Core Viewpoint - The International Maritime Organization (IMO) is set to review the world's first legally binding net-zero emissions framework for the shipping industry, which is expected to significantly boost the demand for green methanol in the coming years [1][2]. Industry Overview - The demand for green methanol in the shipping industry is projected to surge from tens of thousands of tons annually to between 30 million and 40 million tons by 2030, representing an increase of over 100 times [1]. - By 2030, the green methanol market is anticipated to exceed 100 billion yuan [1]. Regulatory Framework - The net-zero framework mandates a reduction of greenhouse gas emissions from international shipping by over 20% by 2030 compared to 2008 levels, over 70% by 2040, and aims for net-zero emissions around 2050 [1]. - The framework will apply to large ocean-going vessels with a gross tonnage exceeding 5,000 tons, which account for 85% of the total carbon dioxide emissions from international shipping [1]. Market Dynamics - The demand for methanol-fueled vessels is expected to grow significantly, with 300 methanol fuel ships projected to be operational, driving a demand for 6.8 million tons of green methanol [2]. - By 2030, the global demand for green methanol is estimated to exceed 40 million tons, with a penetration rate of only 15% based on current fuel consumption in the shipping industry [2]. Supply Constraints - Current production capacity for green methanol is significantly below expected demand, with domestic capacity under 300,000 tons and global capacity under 500,000 tons [2]. - Factors such as land use for chemical production, biomass resource availability, and green electricity costs are limiting the expansion of production capacity [2]. Company Developments - Several A-share companies, including Goldwind Technology and China Tianying, have proactively positioned themselves in the green methanol industry, with existing orders and expansion plans [3][4]. - Goldwind Technology is investing over 18.9 billion yuan in a wind power hydrogen-methanol integrated project, aiming to produce 60,000 tons of green methanol annually [4]. - China Tianying is developing multiple projects, including a 10,000-ton green methanol production facility, with plans to achieve a production capacity of 1 million tons by around 2030 [4].

Market Overview - The electricity sector increased by 0.65% compared to the previous trading day, with Jiaze New Energy leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3828.11, down by 0.65%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13209.0, down by 1.76% [1] Top Performers - Jiaze New Energy (601619) closed at 5.58, up by 10.06% with a trading volume of 1.7655 million shares and a transaction value of 979 million yuan [1] - Shimao Energy (605028) closed at 31.57, up by 10.00% with a trading volume of 49,800 shares and a transaction value of 153 million yuan [1] - Longyuan Power (001289) closed at 17.40, up by 3.26% with a trading volume of 108,800 shares and a transaction value of 2.6881 million yuan [1] Underperformers - Lianmei Holdings (600167) closed at 9.50, down by 10.04% with a trading volume of 916,900 shares and a transaction value of 889 million yuan [2] - Hengsheng Energy (605580) closed at 27.20, down by 4.33% with a trading volume of 71,100 shares and a transaction value of 29,671 yuan [2] - Guangdong Construction (002060) closed at 3.81, down by 3.54% with a trading volume of 924,400 shares and a transaction value of 357 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The electricity sector experienced a net outflow of 191 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 80.2183 million yuan [2] - Major stocks like Shanghai Electric (600021) had a net inflow of 373 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 497 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Shimao Energy (605028) had a net inflow of 40.1514 million yuan from institutional investors, but also saw a net outflow of 27.2485 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - Jilin Electric Power Co., Ltd. (吉电股份) has shown a stock price increase of 10.45% year-to-date, with recent trading activity indicating a mixed flow of funds and a notable decrease in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of September 25, the stock price of Jilin Electric Power was 5.77 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 3.09 billion CNY and a market capitalization of 20.93 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has increased by 1.23% over the last five trading days, 11.61% over the last 20 days, and 13.36% over the last 60 days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Jilin Electric Power reported a revenue of 6.569 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 4.63%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 726 million CNY, down 33.72% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 969 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 764 million CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Group 3: Business Overview - Jilin Electric Power's main business includes power generation (wind, solar, hydro, thermal, distributed energy, gas, biomass, nuclear), heating services, comprehensive smart energy supply, clean energy investment, power plant maintenance, technology project development, and power distribution [1]. - The revenue composition is as follows: coal power products 33.67%, photovoltaic products 29.55%, wind power products 23.40%, heating products 10.86%, and operation and maintenance services 2.52% [1]. Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of September 19, the number of shareholders for Jilin Electric Power was 154,300, a decrease of 3.59% from the previous period, with an average of 21,654 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 3.73% [2]. - Notable changes in institutional holdings include the exit of several ETFs from the top ten circulating shareholders by June 30, 2025 [3].

Group 1 - The company, Jidian Co., reported that as of September 19, 2025, the number of shareholders is 154,348 [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy recommendation for companies such as Goldwind Technology, Longi Green Energy, and Sungrow Power Supply [2] Core Insights - The global shipping industry is undergoing a green transition driven by the IMO's emission reduction targets and the European carbon tax, with green methanol expected to be a major alternative fuel by 2030, potentially increasing current methanol demand by 40% [1][6] - Major shipyards are actively preparing for methanol vessels, with a concentrated delivery period expected in 2026 [1] - The price of green methanol is currently high, necessitating significant cost reductions in the future [1][6] Industry Overview - The shipping fuel market consumes approximately 300 million tons annually, contributing over 2% of global CO₂ emissions [10] - The International Maritime Organization (IMO) has set ambitious targets for emission reductions, aiming for a 20%-30% reduction by 2030 and net-zero emissions by 2050 [10][11] - The European Union's inclusion of shipping in its carbon trading system (ETS) starting in 2024 will further incentivize the transition to green fuels [11] Green Methanol as a Key Choice - Green methanol is positioned as a long-term solution for shipping fuel due to its advantages such as flexible storage, lower cost per energy unit, and environmental friendliness [6][19] - The global demand for methanol is projected to increase significantly, with estimates suggesting that if methanol's share in shipping fuel reaches 10% by 2030, it could add over 50 million tons to global methanol demand [43][50] Production and Cost Considerations - The production of green methanol is currently limited by high costs and stringent EU definitions, with biomass gasification and fermentation being the main production routes [1][23] - The current price of green methanol exceeds 7000 RMB per ton, making it economically unfeasible for shipowners without further cost reductions [1][23] Key Companies - The report highlights several companies to watch, including Goldwind Technology, Longi Green Energy, Sungrow Power Supply, and others involved in the green methanol production and supply chain [6][51]

Group 1: Company Analysis - Ji Electric Co., Ltd. (000875.SZ) reported a revenue of 6.569 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.63% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 726 million yuan, down 33.72% year-on-year, with a significant decline in Q2 net profit of 102 million yuan, a drop of 78.5% year-on-year, primarily due to the impact of new energy [1] - The company's electricity sales volume decreased by 1.33% year-on-year, and the electricity price fell by 3.93% [1] - As of June 30, 2025, the company had a coal-fired power generation capacity of 3.3 million kilowatts and a clean energy capacity of 11.35 million kilowatts, with an increase of 210,000 kilowatts expected to be from new energy installations [1] - The total profit for the first half of 2025 decreased by 360 million yuan, closely aligning with the decline in gross profit, indicating that the performance drop was mainly driven by new energy [1] - The company reported an impairment of 67 million yuan for its thermal power plants in the first half of the year [1] - The company has disclosed green hydrogen projects, including the Da'an Wind and Solar Integrated Green Hydrogen Ammonia Project (180,000 tons of synthetic ammonia) and the Lishu Green Methanol Innovation Demonstration Project (200,000 tons of methanol) [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - The Chinese maternal and infant consumption market is steadily increasing, with the market size expected to reach 7.6 trillion yuan in 2024, benefiting various segments of the maternal and infant industry chain [1] - The number of births in China is projected to increase by 520,000 in 2024 compared to 2023, marking the first rise since 2017 [1] - The retail market size for dairy products in China is expected to reach approximately 521.7 billion yuan in 2024, with projections of 596.7 billion yuan by 2026 [1] - The domestic milk production has been on an upward trend, peaking in 2023, but is expected to see a slight decline in 2024 due to supply-demand imbalances in the fresh milk market, with a potential return to balance in 2025 [1] - The Chinese maternal and infant chain industry is experiencing continuous growth, with the market size expected to increase from 99.95 billion yuan in 2025 to 140.52 billion yuan by 2029, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 8.9% [2] - The online sales proportion of maternal and infant consumer goods is steadily increasing and is expected to reach parity with offline sales [2]

Core Viewpoint - Jilin Electric Power's net profit attributable to shareholders in the first half of the year was 726 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 33.72%, with a significant drop of 78.5% in the second quarter, primarily due to the impact of new energy [1] Financial Performance - The company's net profit for the second quarter was 102 million yuan, reflecting a substantial decline compared to the previous year [1] - If national subsidies are accelerated, the company is expected to receive a one-time cash flow that will alleviate debt pressure [1] Future Outlook - The net cash flow from fundraising for the first half of 2025 is projected to be 2.5 billion yuan, an increase of approximately 1.4 billion yuan year-on-year, mainly from the issuance of new energy REITs [1] - The company is strategically positioned to focus on "new energy+" and "green hydrogen energy" dual tracks, indicating a clear strategic direction [1] Comparative Analysis - Comparable companies in the A-share green electricity sector include Longyuan Power, Three Gorges Energy, and China Energy Conservation and Environmental Protection Group, with average PE ratios for 2025-2027 expected to be 19, 17, and 16 times respectively [1] - The company is positioned as a green hydrogen energy platform under State Power Investment Corporation, with potential to lead in the next main track of green electricity [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (首次) [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes the company's focus on the "New Energy +" and "Green Hydrogen" dual tracks, positioning it as a key player in the green energy sector [7] - The company has received significant renewable energy subsidies, which are expected to alleviate debt pressure and improve cash flow [7] - The company plans to change its name to "State Power Investment Group Green Energy Development Co., Ltd." to reflect its strategic focus on green energy [7] Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a revenue of 6.569 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 4.63% year-on-year [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 726 million yuan, down 33.72% year-on-year [7] - The company’s coal power and clean energy installed capacity as of June 2025 was 3.3 million kW and 1.135 million kW, respectively, with an increase of 210,000 kW compared to the end of 2024 [7] - The company’s gross profit from various segments showed a decline, particularly in the new energy sector, which decreased by 3.32 billion yuan [7] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 1.048 billion, 1.140 billion, and 1.346 billion yuan, respectively [7] - The average P/E ratios for comparable companies in the green energy sector are projected to be 19, 17, and 16 times for 2025-2027 [7] - The report suggests that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the next wave of green energy development [7]

债券简称：22 吉电 G1 债券代码：149848.SZ 债券简称：22 吉电 G2 债券代码：148096.SZ 债券简称：23 吉电 GCKV01 债券代码：148530.SZ 债券简称：25 吉电 K1 债券代码：524366.SZ 国泰海通证券股份有限公司 关于吉林电力股份有限公司 涉及董事变动的 临时受托管理事务报告 受托管理人 （住所：中国（上海）自由贸易试验区商城路 618 号） 二〇二五年九月 契约锁 重要声明 本报告依据《公司债券发行与交易管理办法》《公司债券受托管理人执业行 为准则》《吉林电力股份有限公司公开发行绿色公司债券之债券受托管理协议》 《吉林电力股份有限公司公开发行科技创新公司债券之债券受托管理协议》（以 下简称《受托管理协议》）等相关规定和约定、公开信息披露文件以及吉林电力 股份有限公司（以下简称公司、吉电股份或发行人）出具的相关说明文件以及提 供的相关资料等，由受托管理人国泰海通证券股份有限公司（以下简称国泰海通 证券）编制。 本报告不构成对投资者进行或不进行某项行为的推荐意见，投资者应对相关 事宜做出独立判断。 1 契约锁 一、董事变动事项 根据发行人披露的《吉林电力股份有 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jilin Electric Power Co., Ltd. (吉电股份) has experienced fluctuations in stock price and trading volume, with a year-to-date increase of 11.56% as of September 16, 2023, despite a recent decline of 2.01% in share price [1][2]. Company Overview - Jilin Electric Power Co., Ltd. was established on November 20, 1997, and listed on September 26, 2002. The company is based in Changchun, Jilin Province, and its main business includes power generation (wind, solar, hydro, thermal, distributed energy, gas, biomass, nuclear), heating (residential and industrial), comprehensive smart energy supply, clean energy investment and development, power plant maintenance, technology project research and development, and power distribution [2]. - The revenue composition of the company is as follows: coal power products 33.67%, photovoltaic products 29.55%, wind power products 23.40%, heating products 10.86%, and operation and maintenance and others 2.52% [2]. Stock Performance - As of September 16, 2023, Jilin Electric's stock price was reported at 5.85 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 21.22 billion CNY. The trading volume was 319 million CNY, with a turnover rate of 1.61% [1]. - The stock has shown positive performance over various time frames: 4.09% increase over the last 5 trading days, 10.80% over the last 20 days, and 15.84% over the last 60 days [2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Jilin Electric reported a revenue of 6.569 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 4.63%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 726 million CNY, down 33.72% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 969 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 764 million CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 10, 2023, the number of shareholders for Jilin Electric was 160,100, an increase of 1.70% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person decreased by 1.67% to 20,876 shares [2]. - Notable changes in institutional holdings include the exit of several ETFs from the top ten circulating shareholders as of June 30, 2025 [3].