Core Viewpoint - Qianhe Flavor Industry reported a decline in both revenue and net profit for 2024, marking the first revenue drop since its IPO in 2016, raising concerns about its future development amid increased market competition and regulatory changes regarding its "zero-additive" concept [1][3][5]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Qianhe Flavor Industry achieved revenue of 3.073 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.16%, and a net profit of 514 million yuan, down 3.07% [3]. - The decline in revenue continued into Q1 2025, with revenue of 831 million yuan, a decrease of 7.15%, while net profit rose by 3.67% to 161 million yuan [3]. - The soy sauce business, which accounts for over 60% of revenue, saw a revenue decline of 3.75%, while the vinegar segment, making up over 10%, experienced a 12.52% drop [4]. Market Competition - Increased competition in the "zero-additive" sector, particularly from rivals like Haitian Flavor Industry, has led to market share erosion for Qianhe Flavor Industry [3][5]. - The company's reliance on the "zero-additive" concept has been challenged by new regulations prohibiting the use of such marketing terms, necessitating a shift in its marketing strategy [6]. Strategic Response - Qianhe Flavor Industry plans to focus on optimizing product structure and enhancing cost control to improve profitability [3][4]. - The company aims to strengthen its brand and channel development, emphasizing high-quality products to meet consumer health and taste demands [4][6]. - New product initiatives include a 30% reduced-salt soy sauce, which has already captured 5% of soy sauce revenue, and plans for a dedicated production line for customized products targeting infants and the elderly [6][7]. Future Outlook - Experts suggest that Qianhe Flavor Industry must innovate and differentiate its products to build a competitive edge and enhance brand recognition [7]. - The company is expected to adapt its marketing strategies in response to regulatory changes while continuing to explore functional product extensions to attract consumers [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 4.2% year-on-year in 2024, with total revenue reaching 3.07 billion yuan. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 510 million yuan, down 3.1% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company is undergoing internal adjustments, which have led to short-term revenue pressure. The soy sauce segment saw a revenue of 1.96 billion yuan in 2024, down 3.8% year-on-year, while vinegar revenue dropped 12.5% to 370 million yuan [2][4]. - Cost optimization has improved profitability, with gross margins increasing to 37.2% in 2024 and 38.9% in Q1 2025, attributed to lower raw material prices [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 3.07 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.2% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 514 million yuan, down 3.1% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue was 830 million yuan, a decline of 7.2% year-on-year [1][5]. - The company’s gross margin improved to 37.2% in 2024 and 38.9% in Q1 2025, reflecting cost reductions in raw materials [3][4]. Revenue Breakdown - The soy sauce segment generated 1.96 billion yuan in 2024, with a volume increase of 1.3% but a price decrease of 5.0%. The vinegar segment's revenue fell to 370 million yuan, with both volume and price declines [2][4]. Future Outlook - The company expects revenue growth from 2025 to 2027, with projected revenues of 3.18 billion yuan, 3.39 billion yuan, and 3.66 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 3.6%, 6.6%, and 7.8% respectively [4][5]. - Net profit is projected to increase to 553 million yuan, 592 million yuan, and 638 million yuan over the same period, with growth rates of 7.6%, 7.1%, and 7.7% respectively [4][5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 4.2% year-on-year in 2024, with total revenue reaching 3.07 billion yuan. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 510 million yuan, down 3.1% year-on-year [1][5]. - The company is undergoing internal adjustments, which have led to short-term revenue pressure. The adjustments are expected to yield positive results in the future [2][4]. - Cost optimization has improved profitability, with gross margins increasing to 37.2% in 2024 and 38.9% in Q1 2025, driven by lower raw material prices [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 3.07 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.2% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 514 million yuan, down 3.1% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue was 830 million yuan, a decline of 7.2% year-on-year [1][5]. - The company’s gross margin improved to 37.2% in 2024 and 38.9% in Q1 2025, attributed to the decline in raw material prices [3][4]. Product and Regional Performance - In 2024, soy sauce revenue was 1.96 billion yuan, down 3.8% year-on-year, while vinegar revenue was 370 million yuan, down 12.5% year-on-year. The company faced challenges due to intensified industry competition and high base effects from 2023 [2][4]. - Revenue from different regions showed varied performance, with the southern region growing by 14% while other regions experienced declines [2][4]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see revenue growth in the coming years, with projected revenues of 3.18 billion yuan in 2025, 3.39 billion yuan in 2026, and 3.66 billion yuan in 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 3.6%, 6.6%, and 7.8% respectively [4][5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to reach 553 million yuan in 2025, 592 million yuan in 2026, and 638 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 7.6%, 7.1%, and 7.7% respectively [4][5].

Group 1: Company Performance - Qianhe Flavor Industry reported a revenue of 3.073 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decline of 4.2% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 514 million yuan, down 3.1% year-on-year [1] - In Q4 2024, revenue further declined to 785 million yuan, a 10.3% decrease year-on-year, while net profit increased by 13.4% to 163 million yuan [1] - In Q1 2025, revenue was 831 million yuan, down 7.1% year-on-year, with net profit at 161 million yuan, a 3.7% increase [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The decline in revenue is attributed to increased competition in the condiment market, leading to price wars [2] - In 2024, Qianhe's soy sauce and vinegar revenue was 1.96 billion yuan and 370 million yuan, down 3.8% and 2.5% year-on-year, respectively [2] - The company reduced the number of low-profit or low-priced zero-additive product SKUs, which led to short-term price pressure [2] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - In contrast, Haitian Flavor Industry saw an increase in soy sauce sales and a revenue of 26.901 billion yuan in 2024, up 9.53% year-on-year [4] - Haitian's net profit was 6.344 billion yuan, a 12.75% increase, attributed to its focus on the catering and lower-tier markets [4] - Qianhe's strategy to target the high-end market comes with its own set of challenges and costs [5] Group 4: Industry Trends - The overall performance pressure on Qianhe is primarily due to market changes rather than isolated events [3] - The reduction in the number of Qianhe's distributors by 74 to 3,282 indicates a contraction in its market presence [3] - The brand's image and core competitiveness are affected by public perception issues, which further complicate its market position [3]

自2016年上市以来，千禾味业首次出现业绩负增长。 4月15日晚间，千禾味业发布的年报显示，去年营收净利双双下滑，营收下降4.16%至30.73亿元，归母净利润下降3.07%至5.14 亿元。同时，两大核心产品 酱油、食醋两大核心产品收入均下降。 虽然业绩下滑，但千禾味业发布了高达99.94%的"清仓式"分红方案，几乎投入去年所有归母净利润。 经历了3月份的"零添加"风波，千禾味业还未彻底从质疑声中脱身出来。同时，新国标规定预包装食品禁用"零添加"，千禾味业等调味品企业不得在包装 中标明"不添加""零添加"等用语。 新规给予了两年过渡期，如今千禾味业还未撕掉"零添加"的标签，业绩就先撑不住了。 "酱油＋食醋"两大核心产品收入齐降 4月15日晚间，千禾味业发布去了2024年财报和2025年一季报。2024年，千禾味业实现营业收入30.73亿元，同比下降4.16%；实现归属于上市公司股东的 净利润 5.14 亿元，同比下降 3.07%。 其中，酱油和食醋两大核心产品分别实现收入19.64亿元和3.70亿元，同比分别下降3.75%和12.52%，但是毛利率得到小幅提升。酱油毛利率为38%，较去 年提升0.41%，食 ...

公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 千禾味业（603027）2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 推荐（维持） 营收低于预期，经营持续调整 事项： 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 3,073 | 3,032 | 3,289 | 3,529 | | 同比增速(%) | -4.2% | -1.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 514 | 543 | 596 | 655 | | 同比增速(%) | -3.1% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | | 每股盈利(元) | 0.50 | 0.53 | 0.58 | 0.64 | | 市盈率(倍) | 24 | 22 | 20 | 18 | | 市净率(倍) | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 资料来源：公司公告，华创证券预测 注：股价为 2025 年 4 月 16 日收盘价 调味品 2025 年 04 月 16 日 ...

盈利预测与投资评级：公司短期受舆论事件冲击，下调公司25-26 年收入预期为32/35 亿元（此前25-26 年预期36/39 亿元），新增27 年收入预期38 亿元，同比+5%/+7%/+9%；考虑到公司成本红利显著，调 整25-26 年归母净利润预期为5.9/6.3 亿元（此前25-26 年预期为5.8/6.5 亿元），并新增27 年预期为6.8 亿 元，同比+14%/+7%/+9%，对应25-27 年PE 分别为21/19/18x，维持"增持"评级。 风险提示：原材料价格大幅上涨、行业竞争加剧、消费复苏不及预期，食品安全问题 24Q4/25Q1 公司管理费用率分别同比-3.2pct/持平，24Q4 管理费用率下降主因公司冲回股权激励费用。 综合来看24Q4/25Q1 公司归母净利率分别同比+4.3/+2pct，盈利能力强化。 注重股东回报，积极应对舆情。2024 年公司分红率达到99%，2025 年4 月15 日股价对应股息率4.4%， 股东回报优异。2025 年3 月公司针对零添加产品被媒体送检事件发布澄清公告，明确公司零添加产品符 合企业标示的酿造酱油国家标准，且绝不添加食品添加剂。未来随着公司积极 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·调味发酵品Ⅱ 千禾味业（603027） 2024 年报及 25 年一季报点评：战略调整致 收入承压，成本红利提振盈利 增持（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 3,207 | 3,073 | 3,239 | 3,465 | 3,762 | | 同比（%） | 31.62 | (4.16) | 5.38 | 6.98 | 8.57 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 530.45 | 514.15 | 586.22 | 628.14 | 683.38 | | 同比（%） | 54.22 | (3.07) | 14.02 | 7.15 | 8.79 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.52 | 0.50 | 0.57 | 0.61 | 0.66 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 22.80 | 23.53 | 20.63 | 19.26 | 17.70 | [关键词： Ta ...

| [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 3,207 | 3,073 | 3,239 | 3,465 | 3,762 | | 同比（%） | 31.62 | (4.16) | 5.38 | 6.98 | 8.57 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 530.45 | 514.15 | 586.22 | 628.14 | 683.38 | | 同比（%） | 54.22 | (3.07) | 14.02 | 7.15 | 8.79 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.52 | 0.50 | 0.57 | 0.61 | 0.66 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 22.80 | 23.53 | 20.63 | 19.26 | 17.70 | [关键词： Table_Tag#业绩不及预期 ] #困境反转 [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·调味发酵品Ⅱ 千禾味业（603027） 20 ...

4月15日晚间，千禾味业（ 603027.SH）发布去了2024年财报和2025年一季报。2024年，千禾味业实现 营业收入30.73 亿元，同比下降 4.16%，实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润 5.14 亿元，同比下降 3.07%。 其中，酱油和食醋两大核心产品分别实现收入19.64亿元和3.70亿元，同比分别下降3.75%和12.52%，但 是毛利率得到小幅提升。酱油毛利率为38%，较去年提升0.41%，食醋毛利率为40.27%，提升1.2%。 分地区来看，千和味业去年在南方地区的业务表现最佳，营收增长13.99%至2.37亿元，毛利率增长 3.33%至32.24%，其余的东部、中部、北部、西部区域营收和毛利率均下滑。 从渠道来看，千禾味业的收入来源主要依靠线下销售，线下收入24.33亿元，线上收入6亿元，但是线上 毛利率为44.48%,明显高于线下的35.22%。 千禾味业在年报中表示，当前KA渠道客流量逐渐下滑，向线上和社区门店转移，消费者减少到店频 次，就近采购、网上采购、集中采购渐成常态。因此，未来，千禾味业将继续强化电商渠道，通过内容 电商、直播带货等方式，提升品牌影响力和销售业绩，同时深化与K ...