Core Viewpoint - The solar industry is facing significant challenges due to overcapacity and price wars, leading to a consensus among leading companies that short-term profit-seeking and capacity expansion are not sustainable solutions [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - The solar industry is currently experiencing three main challenges: increasing international trade barriers, rapid capacity expansion leading to fierce price competition, and new requirements from national electricity market reforms [1][2]. - In 2024, production of polysilicon, silicon wafers, cells, and modules is expected to grow by over 10%, but prices across the supply chain have significantly declined, with polysilicon prices dropping over 39% and silicon wafer prices falling over 50% [2][3]. Group 2: Proposed Solutions - The chairman of GCL Group, Zhu Gongshan, suggests a collaborative approach between government and enterprises to address overcapacity through market-driven mergers, technology elimination mechanisms, and policy enforcement [2][3]. - Zhu emphasizes the need for unified capacity indicators within national planning, strict monitoring, and regulation to prevent unreasonable local protectionism and ensure effective capacity reduction [2][3]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - The solar industry is expected to undergo significant restructuring, with upstream materials beginning to consolidate excess capacity, which could restore prices to reasonable levels and improve overall industry profitability [3]. - Despite current challenges, the solar industry is projected to see substantial growth, with global new installations expected to exceed 600 GW in 2024, marking a 30% year-on-year increase [3][4].

谈及当下光伏行业供需失衡的痛点，朱共山建议政企联动促出清，严控新增产能的同时，避免不合理的地方保护行为。天合光能董事长高纪凡认为，只有 全行业的大整合才能解决行业"内卷"。 经历了近两年的严重供需错配和全产业链的"价格鏖战"，"短期逐利、堆砌产能没有出路"已经成为行业（尤其头部企业）的共识。 如何解决"赔本赚吆喝"的行业痛点，促成 "反内卷"的执行和落地，也是当下的光伏行业需要直面的问题。第一财经记者注意到，6月10日，在2025年 SNEC光伏展开幕式上，产能出清路径和"反内卷"的议题也被多家光伏企业代表和行业专家频繁提及。 在开幕式现场，协鑫集团董事长朱共山最新表态称，"公司正与另一硅料龙头通威联手，在相关部委的关心下全力以赴加快行业供给侧改革，推动行业整 合产能去化。全行业上下游要迅速行动起来，把产能过剩的问题解决。" 朱共山认为，光伏行业低水平重复建设暂告一个段落。但是，从过剩出清到生态重构再到稳定发展，光伏还有一段蜕变之路要走。"预计今年下半年到明 年一季度是光伏供给侧改革的关键窗口期。" 在大会现场，针对当下光伏行业存在的上述问题，朱共山提出政企联动促出清的建议，以"市场化兼并重组+技术淘汰机制+ ...

★ 宏观动态 ★ 中办、国办印发《关于深入推进深圳综合改革试点 深化改革创新扩大开放的意见》 为深入推进深圳综合改革试点、深化改革创新扩大开放，中办、国办印发《关于深入推进深圳综合改革试点 深化改革创新扩大开放的意见》。意见部署，统筹推进教育科技人才体制机制一体改革，推进金融、技术、数 据等赋能实体经济高质量发展，建设更高水平开放型经济新体制，健全科学化、精细化、法治化治理模式。意 见明确，在更高起点、更高层次、更高目标上深化改革、扩大开放，创造更多可复制、可推广的新鲜经验，更 好发挥深圳在粤港澳大湾区建设中的重要引擎作用和在全国一盘棋中的辐射带动作用，为全面建设社会主义现 代化国家作出贡献、提供范例。 市场监管总局就《直播电商监督管理办法》公开征求意见 为加强直播电商监督管理，促进直播电商健康发展，市场监管总局在充分调研和广泛征求意见的基础上，会同 国家网信办研究起草了《直播电商监督管理办法（征求意见稿）》（以下简称《办法》），今日正式向社会公 开征求意见。《办法》明确了直播电商平台经营者在违规处置、资质核验、信息报送、培训机制、分级管理、 动态管控、信息公示等方面的责任。要求平台经营者建立健全平台协议规则 ...

| 证券代码：688599 | 证券简称：天合光能 | | | 公告编号：2025-063 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：118031 | 转债简称：天 | 23 | 转债 | | 天合光能股份有限公司 关于"天 23 转债"预计满足转股价格修正条件的 提示性公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 一、可转债发行上市概况 （一）发行上市基本情况 经中国证券监督管理委员会证监许可〔2023〕157 号文同意注册，公司于 2023 年 2 月 13 日向不特定对象发行了 8,864.751 万张可转换公司债券，每张 面值 100 元，发行总额 886,475.10 万元，期限自发行之日起六年，即自 2023 年 2 月 13 日至 2029 年 2 月 12 日。发行方式采用向公司在股权登记日（2023 年 2 月 10 日，T-1 日）收市后中国结算上海分公司登记在册的原股东优先配售， 原股东优先配售后余额部分（含原股东放弃优先配售部分）采用网上通过上海 证券 ...

Core Viewpoint - Trina Solar's Chairman and CEO Gao Jifan announced that over one-third of the company's business currently comes from solutions, with expectations to increase this proportion to over 50% in the next two to three years [1] Group 1 - Trina Solar is actively expanding its solutions business, indicating a strategic shift towards integrated energy solutions [1] - The company aims to enhance its revenue stream from solutions, reflecting a growing trend in the solar industry towards comprehensive service offerings [1]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call on the Photovoltaic Industry Industry Overview - The photovoltaic (PV) industry has been in a loss state since Q4 2023, continuing for approximately 6 quarters, with all companies facing gross margin losses, particularly in the manufacturing segment [1][3][10] - Cash flow is generally tight across the industry, with significant price fluctuations in silicon materials and wafers, and a continuous decline in battery component prices [1][4] - Major layoffs are occurring, with leading companies like Weima Agricultural Machinery reducing their workforce by over half, and many third and fourth-tier companies being taken over by state-owned enterprises [1][5] Core Insights and Arguments - The current holding ratio in the PV industry is below the levels seen in 2020, and even lower than in 2017 and 2019, indicating a lack of confidence among investors [2][10] - The industry is facing a dual bottom in terms of chip structure and fundamentals, with a holding ratio of only 1.83% when excluding inverters [10] - The resolution of supply-demand contradictions in the PV industry requires both policy intervention and natural market clearing, with a focus on eliminating outdated production capacity and enhancing efficiency through technological advancements [11] Future Drivers and Investment Strategies - Key future drivers for the PV industry include policy changes and technological iterations, expected to see significant developments by the end of this year [6][21] - Investment strategies should focus on silicon material companies and battery-related targets, particularly after any policy or technological changes occur [7][19] - The market is anticipated to reach a turning point by the end of 2025, with significant observations expected around July and December regarding policy and technological advancements [16][17] Technical Iteration and Market Dynamics - Technological iteration is crucial for accelerating the clearing of the PV industry, with improvements in Topcon technology potentially increasing power output by 10-15 watts [13][14] - The industry is expected to undergo a phased development model, with initial challenges for second-tier companies while leading companies may turn profitable through demand digestion and technological progress [12] Recommendations for Investors - Investors are advised to gradually position themselves in the market starting from late summer 2025, as the current low attention on the sector presents tactical opportunities [20] - Engaging with industry leaders during events, such as the upcoming PV exhibition in Shanghai, is recommended for gathering insights and formulating strategies [8][20] Additional Considerations - The takeover of third and fourth-tier companies by state-owned enterprises does not necessarily equate to market exit, as these companies may still operate effectively if they can keep up with technological advancements [9] - The overall sentiment in the market remains cautious, with a continuous decline in the number of investors reflecting a lack of confidence in the PV sector [2][10]

Core Viewpoint - Trina Solar Co., Ltd. has been awarded the Silver Prize at the 25th China Patent Awards for its patent on a method for estimating direct irradiance ratio using a dual irradiance meter, marking a significant achievement in photovoltaic technology [1][2]. Group 1 - The awarded patent introduces a sunny index inference algorithm and a corresponding dual irradiance meter design, which can accurately identify weather conditions and dynamically adjust tracking angles to maximize power generation from photovoltaic modules [1]. - This innovation overcomes foreign technological barriers and provides a cost-effective solution to optimize tracking angles in photovoltaic tracking systems, enhancing energy output [1][2]. - The recognition from the patent award signifies a key breakthrough in the field of photovoltaic support technology and injects innovative momentum into the high-quality development of the industry [2]. Group 2 - The award will not have a significant impact on the company's financial status for the current year [2].

近日，国家知识产权局发布了关于第二十五届中国专利奖授奖的决定，天 合光能股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）以专利"一种双辐照计推测直射辐 照比例方法"荣获第二十五届中国专利银奖。具体情况如下： 关于自愿披露获得第二十五届中国专利银奖的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 | 证券代码：688599 | 证券简称：天合光能 | | | 公告编号：2025-062 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：118031 | 转债简称：天 | 23 | 转债 | | 天合光能股份有限公司 | 专利号 | 专利名称 | 专利权人 | 发明人 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ZL202010441260.8 | 一种双辐照计推测 | 天合光能股份有 | 孙凯、赵明、高纪凡、全 | | | 直射辐照比例方法 | 限公司 | 鹏、黄国昆、吴军 | 本次获奖专利创新的提出了晴天指数推演算法以及与之匹配的双辐照计设 计方案，并突破国外技术封锁，实现百分等级精确 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the photovoltaic industry [15]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of the photovoltaic sector due to a dual bottom in both market sentiment and fundamentals, suggesting that policy changes or new technologies could accelerate supply clearing, with the end of 2025 being a critical observation point [3][10]. - It recommends gradual investment in the sector, particularly in silicon materials and battery components, as stock prices are expected to lead the fundamentals [13]. Summary by Sections Why Focus on Photovoltaics? - Dual Bottom in Sentiment and Fundamentals - The photovoltaic sector is currently experiencing low institutional holdings, with the proportion of heavy positions in A-shares dropping to 1.83% in Q1 2025, a significant decline of 0.59 percentage points [10][20]. - The entire supply chain is near cash loss, with the current situation being more severe than historical lows in industries like steel and coal [10][29]. What Scenarios Could Accelerate Supply Clearing? - Policy Relief or Technological Iteration - Historical cycles show that policy interventions have effectively stimulated demand during downturns. The current cycle may similarly require supply-side policies to address the oversupply situation [11][46]. - Technological advancements, particularly in battery efficiency, could lead to a differentiation in production quality, benefiting leading firms while forcing less competitive ones to exit the market [11][12]. When Will Supply Clear? - Key Observations for 2025 - The report identifies mid-year and year-end as critical observation points for policy direction and market conditions, with expectations of clearer domestic and international demand by mid-2025 [12][13]. When to Invest? - Preferred Segments - The report suggests focusing on silicon materials and battery components, especially if strong policies are introduced. Recommended companies include Tongwei Co., Daqo New Energy, and GCL-Poly Energy [13][20]. - In the absence of strong policies, investment should shift towards new technology segments, with specific recommendations for companies like LONGi Green Energy and JA Solar Technology [13][41].

Market Overview - The A-share and Hong Kong stock markets experienced a rebound in the first week of June, with the Every Day Brand 100 Index rising by 1.3% to close at 1077 points, aiming for the 1100-point mark [1][2] - The three major A-share indices all saw weekly gains of over 1%, with 60 out of 99 constituent stocks rising, indicating a broad-based rally [2] Key Stock Performances - Notable performers included CITIC Bank and Trina Solar, both of which saw weekly gains exceeding 5%, while other companies like Jiangxi Copper, China Life, NetEase, Pinduoduo, Xiaomi Group, and Industrial Bank also recorded gains above 4% [2][3] - Tencent Holdings led the market with a market value increase of 154.46 billion yuan, being the only stock in the Every Day Brand 100 Index to surpass a 100 billion yuan increase in market value for the week [4] Economic Indicators - China's Caixin Services PMI for May was reported at 51.1%, a 0.4 percentage point increase from April, while the composite PMI fell to 49.6%, indicating a contraction for the first time in 2023 [4] - The U.S. job growth slowed in May but was better than expected, alleviating concerns about a U.S. economic slowdown and boosting investor sentiment [4] Company-Specific Developments - CITIC Bank announced the approval to establish a financial asset investment company with a registered capital of 10 billion yuan, which will allow it to invest in early-stage technology companies [5][6] - Trina Solar hosted a research meeting with 58 institutions, projecting that global demand for photovoltaic modules will exceed 660 GW by 2025, driven by energy transition and technological advancements [7] Investment Opportunities - The Hong Kong stock market has outperformed the A-share market this year, making it an attractive option for investors, especially with the potential return of Chinese concept stocks to Hong Kong [8] - The China Overseas Internet 50 Index, which tracks 50 Chinese internet companies listed overseas, reflects the investment opportunities in this sector, with major stocks like Tencent, Alibaba, and Xiaomi being significant components [11][12]