Core Insights - The seasoning and fermentation sector saw a 0.61% increase on September 4, with Anji Food leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3765.88, down 1.25%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12118.7, down 2.83% [1] Stock Performance - Anji Food (603696) closed at 13.19, up 10.01% with a trading volume of 321,700 shares and a turnover of 416 million yuan [1] - Zhu Laoliu (831726) closed at 22.08, up 8.98% with a trading volume of 89,000 shares [1] - Other notable performers include Shengjing Food (300908) up 3.24%, and Richen Co. (603755) up 2.84% [1] Capital Flow - The seasoning and fermentation sector experienced a net outflow of 1.3143 million yuan from institutional investors and a net outflow of 36.2977 million yuan from speculative funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 3.7612 million yuan [2] - Anji Food had a net inflow of 1.03 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 48.2153 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - Hai Tian Flavor Industry (603288) had a net inflow of 14.3824 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 32.7321 million yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Qianhe Flavor Industry (603027.SH) with a current price of 12.33 CNY [1] Core Views - Qianhe Flavor Industry's H1 2025 revenue was 1.318 billion CNY, down 17.07% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders was 173 million CNY, down 30.81% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, revenue was 487 million CNY, down 29.86% year-on-year, and net profit was 13 million CNY, down 86.66% year-on-year [5][6] - The company faced significant pressure on its core product categories, with soy sauce revenue at 839 million CNY (down 16.09%) and vinegar revenue at 159 million CNY (down 21.51%) in H1 2025. The decline in revenue was exacerbated in Q2 2025, with soy sauce and vinegar revenues down 31.06% and 35.40% respectively [6] - Despite short-term performance challenges, the company is advancing its long-term strategy, including the completion of a new production line with an annual capacity of 600,000 tons, which is expected to enhance efficiency and support future growth [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - H1 2025 gross margin was 36.58%, up 0.97 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to lower raw material costs. However, the period expense ratio increased to 21.46%, up 3.57 percentage points year-on-year, impacting net profit margin, which was 13.16%, down 2.61 percentage points year-on-year [7] - In Q2 2025, gross margin decreased to 32.64%, with net profit margin at 2.62%, down 11.15 percentage points year-on-year [7] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The report projects a decline in net profit for 2025-2027, with estimates of 431 million CNY, 536 million CNY, and 623 million CNY respectively, reflecting downward adjustments of 24.4%, 15.3%, and 10.9% from previous forecasts [8][9] - Revenue for 2025 is estimated at 2.851 billion CNY, with a growth rate of -7.22% [9] Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on high-quality and healthy product offerings, launching premium products like Matsutake and Truffle soy sauces to optimize its product matrix [8] - The company continues to enhance its distributor network, with a total of 3,307 distributors by the end of Q2 2025, reflecting a net increase of 25 distributors [7]

Core Viewpoint - Qianhe Flavor Industry (603027.SH) reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2024, primarily due to negative public sentiment affecting sales performance [2][4]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 1.318 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 17.07%, and a net profit of 173 million yuan, down 30.81% [2]. - In Q1 2024, revenue was 831 million yuan and net profit was 161 million yuan, while Q2 saw revenue drop to 487 million yuan and net profit fall to 12.75 million yuan, indicating a nearly 30% decline in revenue and over 86% in net profit year-on-year for Q2 [2]. - For the first half of 2025, soy sauce product revenue was 839 million yuan, down 16.09%, and vinegar product revenue was 159 million yuan, down 21.51% [2]. Market Trends - The overall market for basic condiments in China has shown signs of saturation, with the market size growing from 322.4 billion yuan in 2019 to 371.6 billion yuan in 2024, but with a significant slowdown in growth [4]. - The soy sauce industry growth rate for 2024 is projected at only 3.1%, the lowest in a decade, indicating increased competition and market challenges [5]. Competitive Landscape - Major competitors like Haitian Flavor Industry and Lee Kum Kee are expanding their zero-additive product lines, which has negatively impacted Qianhe's market share, particularly in traditional retail channels [5]. - Qianhe's household penetration rate has stagnated, and its market share in traditional large retail stores has been significantly squeezed by competitors [5]. Strategic Initiatives - Qianhe Flavor Industry is focusing on product innovation and channel development, launching new products such as Qianhe Matsutake Soy Sauce and Qianhe Organic Soy Sauce in the first half of 2024 [7]. - The company is enhancing its online presence through content e-commerce and social marketing, aiming to improve brand exposure and conversion efficiency [7]. - Despite the negative impact of public sentiment in March and April, sales showed a rapid recovery in May and June, with online and offline sales increasing by approximately 15% and 2% respectively [7].

证券代码：603027 证券简称：千禾味业 公告编号：临 2025-029 千禾味业食品股份有限公司 关于 2025 年半年度利润分配及资本公积金转增股本预 案的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示： ● 公司第五届董事会第六次会议审议通过了《关于 2025 年半年度利润分配 及资本公积金转增股本预案的议案》，拟以实施权益分派股权登记日登记的总股 本为基数，向全体股东进行现金分红，每 10 股分配现金 1 元（含税）。以实施权 益分派股权登记日登记的总股本为基数，进行资本公积金转增股本，全体股东每 ● 本次利润分配以实施权益分派股权登记日登记的总股本为基数，具体日期 将在权益分派实施公告中明确。在实施权益分派的股权登记日前公司总股本发生 变动的，拟维持每股分配现金金额及每股转增股本比例不变，相应调整现金分配 总额及转增股本总额。 ● 上述预案已经公司第五届董事会第六次会议审议通过，尚须提交公司股东 会审议。 一、2025 年半年度利润分配及资本公积金转增股本预案 经信永中和会计师事务所（特殊 ...

Core Viewpoint - Qianhe Flavor Industry's performance has been significantly impacted by the "zero additives" public opinion crisis, leading to a notable decline in net profit and revenue in the first half of 2025 [1][4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Qianhe Flavor Industry reported revenue of 1.318 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 17.07%, and a net profit of 173 million yuan, down 30.81% [2]. - The company's soy sauce product revenue fell to 839 million yuan, a decline of 16.09%, while vinegar product revenue decreased by 21.51% to 159 million yuan [2]. - Online sales dropped by 29.2% to 198 million yuan, and offline sales decreased by 14.06% to 1.099 billion yuan [2]. Industry Context - The decline in Qianhe Flavor Industry's performance is attributed to the diminishing benefits of the "zero additives" concept and increased competition from Haidilao [3]. - The "zero additives" trend, which previously provided a competitive edge, is losing its effectiveness as the entire condiment industry shifts towards this standard [3]. Public Opinion Crisis - The public opinion crisis began in March 2025 when media reports indicated the detection of trace cadmium in Qianhe's soy sauce labeled "Qianhe 0," leading to consumer concerns about the brand's claims [4]. - Despite the company's clarifications that the cadmium levels were within national safety standards and naturally occurring, the incident caused significant brand damage [4]. Regulatory Changes - New regulations from the National Health Commission and the State Administration for Market Regulation prohibit the use of terms like "zero additives" on pre-packaged food labels, with a transition period until March 2027 [5][6]. - This regulatory change is expected to impact the entire condiment industry, prompting companies to shift focus from "zero additives" to product quality [6].

Market Performance - The seasoning and fermentation sector increased by 2.23% on August 29, with Baoli Food leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3857.93, up 0.37%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12696.15, up 0.99% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Baoli Food (603170) closed at 14.59, up 6.03% with a trading volume of 73,600 shares and a turnover of 106 million yuan [1] - Haitian Flavoring (603288) closed at 41.44, up 3.39% with a trading volume of 343,600 shares and a turnover of 1.42 billion yuan [1] - Qianhe Flavoring (603027) closed at 12.33, up 1.73% with a trading volume of 292,400 shares and a turnover of 360 million yuan [1] - Hengshun Vinegar (600305) closed at 8.40, up 0.60% with a trading volume of 179,700 shares and a turnover of 151 million yuan [1] - Anji Food (603696) closed at 13.09, down 0.08% with a trading volume of 353,200 shares and a turnover of 473 million yuan [1][2] Capital Flow Analysis - The seasoning and fermentation sector saw a net inflow of 49.09 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 35.54 million yuan [2][3] - Major stocks like Haitian Flavoring had a net inflow of 66.69 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 37.18 million yuan [3] - Qianhe Flavoring experienced a net inflow of 46.26 million yuan from institutional investors, but a significant net outflow of 89.25 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [3][11] - The target price is set at 14.04 CNY [3][11] Core Insights - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue and net profit in Q2 2025, with revenue dropping by 17.07% year-on-year to 1.318 billion CNY and net profit decreasing by 30.81% to 173 million CNY [11] - The sales expense ratio increased, leading to a decline in profitability, with a net profit margin of 13.16%, down 2.61 percentage points year-on-year [11] - The company’s gross margin improved slightly to 36.58%, attributed to lower prices of key raw materials [11] Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.318 billion CNY, down 17.07% year-on-year, and a net profit of 173 million CNY, down 30.81% year-on-year [11] - The Q2 2025 single-quarter revenue was 487 million CNY, a decline of 29.86% year-on-year, with net profit at 13 million CNY, down 86.66% year-on-year [11] - The company’s soy sauce and vinegar revenues fell by 16% and 22% respectively in H1 2025, with a notable 23.71% decline in the western region [11] Financial Forecast - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 0.37 CNY, 0.58 CNY, and 0.64 CNY, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 25.3% in 2025, followed by increases of 54.1% and 11.4% in subsequent years [11] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 2.764 billion CNY, with a forecasted growth to 3.139 billion CNY in 2026 and 3.462 billion CNY in 2027 [10][12]

Core Viewpoint - Qianhe Flavor Industry (千禾味业) reported a decline in both revenue and net profit in its semi-annual report, attributing this to negative public sentiment surrounding its "zero additives" selling point, which may face uncertainties in the future [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of the year, Qianhe's revenue was 1.318 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 17.07% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 173 million yuan, down 30.81% year-on-year - The decline in revenue and net profit has accelerated compared to the previous year's decreases of 4.16% and 3.07% respectively [1] Market Challenges - In March, Qianhe faced controversies regarding "zero additives" soy sauce testing positive for cadmium and the labeling of "Qianhe 0" not equating to "zero additives" - The company stated that its products meet national standards and that the cadmium originated from raw materials [1] - The chairman acknowledged a relative decline in product sales due to these issues and mentioned that recovery in the fast-moving consumer goods sector typically takes 10 to 12 months after a public relations crisis [1] Sales Recovery - Qianhe reported a rapid recovery in sales from March to June, with online and offline sales increasing by approximately 15% and 2% respectively in May and June, indicating a U-shaped recovery curve [2] Competitive Landscape - Qianhe has been a rising star in the seasoning industry, leveraging the "zero additives" concept, but growth has plateaued since 2024 - The competitive landscape has intensified as major players have entered the "zero additives" market, leading to increased market consolidation and pressure on smaller enterprises [2] - Consumer preferences are becoming polarized, with a demand for both simple, healthy ingredients and high cost-performance products, necessitating precise target audience positioning and product definition [2] Channel Dynamics - Traditional channel traffic is diversifying, with strong growth in online channels but slowing growth rates - The integration of online and offline channels, along with the rise of near-field retail represented by front warehouses and community stores, has become a significant growth driver [3] Regulatory Challenges - New regulations from the National Health Commission and the State Administration for Market Regulation prohibit the use of terms like "no additives" and "zero additives" on pre-packaged food labels, effective from March 16, 2027 - Qianhe plans to complete the redesign of its product packaging and labeling to comply with these new standards within the year [4] Future Considerations - With the impending implementation of new regulations and pressure on growth, the company faces uncertainty regarding its primary marketing proposition [5]

Financial Performance - Company reported a net profit of 173 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 30.81% [1] - Total operating revenue for the period was 1.318 billion yuan, down 17.07% year-on-year [1] - In Q2, operating revenue was 487 million yuan, a decline of 29.86% year-on-year, with net profit at 12.75 million yuan, down 86.66% [1] - Gross margin was 36.58%, an increase of 2.73% year-on-year, while net margin was 13.16%, a decrease of 16.56% [1] - Total expenses (selling, administrative, and financial) amounted to 242 million yuan, accounting for 18.34% of revenue, up 20.1% year-on-year [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) was 0.17 yuan, a decrease of 30.53% year-on-year [1] Business Evaluation - The company's return on invested capital (ROIC) was 12.91%, indicating strong capital returns [2] - Historical median ROIC since listing is 14.02%, with the lowest ROIC recorded in 2021 at 10.99% [2] - The company has a healthy cash asset position, indicating good debt repayment capability [2] - The business model relies heavily on marketing-driven performance, necessitating further analysis of underlying drivers [2] Fund Holdings - The largest fund holding shares in the company is Yongying Hengxin Stable Pension Target Three-Year Holding Mixed Fund (FOF) A, with a current scale of 373 million yuan [4] - The fund's latest net value is 1.1172, down 0.14% from the previous trading day, with a one-year increase of 2.94% [4]

Core Viewpoint - Qianhe Flavor Industry (千禾味业) demonstrated strong operational resilience and recovery capabilities in its 2025 semi-annual report, with revenue of 1.318 billion yuan and net profit attributable to shareholders of 173 million yuan for the first half of 2025 [1] Group 1: Sales Recovery and Market Trends - The recovery in Qianhe's sales is attributed to product compliance, stable consumer demand, channel upgrades, and technological innovation [2] - The company's products have maintained a 100% compliance rate in food safety inspections since 2014, reflecting its commitment to quality [2] - The demand for healthy condiments is driving sales, particularly for the Qianhe 0 series soy sauce, which uses natural ingredients without additives [2][4] Group 2: Channel Strategy and Expansion - Qianhe is actively implementing channel reforms, with a focus on optimizing consumer experience through product labeling and category-based shelf displays [4] - Offline sales in May saw a month-on-month increase of approximately 20%, with significant growth in major retailers like Walmart and Yonghui [4] - The company has expanded its distributor network to 3,307, covering over 370 cities, and is enhancing its online presence through content e-commerce and social marketing [4] Group 3: Research and Development - In the first half of 2025, Qianhe invested approximately 41.2 million yuan in R&D, acquiring advanced equipment and establishing a research laboratory [5] - Collaborations with academic institutions have led to innovations in fermentation technology, improving flavor stability and protein utilization in soy sauce production [6] Group 4: Supply Chain Management - Qianhe has strengthened its raw material supply chain management by establishing strategic partnerships with suppliers to ensure quality and traceability [7] - The company has built a dedicated salt production line and a high-standard soybean supply chain to secure high-quality non-GMO soybeans [7] Group 5: Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued growth in the second half of 2025, supported by favorable policies, marketing efforts, and capacity expansion [8][10] - The launch of the "Double Reduction" policy on food additives is expected to further promote the trend of using natural ingredients in the condiment industry [9]