Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including Shandong Gold, Zijin Mining, and others [7][8]. Core Views - The Federal Reserve's dovish stance is expected to drive a bullish outlook for precious metals, with gold prices likely to reach new highs due to anticipated interest rate cuts and inflationary pressures [1][38]. - The copper market is supported by both macroeconomic factors and supply-side constraints, leading to a strong price outlook [2]. - Lithium prices are rebounding due to ongoing supply disruptions, while the market remains tight with a strong demand forecast [3]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The Federal Reserve's shift to a dovish tone has increased expectations for interest rate cuts, with a 90% probability for a September rate cut [1]. - Gold prices are projected to rise, with optimistic scenarios suggesting silver could reach $70 per ounce if the gold-silver ratio normalizes [1]. - Key companies to watch include Xinyi Silver, Shengda Resources, and Zijin Mining [1]. Industrial Metals - Copper prices are expected to strengthen due to macroeconomic support and supply disruptions, with domestic smelting capacity facing maintenance [2]. - Aluminum prices are predicted to fluctuate in the short term, influenced by macroeconomic sentiment and supply adjustments across regions [2]. - Companies of interest include Luoyang Molybdenum, Nanshan Aluminum, and China Hongqiao [2]. Energy Metals - Lithium prices are experiencing a strong rebound, with industrial-grade lithium carbonate priced at 84,000 yuan per ton, reflecting a 1.5% weekly increase [3]. - The market remains tight with a forecasted increase in demand for electric vehicles, supporting a bullish outlook for lithium [3]. - Companies to monitor include Ganfeng Lithium, Tianqi Lithium, and others [3]. Market Trends - The non-ferrous metals sector has shown a general upward trend, with the sector index rising by 1.3% recently [19]. - Specific sub-sectors like small metals have seen significant gains, with a 10.5% increase noted [19]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring inventory levels and price movements across various metals to gauge market health [35].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, highlighting potential price increases for various metals due to rising demand and favorable macroeconomic conditions [2][4]. Core Views - The report emphasizes that the expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, combined with improving seasonal demand, is likely to drive up industrial metal prices [2][4]. - It identifies specific companies as key investment opportunities, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Nonferrous Mining, among others [2][4]. Summary by Sections Industrial Metals - The report notes that the SMM import copper concentrate index decreased by $3.47 per ton week-on-week, indicating stable demand with downstream purchases primarily driven by necessity [2]. - Aluminum production has slightly increased due to the commissioning of replacement capacity, and companies are beginning to stockpile for the upcoming peak season [2]. - Domestic electrolytic aluminum social inventory stands at 596,000 tons, with a weekly reduction of 11,000 tons [2]. Energy Metals - Cobalt supply continues to decrease, leading to expectations of a significant price increase, while lithium prices are expected to remain strong due to market dynamics [3]. - The report highlights that cobalt prices are likely to rise as domestic inventory continues to deplete [3]. - Nickel prices are also expected to increase due to low supply and rising demand from precursor manufacturers [3]. Precious Metals - The report indicates that the Federal Reserve's comments have bolstered expectations for interest rate cuts, which is likely to support gold prices [4]. - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for nine consecutive months, further supporting the bullish outlook for gold [4]. - The report suggests that if gold prices stabilize above $3,500 per ounce, it could present a significant investment opportunity [4]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts, Valuations, and Ratings - Zijin Mining: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.21 CNY, with a PE ratio of 17, rated as "Buy" [4]. - Luoyang Molybdenum: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.63 CNY, with a PE ratio of 18, rated as "Buy" [4]. - China Nonferrous Mining: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.77 CNY, with a PE ratio of 11, rated as "Buy" [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [7] Core Views - The company has demonstrated steady revenue growth, achieving a revenue of 9.246 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 42.14%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.596 billion yuan, up 48.43% year-on-year [1] - The company is effectively advancing its incremental projects, with the Osino project expected to start production in the first half of 2027, which will become a significant growth driver [4] - The company has a low debt-to-asset ratio of 20.09%, providing strong financing capabilities and advantages in capital costs [4] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a gold production of 3.72 tons, a decrease of 10.58% year-on-year, while silver production was 61.83 tons, down 24.82% year-on-year [2] - The average selling price of gold was 724.83 yuan per gram, slightly above the average futures price, indicating effective hedging strategies [3] - The company expects to benefit from rising gold prices, with revised net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 3.542 billion, 3.580 billion, and 4.998 billion yuan respectively [4] Financial Data and Valuation - The projected revenue for 2025 is 18.163 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 33.7% [5] - The estimated net profit for 2025 is 3.542 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 62.99% [5] - The company’s price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is projected to be 14.3 for 2025, indicating a favorable valuation [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the price trend of precious metals is on the rise, which provides the company with earnings elasticity. The company achieved significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 9.246 billion yuan (up 42.14%) and net profit at 1.596 billion yuan (up 48.43%) [7] - The company has demonstrated excellent cost control and benefits from the stable upward trend in precious metal prices. The report notes that the production of gold, silver, zinc, and lead has been affected by seasonal factors and declining ore grades, with respective production figures of 3.72 tons of gold, 61.83 tons of silver, 7,916.57 tons of zinc, and 4,354.42 tons of lead, showing year-on-year changes of -11%, -25%, +41%, and -14% [7] - The average selling prices for gold and silver increased significantly, with gold priced at 724.83 yuan per gram (up 39%) and silver at 6.33 yuan per gram (up 19%) [7] - The company is progressing well with overseas mining projects, including the Osino gold mine in Namibia, which is expected to start production in the first half of 2027 [7] - The company is also increasing its resource reserves, with significant exploration results in Qinghai province, adding 3.85 tons of gold metal [7] - The report anticipates a favorable environment for gold investments due to expected rapid declines in real interest rates in the U.S. [7] Financial Projections - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 13.585 billion yuan in 2024 to 22.311 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.99% [1] - Net profit is expected to increase from 2.173 billion yuan in 2024 to 6.352 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 41.57% [1] - The report adjusts the company's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 3.483 billion yuan, 4.487 billion yuan, and 6.352 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15.62, 12.12, and 8.56 [7][8]

Group 1 - The stock price of Shanjin International is 18.26 yuan, down 0.60% from the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 313,900 shares and a transaction amount of 575 million yuan [1] - Shanjin International's main business includes gold exploration, mining, and sales, operating six mining enterprises, and ranks sixth in gold production among publicly listed gold mining companies in China for 2024 [1] - The company reported a revenue of 9.246 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 42.14%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.596 billion yuan, up 48.43% year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The company has initiated a secondary listing plan in Hong Kong, intending to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1] - On August 20, the company hosted a research meeting with 27 institutions, including Galaxy Fund, discussing its operational performance for the first half of the year and progress in international expansion [1]

昨日基金共对17家公司进行调研，扎堆调研冰轮环境、山金国际、太辰光等。 证券时报·数据宝统计，8月20日共18家公司被机构调研，按调研机构类型看，基金参与17家公司的调研 活动，其中，10家以上基金扎堆调研公司共7家。冰轮环境最受关注，参与调研的基金达29家；山金国 际、太辰光等分别获27家、22家基金集体调研。 基金参与调研的公司中，按所属板块统计，深市主板公司有7家，创业板公司有9家，科创板公司有1 家。所属行业来看，基金调研的公司共涉及9个行业，所属通信、有色金属等行业个股最多，均有3只个 股上榜。 从基金调研公司的A股总市值统计，总市值在500亿元以上的共有2家，其中总市值超千亿元的有牧原股 份等，总市值不足100亿元的有6家，分别是速达股份、骏鼎达、长海股份等。 业绩方面，基金调研公司中，15家公司已经公布了半年报，净利润同比增幅最高的是牧原股份、南极 光，净利润增长幅度为1169.77%、982.43%。公布上半年业绩预告的共有1家，业绩预告类型来看，预 增有1只。以净利润增幅中值来看，净利润增幅最高的是广电计量，预计净利润中值为9750.00万元，同 比增幅为22.34%。（数据宝） 8月20日 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [2][14]. Core Views - The company achieved a record high in revenue and net profit during the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 9.246 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.14%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 1.596 billion yuan, up 48.43% [3]. - The company's gold reserves have increased significantly, with an additional 3.85 tons of gold metal discovered, and the exploration area has expanded by 2.7% [4]. - The company is focusing on optimizing production processes and enhancing profitability, with a notable increase in gold gross margin from 71.89% to 79.15% [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a gold production of 3.72 tons, with a sales volume of 4.12 tons, achieving a sales rate of 111% [5]. - The gross margin for gold production improved significantly, reflecting the company's effective cost control and the rising global gold prices [6]. Resource Expansion - The company has made substantial progress in resource exploration, with a total exploration area of 5,984 square kilometers, and plans to continue increasing its resource reserves through exploration and potential acquisitions [4]. - The company is advancing its projects in Namibia and China, with expected production increases in the coming years [5]. Industry Outlook - The report indicates a favorable industry outlook, with gold prices expected to rise due to supply-demand dynamics and market conditions [14]. - The company is well-positioned within the industry, maintaining a low debt ratio of 20.09%, which provides financial flexibility [13]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for the company are optimistic, with expected revenues of 17.75 billion yuan in 2025, 20.23 billion yuan in 2026, and 22.12 billion yuan in 2027 [15]. - The company anticipates a significant increase in gold production capacity, potentially exceeding 15 tons annually by 2027 [5].

南财投研通数据显示，8月20日，券商给予上市公司目标价共26次，按最新收盘价计算，目标价涨幅排 名居前的公司有华润三九、松原安全、格尔软件，目标价涨幅分别为48.55%、34.46%、30.98%，分别 属于中药、汽车零部件、软件开发行业。 | | | | 08月20日目标价涨幅排名 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | 机构 | 品新评级 | 服装目标价 | 目标涨幅 | | | | | | B | (96) | | 6660000 | 学演三九 | 东方证券 | 买人 | 45.10 | 48.55 | | 300893 | 松原安全 | 中国国际全融 | 製品行业 | 43.00 | 34.46 | | 603232 | 格尔软件 | 和日期所 | 买人 | 20.93 | 30.98 | | 002299 | 圣农发局 | 和三四郎版团 | 增持 | 22.00 | 27.83 | | 001286 | 陕西能源 | 华宗正学 | 买入 | 11.77 | 27.80 | | 000963 | 学东医药 | 华东证学 | ...

Group 1: Unisoc (紫光国微) - Unisoc's subsidiary Shenzhen Guowei Electronics is expected to see significant revenue and net profit growth in the first half of 2025, with a 40%-50% share of simulation chips and a growth rate of approximately 18%-20% [1] - The company has optimistic orders for special integrated circuit business and is experiencing growth in switch chip orders, with core control chips and supporting products also seeing increased orders [1] - The company is focusing on high-end AI and visual perception chips for target recognition and tracking, with a need to align products with downstream demand [1] Group 2: Shanjin International (山金国际) - Shanjin International's gold production in the first half of 2023 was lower than the same period last year, but the company is implementing measures to increase production in the second half [2] - The company has a stable dividend policy, with the main gold-producing mines contributing 95.87% to net profit in 2024 [2] - The Osino project is expected to start production in the first half of 2027, with an average annual gold output of 5 tons [2] Group 3: Feiling Kesi (菲菱科思) - Feiling Kesi is focusing on its core business while actively expanding new products and clients, with the top five clients accounting for 96.77% of revenue [3] - The company has seen a 67% year-on-year increase in data center switch sales and is accelerating its server-related business layout [3] - R&D investment is 71.89 million yuan, representing 9.96% of revenue, with multiple product iterations completed [3] Group 4: Tianci Materials (天赐材料) - Tianci Materials anticipates a gradual recovery in the prices of electrolyte and lithium hexafluorophosphate, influenced by fluctuations in lithium carbonate prices and increasing downstream demand [4] - The company is in the early stages of solid-state battery material development, with plans to complete pilot production lines next year [4] - The company is enhancing its waste battery recycling channels to secure raw materials for lithium carbonate [4]

Core Insights - The article discusses the recent research conducted by the well-known private equity firm, Huanfang Quantitative, on a listed company, Shanjin International, focusing on its gold production and strategic plans for the future [1] Company Overview - Shanjin International reported a decrease in gold production in the first half of 2023 compared to the same period last year, but the company is implementing various measures to recover production in the second half [1] - The trading company experienced losses in the first half of the year primarily due to the net profit from the consolidation of overseas company entities [1] - The Heihe Luoke Dong'an gold mine is noted for its high-grade gold, with geological exploration concentrated on newly acquired exploration rights [1] - The company has acquired two exploration rights in Yunnan, which will be integrated with Huasheng Gold Mine for unified development [1] - The mining rights for the Qinghai Dachaidan fine crystal ditch are currently being processed [1] Strategic Planning - Shanjin International released a strategic plan for 2023, aiming to achieve its goals through existing mine management and the exploration of mineral resource projects [1] - The cost of gold sales is expected to increase slightly in the first half of 2025, but the overall increase is not significant [1] - The Osino project is anticipated to commence production in the first half of 2027, with an average annual gold output of 5 tons [1] - Future growth in gold production over the next 2-3 years is expected to primarily come from the Osino project and external acquisition projects [1] - The company's dividend policy remains stable, with the contribution rate of gold-producing mines to the company's net profit reaching 95.87% for the fiscal year 2024 [1]