - The new business value (NBV) for Q1 2025 was 5.778 billion CNY, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [3]. Distribution Channels - The individual insurance channel's workforce is stable, and the bancassurance channel has shown remarkable growth in premium income [3]. Property Insurance - The property insurance segment has seen a slight increase in premium income and an improvement in the combined ratio, indicating a solid underwriting performance [3][4]. Asset Management - The investment yield has been slightly pressured due to market fluctuations, with a net investment yield of 0.8% and a total investment yield of 1.0% for Q1 2025 [4]. Financial Projections - The report projects earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 to be 4.11 CNY, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8 times [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Pacific Insurance (601601.SH) with a current price of 30.82 CNY [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 93.717 billion CNY in Q1 2025, a decrease of 1.8% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.627 billion CNY, down 18.1% year-on-year, primarily due to fluctuations in capital markets affecting fair value changes [3]. - The life insurance segment shows positive trends with a new business value (NBV) of 5.778 billion CNY in Q1 2025, an increase of 11.3% year-on-year, and a 39.0% increase on a comparable basis [3]. - The individual insurance channel maintains a stable workforce with a total of 188,000 agents, reflecting a 1.1% year-on-year increase, while the bancassurance channel saw a significant growth in premium income, up 107.8% year-on-year to 25.722 billion CNY [3]. - The property insurance segment experienced a slight growth in premium income, up 1.0% year-on-year to 63.108 billion CNY, with a combined ratio (COR) improving by 0.6 percentage points to 97.4% [3][4]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 93.717 billion CNY, a decrease of 1.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 9.627 billion CNY, down 18.1% year-on-year due to capital market volatility [3]. Life Insurance Performance - The life insurance business remains robust, with an NBV of 5.778 billion CNY, reflecting an 11.3% year-on-year increase, and a 39.0% increase on a comparable basis. Insurance service revenue increased by 0.6% to 20.980 billion CNY [3]. Distribution Channels - The individual insurance channel's workforce is stable at 188,000 agents, with a 13-month retention rate for new agents improving by 4.8 percentage points year-on-year. The bancassurance channel's premium income surged by 107.8% year-on-year to 25.722 billion CNY [3]. Property Insurance Insights - The property insurance segment reported a slight premium income growth of 1.0% year-on-year to 63.108 billion CNY, with a COR improvement of 0.6 percentage points to 97.4% [3][4]. Investment Performance - The company reported a net investment yield of 0.8% in Q1 2025, with total investment yield at 1.0%, reflecting a slight year-on-year decline due to market fluctuations [4].

Group 1 - The core theme of the news is the significant role of the oilseed rape industry in Shayang County, Hubei Province, which is highlighted by the annual oilseed rape flower festival that boosts local tourism and the "flower economy" [1] - Shayang County has a stable oilseed rape planting area of over 700,000 acres, making it one of the top counties in China for high-quality oilseed rape production and industrialization [2] - The implementation of policy-based oilseed rape insurance by China Pacific Insurance (CPIC) has provided substantial risk protection, with a cumulative coverage of 1.9 million acres and nearly 500 million yuan in risk compensation [2] Group 2 - CPIC has introduced a "insurance + futures" model in collaboration with Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, effectively mitigating market risks for farmers due to price fluctuations [3] - The company has sponsored the Shayang County oilseed rape flower tourism festival for five consecutive years, enhancing its brand recognition and competitiveness in the local insurance market [3] - CPIC aims to deepen cooperation with local governments and businesses to support the entire oilseed rape industry chain, providing financial products that ensure farmers' income and promote high-quality economic development in Shayang [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the growth in new business value (NBV) is driven by the bancassurance channel, while investment volatility has pressured profit margins [2][3][5] - The company achieved a total revenue of 937.17 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 96.27 billion yuan, down 18.1% year-on-year [2] - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) was 3.5%, a decline of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [2] Summary by Sections Life Insurance - In Q1 2025, the company’s life insurance segment reported a premium income of 1,184.22 billion yuan, an increase of 11.8% year-on-year, with a significant growth in new business value (NBV) of 57.78 billion yuan, up 11.3% year-on-year [3] - The bancassurance channel saw a premium income of 257.22 billion yuan, a remarkable increase of 107.8% year-on-year, with new premium income rising by 130.7% [3] Property Insurance - The property insurance segment recorded a premium income of 631.08 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.0% [4] - The combined ratio (COR) improved to 97.4%, a year-on-year enhancement of 0.6 percentage points, attributed to reduced natural disaster losses and enhanced management controls [4] Investment Performance - The company’s investment assets totaled 28,102.08 billion yuan, growing by 2.8% compared to the end of the previous year [5] - The net investment yield was 0.8%, unchanged year-on-year, while the total investment return rate decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 1.0% [5] - Fair value changes in investments significantly declined to 1.655 billion yuan from 15.104 billion yuan in the previous year, impacting overall profit performance [5] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains previous profit forecasts, estimating revenues of 4,154 billion yuan, 4,219 billion yuan, and 4,382 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [6] - Expected net profits for the same period are projected at 455 billion yuan, 462 billion yuan, and 508 billion yuan [6] - The price-to-earnings value (PEV) ratios are forecasted to be 0.49, 0.46, and 0.43 for 2025-2027, respectively, supporting the "Buy" rating [6]

保险行业点评 万能险机制功能和定位迎来重构 2025 年 04 月 27 日 分析师：张凯烽 研究助理：李劲锋 执业证号：S0100524070006 执业证号：S0100124080012 邮箱：zhangkaifeng@mszq.com 邮箱：lijinfeng_2@mszq.com [Table_Author] 推荐 维持评级 ➢ 事件：2025 年 4 月 25 日，国家金融监督管理总局发布《关于加强万能型 人身保险监管有关事项的通知》（以下简称《通知》），就产品开发、保障水平、账 户管理、资金运用和销售行为等方面进行了规范和调整。 ➢ 产品管理：强化万能险保障属性，拉长万能险期限。1）万能险定义，产品 设计和开发规范化：《通知》明确万能险定义，通过四项特征（如名称含"万能 型"、保障功能、单独账户、最低收益保证）来正式确定万能险产品，引导万能险 产品设计规范化发展，有利于杜绝部分产品设计和功能"异化"，同时有望加强消 费者权益保护，减少相关产品误导。2）万能险机制的适用险种，同时引导产品 长期化：《通知》仅允许终身寿险、两全保险和年金保险设计为万能型，定期寿险 被剔除，同时保障期限不得低于 5 年。 ...

Core Viewpoint - In Q1 2025, China Pacific Insurance (CPIC) reported a slight decline in operating revenue and a significant drop in net profit, while new business value saw substantial growth driven by the rapid development of the bancassurance channel [1][2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, CPIC's operating revenue was 93.72 billion yuan, down 1.8% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders was 9.63 billion yuan, down 18.1% year-on-year [1]. - The weighted average ROE was 3.5%, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The net investment yield (non-annualized) remained flat at 0.8% year-on-year, while the total investment yield (non-annualized) decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 1.0% [1][3]. Group 2: New Business Development - The new business value (NBV) increased by 39.0% year-on-year to 5.78 billion yuan, driven by the growth in the bancassurance channel and improved value rate [2]. - The company achieved a premium income of 118.42 billion yuan in Q1 2025, an increase of 11.8% year-on-year, primarily from renewal business and new bancassurance policies [2]. - The bancassurance channel's new premium income reached 20.11 billion yuan, a significant increase of 130.7% year-on-year, with the proportion of regular premium business rising by 86.1% to 4.51 billion yuan [2]. Group 3: Property Insurance Performance - CPIC's property insurance premium income was 63.11 billion yuan in Q1 2025, up 1.0% year-on-year, with auto insurance premiums at 26.83 billion yuan (up 1.3%) and non-auto insurance premiums at 36.28 billion yuan (up 0.7%) [3]. - The combined cost ratio improved by 0.6 percentage points to 97.4% due to reduced natural disaster impacts and enhanced expense management [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company is advancing its "Long航" transformation and enhancing its multi-channel model, aiming for balanced business development and stable value growth [4]. - With continuous improvement in core human resources and enhanced value contribution from the bancassurance channel, the company expects to maintain positive growth in NBV in 2025 despite a high base [4]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 51.9 billion, 59.1 billion, and 62.4 billion yuan, respectively [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of the company, with current prices at 30.82 RMB and 21.55 HKD respectively [1]. Core Insights - The company has experienced rapid growth in new business value (NBV), with a year-on-year increase of 39% to 57.8 billion RMB in Q1 2025, driven by the development of the bancassurance channel and an increase in the value rate [4][6]. - The overall operating income for Q1 2025 was 937.2 billion RMB, a slight decrease of 1.8% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 96.3 billion RMB, down 18.1% year-on-year [4][5]. - The company is focusing on a multi-channel model upgrade and enhancing its core human resources to ensure balanced business development and stable value growth [6]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a total premium income of 1,184.2 billion RMB, reflecting an 11.8% increase year-on-year, primarily driven by renewal business and new bancassurance policies [4]. - The property insurance segment reported a slight premium growth of 1.0% year-on-year, with a combined cost ratio improving by 0.6 percentage points to 97.4% [5]. - The net investment yield remained stable at 0.8%, while the total investment yield decreased slightly by 0.3 percentage points to 1.0% due to short-term interest rate increases [5]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts net profits of 519 billion RMB, 591 billion RMB, and 624 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a projected growth rate of 15.42% in 2025 [7]. - The report indicates that the A/H share prices correspond to a price-to-earnings value (PEV) of 0.46 for A-shares and 0.31 for H-shares in 2025 [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for China Pacific Insurance (601601) with a target price of 45.5 CNY [2][8]. Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year decline of 18.1% in net profit attributable to shareholders, amounting to 9.6 billion CNY in Q1 2025. However, the new business value (NBV) for life insurance increased by 39% year-on-year, indicating strong performance in this segment. The combined ratio (COR) for property insurance improved slightly by 0.6 percentage points to 97.4% [2][8]. - The report highlights a significant increase in new insurance premiums, particularly from the bancassurance channel, which saw a 131% year-on-year growth in new business. This growth was partially offset by a decline in the agent channel [8]. - The investment income remained stable, with a net investment yield of 0.8% and a total investment yield of 1%, although the latter saw a decline of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year due to bond market fluctuations [8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 404,089 million CNY in 2024 to 438,513 million CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.7% [4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 44,960 million CNY in 2024 to 49,025 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a steady growth trajectory [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to rise from 4.7 CNY in 2024 to 5.1 CNY in 2027, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio decreasing from 6.6 to 6.0 over the same period [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Pacific Insurance (601601) [2][8] Core Views - The company's new business value (NBV) increased by 39% year-on-year, while investment performance faced temporary pressure [1][8] - The report highlights the company's strong growth in new single premium insurance and the significant increase in the proportion of dividend insurance new business [6][8] - The report anticipates sustainable growth in NBV and positive effects from product structure transformation under the policy of "promoting development" [8] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.627 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.1%, which was below expectations [5][8] - The NBV for Q1 2025 was 5.778 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.3% and a comparable growth of 39% [6][8] - The total investment yield faced temporary pressure, with total investment assets growing by 2.8% year-on-year to 2.81 trillion yuan [7][8] Business Segment Analysis - Individual insurance new single premium decreased by 15.2% year-on-year to 13.668 billion yuan, influenced by multiple factors including product structure optimization [9][8] - The bancassurance channel saw a significant increase, with new single premiums rising by 130.7% year-on-year to 20.114 billion yuan [9][8] - The property insurance segment experienced slow growth, with insurance service revenue increasing by 4.8% year-on-year to 47.741 billion yuan [6][8] Financial Projections - The report projects the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 to be 45.268 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.7% [9][8] - The estimated earnings per share for 2025 is 4.71 yuan, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.55 [9][8] - The report adjusts the profit forecast for 2025-2027 to 45.268 billion, 48.766 billion, and 56.148 billion yuan respectively [8][9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in New Business Value (NBV) by 39% year-on-year, driven by the performance of the bancassurance channel [8] - The combined ratio (COR) improved year-on-year, indicating better underwriting performance [8] - The company’s first-quarter results showed a slight decline in operating revenue and net profit, but the outlook remains positive due to strategic initiatives [8] Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: - 2023A: 323,945 million - 2024A: 404,089 million (up 24.74%) - 2025E: 414,571 million (up 2.59%) [1] - **Net Profit Forecast**: - 2023A: 27,257 million - 2024A: 44,960 million (up 64.95%) - 2025E: 48,864 million (up 8.68%) [1] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2023A: 2.83 - 2024A: 4.67 - 2025E: 5.08 [1] - **Valuation Metrics**: - Current market capitalization corresponds to a 2025E Price to Embedded Value (PEV) of 0.50x and Price to Book (PB) of 0.90x, indicating the stock is undervalued [8] Business Segment Performance - **Life Insurance**: - NBV reached 57.8 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 39% on a comparable basis [8] - Bancassurance channel new business premium increased by 130.7% year-on-year [8] - **Property and Casualty Insurance**: - The combined ratio improved to 97.4%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [8] - Original premium income for property insurance was 631 billion, up 1% year-on-year [8] Investment Performance - **Investment Assets**: - Total investment assets reached 28,102 billion, an increase of 2.8% from the beginning of the year [8] - The annualized net investment yield remained stable at 0.8% [8]