Market Overview - The semiconductor sector experienced a decline of 1.13% on November 7, with Daway Technology leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3997.56, down 0.25%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13404.06, down 0.36% [1] Top Gainers in Semiconductor Sector - Kangqiang Electronics (002119) saw a significant increase of 10.02%, closing at 21.08 with a trading volume of 745,900 shares [1] - Wentai Technology (600745) rose by 9.70%, closing at 45.00 with a trading volume of 902,200 shares [1] - Changguang Huaxin (688048) increased by 9.01%, closing at 87.50 with a trading volume of 268,200 shares [1] Top Losers in Semiconductor Sector - Daway Technology (002213) fell by 5.66%, closing at 26.48 with a trading volume of 604,100 shares [2] - Canxin Technology (688691) decreased by 5.28%, closing at 115.73 with a trading volume of 67,900 shares [2] - Fudan Microelectronics (688385) dropped by 4.85%, closing at 57.90 with a trading volume of 136,600 shares [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The semiconductor sector experienced a net outflow of 4.338 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 2.454 billion yuan [2][3] - Notable net inflows from retail investors were observed in Kangqiang Electronics and New Clean Energy, with net inflows of 1.41 billion yuan and 1.15 billion yuan respectively [3] Summary of Trading Data - The trading data indicates a mixed performance among semiconductor stocks, with significant volatility in both gains and losses across various companies [1][2][3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q3 2025 results, showing a significant increase in revenue and profit in Q3, while facing challenges in the first three quarters of the year, leading to a decline in net profit year-over-year. Revenue Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.024 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 12.7% [1] - In Q3 2025, revenue reached 1.186 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year growth of 33.3% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 24.7% [3] - Revenue breakdown for Q3 includes: - Security and identification chips: 239 million yuan, up 16.0% YoY, up 25.8% QoQ - Non-volatile memory: 343 million yuan, up 44.1% YoY, up 69.0% QoQ - Smart meter chips: 139 million yuan, up 41.8% YoY, down 4.1% QoQ - FPGA and other products: 433 million yuan, up 34.5% YoY, up 17.7% QoQ - Testing services: 32 million yuan, up 23.1% YoY, down 30.4% QoQ [3] Profit Summary - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters was 58.47%, an increase of 3.42 percentage points year-over-year [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters was 330 million yuan, a decline of 22.69% YoY, while the non-GAAP net profit was 303 million yuan, down 21.21% YoY [2] - In Q3, net profit attributable to shareholders was 137 million yuan, a significant increase of 73.4% YoY and 140.4% QoQ, driven by revenue and gross profit growth [3] Product Development and Market Expansion - The company is actively expanding new products, with notable growth in FPGA and other product lines [1] - Key developments include: - Security and identification chips: Gaining market share through deep cooperation with Alipay - Non-volatile memory: Launching NOR Flash series for AMOLED modules and IoT modules - Smart meter chips: Inclusion of automotive-grade MCU products in customer platforms - FPGA and others: Advancements in large-scale FPGA and RF-FPGA production [4] Profit Forecast Adjustment - Due to impairment impacts, the company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 645 million, 1.009 billion, and 1.285 billion yuan, respectively, down from previous estimates [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Shanghai Fudan (1385.HK) with a current price of 39.50 HKD, indicating a positive outlook for the stock [5]. Core Insights - The company reported significant year-on-year revenue and profit growth in Q3 2025, driven by strong sales in non-volatile memory chips, smart meter chips, and FPGA and other chip businesses [1]. - The overall revenue for the first three quarters reached 3.024 billion RMB, a 12.7% increase year-on-year, while Q3 revenue was 1.186 billion RMB, reflecting a 33.28% growth [1]. - The gross profit margin improved to 61.06% in Q3 2025, up 8.91 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to revenue growth and product mix optimization [1]. - The company is actively expanding into consumer applications and maintaining a competitive edge in emerging fields, despite facing intense market competition [1][2]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profit Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.024 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 12.7%. Q3 revenue was 1.186 billion RMB, marking a 33.28% increase [1]. - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters was 58.47%, up 3.42 percentage points year-on-year, while Q3 gross profit margin reached 61.06%, an increase of 8.91 percentage points [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters was 330 million RMB, a decrease of 22.69% year-on-year, but Q3 net profit was 137 million RMB, reflecting a 72.69% increase [1]. Business Segments - Non-volatile memory revenue in Q3 2025 was 343 million RMB, up 44% year-on-year, driven by demand recovery in the consumer electronics market [1]. - The smart meter chip business generated 139 million RMB in Q3 2025, a 42% increase year-on-year, with growth in various applications [1]. - FPGA and other products achieved a revenue of 433 million RMB in Q3 2025, a 34% increase year-on-year, with strong demand in high-reliability sectors [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 530 million RMB, 976 million RMB, and 1.191 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of -7%, +84%, and +22% [2]. - The current closing price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 56x for 2025 and 30x for 2026, indicating a favorable valuation given the recovery in demand for memory products and FPGA chips [2].

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor sector experienced a decline of 0.79% on November 5, with Zhongjing Technology leading the drop. Meanwhile, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.23% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.37% [1][2]. Semiconductor Sector Performance - The semiconductor sector's main stocks showed mixed performance, with notable gainers including Hongwei Technology (+6.58%), Helin Micro-Nano (+5.04%), and Dawi Co. (+3.32%). Conversely, Zhongjing Technology led the decline with a drop of 6.56% [1][2]. - The trading volume and turnover for key stocks were significant, with Dawi Co. achieving a turnover of 1.847 billion yuan and Hongwei Technology reaching 305 million yuan [1][2]. Capital Flow Analysis - On the same day, the semiconductor sector saw a net outflow of 4.316 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 3.2 billion yuan [2][3]. - Specific stocks like TuoJing Technology and Dawi Co. experienced varying levels of net inflow and outflow from different investor categories, indicating diverse investor sentiment within the sector [3].

Group 1 - Fudan Microelectronics experienced a decline of 5.01% on November 5, with a stock price of 58.42 yuan per share and a trading volume of 367 million yuan, resulting in a total market capitalization of 47.988 billion yuan [1] - The company, established on July 10, 1998, and listed on August 4, 2021, primarily engages in integrated circuit (IC) related businesses, operating through two segments: design, development, and sales of integrated circuits, and providing IC testing services [1] - The revenue composition of Fudan Microelectronics includes: 37.04% from FPGA and other products, 23.92% from non-volatile memory, 21.35% from security and identification chips, 13.46% from smart meter chips, 4.15% from IC testing services, and 0.09% from rental income [1] Group 2 - According to data, one fund under Baodao holds a significant position in Fudan Microelectronics, with the Baodao SSE STAR Market Composite Index Enhanced A Fund (023901) holding 117,700 shares, accounting for 1.14% of the fund's net value, making it the eighth largest holding [2] - The Baodao SSE STAR Market Composite Index Enhanced A Fund was established on April 29, 2025, with a latest scale of 78.021 million yuan and has achieved a return of 37.6% since inception [2] Group 3 - The fund manager of Baodao SSE STAR Market Composite Index Enhanced A Fund is Yang Meng, who has been in the position for 7 years and 90 days, managing total assets of 18.856 billion yuan, with the best fund return during the tenure being 175.63% and the worst being -27.34% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor sector in Hong Kong experienced an initial surge on November 4, with notable increases in stock prices for several companies, indicating positive market sentiment in this industry [1] Company Summaries - Shanghai Fudan saw a nearly 3% increase in its stock price [1] - Hua Hong Semiconductor and SMIC both experienced stock price increases of over 2% [1]

Core Viewpoint - CICC reports that Shanghai Fudan achieved a revenue of 3.024 billion yuan in the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.7%, while net profit decreased by 22.69% to 330 million yuan [1] Financial Performance - For the third quarter, Shanghai Fudan reported a revenue of 1.186 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 33.28%, and a net profit of 137 million yuan, which is a year-on-year growth of 72.69% [1] - The performance aligns with market expectations [1] Profit Forecast Adjustments - Considering the impact of asset impairment losses, CICC has lowered the net profit forecast for Shanghai Fudan in 2025 by 28.8% to 639 million yuan and introduced a net profit forecast for 2026 of 923 million yuan [1] Rating and Target Price - CICC maintains a "outperforming the industry" rating for Shanghai Fudan and has raised the target price by 30.1% to 67.42 HKD, taking into account the upward shift in industry valuation [1]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 上海復旦微電子集團股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01385 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 284,330,000 | RMB | | 0.1 RMB | | 28,433,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 284,330,000 | RMB | | 0.1 RMB | | 28,433,000 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | ...

Core Viewpoint - Foreign public funds are optimistic about Chinese assets and have significantly increased their positions in the technology growth sector during the third quarter, as revealed by the latest quarterly reports from major foreign fund companies [2][3][4]. Group 1: Fund Positioning and Strategies - Several foreign public funds, including Fidelity and BlackRock, have notably increased their holdings in technology stocks, with Fidelity's fund significantly adding 126,000 shares of the humanoid robot leader, UBTECH, making it their largest holding [2]. - The top ten holdings of Fidelity's fund now include H-shares and A-shares of SMIC and Shanghai Fudan, indicating a strategic focus on key technology players [2]. - The fund managers from Fidelity attribute the strong performance of the technology growth sector to the transitional achievements of the Chinese economy, driven by innovation [2][3]. Group 2: Sector Focus and Future Outlook - The managers of the Robeco China Opportunities Mixed Fund emphasize a balanced growth-oriented portfolio, focusing on high-end manufacturing upgrades, the automotive and electric vehicle supply chain, and AI technology [3]. - Allianz's fund managers express confidence in high-quality technology assets leading the revaluation of Chinese stocks, maintaining a high stock position and achieving good investment returns [3][4]. - BlackRock's fund managers highlight an increased focus on the electronics sector, benefiting from self-sufficient chips and AI-driven PCB cycles, while maintaining a positive outlook on Chinese assets [4]. Group 3: Investment Themes and Asset Allocation - The managers from Allianz suggest that A-shares are becoming increasingly attractive, planning to maintain an "overweight" position in stocks and dynamically adjust based on market conditions [4]. - They also plan to focus on high-quality technology assets that are expected to exceed profit expectations, as well as dividend assets with significant revaluation potential [4]. - Schroders' fund managers note a rebound in industrial profits in August and are optimistic about the potential wealth effect of the stock market on consumption, favoring cyclical and technology sectors [5].

Core Insights - The technology growth sector is experiencing a downturn, with the domestic AI industry-focused ETF (589520) showing a decline of 1.93% on October 31, 2025, despite a strong buying interest indicated by continuous premium pricing [1][3] - The ETF's top-performing stocks are primarily in software development, with notable gains from companies like Foxit Software (20% increase) and Hehe Information (14.14% increase), while hardware-related stocks like Stone Technology and Cambrian fell significantly [3][4] - A new five-year plan emphasizes the implementation of "AI+" initiatives, aiming for substantial progress in data-driven urban economic development by the end of 2027 [4] Stock Performance - The top ten stocks in the ETF include Foxit Software, Hehe Information, and Xianghuan Technology, all showing significant gains, while several others in the computing hardware sector faced declines [4][5] - As of October 31, 2025, all 30 constituent stocks of the ETF reported their Q3 earnings, with 20 companies profitable and 22 showing year-on-year net profit growth, led by Cambrian's impressive 321% increase [5][6] Market Outlook - Analysts predict a turning point for domestic AI applications, driven by external environmental changes and domestic policy support, suggesting a significant increase in demand for AI applications [6][7] - The ETF has outperformed other indices since its low point on April 8, 2025, with a cumulative increase of 60.36%, surpassing the broader technology indices [7][8] Policy and Industry Trends - The government is focusing on AI as a key technology for achieving self-sufficiency and security in the context of technological friction, with the ETF strategically positioned in the domestic AI supply chain [7] - The report from QuestMobile indicates that the number of active mobile AI application users in China has surpassed 729 million as of September 2025, highlighting the growing adoption of AI technologies [5]