Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Houxu Asset Management Co., Ltd. plans to reduce its stake in Baoli Food by up to 12,000,300 shares, representing no more than 3% of the total share capital, due to its own funding needs [2][3] Group 1: Shareholder Actions - This is the fourth time Shanghai Houxu has reduced its stake in Baoli Food, having previously completed a reduction of 1,316,400 shares in February 2024 [2][3] - After the current reduction, Shanghai Houxu will hold 6.25% of Baoli Food's shares, which may drop below 5% if the reduction is successful [3] Group 2: Company Performance - Baoli Food reported a revenue of 2.133 billion yuan for the first three quarters of the year, a year-on-year increase of 10.50%, with a net profit of 192 million yuan, also up by 10.59% [5] - The company’s net profit margin for the first three quarters was 10.03%, a slight decrease from the previous year [6] Group 3: Market Position and Strategy - Baoli Food has expanded its business from a restaurant supply chain to include beverage and dessert ingredients, serving major clients like KFC and McDonald's [6] - The company aims to deepen its presence in the C-end market through its brand "Kongke Yimian," which is positioned as a leading product in the light cooking segment [7][8] - The competitive landscape in the C-end market is intensifying, necessitating Baoli Food to innovate in marketing and product offerings [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the restaurant supply chain sector, suggesting increased attention due to signs of demand recovery and growth potential for quality companies [2][38]. Core Insights - The restaurant supply chain sector is experiencing a shift where companies are transitioning from being mere supporters to active drivers of innovation and demand, highlighting the importance of R&D and innovation capabilities [10][22]. - The industry is witnessing a structural opportunity as the chain restaurant rate continues to rise, with expectations for further growth in the coming years [18][10]. - Current valuations in the sector are at historically low levels, indicating potential for recovery as demand improves [30][34]. - The report emphasizes the importance of mergers and acquisitions as companies seek to enhance their competitive positions and bind key customers [22][24]. Summary by Sections Industry Status - Overall demand in the restaurant sector remains weak, but signs of recovery are evident, particularly during holiday periods [10][11]. - The restaurant supply chain industry is projected to maintain a compound annual growth rate of over 15% in the next three years, outperforming the broader restaurant market [14][10]. Company Changes - Companies are increasingly focusing on R&D and innovation to meet the evolving demands of chain restaurants, which require standardized and stable supply [22][10]. - Mergers and acquisitions are being utilized to strengthen customer relationships and enhance resource capabilities [24][22]. - New retail channels are being explored to drive growth, with companies expanding into high-end and online markets [25][10]. Valuation Analysis - The current valuation of the sector is below the 20th percentile of the past decade, suggesting significant upside potential as demand recovers [34][30]. - The report notes that the valuation decline over the past five years has been primarily due to reduced demand and high initial valuations [30][34]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests increasing focus on specific companies such as Haidilao, Angel Yeast, and others, which are expected to benefit from demand recovery and improved operational performance [38][39].

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the dairy products, seasoning, and frozen food industries, focusing on the performance of major companies like Yili and Mengniu, as well as market trends and challenges faced by various brands. Key Points on Dairy Products - The overall dairy market is expected to stabilize in 2025, with Yili outperforming Mengniu. Mengniu's ambient liquid milk has seen a significant decline, but product innovation and channel optimization may lead to growth [1][4]. - Dairy product terminal prices are gradually stabilizing from the second half of 2024, while upstream raw milk prices continue to decline, resulting in a decrease in net profits for distributors, with about one-third currently operating at a loss [1][17]. - The demand for liquid milk is declining, primarily due to reduced gifting and everyday consumption, particularly among low-income consumers [10][18]. - Mengniu's ambient liquid milk sales have declined by approximately 14% to 15% year-on-year, while Yili's decline is around 3% [5][12]. - The dairy industry is experiencing a cyclical downturn, but a rebound is expected in 2026, particularly for high-end products [9][19]. Key Points on Seasoning Market - The seasoning market is overall sluggish in 2025, with many brands failing to meet growth targets. The hot pot base market share is declining, while compound seasoning's share is increasing, but total sales are still in negative growth [1][22]. - Yihai International's hot pot base has declined due to overall industry downturn and competition from private label products, necessitating product innovation and expansion into B-end business [1][23]. - The online and offline price chaos has impacted the market, with a 10% decrease in offline prices compared to 2024 [25][26]. Key Points on Frozen Food Market - The frozen food market has shown signs of recovery in 2025, particularly in October, driven by the sales of hot pot balls. C-end growth is outperforming B-end growth [3][49]. - The overall sales of frozen food have increased by approximately 3% from January to October 2025, with significant growth in products like dumplings and wontons [37][50]. - The sales recovery in the fourth quarter is attributed to inventory clearance and promotional activities [38][39]. Additional Insights - The restaurant industry is witnessing a closure trend, particularly among large stores in shopping malls, but there is potential for recovery in 2026, which may boost hot pot base sales [1][33]. - The performance of brands like Tianwei is hindered by weak channel price control and uneven regional development, resulting in negative growth [30][31]. - The competitive landscape is shifting, with smaller brands struggling to survive due to financial pressures and market competition [56]. Conclusion - The dairy, seasoning, and frozen food industries are navigating a challenging environment with varying performance across different segments. While there are signs of stabilization and potential growth in certain areas, companies must focus on innovation, channel management, and adapting to changing consumer behaviors to capitalize on future opportunities.

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 2.133 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.50%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 192 million yuan, up by 10.59%, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 181 million yuan, an increase of 14.27% [2][4]. - In Q3 2025, the total revenue reached 753 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.60%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 75.20 million yuan, up by 15.71%, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was about 69.98 million yuan, increasing by 17.83% [2][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company's gross profit margin improved by 1.48 percentage points to 33.28%, while the net profit margin increased by 0.01 percentage points to 9.00%. The operating expense ratio rose by 0.42 percentage points to 19.08% [10]. - In Q3 2025, the gross profit margin was 32.55%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.27 percentage points, and the net profit margin improved by 0.10 percentage points to 9.99% [10]. - The company expects net profits attributable to shareholders to be 267 million yuan, 304 million yuan, and 341 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.67 yuan, 0.76 yuan, and 0.85 yuan [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative price increase of over 20% compared to the market benchmark index within the next six months [4][14]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.133 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.50%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 192 million yuan, also up by 10.59% year-on-year [2]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 753 million yuan, marking a 14.60% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 75 million yuan, up 15.71% year-on-year [2]. - The direct sales channel showed strong performance, with revenue reaching 611 million yuan in Q3 2025, a growth of 17.70% year-on-year, attributed to the expansion into new channels [2]. Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved a gross margin of 32.55% in Q3 2025, an increase of 1.27 percentage points year-on-year, although it decreased by 2.13 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The total expenses as a percentage of revenue showed stability year-on-year, with a slight reduction in the quarter-on-quarter expense ratio due to the end of phase-specific expenditures [3]. - The net profit margin for Q3 2025 was 9.99%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.10 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter improvement of 1.78 percentage points [3]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts net profits for the years 2025 to 2027 to be 258 million, 302 million, and 344 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11%, 17%, and 14% [4]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are projected to be 0.64, 0.75, and 0.86 yuan per share, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 23x, 19x, and 17x [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported a steady performance in Q3 2025, with revenue and net profit for the first three quarters reaching 2.133 billion and 192 million yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 10.5% and 10.6% [4] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue and net profit of 753 million and 75 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 14.6% and 15.7% [4] - All business segments experienced revenue growth, with significant acceleration in the South China, Southwest, and Northwest regions [5] Revenue Performance - For Q3 2025, revenue growth by product was as follows: compound seasoning +9.7%, light cooking solutions +25.0%, and beverage dessert ingredients +3.7% [5] - By region, Q3 2025 revenue growth was: East China +12.0%, South China +101.2%, North China +14.6%, Central China -4.9%, Northeast +16.4%, Southwest +38.0%, Northwest +92.1%, and overseas -20.2% [5] Sales Model - In Q3 2025, direct sales and non-direct sales generated revenues of 610 million and 120 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 17.7% and 5.2% [6] - The company has expanded its distribution network, increasing the number of distributors to 517, a net increase of 14 from Q2 2025 [6] Profitability and Cost Control - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's gross margin was 33.3%, up 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to changes in revenue structure and improved production efficiency [6] - The net profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 9.0%, remaining stable year-on-year [6] Long-term Growth Potential - The company is expected to maintain strong growth momentum, particularly in the C-end revenue driven by the expansion of light cooking solutions, while the B-end will focus on acquiring new customers and maximizing existing customer potential [7] - The company is actively innovating its product matrix and expanding into new channels, indicating robust long-term growth potential [7] Financial Forecasts - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 264 million, 307 million, and 337 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.66, 0.77, and 0.84 yuan [7] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 22x for 2025, 19x for 2026, and 17x for 2027 [7]

Core Viewpoint - Baoli Food is a leading supplier of compound seasonings in China, with a strong competitive edge in the food seasoning sector and a complete industry chain advantage [1] Group 1: Business Performance - In Q3 2025, Baoli Food reported revenue of 2.133 billion yuan, ranking 6th among 15 companies in the industry, while the industry leader, Haitian Flavoring, achieved revenue of 21.628 billion yuan [2] - The company's net profit for the same period was 214 million yuan, placing it 8th in the industry, with the top performer, Haitian Flavoring, reporting a net profit of 5.33 billion yuan [2] - The main business segments include light cooking solutions (636 million yuan, 46.10%), compound seasonings (630 million yuan, 45.61%), beverage and dessert ingredients (79.99 million yuan, 5.80%), and others (34.39 million yuan, 2.49%) [2] Group 2: Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, Baoli Food's debt-to-asset ratio was 28.44%, down from 30.34% year-on-year, which is higher than the industry average of 20.91% [3] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 33.28%, an increase from 31.80% year-on-year, but still below the industry average of 34.44% [3] Group 3: Management and Shareholder Information - The chairman, Ma Ju, has a salary of 1.2459 million yuan for 2024, an increase of 31,000 yuan from 2023, and has extensive industry experience [4] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders decreased by 13.61% to 10,300, while the average number of shares held per shareholder increased by 191.55% to 38,700 [5] Group 4: Market Outlook and Analyst Ratings - Analysts from Huachuang Securities noted that Baoli Food's performance in the first three quarters of 2025 was stable, with Q3 revenue slightly exceeding expectations [5] - Key business highlights include strong growth in B-end sales, continued improvement in C-end sales, and a favorable product mix driving gross margin improvement [6] - EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 0.67, 0.76, and 0.87 yuan, with a target price of 18.2 yuan based on a PE ratio of 23.9 for 2026 [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - Baoli Food announced its second board meeting on October 29, 2025, to discuss the "Shareholder Dividend Return Plan for the Next Three Years" [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Baoli Food's revenue composition was as follows: Light Cooking Solutions accounted for 46.1%, Compound Seasonings 45.61%, Beverage and Dessert Ingredients 5.8%, and Other Businesses 2.49% [1] - As of the report date, Baoli Food's market capitalization was 5.8 billion yuan [1]

Group 1 - The company Baoli Food (SH 603170) announced the appointment of Mr. Ren Ming as the secretary of the board of directors on October 29 [1] - For the first half of 2025, Baoli Food's revenue composition is as follows: light cooking solutions account for 46.1%, compound seasonings account for 45.61%, beverage and dessert ingredients account for 5.8%, and other businesses account for 2.49% [1] - As of the report date, Baoli Food has a market capitalization of 5.8 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The A-share market has surpassed 4000 points, marking a significant resurgence after a decade of stagnation, with technology leading the market's transformation into a "slow bull" new pattern [1]

（一）主营业务按产品类别分类情况： | 金额单位：人民币万元 | | --- | | 产品类别 | 年第三季度 2025 | | 年第三季度 2024 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 金额 | 占比 | 金额 | 占比 | | 复合调味料 | 38,217.00 | 52.17% | 34,839.26 | 54.90% | | 轻烹解决方案 | 31,429.82 | 42.91% | 25,150.04 | 39.63% | | 饮品甜点配料 | 3,604.74 | 4.92% | 3,475.25 | 5.48% | | 合计 | 73,251.55 | 100.00% | 63,464.55 | 100.00% | 证券代码：603170 证券简称：宝立食品 公告编号：2025-033 上海宝立食品科技股份有限公司 2025 年第三季度主要经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 根据上海证券交易所《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 3 号行业信 ...