沪指12月17日上涨1.19%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有28个，涨幅居前的行业为通信、有色金属， 涨幅分别为5.07%、3.03%。有色金属行业位居今日涨幅榜第二。跌幅居前的行业为农林牧渔、国防军 工、煤炭，跌幅分别为0.54%、0.20%、0.11%。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流入95.10亿元，今日有16个行业主力资金净流入，通信行业主力资 金净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨5.07%，全天净流入资金64.49亿元，其次是电子行业，日涨幅为 2.48%，净流入资金为63.40亿元。 603124 江南新材 10.00 15.78 7366.08 有色金属行业资金流出榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 001280 | 中国铀业 | -4.19 | 26.61 | -18830.31 | | 000975 | 山金国际 | 4.60 | 2.37 | -10344.01 | | 300748 | 金力永磁 | 1.38 | 2.90 | -8825.75 | | 6881 ...

Group 1: Employment Data - The U.S. non-farm employment increased by 64,000 in November, surpassing the market expectation of 50,000, but manufacturing employment has dropped to its lowest level since March 2022 [1] - The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.6%, the highest since September 2021, although this increase coincided with a rise in the labor participation rate [1] - Non-farm employment saw a significant decrease of 105,000 in October, with August and September also revised down by a total of 33,000 [1] Group 2: Wage Growth - The average hourly wage in November grew by 3.5% year-on-year, marking the lowest growth rate since May 2021, indicating a slowdown in real wage growth [1] Group 3: Market Reactions - Despite the overall weak data, there remains a divergence in market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut path, leading to increased short-term volatility in gold prices [1] - The long-term appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset and its anti-inflation value continues to attract capital [1] Group 4: Gold Price Forecast - Goldman Sachs predicts that gold prices will reach $4,900 per ounce by the end of 2026, driven by increased holdings from households or institutional investors seeking to diversify risk amid high macroeconomic uncertainty [2] Group 5: Gold Industry Index Performance - As of December 17, 2025, the CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Gold Industry Stock Index (931238) rose by 2.87%, with constituent stocks such as Shandong Gold and Jiangxi Copper seeing significant gains [2] - The gold stock ETF fund saw a turnover of 7.16% during the trading session, with a transaction volume of 7.3346 million [2] Group 6: Top Holdings in Gold Industry Index - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Gold Industry Stock Index account for 68.26% of the index, including companies like Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold [3]

Group 1 - The precious metals sector experienced a significant afternoon rally, with Shanjin International rising over 5% [2] - Other companies in the sector, including Hunan Silver, Chifeng Gold, Zhongjin Gold, and Shandong Gold, also saw increases in their stock prices [2]

Group 1: Global Monetary Policy and Economic Conditions - The global monetary policy is shifting towards easing, with a significant increase in the proportion of central banks cutting rates from 13.33% in October 2022 to 85.33% in October 2025, indicating a transition from a tightening to an easing cycle [1] - The expansion of central bank balance sheets suggests a potential re-initiation of quantitative easing (QE), with the contraction rate of major central banks' balance sheets narrowing from -11.16% in April 2024 to -0.89% in October 2025 [2] - Historical data shows that during previous QE periods, commodity price indices, including energy and metals, experienced significant increases, with energy indices rising by 131.88% and metal price indices by 55.29% from 2020 to 2022 [2] Group 2: Precious Metals Market Dynamics - The geopolitical risk index has reached its third-highest level since the 1973 Middle East War, significantly increasing the safe-haven premium for precious metals like gold [3] - Gold prices are expected to trend upwards due to a structural tightening in supply, with global gold consumption averaging around 4,616 tons annually and central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tons for three consecutive years [4] - Silver supply is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of only 1.2% from 31,529 tons in 2024 to 32,666 tons in 2027, while demand is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.9%, leading to an expanding supply-demand gap [6] Group 3: Specific Metal Insights - Platinum is anticipated to maintain a structural supply shortage, with a projected supply gap of 39 tons in 2025 due to weak mining supply and slow recovery in demand [7] - The demand for platinum jewelry is expected to recover due to high gold prices, while industrial demand remains resilient despite potential impacts from U.S. tariff policies [7] - The ongoing structural improvements in silver supply-demand dynamics and the increase in liquidity premiums are likely to support higher silver pricing [6]

截至12月16日收盘，金属铅概念下跌3.12%，位居概念板块跌幅榜前列，板块内，盛达资源、株冶集 团、华锡有色等跌幅居前。 今日涨跌幅居前的概念板块 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601899 | 紫金矿业 | -3.47 | 0.77 | -74507.55 | | 000426 | 兴业银锡 | -5.36 | 3.24 | -19714.23 | | 000975 | 山金国际 | -3.31 | 1.52 | -14706.89 | | 601020 | 华钰矿业 | -5.07 | 4.04 | -12961.70 | | 600711 | 盛屯矿业 | -2.12 | 3.44 | -9659.15 | | 601168 | 西部矿业 | -3.21 | 1.52 | -9044.81 | | 002155 | 湖南黄金 | -4.97 | 2.68 | -8234.68 | | 000603 | 盛达资源 | -6.03 | 3.68 | -7840.33 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share gold stocks experienced significant declines in the afternoon trading session, with several companies reporting drops exceeding 6% [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Xiaocheng Technology saw a decline of 6.80%, with a total market capitalization of 8.223 billion [2]. - Western Gold fell by 6.62%, with a market cap of 24 billion [2]. - Zhaojin Mining decreased by 5.26%, with a market value of 12 billion [2]. - Zhongjin Gold dropped by 4.97%, with a market capitalization of 106.7 billion [2]. - Chifeng Jilong Gold experienced a decline of 4.89%, with a market cap of 59.1 billion [2]. - Hengbang Shares fell by 4.23%, with a total market value of 18.1 billion [2]. - Hunan Gold decreased by 4.18%, with a market capitalization of 32.2 billion [2]. - Shandong Gold dropped by 3.93%, with a market value of 162.4 billion [2]. - Sichuan Gold saw a decline of 3.80%, with a market cap of 11.8 billion [2]. - Shanjin International decreased by 3.35%, with a market capitalization of 65.7 billion [2]. - The overall trend indicates a bearish sentiment in the gold sector, with multiple companies experiencing significant losses [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including Shandong Gold, Zijin Mining, and others [3][6]. Core Views - The report highlights that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut and balance sheet expansion are favorable for precious metals, with expectations of further rate cuts in 2026 [1][35]. - For industrial metals, the report notes that copper inventories are increasing in the U.S., while non-U.S. regions face supply tightness, which could lead to a short squeeze [2]. - The aluminum market is supported by positive macroeconomic policies and low inventory levels, leading to a strong price floor [2]. - Nickel prices are expected to remain low due to seasonal demand weakness [2]. - Lithium prices are experiencing fluctuations due to supply disruptions, while cobalt supply is set to increase with the resumption of exports from the Democratic Republic of Congo [2]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The Federal Reserve's recent actions are expected to boost liquidity and support precious metal prices [1][35]. - The market anticipates two rate cuts in 2026, which could influence precious metal investments positively [1][35]. Industrial Metals - **Copper**: U.S. copper inventories are rising, while low inventories in non-U.S. regions raise concerns about supply [2]. - **Aluminum**: The aluminum market is experiencing a strong price support due to positive economic data and low inventory levels [2]. - **Nickel**: Nickel prices are projected to remain low as demand enters a seasonal downturn [2]. Energy Metals - **Lithium**: Prices are fluctuating due to supply disruptions, with recent increases in lithium carbonate prices [2]. - **Cobalt**: The resumption of cobalt exports from the Democratic Republic of Congo is expected to stabilize supply and maintain high price levels [2]. Key Companies to Watch - The report suggests monitoring companies such as Shandong Gold, Zijin Mining, and others for potential investment opportunities [1][2][6].

每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：让众多股民一直诟病的芒市华盛金矿复产至今仍然遥 遥无期，看到最新公告中显示储量只有28吨，目前该金矿到底是什么情况？希望公司能够如实披露？ （记者 张明双） 山金国际（000975.SZ）12月12日在投资者互动平台表示，公司已于2025年定期报告中披露了华盛金矿 的周边相关矿权的并购整合情况，目前正在推动华盛金矿的资源储量评审备案工作。待矿权整合完毕 后，公司将努力推动华盛金矿的复工复产工作。 ...

有投资者在互动平台向山金国际提问："董秘您好!公司之前制定发展规划时提到相关的产量和储量目 标，目前看依照现有储量和计划增加的产量有限，离规划目标差距依旧很大，请问公司后续打算放弃长 期发展规划吗？还是打算努力实现该目标？又该如何实现？" 针对上述提问，山金国际回应称："尊敬的投资者您好！公司2023年发布的战略规划是基于现有矿山产 能和外延收购可能贡献的产能而制定的发展规划和目标，规划中涉及的未来计划、目标等前瞻性陈述及 预期，不构成对投资者的实质承诺。后续公司将以发展战略规划为指引，一方面对现有矿山加强管理， 确保业绩稳步增长。另一方面深入发掘具有较高安全边际的国内外矿产资源项目，加大矿产资源获取力 度，推进战略规划目标的实现。感谢您的关注！" 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 来源：市场资讯 ...

证券日报网讯12月12日，山金国际（000975）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，目前公司生产经营活 动一切正常，年度产量情况请以公司的信息披露公告为准。 ...