Core Viewpoint - The stock of Guokexun Industrial experienced an abnormal price fluctuation, with a cumulative increase of over 30% during three consecutive trading days from January 8 to January 12, 2026, indicating potential irrational market speculation [1] Company Overview - Guokexun Industrial specializes in the research, development, production, and sales of solid rocket engine power and control products, as well as ammunition equipment [1] - The company is currently collaborating with commercial aerospace enterprises to advance a launch vehicle project, which is still in the research and development phase and has not yet produced a finalized product [1] Financial Impact - The revenue contribution from the launch vehicle project to the company's main business is minimal, accounting for less than 1% of total revenue [1] Market Sentiment - The recent surge in stock price may be influenced by overheated market sentiment and risks of irrational speculation, as the secondary market trading and valuation are affected by various factors [1]

每经AI快讯，1月12日，国科军工(688543.SH)公告称，公司股票连续三个交易日内价格涨幅偏离值累计 超过30%，属于股票交易异常波动情形。经核实，公司不存在应披露而未披露的重大事项。公司主营业 务为导弹(火箭)固体发动机动力与控制产品及弹药装备的研发、生产与销售，与商业航天企业合作推进 运载火箭项目尚处于研发阶段，尚未产生定型产品，在主营业务收入中占比极低。二级市场交易和估值 受多方面因素影响，股价短期内连续上涨存在市场情绪过热、非理性炒作风险。 ...

Group 1 - The main point of the news is that the net outflow of capital from the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 27.468 billion yuan, with the STAR Market experiencing a net outflow of 6.933 billion yuan [1] - A total of 241 stocks saw net inflows of capital, while 359 stocks experienced net outflows [1] - Among the stocks with net inflows, Guoke Military Industry led with a net inflow of 252.43 million yuan, followed by Zhuoyi Information and Yuntian Lefe-U with net inflows of 177.01 million yuan and 155.75 million yuan respectively [3] Group 2 - There are 65 stocks that have seen continuous net inflows for more than three trading days, with Foxit Software leading at nine consecutive days of inflow [2] - On the other hand, 166 stocks have experienced continuous net outflows, with Transsion Holdings leading at 14 consecutive days of outflow [2] Group 3 - The top stocks by net inflow include Guoke Military Industry (252.43 million yuan), Zhuoyi Information (177.01 million yuan), and Yuntian Lefe-U (155.75 million yuan) [3][4] - The stocks with the highest net outflows include SMIC with 909 million yuan, followed by Shijia Photon and Dongxin Shares with net outflows of 675 million yuan and 658 million yuan respectively [1]

Market Overview - The ground equipment sector increased by 2.75% on January 12, with Guoke Military leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4165.29, up 1.09%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14366.91, up 1.75% [1] Stock Performance - Guoke Vehicle (688543) closed at 83.78, up 12.16% with a trading volume of 313,600 shares [1] - Galaxy Electronics (002519) closed at 11.47, up 9.97% with a trading volume of 434,800 shares [1] - North Navigation (600435) closed at 21.87, up 5.75% with a trading volume of 2,436,500 shares [1] - Inner Mongolia First Machinery (600967) closed at 19.54, up 2.57% with a trading volume of 1,252,200 shares [1] - Other notable stocks include Jieqiang Equipment (300875) up 2.09% and Tianzuo Equipment (300922) up 1.90% [1] Capital Flow - The ground equipment sector experienced a net outflow of 335 million yuan from institutional investors and 147 million yuan from retail investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 482 million yuan [2] - The capital flow for individual stocks shows varied trends, with Guoke Military experiencing a net inflow of 290 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - North Navigation had a net inflow of 113 million yuan from institutional investors, while Inner Mongolia First Machinery saw a net inflow of 24.82 million yuan [3]

Group 1 - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing significant growth, with the launch of the Ceres-1 rocket scheduled between January 16-18, 2026, targeting a launch window at approximately 4 AM [1] - China has submitted an application for frequency resources for over 200,000 satellites by December 2025, indicating a strong push in satellite deployment [1] - Key events such as increased launch density, technology validation milestones, and accelerated constellation networking are expected to catalyze the commercial aerospace market [1] Group 2 - The China Defense Index (399973) has seen a strong increase of 4.57%, with notable stock performances from companies like Guobo Electronics (up 19.99%) and Zhongke Xingtou (up 17.52%) [1] - The Defense ETF (512670) has also risen by 4.55%, marking its third consecutive increase, with the latest price reported at 1.08 yuan [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Defense Index as of December 31, 2025, include Aerospace Electronics and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, collectively accounting for 42.34% of the index [2]

Core Viewpoint - The aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) has shown significant market activity, with a turnover of 34.03% and a trading volume of 216 million yuan, reflecting strong investor interest in the aerospace sector [1]. Group 1: ETF Performance - As of January 9, 2026, the aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) tracked the National Aerospace Industry Index (CN5082), which surged by 4.44%, with constituent stocks such as Huayin Technology (688281) rising by 18.92% and Guoke Military Industry (688543) by 18.01% [1]. - Since the "924" market rally, the National Aerospace Industry Index has increased by 108.78% [1]. - On the previous Friday, the aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) experienced a net subscription of 54 million units, indicating strong capital inflow [1]. Group 2: Product Highlights - The aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) is designed to efficiently capture core military aerospace opportunities, with a military attribute ratio of 97.86%, making it the highest military content index in the market [3]. - The weight of aerospace equipment in the ETF is notably high at 66.8%, surpassing other indices such as the CSI Military and CSI Defense indices [3]. Group 3: Industry Developments - China has applied for over 200,000 satellite frequency resources, indicating a strategic national initiative to accelerate its satellite capabilities and compete with SpaceX [4]. - According to Guojin Securities, the construction of satellite internet is driving strong demand for commercial rockets, with plans to launch a total of 44,816 satellites, leading to an estimated annual need for approximately 8,963 satellite replacements [5]. - The commercial rocket industry in China is entering a new phase of engineering and industrialization, supported by government policies and the initiation of IPO processes for several commercial rocket companies [5].

人民财讯1月9日电，国科军工(688543)1月9日在互动平台表示，自2015年起，公司便为商业航天企业提 供航天运载火箭科研设计、固体装药、地面测试等全流程配套服务。目前国科军工已与多家业内企业深 度合作推进运载火箭项目研发，相关工作均达成预期。 ...

Market Performance - The Sci-Tech 50 Index rose by 1.43%, closing at 1475.97 points, with a total trading volume of 6.153 billion shares and a turnover of 327.154 billion yuan, resulting in an average turnover rate of 3.14% [1] - Among the tradable stocks on the Sci-Tech board, 453 stocks closed higher, with 31 stocks experiencing a rise of over 10%, including Zhenyou Technology, Xinke Mobile, and Qianyan Biology, which hit the daily limit [1] - The distribution of turnover rates shows that 11 stocks had turnover rates exceeding 20%, while 41 stocks had rates between 10% and 20% [1] Stock Highlights - The stock with the highest turnover rate was Qiangyi Co., which closed up by 13.62% with a turnover rate of 39.07% and a transaction amount of 3.223 billion yuan [1] - Other notable stocks included Aerospace Nanhu, which closed down by 0.22% with a turnover rate of 31.64%, and Hengkun New Materials with a turnover rate of 30.73% [1][3] - Among the stocks with a turnover rate exceeding 5%, 124 stocks rose, while Shengbang Security, Xinyuan Micro, and Xiangyu Medical had the largest declines of 7.18%, 6.91%, and 6.68%, respectively [1] Sector Analysis - The electronics sector had the highest number of stocks with turnover rates exceeding 5%, totaling 48 stocks, followed by the computer and pharmaceutical sectors with 30 and 25 stocks, respectively [2] - In terms of capital flow, 74 stocks saw net inflows from main funds, with Xinke Mobile, Qiangyi Co., and Changguang Huaxin receiving the most significant net inflows of 337 million yuan, 323 million yuan, and 294 million yuan, respectively [2] - Conversely, Dongxin Co., Purang Co., and Moer Thread experienced the largest net outflows of 465 million yuan, 329 million yuan, and 297 million yuan, respectively [2] Leverage Fund Movements - A total of 123 stocks with high turnover rates received net purchases from leveraged funds, with Huahong Company, Dekeli, and Huafeng Technology seeing the largest increases in financing balances of 618 million yuan, 431 million yuan, and 358 million yuan, respectively [2] - Stocks that experienced significant decreases in financing balances included Yuanjie Technology, Huicheng Co., and Changguang Huaxin, with reductions of 206 million yuan, 158 million yuan, and 106 million yuan, respectively [2]

Market Performance - The ground armament sector increased by 2.63% on January 9, with Guoke Military leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4120.43, up 0.92%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14120.15, up 1.15% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Guoke Military (688543) closed at 74.70, up 18.01% with a trading volume of 319,200 shares and a transaction value of 2.293 billion [1] - Galaxy Electronics (002519) closed at 10.43, up 10.02% with a trading volume of 754,800 shares and a transaction value of 783 million [1] - Great Wall Military (601606) closed at 51.97, up 4.48% with a trading volume of 875,400 shares and a transaction value of 4.514 billion [1] - Other notable stocks include Northern Long Dragon (301357) at 153.80, up 4.04%, and Tianzou Equipment (300922) at 25.79, up 3.20% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The ground armament sector experienced a net outflow of 172 million from institutional investors and 522 million from speculative funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 694 million [2] - The capital flow for individual stocks shows that Great Wall Military had a net inflow of 274 million from institutional investors, while Guoke Military had a net inflow of 102 million from retail investors [3] - Galaxy Electronics experienced a net outflow of 278 million from speculative funds, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 74.12 CNY [5][24]. Core Insights - The company is a significant supplier of solid propulsion and ammunition systems in China, benefiting from increased defense budgets and ammunition replenishment, leading to strong growth in military product sales [2][11]. - The company has established a dual product system focusing on missile solid propulsion and ammunition equipment, with a strong emphasis on military applications while extending technology into civilian sectors [11][26]. - The report anticipates steady revenue growth, with projected revenues of 1.04 billion CNY in 2023, increasing to 1.88 billion CNY by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15.9% [4][16]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is expected to grow from 1,040 million CNY in 2023 to 1,883 million CNY in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 24.3%, 15.8%, 15.8%, 16.5%, and 15.9% respectively [4][16]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to rise from 141 million CNY in 2023 to 330 million CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 27.3%, 41.3%, 14.2%, 21.3%, and 19.8% [4][16]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 0.67 CNY in 2023 to 1.58 CNY in 2027 [4][15]. Business Segmentation - Military products are the primary revenue source, expected to contribute over 90% of total revenue from 2023 to 2027, with military revenue projected to grow at rates of 16% to 17% during this period [15][40]. - Civilian products are anticipated to experience slower growth, with revenue fluctuations expected, including a projected decline in 2024 [15][40]. - The company is also involved in contracted research and development, which is expected to see a significant decline in revenue over the forecast period [15][40]. Market Trends - The global solid rocket motor market is projected to grow from approximately 10.4 billion USD in 2024 to 23.1 billion USD by 2034, driven by defense modernization and missile system upgrades [48][52]. - The demand for solid rocket engines is expected to remain strong due to their application in tactical and strategic missile systems, as well as in space launch vehicles [52][50]. - The ammunition market is also expected to expand steadily, supported by both military and civilian applications [55][56].