Group 1: Geopolitical Developments - Serbian President Vucic predicts that Iran will face military strikes within 48 hours, linking the timing to Epstein-related documents [1] - Iranian officials deny plans for military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz, stating that reports of such drills are inaccurate [1] Group 2: U.S.-Iran Relations - U.S. President Trump expresses hope for an agreement with Iran, while Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif maintains confidence in reaching a nuclear deal [3][10] - Zarif indicates that Iran is working with regional partners to build trust with the U.S. for negotiations, which have shown some effectiveness [5][11] - Zarif emphasizes the importance of substance over form in negotiations, reiterating Iran's desire for the U.S. to lift long-standing sanctions and respect its rights to uranium enrichment [11] Group 3: Commodity Market Trends - The commodity market experiences a significant downturn, with gold, silver, crude oil, and industrial metals leading the decline due to hawkish expectations from the Fed and a strengthening dollar [12] - A large sell-off in the A-share market sees major indices drop over 2%, with significant losses in resource sectors and semiconductor stocks [12] - Silver and other precious metals face substantial selling pressure, with notable sell orders exceeding 66 billion for Silver [9] Group 4: Company Developments - Tesla announces the upcoming launch of its third-generation humanoid robot, designed to learn new skills by observing human behavior, with an expected annual production of one million units [13]

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 920088 | 科力股份 | 42.50 | -17.95% | 10.74万 | 4.72 乙 | | 300164 | 通源石油 | 11.05 | -14.21% | 240.79万 | 26.98亿 | | 300191 | 潜能恒信 | 27.31 | -12.83% | 36.98万 | 10.38亿 | | 603619 | 中曼石油 | 31.22 | -10.00% | - 4.88万 | 1.52亿 | | 002207 | 准油股份 | 10.01 | -9.98% | 4.23万 | 4236.13万 | | 600871 | 石化油服 | 3.07 | -9.97% | 82.22万 | 2.52亿 | | 600339 | 中油工程 | 3.84 | -8.13% | 256.35万 | 10.05 Z | | 002828 | 贝肯能源 | 12.08 | -7.72% | 42.97万 | 5.22亿 | | 60 ...

此外，油气板块也出现跌停潮，中曼石油（603619）、准油股份（002207）、石化油服（600871）等多 股跌停。嘉实原油LOF、石油基金LOF、石油LOF、原油LOF易方达、中信保诚商品LOF、南方原油 LOF、大宗商品LOF、资源LOF、国投资源LOF等此前高溢价的场内资源品主题基金也集体跌停。 消息面上，国际油价持续下挫，美油、布油双双跌破5%，分别报61美元/桶和65美元/桶。据新华社报 道，美国总统特朗普1日对媒体表示，希望伊朗能与美国达成核协议，否则世界"很快就会看到"伊朗最 高领袖哈梅内伊的警告是否正确。 当天农业板块也跌幅居前，大北农（002385）、厦门象屿（600057）跌停，智慧农业、史丹利 （002588）等多股跟跌。 消息面上，2日下午，现货黄金一度失守4500美元/盎司，为1月9日以来首次，截至发稿跌至4528美元/ 盎司附近。现货白银也一度跌破72美元/盎司，日内跌超12%，现报72美元/盎司。贵金属市场的抛售情 绪显著扩散至其他品种。国内期货市场普跌，有超过10个期货品种主力合约封住或触及跌停，涉及黄 金、白银、铂、钯、铜、铝、镍、原油、碳酸锂等。 新湖期货认为，长期来看， ...

Core Viewpoint - The domestic precious metals market experienced a historic shock on February 2, 2026, with significant declines in futures and stocks, prompting the Shanghai Gold Exchange to implement emergency risk control measures to stabilize the market [2][3][4]. Market Reaction - On February 2, the main silver futures contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange hit the limit down, while gold futures fell over 10%, leading to a collective drop in the A-share precious metals sector, with over ten stocks hitting the limit down [2][6][7]. - The spot gold price fell below $4600 per ounce, with an intraday decline of 6.25%, reflecting a broader panic in the market [2][9]. Regulatory Response - The Shanghai Gold Exchange issued an urgent announcement to adjust the margin levels and price fluctuation limits for silver deferred contracts, aiming to curb excessive volatility and maintain market stability [3][4]. - The margin for silver contracts was raised from 20% to 26%, and the price fluctuation limit was increased from 19% to 25% in response to significant price movements [3][4]. Underlying Factors - The recent volatility in the precious metals market was attributed to multiple factors, including external liquidity concerns, changes in Federal Reserve policies, and panic selling among investors [11][12][14]. - The sharp decline in international gold prices, which fell over 12% in a single day, and the extreme volatility in silver prices, which dropped over 36%, were significant contributors to the market's instability [4][11]. Broader Market Impact - The panic in the precious metals market led to a domino effect, causing declines in related sectors such as oil and gas and telecommunications, with many stocks in these sectors also experiencing significant drops [10][11]. - The domestic commodity futures market saw widespread declines, with various precious metal futures hitting limit down, reflecting a broader market retreat [8][10]. Future Outlook - The long-term outlook for precious metals remains influenced by several key variables, including Federal Reserve policy adjustments, global liquidity changes, and geopolitical uncertainties [27][28]. - Despite the short-term volatility, the fundamental drivers for gold's long-term value, such as ongoing monetary easing and strong central bank demand, remain intact [24][25].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a significant decline in various sectors of the A-share market, particularly in precious metals and energy, driven by external market pressures and changes in liquidity conditions [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Reactions - The precious metals sector in A-shares experienced a sharp decline, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit down, including companies like Xiaocheng Technology and Zhaojin Gold [1]. - The oil and gas sector also faced severe losses, with companies such as Tongyuan Petroleum and Zhongman Petroleum hitting the daily limit down due to a drop in natural gas prices influenced by warmer weather forecasts [2]. - Commodity futures markets saw widespread declines, with major contracts like silver and gold futures hitting limit down, reflecting a broader market sell-off [2]. Group 2: External Influences - The U.S. leveraged loan index has fallen to its lowest point since April 2025, indicating potential liquidity issues in the market, which is further corroborated by a significant drop in the cryptocurrency market [3]. - The adjustment of margin levels and price limits for silver contracts by the Shanghai Gold Exchange suggests increased volatility and risk in the precious metals market [1]. Group 3: Liquidity Concerns - A report from Tianfeng Securities highlights that the U.S. dollar liquidity index has dropped to -60%, indicating extreme tightening that could impact global assets [5]. - The potential appointment of Kevin Warsh as the new Federal Reserve Chair has raised concerns about a hawkish monetary policy, which could lead to further tightening and affect market expectations for interest rates [6].

Market Overview - The A-share market opened with mixed results on February 2, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.93%, Shenzhen Component Index down 0.54%, and the ChiNext Index up 0.65 [1] - The market showed slight fluctuations in the morning, with the declines in the Shanghai and Shenzhen indices narrowing while the ChiNext Index continued to rise [1] Nonferrous Metals Sector - The nonferrous metals sector experienced a significant drop, with the index falling nearly 7% and over 30 stocks hitting the daily limit down during the opening [2][3] - Major stocks such as Xiaocheng Technology (300139) and Jiangxi Copper (600362) also faced limit down situations [3] Precious Metals Futures - Domestic precious metals and nonferrous metal futures saw a sharp decline, with silver futures down 17% and gold futures down over 14% [5][6] - Spot gold and silver initially rebounded but then continued to decline, with gold dropping over 6% and silver nearly 8% [7] Oil and Petrochemical Sector - The oil and petrochemical sector also faced declines, with major stocks like Zhongman Petroleum (603619) and PetroChina (600759) hitting limit down [8][9] - The drop in international oil prices was influenced by geopolitical tensions in Iran, with recent statements from U.S. President Trump indicating a desire for negotiations [8] Telecommunications Sector - The three major telecom operators, China Mobile (600941), China Telecom (601728), and China Unicom, all saw declines of over 4% [10] - A recent announcement from the Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration indicated an increase in VAT rates for telecom services starting January 1, 2026, which may impact revenue and profits [11] Liquor Sector - The liquor sector saw a rebound, with stocks like Shui Jing Fang (600779) and Huangtai Liquor (000995) hitting the daily limit up [12][13] - The liquor industry has been in a correction phase for about five years, with current valuations and institutional positions at historical lows, suggesting potential for recovery [14]

2月2日，中曼石油跌停，截至发稿，报31.22元/股，成交7285.81万元，换手率0.50%，总市值144.34亿 元。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，万家基金旗下1只基金重仓中曼石油。万家瑞益A（001635）四季度持有股数3.64万股，占基 金净值比例为0.52%，位居第十大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮亏损失约12.63万元。 万家瑞益A（001635）成立日期2015年12月7日，最新规模478.6万。今年以来收益0.95%，同类排名 7708/9000；近一年收益5.55%，同类排名7213/8193；成立以来收益64.74%。 万家瑞益A（001635）基金经理为孟祥娟。 资料显示，中曼石油天然气集团股份有限公司位于上海市浦东新区江山路3998号，成立日期2003年6月 13日，上市日期2017年11月17日，公司主营业务涉及涵盖勘探开发、油服工程、石油装备制造,。主营 业务收入构成为：原油及其衍生品54.70%，钻井工程服务38.43%，钻机及配件销售和租赁5.97%，其他 (补充)0.66%，石油及制品、石油管材贸易0.24%。 截至发稿，孟祥娟累计任职时间2年173天，现任基金资产总规模1.6 ...

Group 1 - Oil and gas stocks opened significantly lower, with Tongyuan Petroleum, Zhongman Petroleum, Jun Oil Co., and Shandong Molong hitting the daily limit down, while Keli Co. fell over 14% [2] - Brent crude oil futures saw an expanded decline of 3%, trading at $67.208 per barrel [2]

截至2026年1月30日收盘，中曼石油(603619)报收于34.69元，下跌6.92%，换手率15.37%，成交量71.05 万手，成交额26.37亿元。 当日关注点 中曼石油股东减持股份结果公告 股价提醒 1月30日中曼石油（603619）收盘报34.69元，跌6.92%，当日成交7104.78万元。前10个交易日资金流向 情况：主力资金累计净流出3.75亿元，股价累计上涨34%；融资余额累计增加9606.85万元，融券余量累 计增加3.37万股。该股最近90天内共有2家机构给出评级，买入评级2家。 资金流向 1月30日主力资金净流出3.66亿元，占总成交额13.87%；游资资金净流入9157.85万元，占总成交额 3.47%；散户资金净流入2.74亿元，占总成交额10.39%。 龙虎榜上榜 沪深交易所2026年1月30日公布的交易公开信息显示，中曼石油（603619）因有价格涨跌幅限制的日价 格振幅达到15%的前五只证券登上龙虎榜。此次是近5个交易日内第2次上榜。 公司公告汇总 控股股东、实际控制人关于《中曼石油天然气集团股份有限公司股票交易异常波动问询函》的回复 中曼石油天然气集团股份有限公司控股股东 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the oil processing industry [1]. Core Insights - International oil prices have significantly strengthened due to escalating geopolitical risks in Iran and adverse weather conditions affecting U.S. oil production. As of January 30, 2026, Brent and WTI prices were reported at $69.32 and $65.21 per barrel, respectively, marking increases of 6.53% and 6.78% from the previous week [2][9]. - The oil and petrochemical sector has shown strong performance, with the sector index rising by 7.95% as of January 30, 2026, compared to a slight increase of 0.08% in the broader market index [10]. - The report highlights a notable increase in the number of active offshore drilling platforms, with a total of 376 self-elevating platforms and 134 floating platforms as of January 26, 2026 [26]. Summary by Sections Oil Price Review - Brent crude futures settled at $69.32 per barrel, up $4.25 (+6.53%) from the previous week, while WTI crude futures rose to $65.21 per barrel, an increase of $4.14 (+6.78%) [23]. - The Urals crude price remained stable at $65.49 per barrel, while ESPO crude increased by $4.42 (+8.66%) to $55.46 per barrel [23]. Offshore Drilling Services - The global count of self-elevating drilling platforms remained at 376, while floating platforms increased by one to a total of 134 [26]. U.S. Oil Supply - U.S. crude oil production was reported at 13.696 million barrels per day, a decrease of 36,000 barrels from the previous week. The number of active drilling rigs remained stable at 411 [32]. - The U.S. fracking fleet decreased by 15 units to a total of 148 [32]. U.S. Oil Demand - U.S. refinery crude processing averaged 16.209 million barrels per day, down by 395,000 barrels from the previous week, with a refinery utilization rate of 90.90%, a decline of 2.4 percentage points [40]. U.S. Oil Inventory - Total U.S. crude oil inventories stood at 839 million barrels, a decrease of 1.78 million barrels (-0.21%) from the previous week. Strategic reserves increased by 515,000 barrels (+0.12%), while commercial inventories fell by 2.295 million barrels (-0.54%) [49]. Related Companies - Key companies in the sector include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) [3].