大消费行业主题报告 20251217 摘要 新消费需求涌现，推动大消费板块发展，体现在新产品（个性化、绿色 低碳）、新渠道（零食连锁、折扣业态）和新业态（多元消费场景）三 个方向，并受"十五五"规划支持。 传统消费行业预计 2026 年回暖，居民购买力释放，行业调整修复。食 品饮料行业企稳，白酒基本面或稳定，乳制品有望快速修复。关注提振 就业、增收稳预期等政策措施。 大宗商品市场前高后低，国家出台多维度促销政策提振服务性消费和内 需，商务部等部委发布扩大服务性消费政策意见，旨在通过提升居民生 活质量激发内需潜力。 社会服务领域，旅游出行和美妆零售酝酿变化，消费者转向理性性价比 和精神追求。携程、华住等头部企业通过技术创新和营销满足新兴旅游 需求，中国中免海南业务受益于离岛免税新政。 食品饮料板块筑底企稳，白酒基本面筑底，大众消费具韧性，估值低位。 零食板块业绩分化，新产品红利释放。乳制品需求平稳，供给逐渐出清。 餐饮供应链景气度回升，预制食品龙头竞争优势凸显。 Q&A 2026 年大消费行业的整体趋势和主要推动因素是什么？ 2026 年作为"十五五"规划的开局之年，预计消费刺激政策将持续落地，有 效释放居民消 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603696 | 安记食品 | 21.42 | 10.02% | 3.62万 | 7745.20万 | | 920726 | 朱老六 | 20.74 | 1.32% | 5.20万 | 1.06亿 | | 300908 | 伸景食品 | 28.81 | 0.21% | ● 1.17万 | 3383.86万 | | 603755 | 日辰股份 | 34.64 | 0.20% | 1.80万 | 6223.91万 | | 600872 | 中炬高新 | 17.49 | 0.11% | 6.42万 | 1.12亿 | | 603288 | 海天味业 | 36.51 | 0.00% | 8.19万 | 3.00亿 | | 600186 | 连化控股 | 5.44 | -0.18% | 20.82万 | 1.13亿 | | 002495 | 佳隆股份 | 2.96 | -0.34% | 41.87万 | 1.24亿 | | 600305 | 恒顺醋业 | 7 ...

Core Insights - The report from Huatai Securities indicates that the essential consumer sector has entered a favorable left-side layout window, with expectations for a mild recovery in consumption in the second half of 2026 due to stabilizing real estate prices, increased policy stimulus, and the recovery of household balance sheets [1][2]. Industry Overview - The essential consumer sector is currently at historical low valuation levels and public fund allocation ratios, providing a high safety margin and potential upside for investors [1][2]. - Some sub-industries are showing signs of bottoming out, with leading companies shifting focus from price wars to product innovation and adapting to channel changes [1][2][6]. - Structural changes such as the rebalancing of raw milk cycles, recovery in restaurant demand, and stricter regulations on zero additives are optimizing the competitive landscape of the industry [1][2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends four categories of stocks: 1. Cyclical high-upside stocks, including Gujing Gongjiu, Luzhou Laojiao, China Resources Beer, Qingdao Beer, Haitian Flavoring, Anjuke Food, and Qianhe Flavoring [2][7]. 2. Companies at fundamental turning points, such as Mengniu Dairy and Master Kong [2][7]. 3. High-dividend blue-chip leaders like Yili and Shuanghui Development [2][7]. 4. Small but promising growth stocks, including Ximai Food, Baoli Food, and Yanjinpuzi [2][7]. Market Trends - The report emphasizes a three-stage market strategy from expectation recovery to performance realization for 2026 [2]. - The essential consumer sector is expected to see a gradual improvement in retail sales growth, projected to reach 4.8% in 2026 [25]. - The consumer confidence index has shown some recovery but remains in a low range, indicating cautious consumer sentiment [26]. Sub-Industry Insights - Specific sub-industries are highlighted: 1. Frozen food is showing signs of bottoming out, with expectations for a reduction in price wars in 2026 [6][10]. 2. The dairy sector is anticipated to see a rebalancing of the raw milk cycle, enhancing domestic substitution logic [6][10]. 3. The beer industry is expected to maintain profit resilience due to rational competition and a diminishing demand dividend [6][10]. 4. Traditional condiment leaders are actively adjusting strategies to capture market share [6][10]. Conclusion - The essential consumer sector is positioned for a potential recovery, with various sub-industries adapting to market changes and focusing on innovation and strategic adjustments to enhance competitiveness [1][2][6].

证券代码：603170 证券简称：宝立食品 公告编号：2025-040 上海宝立食品科技股份有限公司 2025年第一次临时股东大会决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 本次会议是否有否决议案：无 一、 会议召开和出席情况 (一)股东大会召开的时间：2025 年 11 月 28 日 | 1、出席会议的股东和代理人人数 | 120 | | --- | --- | | 2、出席会议的股东所持有表决权的股份总数（股） | 253,644,150 | | 3、出席会议的股东所持有表决权股份数占公司有表决权股 | 63.4094 | | 份总数的比例（%） | | (四)表决方式是否符合《公司法》及《公司章程》的规定，大会主持情况等。 (二)股东大会召开的地点：上海市松江区沈砖公路 6088 号 2 号楼 4F 多功能厅 (三)出席会议的普通股股东和恢复表决权的优先股股东及其持有股份情况： 会议由董事长马驹先生主持，采取现场投票与网络投票相结合的表决方式。 表决方式符合《公司法》及《公司章程》的有关规定 ...

浙江天册律师事务所 关于 上海宝立食品科技股份有限公司 2025 年第一次临时股东大会的 法律意见书 浙江省杭州市杭大路 1 号黄龙世纪广场 A 座 11 楼 310007 电话：0571-87901111 传真：0571-87901500 法律意见书 浙江天册律师事务所 关于上海宝立食品科技股份有限公司 在本法律意见书中，本所律师仅对本次股东大会召集、召开程序、出席人员 的资格、召集人的资格、表决程序及表决结果的合法有效性发表意见，不对会议 所审议的议案内容和该等议案中所表述的事实或数据的真实性和准确性发表意见。 本法律意见书仅供公司 2025 年第一次临时股东大会之目的使用。本所律师同 意将本法律意见书随宝立食品本次股东大会其他信息披露资料一并公告，并依法 对本所在其中发表的法律意见承担法律责任。 本所律师根据《股东会规则》的要求，按照律师行业公认的业务标准、道德 规范和勤勉尽责的精神，对宝立食品本次股东大会所涉及的有关事项和相关文件 进行了必要的核查和验证，同时听取了公司就有关事实的陈述和说明。现出具法 律意见如下： 一、本次股东大会召集、召开的程序 2025 年第一次临时股东大会的 法律意见书 编号： ...

Core Insights - The seasoning and fermentation products sector saw a slight increase of 0.22% on November 28, with Anji Food leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3888.6, up 0.34%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12984.08, up 0.85% [1] Stock Performance - Anji Food (603696) closed at 12.96, with a rise of 5.02% and a trading volume of 260,300 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 331 million yuan [1] - Other notable stocks include: - Baoli Food (603170) at 15.01, up 2.04% [1] - Zhu Laoliu (920726) at 21.01, up 1.30% [1] - Hengshun Vinegar (600305) at 7.93, up 1.15% [1] - Anding Yeast (600298) at 41.00, up 0.96% [1] Capital Flow - The seasoning and fermentation products sector experienced a net outflow of 80.487 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 42.9313 million yuan [2] - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors withdrawing funds while retail investors are actively buying [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Anji Food had a net inflow of 9.449 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 10.4815 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Tianwei Food (603317) saw a net inflow of 3.9827 million yuan from institutional investors, but also a net outflow from retail investors [3] - Fuling Pickles (002507) had a net inflow of 3.5402 million yuan from institutional investors, with significant retail outflows [3]

Core Insights - The Italian pasta market in China is experiencing significant growth, with a projected market size of 13.57 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.3% [12] - The consumer base for Italian pasta is expanding beyond first-tier cities to second and third-tier cities, driven by the increasing demand for convenient meal options [12] Industry Overview - Italian pasta, known for its chewy texture and vibrant colors, is made from durum wheat and is categorized into dried and refrigerated instant pasta [2][4] - The industry has evolved through several stages: introduction, local development, rapid growth, brand enhancement, and diversified innovation [4] Market Trends - The demand for ready-to-eat and quick-cook pasta products is rising, particularly among busy professionals and families [12] - The market is seeing innovations such as plant-based and organic pasta, as well as products that incorporate local flavors and ingredients [4][16] Regulatory Environment - Recent regulatory policies aim to ensure food safety and quality in the pasta industry, promoting a shift towards standardized, green, and high-quality production [6] Industry Chain - The upstream of the pasta industry includes durum wheat flour, packaging materials, and production equipment, while the midstream consists of pasta manufacturers [8] - The downstream includes various sales channels such as supermarkets, convenience stores, and online platforms, with offline channels accounting for 58.4% of total sales in 2024 [10] Competitive Landscape - The market features a mix of international brands like Baileys, Moris, and Jasmine, alongside domestic brands such as Kongke and Fengweipai, with competition focused on quality and cost advantages [12][13] - Baileys Food Technology Co., Ltd. is a leading player in the instant pasta segment, achieving significant sales through both online and offline channels [13][14] Future Development - The trend towards health-conscious eating will drive the development of functional pasta products, including whole grain and low-GI options [16] - There is potential for further localization of flavors, incorporating elements from regional Chinese cuisines into pasta products [16]

Core Insights - The seasoning and fermentation products sector experienced a decline of 0.4% on November 26, with Baoli Food leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3864.18, down 0.15%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.02% to 12907.83 [1] Stock Performance - Zhu Laoliu saw a significant increase of 13.18%, closing at 22.41, with a trading volume of 121,000 shares and a turnover of 258 million [1] - Anji Food and Lianhua Holdings also reported gains of 2.85% and 1.83%, respectively [1] - Baoli Food, on the other hand, declined by 0.87%, closing at 14.80, with a trading volume of 22,700 shares and a turnover of approximately 33.8 million [2] Capital Flow - The seasoning and fermentation products sector had a net inflow of 8.96 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 37.35 million [2][3] - Qianhe Flavor Industry had a net inflow of 28.12 million from institutional investors, but a significant outflow of 25.31 million from retail investors [3] - Zhu Laoliu attracted a net inflow of 20.73 million from institutional investors, indicating strong interest despite the overall sector decline [3]

证券日报网讯宝立食品11月24日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司将根据信息披露的规则要求， 在定期报告中披露股东人数。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

Core Viewpoint - Baoli Food reported a steady growth in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a robust operational performance and a strong industry reputation [2] Financial Performance - The company achieved an operating revenue of 2.133 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.50% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company, after deducting non-recurring gains and losses, was 181 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.27% [2] Business Strategy - The company adheres to a core development model focused on "creative output as the source, R&D empowerment as the core, and production sales as the value embodiment" [2] - Continuous product innovation is a key focus area for the company, as highlighted in its periodic reports [2] Corporate Governance - The company emphasizes the maintenance and transmission of corporate value, indicating that it will fulfill information disclosure obligations if there are future share repurchase plans [2]