华夏沪深300ETF（510330）基金经理为赵宗庭。 截至发稿，赵宗庭累计任职时间8年169天，现任基金资产总规模3891.48亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 117.16%， 任职期间最差基金回报-32.63%。 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 责任编辑：小浪快报 数据显示，华夏基金旗下1只基金位居中国中冶十大流通股东。华夏沪深300ETF（510330）二季度新进 十大流通股东，持有股数6650.88万股，占流通股的比例为0.32%。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约1330.18 万元。 华夏沪深300ETF（510330）成立日期2012年12月25日，最新规模1967.01亿。今年以来收益20.03%，同 类排名2779/4220；近一年收益27.77%，同类排名2386/3846；成立以来收益146.14%。 9月30日，中国中冶涨5.71%，截至发稿，报3.70元/股，成交3.45亿元，换手率0.54%，总市值766.77亿 元。 资料显示，中国冶金科工 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the construction industry [2] Core Viewpoints - The construction industry is experiencing a decline in prosperity, with fixed asset investment growth slowing down. In August, the construction PMI was 49.1, down 1.5 percentage points from the previous month, and the new orders index was 40.6%, down 2.1 percentage points [5][8] - The report highlights the establishment of the Xinjiang-Tibet Railway Company and the completion of the world's highest bridge, the Guizhou Huajiang Canyon Bridge, as significant developments in infrastructure [30][35] - The Ministry of Finance has issued guidelines to ensure the implementation and operation of existing PPP projects, which is expected to stabilize the construction sector [51][52] Summary by Sections 1. Construction Industry Prosperity - The construction industry's business activity index was 49.1 in August, indicating a decline in prosperity [7][8] - The new orders index for the construction industry was 40.6%, reflecting a decrease in demand [5][8] 2. Fixed Asset Investment Growth Slowing - From January to August, national fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) was 326,111 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.5%, a decline of 1.1 percentage points compared to the previous month [19] - The investment in the secondary industry grew by 7.6%, while the tertiary industry saw a decline of 3.4% [19] 3. Infrastructure Investment Growth Decline and New Regulations for PPP - Broad infrastructure investment growth was 5.42%, down 1.95 percentage points, while narrow infrastructure investment growth was 2%, down 1.2 percentage points [30] - The establishment of the Xinjiang-Tibet Railway Company marks a significant step in advancing the project [44] - The Ministry of Finance's guidelines for existing PPP projects aim to enhance public service and operational efficiency [51][52] 4. Real Estate Investment and Sales Decline - From January to August, real estate development investment was 60,309 billion yuan, down 12.9% year-on-year, with the sales area of commercial housing decreasing by 4.7% [60] - The new construction area for residential buildings fell by 19.5%, indicating ongoing pressure in the real estate sector [61] 5. PPP Project Construction and Operation Assurance - The report emphasizes the large scale of existing PPP projects, with over 7 trillion yuan in investments expected [50] - The guidelines issued by the Ministry of Finance provide a framework for the construction and operation of these projects, ensuring their stability and efficiency [51][52]

Market Performance - The professional engineering sector increased by 1.15% on September 29, with Donghua Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3862.53, up 0.9%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13479.43, up 2.05% [1] Stock Performance - Donghua Technology (002140) closed at 13.50, up 10.02% with a trading volume of 193,700 shares and a turnover of 257 million yuan [1] - Roman Shares (605289) closed at 68.79, up 9.99% with a trading volume of 71,800 shares and a turnover of 471 million yuan [1] - Huadian Technology (601226) closed at 7.23, up 4.18% with a trading volume of 250,200 shares and a turnover of 180 million yuan [1] - Baili Technology (603959) closed at 6.40, up 4.07% with a trading volume of 596,700 shares and a turnover of 381 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - The professional engineering sector saw a net inflow of 45.12 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.32 million yuan [1] - Major stocks like China Metallurgical Group (601618) had a net inflow of 53.86 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 1.43 million yuan from retail investors [2] - Roman Shares (605289) also experienced a net inflow of 31.73 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 284.87 thousand yuan from retail investors [2]

Core Insights - The metal lead concept index increased by 0.65%, ranking 10th among concept sectors, with 16 stocks rising, including Shengtun Mining, Hunan Silver, and Xingye Silver Tin, which rose by 5.35%, 5.02%, and 4.72% respectively [1] - The lead metal sector saw a net inflow of 0.92 billion yuan from main funds, with 12 stocks receiving net inflows, and 6 stocks exceeding 30 million yuan in net inflows, led by Shengtun Mining with a net inflow of 1.42 billion yuan [2] - The leading stocks in terms of net inflow ratio included Zhihui Agriculture, Hunan Silver, and Xingye Silver Tin, with net inflow ratios of 11.05%, 7.73%, and 5.58% respectively [3] Stock Performance - Shengtun Mining had a daily increase of 5.35% with a turnover rate of 9.12% and a main fund flow of 141.97 million yuan, resulting in a net inflow ratio of 5.57% [3] - Hunan Silver increased by 5.02% with a turnover rate of 13.29% and a main fund flow of 36.92 million yuan, leading to a net inflow ratio of 1.82% [3] - The stocks with the largest declines included Wolong New Energy, Tibet Zhufeng, and Huayu Mining, which fell by 3.24%, 1.90%, and 1.62% respectively [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The top stocks by main fund inflow included Baiyin Nonferrous with a net inflow of 1.04 billion yuan and Zijin Mining with 886.34 million yuan [2] - The overall performance of the lead metal sector indicates a positive sentiment among investors, as evidenced by the significant net inflows into leading stocks [2][3]

Market Overview - On September 25, the professional engineering sector rose by 0.43% compared to the previous trading day, with Haibo Heavy Industry leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3853.3, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13445.9, up 0.67% [1] Top Performers - Haibo Heavy Industry (300517) closed at 13.20, up 10.83% with a trading volume of 219,300 shares and a transaction value of 282 million [1] - Tianwo Technology (002564) closed at 9.19, up 7.74% with a trading volume of 943,900 shares and a transaction value of 858 million [1] - China Zhongzhi (601618) closed at 3.43, up 3.63% with a trading volume of 2,164,400 shares and a transaction value of 744 million [1] Underperformers - Mu Jia Technology (835857) closed at 7.21, down 3.99% with a trading volume of 53,700 shares and a transaction value of 39.42 million [2] - ST Tianlong (300029) closed at 5.71, down 3.55% with a trading volume of 35,200 shares and a transaction value of 20.39 million [2] - Shenghui Integration (603163) closed at 43.55, down 3.35% with a trading volume of 30,800 shares and a transaction value of 135 million [2] Capital Flow - The professional engineering sector saw a net inflow of 83.26 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 69.45 million [2] - Major stocks like China Zhongzhi and Tianwo Technology attracted significant net inflows of 96.10 million and 93.25 million respectively, while retail investors withdrew 91.21 million and 28.78 million from these stocks [3]

消息面上，矿业巨头Freeport McMoRan印尼子公司Grasberg矿山近期发生致命泥石流事故，推动全球铜 价大幅上涨并引发供应链担忧。这座全球第二大铜矿因事故暂停生产，公司已启动不可抗力条款，预计 2026年铜金产量或骤降35%。据财通证券（601108），中国中冶巴基斯坦锡亚迪克铜矿铜资源量378万 吨，2025年上半年巴基斯坦相关审批程序已全部申请并基本获批，国内相关审批程序正在进行，公司将 持续推进项目开发前期各项工作；阿富汗艾娜克铜矿是世界上已探明但尚未开发的特大型铜矿床之一， 目前项目整体资源量达1236万吨。 中国中冶（601618）(01618)涨超7%，截至发稿，涨7.27%，报2.36港元，成交额1.18亿港元。 中信建投（601066）证券近期研报指出，公司铜矿开发进展积极有望获重估。铜金属价格长期受供需缺 口、短期受美联储降息预期影响有望进入上涨周期，公司持有的多个海外在产矿山估值将迎来重估。公 司持有的阿富汗艾娜克铜矿重启前期工作进展积极，配套水电站已进入建设阶段，购入的巴基斯坦锡亚 迪克铜矿项目储量经勘探有所增加，前期工作积极推进，两铜矿有望带来丰厚的净利润。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of China Metallurgical Group Corporation (01618.HK) has increased by over 7% on September 25, reaching a price of 2.36 HKD with a trading volume of 118 million HKD [1] Summary by Category - **Stock Performance** - The stock price rose by 7.27% [1] - The current trading price is 2.36 HKD [1] - The trading volume reached 1.18 billion HKD [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Metallurgical Group Corporation (China MCC) shares rose over 7% due to a significant increase in global copper prices following a fatal landslide at Freeport McMoRan's Grasberg mine in Indonesia, raising supply chain concerns [1] Group 1: Market Impact - Freeport McMoRan's Grasberg mine, the second-largest copper mine globally, has suspended production due to the landslide, with a projected 35% drop in copper-gold output by 2026 [1] - The incident has led to a surge in copper prices, influenced by supply-demand imbalances and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] Group 2: Company Developments - China MCC's copper resource at the Pakistan Sia Dyk mine is 3.78 million tons, with all relevant approvals expected to be granted by mid-2025, and domestic procedures are ongoing [1] - The Afghanistan Aynak copper mine, one of the largest undeveloped copper deposits, has a total resource of 12.36 million tons, with positive progress in preliminary work [1] Group 3: Analyst Insights - CITIC Securities' recent report indicates that China MCC's copper mining development is progressing positively, which may lead to a revaluation of the company's assets [1] - The company’s multiple overseas operating mines are expected to see a valuation increase, with the Aynak copper mine's preliminary work advancing and the Sia Dyk mine's reserves increasing through exploration [1]

Group 1 - China Metallurgical Group Corporation (China MCC) experienced a 2.08% decline in stock price, reaching 3.30 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 262 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.44%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 68.388 billion CNY [1] - The stock price of China MCC has fallen for four consecutive days, with a cumulative decline of 5.44% during this period [1] - China MCC was established on December 1, 2008, and listed on September 21, 2009, with its main business activities including engineering contracting (90.83% of revenue), resource development, equipment manufacturing, real estate development, and other services [1] Group 2 - Zhejiang Merchants Securities Asset Management has a fund that heavily invests in China MCC, specifically the Zhejiang Huijin Quantitative Selected Stock A fund, which held 329,600 shares in the second quarter, unchanged from the previous period, accounting for 0.77% of the fund's net value [2] - The fund has incurred a floating loss of approximately 23,100 CNY today, with a total floating loss of 62,600 CNY during the four-day decline [2] - The Zhejiang Huijin Quantitative Selected Stock A fund was established on July 1, 2021, with a current scale of 63.808 million CNY, and has achieved a year-to-date return of 26.45% [2]

Group 1 - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the company, indicating a favorable outlook based on recent market performance [2][5] - The company's mineral resources are abundant, with stable operations in its existing mines, producing nickel, cobalt, copper, lead, and zinc [8][9] - In the first half of 2025, the company produced 15,534 tons of nickel, 1,435 tons of cobalt, 11,562 tons of copper, 5,029 tons of lead, and 23,331 tons of zinc, with respective year-on-year changes of -1.91%, -0.49%, 1.22%, 13.75%, and 5.32% [9][10] Group 2 - The company is making steady progress on its undeveloped copper mines, with expectations to enter the construction phase this year [30][33] - The Pakistan Siyadik copper mine has a resource volume of 3.78 million tons, with all relevant approval processes applied for and largely approved as of the first half of 2025 [30][31] - The Afghanistan Aynak copper mine, with a resource volume of 12.36 million tons, has seen significant progress, with the access road completed and mining operations expected to start by the end of 2025 [33][34] Group 3 - The report draws comparisons with Hongda Co., indicating that the company's valuation in the non-ferrous metal sector is expected to be reassessed positively [34][36] - Since the breakthrough in project progress on August 2, 2025, the market capitalization of the company has increased by approximately 80.15 billion and 85.01 billion for its A and H shares respectively [36][38] - The company holds a 75% stake in the Aynak copper mine and an 80% stake in the Siyadik copper mine, corresponding to an equity resource volume of approximately 12.29 million tons [38][39]