Group 1 - Oil stocks rose in early trading, with Shanghai Petrochemical (00338) up 4.29% at HKD 1.46, CNOOC (00883) up 1.74% at HKD 21.04, PetroChina (00857) up 1.38% at HKD 8.08, CNOOC Services (601808) (02883) up 0.82% at HKD 7.38, and Sinopec (00386) up 0.43% at HKD 4.69 [1] - International oil prices rebounded on Thursday after two days of decline, with Brent crude oil rising by as much as 5%, reaching a two-week high [1] - A tanker heading to Russia was attacked by a drone in the Black Sea, and Iraq is moving towards nationalization of the West Qurna 2 oil field due to US sanctions on Russia's Lukoil [1] Group 2 - Iran is facing nationwide protests due to economic difficulties and has implemented internet restrictions [1] - On January 8, the State Council approved the restructuring of China National Petroleum Corporation (601857) and China Aviation Oil Group [1] - According to Everbright Securities, the merger between Sinopec Group (600028) and China Aviation Oil Group will enhance Sinopec's competitiveness in the refined oil business by integrating the entire industrial chain of aviation fuel production, sales, and refueling [1]

Core Viewpoint - Oil and gas stocks experienced a short-term surge, with Huibo Pu hitting the daily limit, while companies such as CNOOC Engineering, CNOOC Development, China Oilfield Services, China National Petroleum Engineering, and Baker Hughes also saw significant gains [1] Group 1 - Huibo Pu reached its daily limit, indicating strong investor interest and confidence in the stock [1] - Other companies in the oil and gas sector, including CNOOC Engineering and CNOOC Development, also reported notable increases in their stock prices [1] - The overall trend suggests a positive sentiment in the oil and gas industry, reflecting potential growth opportunities [1]

Market Overview - The oil service engineering sector experienced a decline of 1.9% on January 7, with Renji Co., Ltd. leading the losses [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4085.77, up 0.05%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14030.56, up 0.06% [1] Stock Performance - Key stocks in the oil service engineering sector showed varied performance: - Keli Co., Ltd. (920088) increased by 5.95% to a closing price of 33.28 [1] - Zhun Oil Co., Ltd. (002207) rose by 4.82% to 8.26 [1] - Other notable stocks included: - Bomaike (603727) up 1.45% to 14.73 [1] - Tongyuan Petroleum (300164) up 0.49% to 6.13 [1] - Haike Engineering (600583) down 1.06% to 5.60 [1] - Renji Co., Ltd. (002629) down 5.40% to 6.83 [2] Capital Flow - The oil service engineering sector saw a net outflow of 83.98 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 48.73 million yuan [2] - The capital flow for key stocks included: - Bomaike (603727) had a main fund net inflow of 19.43 million yuan [3] - Keli Co., Ltd. (920088) saw a net inflow of 15.11 million yuan [3] - Zhun Oil Co., Ltd. (002207) had a net inflow of 304.93 thousand yuan [3] - Haike Engineering (600583) experienced a net outflow of 4.46 million yuan [3]

Group 1 - CNOOC Services Co., Ltd. has applied for a patent titled "Fault Diagnosis Method and Device for Subsea Blowout Preventer Hydraulic Control System," with publication number CN121277151A, and the application date is October 2025 [1] - The patent describes a method for diagnosing faults in subsea blowout preventer hydraulic control systems, which includes collecting operational data, processing it to create a dataset, and using a probabilistic slow feature analysis model to identify normal and fault samples [1] - The method employs synthetic minority oversampling techniques to generate synthetic samples from fault data, enhancing the dataset for training a fault diagnosis model using an attention deep belief network [1] Group 2 - CNOOC Services Co., Ltd. was established in 2001 and is located in Tianjin, primarily engaged in business services [2] - The company has a registered capital of 477,159.2 million RMB and has made investments in 11 enterprises, participated in 5,000 bidding projects, and holds 2634 patents [2] - Additionally, the company has 273 trademark registrations and 199 administrative licenses [2]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley has updated the risk-reward assessment for CNOOC Limited (02883) based on the actual performance from Q1 to Q3 of last year [1] - The forecast for earnings per share for last year has been raised by 2.5% due to better-than-expected drilling revenue, while the forecasts for 2026 and 2027 remain unchanged [1] - The daily rental rate increase forecast for semi-submersible platforms has been adjusted from 8% to 20% [1] Group 2 - Drilling revenue forecast for the group has been increased by 6% based on the updated assessments [1] - The target price has been raised by 2.44% to HKD 9.22, with a rating of "Overweight" maintained [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has updated the risk-reward assessment for CNOOC Limited (02883) based on the inclusion of the company's actual performance from Q1 to Q3 of last year, resulting in a 2.5% increase in the earnings per share forecast for the previous year, while maintaining the forecasts for 2026 and 2027 unchanged [1] Group 1 - The drilling revenue forecast for the company has been raised by 6% due to better-than-expected drilling income [1] - The daily rental rate increase forecast for semi-submersible platforms has been adjusted from 8% to 20% [1] - The target price has been raised by 2.44% to HKD 9.22, with a rating of "Overweight" [1]

Core Viewpoint - CNOOC Services has shown a positive stock performance with a year-to-date increase of 2.78% and a recent 5-day increase of 4.04%, indicating a stable market position in the oil and gas service sector [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, CNOOC Services reported a revenue of 34.854 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.54% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 3.209 billion yuan, which represents a significant year-on-year increase of 31.28% [2]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for CNOOC Services was 64,000, showing a decrease of 6.08% compared to the previous period [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 15.492 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.866 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Stock Performance and Trading Activity - On January 6, CNOOC Services' stock price reached 14.43 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 2.21 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 0.52% [1]. - The stock experienced a net outflow of 5.6096 million yuan from major funds, with significant buying and selling activity recorded [1]. Shareholding Structure - The top circulating shareholder as of September 30, 2025, was China Securities Finance Corporation, holding 138 million shares, unchanged from the previous period [3]. - Other notable shareholders include招商优质成长混合 (LOF) and华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF, with varying changes in their holdings [3].

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has updated the risk-reward assessment for CNOOC Services, reflecting better-than-expected drilling revenues and adjusting earnings forecasts accordingly [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecasts - The actual performance from Q1 to Q3 of the previous year has been incorporated into the model, leading to a 2.5% increase in the earnings per share forecast for the company [1] - The earnings forecasts for 2026 and 2027 remain unchanged despite the adjustments made for the previous year [1] Group 2: Revenue Projections - The daily rental rate increase forecast for semi-submersible platforms has been raised from 8% to 20% [1] - The drilling revenue forecast for the previous year has been increased by 6% [1] Group 3: Target Price and Rating - The target price for the company has been raised by 2.44% to HKD 9.22 [1] - The rating for the company is maintained at "Overweight" [1]

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年12月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中海油田服務股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年1月5日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02883 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 1,811,124,000 | | 0 | | 1,811,124,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 1,811,124,000 | | 0 | | 1,811,124,000 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a positive outlook for the mechanical industry in 2026, driven by structural transformation and a rebound in external demand [3][4] - The report introduces a "risk排雷" manual to proactively identify potential market misjudgments and challenges within various sectors [3][4] Industry Overview - The mechanical industry is expected to experience a cyclical reversal, with growth in engineering machinery, industrial gases, shipbuilding, photovoltaic equipment, and lithium battery equipment [6][8] - Key assumptions include continued government support for emerging technology industries and a stable macroeconomic recovery [11][16] Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery sector is witnessing a cyclical upturn, with increased overseas market share and a gradual domestic renewal cycle [17] - Key growth drivers include global market expansion, improved domestic demand due to favorable macro policies, and a stabilizing domestic infrastructure and real estate market [17] Shipbuilding - The shipbuilding industry is on an upward trend, with demand supported by a variety of vessel types and improving profitability for shipyards [19] - The sector is expected to benefit from supply constraints driving up ship prices and a focus on high-end, large-scale, dual-fuel vessels [20] Export Chain - The export chain is optimistic about demand recovery, particularly in the U.S. market, with a focus on strategic exports and emerging markets [22] - Key assumptions include a favorable trade environment and ongoing industrial shifts towards resource-rich countries [22] Industrial Gases - The industrial gases sector is viewed positively, with expectations of volume and price increases leading to improved valuations [27] - The report highlights the importance of leading companies in the sector and recommends focusing on those with operational highlights in niche markets [30] Lithium Battery Equipment - The lithium battery equipment sector is expected to emerge from a downturn, with solid-state battery technology creating significant market opportunities [51] - The report anticipates a substantial increase in market size, projecting a growth from 2.06 billion in 2025 to 33.62 billion by 2030 [51] Wind Power Equipment - The wind power industry is projected to maintain high growth, particularly in offshore wind projects, with significant investments expected [63] - The report recommends focusing on leading manufacturers and components that support the offshore wind market [64] Testing and Inspection - The testing and inspection sector is expected to see upward momentum, driven by increasing demand and a trend towards consolidation among leading firms [71] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on emerging fields and the long-term growth potential of comprehensive testing companies [71] Rail Transit Equipment - The rail transit equipment sector is expected to benefit from steady investment in fixed assets and high demand for passenger and freight transport [75] - The report highlights the potential for continued growth in the high-speed train sector and recommends key players in the industry [76] Oil Service Equipment - The oil service equipment sector is anticipated to thrive due to sustained demand driven by oil prices and energy security concerns [79] - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong technical barriers and those benefiting from domestic and international market opportunities [80]