Market Overview - On February 2, the A-share market experienced a significant adjustment, with all three major indices falling over 2%, and the Sci-Tech 50 Index dropping over 3% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.61 trillion yuan, a decrease of 255.8 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - More than 4,600 stocks in the market declined, with 123 stocks hitting the daily limit down [1] Sector Performance - The liquor sector showed resilience, with Huangtai Liquor (000995) achieving three consecutive limit-up days, and Jinhuijiu (603919) recording two limit-up days in three days [1] - The electric grid equipment sector performed well against the trend, with multiple stocks such as Hancable (002498) and Baiyun Electric (603861) hitting the limit-up [1] - Conversely, the storage chip sector faced a severe downturn, with stocks like Zhaoyi Innovation (603986) and Kaipu Cloud hitting the limit down, and Huahong Semiconductor dropping over 12% [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector also suffered significant losses, with stocks like Sichuan Gold (001337) and Chifeng Gold (600988) hitting the limit down [1] Commodity Market - On February 2, spot gold prices fell below $4,500 per ounce for the first time since January 9, closing around $4,528 per ounce [2] - Spot silver also dropped significantly, falling over 12% to around $72 per ounce [2] - The sell-off in precious metals extended to other commodities, with over 10 futures contracts, including gold, silver, and crude oil, hitting limit down [2] - Gold-themed funds experienced widespread limit downs, with all seven gold ETFs and multiple other gold-related funds hitting the limit down [2] Oil Market - International oil prices continued to decline, with WTI and Brent crude both dropping over 5%, settling at $61 per barrel and $65 per barrel, respectively [3] - The agricultural sector also faced declines, with stocks like Dabeinong (002385) and Xiamen Xiangyu (600057) hitting the limit down [3]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic precious metals market experienced a historic shock on February 2, 2026, with significant declines in futures and stocks, prompting the Shanghai Gold Exchange to implement emergency risk control measures to stabilize the market [2][3][4]. Market Reaction - On February 2, the main silver futures contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange hit the limit down, while gold futures fell over 10%, leading to a collective drop in the A-share precious metals sector, with over ten stocks hitting the limit down [2][6][7]. - The spot gold price fell below $4600 per ounce, with an intraday decline of 6.25%, reflecting a broader panic in the market [2][9]. Regulatory Response - The Shanghai Gold Exchange issued an urgent announcement to adjust the margin levels and price fluctuation limits for silver deferred contracts, aiming to curb excessive volatility and maintain market stability [3][4]. - The margin for silver contracts was raised from 20% to 26%, and the price fluctuation limit was increased from 19% to 25% in response to significant price movements [3][4]. Underlying Factors - The recent volatility in the precious metals market was attributed to multiple factors, including external liquidity concerns, changes in Federal Reserve policies, and panic selling among investors [11][12][14]. - The sharp decline in international gold prices, which fell over 12% in a single day, and the extreme volatility in silver prices, which dropped over 36%, were significant contributors to the market's instability [4][11]. Broader Market Impact - The panic in the precious metals market led to a domino effect, causing declines in related sectors such as oil and gas and telecommunications, with many stocks in these sectors also experiencing significant drops [10][11]. - The domestic commodity futures market saw widespread declines, with various precious metal futures hitting limit down, reflecting a broader market retreat [8][10]. Future Outlook - The long-term outlook for precious metals remains influenced by several key variables, including Federal Reserve policy adjustments, global liquidity changes, and geopolitical uncertainties [27][28]. - Despite the short-term volatility, the fundamental drivers for gold's long-term value, such as ongoing monetary easing and strong central bank demand, remain intact [24][25].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a significant decline in various sectors of the A-share market, particularly in precious metals and energy, driven by external market pressures and changes in liquidity conditions [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Reactions - The precious metals sector in A-shares experienced a sharp decline, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit down, including companies like Xiaocheng Technology and Zhaojin Gold [1]. - The oil and gas sector also faced severe losses, with companies such as Tongyuan Petroleum and Zhongman Petroleum hitting the daily limit down due to a drop in natural gas prices influenced by warmer weather forecasts [2]. - Commodity futures markets saw widespread declines, with major contracts like silver and gold futures hitting limit down, reflecting a broader market sell-off [2]. Group 2: External Influences - The U.S. leveraged loan index has fallen to its lowest point since April 2025, indicating potential liquidity issues in the market, which is further corroborated by a significant drop in the cryptocurrency market [3]. - The adjustment of margin levels and price limits for silver contracts by the Shanghai Gold Exchange suggests increased volatility and risk in the precious metals market [1]. Group 3: Liquidity Concerns - A report from Tianfeng Securities highlights that the U.S. dollar liquidity index has dropped to -60%, indicating extreme tightening that could impact global assets [5]. - The potential appointment of Kevin Warsh as the new Federal Reserve Chair has raised concerns about a hawkish monetary policy, which could lead to further tightening and affect market expectations for interest rates [6].

Market Overview - The A-share market opened with mixed results on February 2, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.93%, Shenzhen Component Index down 0.54%, and the ChiNext Index up 0.65 [1] - The market showed slight fluctuations in the morning, with the declines in the Shanghai and Shenzhen indices narrowing while the ChiNext Index continued to rise [1] Nonferrous Metals Sector - The nonferrous metals sector experienced a significant drop, with the index falling nearly 7% and over 30 stocks hitting the daily limit down during the opening [2][3] - Major stocks such as Xiaocheng Technology (300139) and Jiangxi Copper (600362) also faced limit down situations [3] Precious Metals Futures - Domestic precious metals and nonferrous metal futures saw a sharp decline, with silver futures down 17% and gold futures down over 14% [5][6] - Spot gold and silver initially rebounded but then continued to decline, with gold dropping over 6% and silver nearly 8% [7] Oil and Petrochemical Sector - The oil and petrochemical sector also faced declines, with major stocks like Zhongman Petroleum (603619) and PetroChina (600759) hitting limit down [8][9] - The drop in international oil prices was influenced by geopolitical tensions in Iran, with recent statements from U.S. President Trump indicating a desire for negotiations [8] Telecommunications Sector - The three major telecom operators, China Mobile (600941), China Telecom (601728), and China Unicom, all saw declines of over 4% [10] - A recent announcement from the Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration indicated an increase in VAT rates for telecom services starting January 1, 2026, which may impact revenue and profits [11] Liquor Sector - The liquor sector saw a rebound, with stocks like Shui Jing Fang (600779) and Huangtai Liquor (000995) hitting the daily limit up [12][13] - The liquor industry has been in a correction phase for about five years, with current valuations and institutional positions at historical lows, suggesting potential for recovery [14]

Group 1 - Zhongman Petroleum experienced a limit down on February 2, with a stock price of 31.22 CNY per share, a trading volume of 72.86 million CNY, a turnover rate of 0.50%, and a total market capitalization of 14.434 billion CNY [1] - Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas Group Co., Ltd. is located at 3998 Jiangshan Road, Pudong New District, Shanghai, established on June 13, 2003, and listed on November 17, 2017. The company's main business includes exploration and development, oilfield engineering, and petroleum equipment manufacturing [1] - The revenue composition of Zhongman Petroleum includes 54.70% from crude oil and its derivatives, 38.43% from drilling engineering services, 5.97% from sales and leasing of drilling rigs and accessories, 0.66% from other sources, and 0.24% from trading of petroleum products and pipes [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of top ten holdings in funds, only one fund under Wanjia Fund holds Zhongman Petroleum, specifically Wanjia Ruiyi A (001635), which held 36,400 shares in the fourth quarter, accounting for 0.52% of the fund's net value, ranking as the tenth largest holding [2] - Wanjia Ruiyi A (001635) was established on December 7, 2015, with a latest scale of 4.786 million CNY. Year-to-date return is 0.95%, ranking 7708 out of 9000 in its category; the one-year return is 5.55%, ranking 7213 out of 8193; and the return since inception is 64.74% [2] - The fund manager of Wanjia Ruiyi A (001635) is Meng Xiangjuan, who has been in the position for 2 years and 173 days, with a total asset scale of 162 million CNY. The best fund return during her tenure is 4.6%, while the worst is 4.08% [2]

Group 1 - Oil and gas stocks opened significantly lower, with Tongyuan Petroleum, Zhongman Petroleum, Jun Oil Co., and Shandong Molong hitting the daily limit down, while Keli Co. fell over 14% [2] - Brent crude oil futures saw an expanded decline of 3%, trading at $67.208 per barrel [2]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongman Petroleum (603619) experienced a significant stock price decline of 6.92% on January 30, 2026, closing at 34.69 yuan, despite a cumulative increase of 34% over the previous ten trading days [1][2][6]. Trading Information Summary - On January 30, Zhongman Petroleum's trading volume reached 710,478,000 yuan, with a turnover rate of 15.37% [1][2]. - Over the last ten trading days, there was a net outflow of 375 million yuan from major funds, while the financing balance increased by 96.07 million yuan [2][6]. - The stock received two buy ratings from institutions in the last 90 days [2]. Fund Flow Analysis - On January 30, major funds had a net outflow of 366 million yuan, accounting for 13.87% of the total trading volume, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 274 million yuan, representing 10.39% of the total [3][6]. Stock Performance and Market Activity - Zhongman Petroleum was listed on the "Dragon and Tiger List" for the second time in five trading days due to its price fluctuation reaching 15% [4][6]. - The stock's price deviation exceeded 20% over two consecutive trading days, indicating abnormal trading activity [7]. Company Announcements - The controlling shareholder and actual controller confirmed that there are no undisclosed significant matters affecting stock trading fluctuations, and they did not trade the company's stock during the price volatility period [5][6][7]. - Shareholders Zhu Fengxue, Gongrong Investment, and Gongyuan Investment collectively reduced their holdings, with Zhu reducing by 1.47% and the other two completely exiting their positions [5][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the oil processing industry [1]. Core Insights - International oil prices have significantly strengthened due to escalating geopolitical risks in Iran and adverse weather conditions affecting U.S. oil production. As of January 30, 2026, Brent and WTI prices were reported at $69.32 and $65.21 per barrel, respectively, marking increases of 6.53% and 6.78% from the previous week [2][9]. - The oil and petrochemical sector has shown strong performance, with the sector index rising by 7.95% as of January 30, 2026, compared to a slight increase of 0.08% in the broader market index [10]. - The report highlights a notable increase in the number of active offshore drilling platforms, with a total of 376 self-elevating platforms and 134 floating platforms as of January 26, 2026 [26]. Summary by Sections Oil Price Review - Brent crude futures settled at $69.32 per barrel, up $4.25 (+6.53%) from the previous week, while WTI crude futures rose to $65.21 per barrel, an increase of $4.14 (+6.78%) [23]. - The Urals crude price remained stable at $65.49 per barrel, while ESPO crude increased by $4.42 (+8.66%) to $55.46 per barrel [23]. Offshore Drilling Services - The global count of self-elevating drilling platforms remained at 376, while floating platforms increased by one to a total of 134 [26]. U.S. Oil Supply - U.S. crude oil production was reported at 13.696 million barrels per day, a decrease of 36,000 barrels from the previous week. The number of active drilling rigs remained stable at 411 [32]. - The U.S. fracking fleet decreased by 15 units to a total of 148 [32]. U.S. Oil Demand - U.S. refinery crude processing averaged 16.209 million barrels per day, down by 395,000 barrels from the previous week, with a refinery utilization rate of 90.90%, a decline of 2.4 percentage points [40]. U.S. Oil Inventory - Total U.S. crude oil inventories stood at 839 million barrels, a decrease of 1.78 million barrels (-0.21%) from the previous week. Strategic reserves increased by 515,000 barrels (+0.12%), while commercial inventories fell by 2.295 million barrels (-0.54%) [49]. Related Companies - Key companies in the sector include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) [3].

Group 1: Market Outlook - The current market environment is characterized by ample liquidity, with structural highlights in the fundamentals indicated by high-frequency economic tracking and company performance forecasts[3] - The equity market is expected to continue its upward trend, with a focus on sectors benefiting from both domestic and external demand, particularly in technology manufacturing and cyclical industries[3] Group 2: Recommended Stocks - Beijing Junzheng (300223.SZ) has a total market value of RMB 66.2 billion, with a TTM PE of 208.6 and PB of 5.3, driven by the upward cycle in storage and L3 autonomous driving catalyzing automotive electronics[3] - Jingfang Technology (603005.SH) has a market cap of RMB 20.1 billion, TTM PE of 58.9, and PB of 4.4, benefiting from the expansion of automotive CIS demand, with a projected net profit growth of 44.41%-52.32% in 2025[3] - Haiguang Information (688041.SH) has a market value of RMB 607.3 billion, TTM PE of 256.6, and PB of 27.7, positioned to benefit from the AI wave and domestic substitution trends[3] - Hehe Information (688615.SH) has a market cap of RMB 40.6 billion, TTM PE of 91.1, and PB of 14.5, with accelerated profit growth driven by AI and overseas market expansion[3] - Jinfeng Technology (002202.SZ) has a market value of RMB 103.4 billion, TTM PE of 42.8, and PB of 3.0, with improving profitability in wind turbine manufacturing and green methanol projects[3] - Luoyang Molybdenum (603993.SH) has a market cap of RMB 55.74 billion, TTM PE of 29.6, and PB of 7.4, with copper prices expected to rise, benefiting from volume and price increases[3] - Zhongman Petroleum (603619.SH) has a market value of RMB 17.2 billion, TTM PE of 33.7, and PB of 4.0, with high growth potential amid rising oil prices[3] - Beixin Building Materials (000786.SZ) has a market cap of RMB 48.6 billion, TTM PE of 15.7, and PB of 1.8, with expected recovery in gypsum board profitability[3] - China Duty Free (601888.SH) has a market value of RMB 190.3 billion, TTM PE of 56.2, and PB of 3.4, with anticipated recovery in operations due to strategic partnerships[3] - China Pacific Insurance (601601.SH) has a market cap of RMB 414.6 billion, TTM PE of 8.5, and PB of 1.6, with stable growth in liabilities and high dividend yield[3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the oil and gas sector, including China National Petroleum Corporation, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, Zhongman Petroleum, and New Natural Gas [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights that geopolitical tensions and cold weather have led to supply contraction expectations, driving oil prices up significantly. The U.S. oil production was impacted by a winter storm, resulting in a loss of up to 2 million barrels per day, approximately 15% of total U.S. production. Additionally, the report notes that geopolitical developments, particularly regarding Iran and the Middle East, will continue to influence short-term oil price fluctuations [8][11]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights - The oil and petrochemical sector saw a 6.9% increase, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 0.1% [16][19]. 2. Market Performance - The report indicates that the oil extraction sub-sector had the highest weekly increase of 12.3%, while the oil product sales and storage sub-sector had the smallest increase of 0.7% [19]. 3. Company Performance - Notable performers in the oil and petrochemical sector included PetroChina, which is recommended for its stable performance and high dividends, and CNOOC, which is highlighted for its low production costs and growth potential [14]. 4. Industry Dynamics - The report discusses OPEC+'s decision to maintain stable oil production levels amidst geopolitical risks and supply concerns. It also mentions the EU's approval to stop importing Russian natural gas by the end of 2027, which could impact global energy dynamics [24][25]. 5. Oil and Gas Prices - As of January 30, Brent crude oil futures settled at $70.69 per barrel, a 7.30% increase week-on-week, while WTI futures rose by 6.78% to $65.21 per barrel. The report also notes a decrease in U.S. oil production and refinery processing rates [12][13]. 6. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests three main investment lines: focusing on stable industry leaders like PetroChina and Sinopec, considering CNOOC for its strong earnings potential, and looking at growth companies like New Natural Gas and Zhongman Petroleum due to domestic encouragement for oil and gas production [14].