Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the construction materials industry, particularly focusing on cement and glass products, amidst recent monetary policy changes by the central bank [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments - **Monetary Policy Impact**: The central bank announced a 0.5% reduction in the reserve requirement ratio and a 0.1% decrease in policy interest rates, expected to inject approximately 1 trillion yuan into the market [3]. - **Cement Market Performance**: As of May 9, the national cement shipment rates were reported at 48%, with regional rates in East and South China at 52% and 54% respectively, showing a month-on-month decline of 1.5%, 0.9%, and 7.2 percentage points [1]. - **Price Trends**: The average price of cement decreased by 4.5 yuan per ton to 387 yuan per ton, marking a 15 yuan drop since early April [1]. - **Glass Market Update**: The average price of float glass was reported at 1318 yuan per ton, down 14 yuan from the previous week, with inventory levels at 58.17 million heavy boxes, an increase of 3.4% [1]. - **Fiber Market**: The average price of alkali-free glass fiber yarn in East China was 3650 yuan per ton, down 50 yuan from before the May Day holiday [1]. Investment Opportunities - **Excess Return Potential**: Historical data suggests that the construction materials sector has a high probability of achieving excess returns compared to the CSI 300 index when the real estate market shows signs of stability and improvement [3][4]. - **Real Estate Market Indicators**: As of April 28, the second-hand housing price index for first and second-tier cities was 196.84 and 145.02 respectively, indicating a stabilization trend. Notably, the investment amount from 30 monitored real estate companies reached 87.6 billion yuan in April, a year-on-year increase of nearly 100% [3]. Recommended Investment Lines - **Main Line One**: Focus on large-scale construction materials with improving supply-demand dynamics, emphasizing price elasticity and high dividend yields [5]. - **Main Line Two**: Favorable outlook on leading consumer building material companies with long-term growth potential, highlighting performance elasticity in high-demand consumer segments [7]. - **Main Line Three**: Interest in companies transitioning or expanding into high-growth sectors such as semiconductors, AI, and robotics [7]. Recommended Companies - **Cement Companies**: Conch Cement, Huaxin Cement, China Jushi, TPI Cement, Shangfeng Cement, Changhai Co. [6]. - **Consumer Building Materials**: Sankeshu, Oriental Yuhong, Beixin Building Materials, Weixing New Materials, Tubao, with a focus on Jianlang Hardware, Qinglong Pipeline, and Longquan Co. [7]. - **High-Growth Companies**: Quartz Co., Planet Graphite, with attention to Zhongqi New Materials [8]. Risk Factors - Potential risks include demand falling short of expectations, gross margins not meeting forecasts, and delays in receivables [8].

本报记者 董红艳 北京报道 2024年，甘肃上峰水泥股份有限公司（下称"上峰水泥"，000672.SZ）未能走出行业困境，实现归母净 利润为6.27亿元，同比下降15.70%。不过，上峰水泥仍然保持着高分红的习惯，计划拿出几乎全年净利 润用来分红，这也引发了投资者对公司可持续性方面的担忧。 今年第一季度，伴随着水泥行业在售价、煤炭成本等方面迎来盈利喘息机会。其中，上峰水泥的净利润 增长超过400%，增幅尤为明显，超过较多同行业企业。上峰水泥向《华夏时报》记者表示，季度业绩 的增长与行业回暖的步调是同频的。 其实，上峰水泥获利也少不了投资理财方面的重要贡献。5月6日，上峰水泥发布业绩说明会记录表示， 2024年水泥熟料主业利润贡献占比约55%，产业链延伸翼及投资翼利润贡献各占约22%。2025年初，上 峰水泥还频繁发力新经济股权投资、委托理财、证券投资。 一方面热衷投资、理财、分红，另一方面，上峰股份的研发投入在去年收缩了14.73%。对于此类现 象，5月9日，分析人士向《华夏时报》记者表示，投资决策伴随着市场风险、信用风险、流动性风险 等，过度投资可能意味着企业将大量资源投入非核心业务，忽视能真正推动企业长期 ...

本报告导读： 保持显著优于行业的水泥发货能力。产销方面，全年公司水泥及熟料销量2075 万吨，同比-3.30%，根 据统计局数据全国水泥2024 年产量下滑9.50%，公司销量显著跑赢行业，25Q1 我们测算公司水泥销量 同比仍维持小幅正增。我们判断原因有以下几点：1）2023 年投产的西南都匀产能增加的影响；2） 25Q1 销量增长或来自于公司在西南、西北市场的客户拓展以及基建项目动工需求增加。 24Q4 华东水泥盈利筑底反弹，25Q1 延续高于同期的价格中枢。我们测算24Q4 公司水泥及熟料不含税 均价约250 元/吨，环比+30 元/吨，吨毛利约62 元，环比基本持平，我们判断主要是冬季西南、西北等 区域停窑带动综合成本抬升，抵消了部分华东提价的效果。2024年经过前三季度行业尤其华东水泥行业 亏损加剧，沿江区域在Q4的提价协同度有明显提升，25 年2 月以来华东价格继续提涨，我们预计公司 25Q1 盈利中枢仍高于同期，且逐月环比提升。 股权投资受益兑现，分红超预期。除水泥主业外，公司近年在股权投资上表现亮眼，公司聚焦半导体、 新能源、新材料领域，截至目前已投资24 个优质项目累计投资额超过17 亿元， ...

证券代码：000672 证券简称：上峰水泥 | | □特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 投资者关系活 | □媒体采访 业绩说明会 | | 动类别 | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 □其他（电话会议） | | | 机构投资者如下： | | | 泓德基金管理有限公司：黄海；大成基金管理有限公司：谢树 | | | 铭；永赢基金管理有限公司：杨啸宇；鹏扬基金管理有限公司： | | | 李伟峰；鹏扬基金：马慧芹；西部利得基金：管浩阳；新华基 | | | 金管理股份有限公司：黄泓鉴；厦门中略投资管理有限公司： | | | 林跃煌；耕霁（上海）投资管理有限公司：陈家利；湖南万泰 | | | 华瑞投资管理有限责任公司：邹戈；上海循理资产管理有限公 | | 参与单位名称 | 司：安倩；东吴证券股份有限公司：石峰源；平安证券股份有 | | | 限公司：郑南宏；中国国际金融股份有限公司：杨茂达；方正 | | 及人员姓名 | 证券股份有限公司：韩宇；西部证券股份有限公司：张欣劼、 | | | 陈默婧；国信证券股份有限公司：陈颖、张栋；中泰证券股份 | | | 有限公司：万静远；中信 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company has demonstrated strong financial performance and strategic growth through its "one main and two wings" development strategy, focusing on cement production while expanding into emerging industries like semiconductors and renewable energy [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating revenue of 5.448 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 627 million yuan, with a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 474 million yuan [1]. - As of the end of 2024, the total assets reached 17.578 billion yuan, and the net assets attributable to shareholders were 8.949 billion yuan [1]. - The weighted average return on net assets was 7.09%, with a comprehensive gross profit margin of 26.16% and a net profit margin of 10.86% [2]. Strategic Development - The company has successfully implemented its "one main and two wings" strategy, which has provided clear direction and focus amid a complex environment, leading to significant achievements [2]. - The "two wings" business, which includes investments in new economic sectors, contributed over one-third of the company's profits, focusing on sectors like semiconductors, new energy, and new materials [2]. Cash Flow and Dividend Policy - The company reported a net operating cash flow of 1.039 billion yuan, supporting its sustainable dividend policy [2]. - Since 2019, the company has maintained a high dividend policy, proposing a distribution of 6.30 yuan per 10 shares (including tax) for 2024, significantly above the industry average [2]. Investor Engagement - During the 2024 annual performance briefing, the company actively addressed investor inquiries on various topics, achieving a 100% response rate to questions regarding resource reserves, regional advantages, market expansion, technological innovation, and financial metrics [1].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's main business profitability is stabilizing and recovering, with a significant increase in the dividend payout ratio [1] - The company achieved total operating revenue of 5.448 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 14.83%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 627.45 million yuan, down 15.70% year-on-year [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 6.3 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 95.7% [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company realized cement and clinker sales of 20.75 million tons, a decrease of 3% year-on-year, with a corresponding gross profit per ton of 55 yuan, down 6 yuan year-on-year [1] - The gross profit margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 is expected to be 26.2% and 27.4%, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -1.6 and +5.1 percentage points [1] - The company’s operating cash flow for 2024 is projected at 1.039 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.9% year-on-year, while Q1 2025 is expected to show a significant increase of 686.3% year-on-year [1] Cost Control and Efficiency - The company has successfully reduced costs, with clinker energy costs decreasing by 2.12 yuan per ton year-on-year, and manufacturing costs also declining due to optimized raw material ratios [1] - The company maintained a good control over expenses, with a period expense ratio of 15.9% in 2024, an increase of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [1] Future Outlook - The company has a five-year plan aiming for new growth drivers, with a target for new material business to account for over 20% of revenue by 2029 [1] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 762 million, 897 million, and 996 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12, 10, and 9 times [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 5.45 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 14.8%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 630 million yuan, down 15.7% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 950 million yuan in Q1 2025, up 4.6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 80 million yuan, up 447.6% year-on-year [1] - The sales volume of cement clinker in 2024 was 20.75 million tons, a decrease of 3.3%, which was better than the national average decline of 9.5% [2] - The average price per ton of cement clinker was 230 yuan, down 19 yuan year-on-year, with a gross profit per ton of 55 yuan, down 5 yuan [2] Group 2: Cost Management and Profitability - The company maintained a gross margin of 26.2% in 2024, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, but the gross margin for Q1 2025 improved to 27.4%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points from the previous year [2][3] - The company has been actively reducing costs and increasing efficiency, leading to a significant decrease in fuel and other costs [2] Group 3: Balance Sheet and Future Planning - As of the end of 2024, the company had cash and financial assets totaling 2.67 billion yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio of 45.1%, down 1.44 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The new five-year plan aims for production capacity increases in cement, clinker, and aggregates by 2029, with targets of 30 million, 20 million, and 40 million tons respectively [4] - The company plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of no less than 35% or 400 million yuan annually from 2024 to 2026, with a current dividend yield of 7.5% [4] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 740 million, 790 million, and 850 million yuan respectively, reflecting increases of 16.8% and 16.5% compared to previous estimates [5] - The target price for the company has been raised by 23% to 10.31 yuan, based on a price-to-book ratio of 1.1 times for 2025 [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company has achieved significant success with its "one main, two wings" strategy over the past five years and aims to evolve its business model to a "three-horse carriage" structure by 2029, focusing on new material growth, foundational building materials, and equity investment capital [2] Group 1: Business Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 5.448 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 627 million yuan, with total assets reaching 17.578 billion yuan [2] - From 2020 to 2024, the company's main product capacity increased by 48%, net assets grew by 65%, and total assets rose by approximately 78% [3] - The "two wings" business contributed over one-third of the profits, with equity investments in sectors like semiconductors and new materials yielding stable returns [3] Group 2: Investment and Shareholder Returns - The company has invested in 24 projects with a total investment of 1.785 billion yuan, contributing over 20% to net profit in 2024 [3] - A cash dividend of 6.3 yuan per 10 shares is proposed for 2024, totaling 601 million yuan, which represents 95.73% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [3] - Cumulatively, the company has distributed 2.65 billion yuan in cash dividends from 2020 to 2024, with an average annual dividend rate exceeding 40% [3] Group 3: Strategic Planning - The new five-year plan emphasizes increasing investment in equity business while enhancing competitiveness in existing industries [4] - The company aims to create a balanced business structure that integrates building materials and equity investment, fostering a new growth curve [5] - The strategic transformation is seen as a benchmark for traditional manufacturing companies, combining industrial and capital approaches to navigate industry changes [5]

上峰水泥4月28日在互动平台表示，公司没有产品进出口。 ...

● 本报记者 乔翔 中证中小投资者服务中心日前宣布，为落实国务院办公厅《关于上市公司独立董事制度改革的意见》， 依据《上市公司独立董事管理办法》，向上峰水泥董事会提名独立董事候选人杜健，并就独立董事选任 议案向全体股东公开征集表决权。这是中证投服中心继2024年6月成功为第一医药公开提名独立董事之 后，推进的第二单公开提名上市公司独立董事个案。 专家认为，作为依法设立的投资者保护机构，中证投服中心此次行动紧密呼应《关于上市公司独立董事 制度改革的意见》提出的"鼓励投资者保护机构等主体依法通过公开征集股东权利的方式提名独立董 事"要求并深度介入提名环节，探索不同于以往由上市公司董事会等提名的新的提名方式，有利于拓宽 独立董事提名来源，完善独立董事选任机制，促进独立董事更好发挥作用，维护上市公司特别是中小股 东的合法权益。 此次中证投服中心的实践，则是在秉持市场化、法治化原则的基础上，对上述政策的又一次认真贯彻落 实。中国政法大学教授、博士生导师李东方表示："此前仅董事会、监事会、持股1%以上的股东具有独 立董事提名权，改革后，作为依法设立的投资者保护机构，中证投服中心也可以采用公开征集股东权利 的方式提名独立董 ...