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2026年春糖反馈暨食品饮料最新观点:白酒筑底,大众品关注成本传导-20260327
CMS· 2026-03-27 02:33
证券研究报告 | 行业点评报告 2026 年 03 月 27 日 白酒筑底,大众品关注成本传导 2026 年春糖反馈暨食品饮料最新观点 消费品/食品饮料 本篇报告重点反馈 2026 年春糖期间行业上市公司与渠道调研反馈。整体来看, 2026 年春糖参会企业与人员皆少于往年,企业重心由渠道流量抢夺更多转向用 户运营与培育。白酒板块动销分化加剧,批价企稳,经销商情绪谨慎但平和, 2026 年或将成为行业中考年,上半场重点关注酒企库存去化、渠道利润修复情 况,率先调整的企业 26H2 有望边际改善;下半场行业竞争将逐步从渠道向 C 端演进,更加关注消费者培育体系的搭建与完善,抢占下一轮周期先机。大众 品板块中,餐饮链 26Q1 明显改善、乳制品微增、饮料、零食量贩景气延续。 ❑ 风险提示:后续动销不及预期、价格表现不及预期、竞争加剧风险、成本上 升风险、渠道调研数据不能反映整体情况。 推荐(维持) 行业规模 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 142 | 2.7 | | 总市值(十亿元) | 4452.0 | 4.1 | | 流通市值(十亿元) | 4242.1 ...
千禾味业(603027) - 千禾味业食品股份有限公司关于使用闲置自有资金购买理财产品的公告
2026-03-26 10:00
证券代码:603027 证券简称:千禾味业 公告编号:临 2026-008 ●基本情况: | 委托理财受托方 | 投资金额 | 投资种类 | 资金来源 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 招商证券股份有限公司 | 万元 5,000 | 收益凭证 | 自有资金 | ●履行的审议程序:公司第五届董事会第十次会议审议通过了《关于使用闲 置自有资金进行现金管理的议案》,同意使用额度不超过人民币 10 亿元的自有资 金进行现金管理,投资范围包括购买中低风险、流动性好的理财产品以及国债逆 回购等品种。在上述额度内,该类资金可以自该事项经公司董事会审议通过之日 起 12 个月内滚动使用,并授权公司管理层在上述额度范围内具体批准实施。 ●特别风险提示:公司闲置自有资金购买中低风险、流动性好的理财产品及 国债逆回购等品种,投资风险可控,但金融市场会受宏观经济的影响,不排除市 场波动带来的风险。公司将根据经济形势以及金融市场的变化适时调整理财策略。 一、本次委托理财概况 千禾味业食品股份有限公司 关于使用闲置自有资金购买理财产品的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或 ...
食品饮料行业:2026春糖会反馈:行业磨底,期待改善
GF SECURITIES· 2026-03-25 07:23
识别风险,发现价值 请务必阅读末页的免责声明 ⚫ 风险提示。宏观经济不及预期;消费力恢复不及预期;食品安全问题。 972918116公共联系人2026-03-25 13:58:42 1 / 11 [本报告联系人: Table_C ontacter] [Table_Page] 行业专题研究|食品饮料 2026 年 3 月 25 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 食品饮料行业 | | | 2026 | | 春糖会反馈:行业磨底,期待改善 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 分析师: [Tabl | 符蓉 | 分析师: 郝宇新 | | 分析师: 廖承帅 | | e_Author] | SAC 执证号:S0260523120002 | | SAC 执证号:S0260523120010 | SAC 执证号:S0260524070009 | | | SFC CE.no: BWC944 | | SFC CE.no: BVZ687 | | | | 021-38003552 | | 021-38003553 | 021-38003816 | | | furong@gf.com.c ...
食品饮料行业研究:步入业绩窗口期,关注稳健型a标的配置价值
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2026-03-22 12:12
白酒:酒企自 25Q3 起业绩加速出清、步入显性"去库存"阶段,因此酒企业绩出清已在市场预期内,预计 25Q4+26Q1 上市酒企整体会延续 25Q3 相似的出清斜率,26H2 低基数下或步入表观企稳阶段。其中,我们预计两类酒企 26Q1 业绩 已有望提前企稳:1)出清较早、出清斜率较高的二线酒企,如舍得酒业等;2)具备强势α禀赋的酒企,如贵州茅台。 我们看好当前白酒板块配置价值、低预期下胜率可观,尤其是在市场风偏受外部风险事件影响有所波动的窗口期。预 期先行、节后即使淡季亦具备自上而下催化,从复盘来看 PPI、M1 等对白酒需求侧具备前瞻信号意义。伴随"反内卷" 政策持续落地、企业 ROE 有望改善,并传导至企业端招待等支出提升、居民收入预期改善,行业拐点将逐步临近。 配置方向建议:1)品牌力突出、护城河深厚的高端酒(贵州茅台、五粮液),渠道势能仍处于上行期的山西汾酒,受 益于大众需求强韧性&乡镇消费提质升级趋势的稳健区域龙头。2)顺周期潜在催化的弹性标的(如泛全国化名酒古井 贡酒、泸州老窖),有新产品、新渠道、新范式催化的弹性酒企(如珍酒李渡、舍得酒业、酒鬼酒等)。 啤酒:啤酒的需求场景偏大众化、目前餐饮 ...
千禾味业(603027) - 千禾味业食品股份有限公司关于使用闲置自有资金进行现金管理的公告
2026-03-20 09:45
证券代码:603027 证券简称:千禾味业 公告编号:临 2026-007 千禾味业食品股份有限公司 关于使用闲置自有资金进行现金管理的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示: ●基本情况 | 投资金额 | 不超过人民币 亿元 10 | | --- | --- | | 投资种类 | 中低风险、流动性好的理财产品及国债逆回购等品种 | | 资金来源 | 自有资金 | ●履行的审议程序 千禾味业食品股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")于 2026 年 3 月 20 日召开了 公司第五届董事会第十次会议,会议审议通过了《关于使用闲置自有资金进行现 金管理的议案》。本议案属于董事会决策权限范围内,无需提交股东会审议。 ●特别风险提示 公司闲置自有资金购买中低风险、流动性好的理财产品及国债逆回购等品种, 投资风险可控,但金融市场会受宏观经济的影响,不排除市场波动带来的风险。 公司将根据经济形势以及金融市场的变化适时调整理财策略。 一、使用闲置自有资金进行现金管理的基本方案 现金管理产品的发行主体为银行、证券 ...
千禾味业(603027) - 千禾味业食品股份有限公司第五届董事会第十次会议决议公告
2026-03-20 09:45
经审议,董事会同意使用额度不超过人民币10亿元的自有资金进行现金管理, 投资范围包括购买中低风险、流动性好的理财产品以及国债逆回购等品种。在上 述额度内,该类资金可以自该事项经公司董事会审议通过之日起12个月内滚动使 用,并授权公司管理层在上述额度范围内具体批准实施。 证券代码:603027 证券简称:千禾味业 公告编号:临 2026-006 千禾味业食品股份有限公司 第五届董事会第十次会议决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 一、董事会会议召开情况 千禾味业食品股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")第五届董事会第十次会议通知 于2026年3月16日以书面、电子邮件、电话形式通知了全体董事,会议于2026年3 月20日在公司会议室以现场结合通讯方式召开。本次会议应参加表决董事9名,实 际参加表决董事9名。会议由公司董事长伍超群先生主持,公司高级管理人员列席 了本次会议。本次会议的召集和召开符合《公司法》等有关法律、行政法规、部 门规章、规范性文件和《公司章程》的相关规定,会议形成的决议合法、有效。 二、董事 ...
需求侧温和复苏,供给侧持续优化
East Money Securities· 2026-03-19 08:35
Investment Rating - The overall investment rating for the food and beverage industry is "Outperform the Market" [3] Core Insights - The demand side is experiencing a mild recovery, with notable trends in chain operations and online services. Supply-side enterprises are actively transforming, driving category and channel innovation, and capital expenditures are generally contracting, which is expected to improve supply-demand dynamics [2][19] - The frozen and prepared food sectors are becoming increasingly standardized and are benefiting from the trend towards restaurant chain operations. Key companies to watch include Anjuke Foods and Qianwei Central Kitchen [2] - The seasoning industry is stabilizing with basic seasonings providing a foundation, while clean label trends are emerging. Compound seasonings are convenient and cater to consumers with less cooking experience, with chain restaurants demanding standardization and specialization. Recommended companies include Haitian Flavor Industry, Qianhe Flavor Industry, Yihai International, and Baoli Foods [2] - The baking industry is expected to gradually shift towards retail channels and cross-industry restaurant channels, with a focus on companies like Lihigh Foods that can capitalize on these channel changes [2] Summary by Sections 1. Demand Recovery and Trends - The restaurant sector is showing signs of mild recovery, with monthly year-on-year growth rates fluctuating between 0.9% and 6.9% post-pandemic. The total revenue for the restaurant sector is projected to grow from 3.23 trillion to 5.80 trillion yuan from 2015 to 2025, with a CAGR of 6.02% [19][20] - The chain operation rate in the restaurant sector is increasing, from 15% in 2020 to an expected 25% in 2025. The penetration rate of takeaway services has also risen significantly, indicating a shift in consumer behavior [30][31] 2. Supply-Side Transformation - Capital expenditures in the food processing and seasoning sectors have contracted in recent years, with significant declines noted in 1H25. For instance, capital expenditures in the seasoning sector dropped by 24% year-on-year [41][46] - Supply chain companies are evolving from mere supporters to co-creators and drivers, necessitating proactive consumer demand exploration and product innovation [19][41] 3. Industry Segmentation - The frozen food sector is the second largest globally, but per capita consumption in China remains low compared to other countries. The industry is characterized by low concentration [19] - The prepared food sector is becoming more standardized, enhancing food safety and health standards [19] - The seasoning sector is seeing a rise in compound seasonings, with clean label soy sauce emerging as a new market segment [19] - The baking industry is witnessing a shift towards short-shelf-life products in retail and cross-industry channels [19]
千禾味业(603027) - 千禾味业食品股份有限公司关于使用闲置自有资金购买理财产品的公告
2026-03-18 10:15
证券代码:603027 证券简称:千禾味业 公告编号:临 2026-005 千禾味业食品股份有限公司 关于使用闲置自有资金购买理财产品的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示: ●基本情况: | 委托理财受托方 | 投资金额 | | 投资种类 | 资金来源 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 招商证券股份有限公司 | 15,000 | 万元 | 收益凭证 | 自有资金 | | 中信证券股份有限公司 | 10,000 | 万元 | 收益凭证 | 自有资金 | | 华泰证券股份有限公司 | 5,000 | 万元 | 收益凭证 | 自有资金 | ●履行的审议程序:公司第五届董事会第五次会议审议通过了《关于使用闲 置自有资金进行现金管理的议案》,同意公司使用额度不超过 5 亿元的自有资金 购买中低风险、流动性好的理财产品及国债逆回购等品种。该事项经公司董事会 审议通过之日起 12 个月内,上述自有资金现金管理额度可滚动使用并授权公司董 事长具体批准实施。公司监事会、 ...
涨价预期下的大众品投资机会
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-03-18 05:05
Investment Rating - The report rates the food and beverage industry as "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the CPI (Consumer Price Index) has shown signs of recovery, with a year-on-year increase of 1.3% in February 2026, marking the highest growth since January 2023. This recovery is expected to benefit companies with strong pricing power in the food and beverage sector [2][15] - The report emphasizes the importance of companies that can effectively pass on costs to consumers, particularly in the condiment and restaurant supply chain sectors, as the industry transitions from a cost dividend phase to an initial stage of price increases [3][40] Summary by Sections CPI and Economic Recovery - The CPI has rebounded, indicating a shift towards moderate inflation, with the government targeting a CPI growth of around 2% for 2026. This is supported by fiscal policies aimed at stabilizing economic growth and reasonable price increases [6][15] - The service sector has become a key driver of growth, with significant increases in service prices contributing to the overall CPI rise [20][23] CPI-PPI Dynamics - The report discusses the narrowing of the CPI-PPI (Producer Price Index) gap, which is currently at 2.2 percentage points. This gap indicates that consumer prices are rising faster than production costs, benefiting companies with strong pricing power [28][30] - The report notes that the PPI has shown signs of improvement, with a year-on-year decline of 0.9% in February 2026, suggesting a stabilization in raw material prices [27][29] Cost Transmission and Pricing Power - The report identifies key raw materials that constitute 65%-85% of the operating costs for leading companies in the food and beverage sector, including soybeans, sugar, and dairy products. The ability to manage these costs effectively will be crucial for maintaining profitability [41][44] - Companies in the condiment and restaurant supply chain are highlighted as having strong pricing power, with expectations for a new round of price increases due to rising costs and improved demand conditions [3][40] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies with strong channel and product capabilities, clear price increase expectations, and high dividend attributes, such as Haidilao, Anjoy Foods, and Mengniu Dairy [3][40] - It also suggests investing in leading beer companies and high-growth regional leaders, as well as companies in the dairy and snack sectors that possess category and channel advantages [3][40]
食品饮料上游:行情强化,辨明主次
Orient Securities· 2026-03-15 07:28
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the food and beverage industry, indicating a strong performance relative to market benchmarks [9]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of upstream supply chain dynamics, highlighting that the core logic of performance in the upstream sector revolves around "cost" and "supply-demand" factors, exhibiting clear cyclical characteristics [9]. - It identifies two main drivers for the current uptrend in the upstream food and beverage sector: the rising prices of bulk agricultural products and the ability of companies to directly pass on costs to consumers [9]. - The report suggests prioritizing investments based on geographical and supply-demand logic, with a focus on corn and soybean chains due to their strong price increase expectations [9]. Summary by Sections Upstream Investment Focus - Recommended upstream investment targets include: 1. Agricultural processing: COFCO Technology (000930), Crown Agricultural (600251), Andeli (605198), Jinlongyu (300999), and Zunming (003030) [4]. 2. Food raw material suppliers: Huakang (605077), Morning Light Bio (300138), and Fufeng Group (00546) [4]. 3. Livestock: Recommended Yuran Livestock (09858) and Modern Animal Husbandry (01117) [4]. Downstream Investment Focus - Recommended downstream investment targets include: 1. Baijiu: Shanxi Fenjiu (600809), Kweichow Moutai (600519), Jinshiyuan (603369), and Shede Liquor (600702) [4]. 2. Catering supply chain: Yihai International (01579) and Qianwei Central Kitchen (001215) [4]. 3. Snack foods: Recommended Yanjinpuzi (002847), Qiaqia Food (002557), and Miaokelando (600882) [4]. 4. Health products: Focus on valuation, with related targets including Minsheng Health (301507) and H&H International Holdings (01112) [4].