Group 1 - The precious metals sector increased by 8.88% compared to the previous trading day, with Western Gold leading the gains [1] - On the same day, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3933.97, up 1.32%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13725.56, up 1.47% [1] - Key stocks in the precious metals sector showed significant price increases, with Western Gold and Sichuan Gold both rising by 10% [1] Group 2 - The net capital flow in the precious metals sector showed a net outflow of 117 million yuan from main funds and 528 million yuan from speculative funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 645 million yuan [2] - Detailed capital flow data for individual stocks in the precious metals sector is available [2]

Company Performance - The stock price of Shanjin International reached a historical high, increasing by 7.36% to 24.51 yuan, with a trading volume of 18.75 million shares and a transaction value of 461 million yuan [2] - The company reported a total revenue of 9.246 billion yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 42.14%, and a net profit of 1.596 billion yuan, up 48.43% year-on-year [2] - The basic earnings per share were 0.5747 yuan, with a weighted average return on equity of 11.72% [2] Industry Overview - The non-ferrous metals industry, to which Shanjin International belongs, experienced an overall increase of 5.02%, with 134 stocks rising and 7 stocks hitting the daily limit [2] - Among the stocks that declined, the largest drop was seen in Boqian New Materials, with a decrease of 7.85% [2] Financing Data - As of September 30, the margin trading balance for Shanjin International was 870 million yuan, with a financing balance of 868 million yuan, reflecting a recent increase of 23.29 million yuan, or 2.76% [2]

Core Viewpoint - Gold concept stocks experienced a significant surge in early trading on October 9, with notable increases in share prices for several companies, indicating a bullish sentiment in the gold market [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Sichuan Gold reached its daily limit up, showing a 10% increase [2]. - Shandong Gold and Chifeng Gold both rose over 9%, with Shandong Gold increasing by 9.92% and Chifeng Gold by 9.84% [2]. - Other companies such as Xiaocheng Technology, Zhongjin Gold, and Shanjin International also opened higher, with increases around 9% [1][2]. Group 2: Market Indicators - The precious metals index rose by 6.04%, reaching 155,851.48 [2]. - The main gold futures contract saw a daily increase of over 5%, trading at 918.06 yuan per gram, marking a new high [2][3]. - The highest price recorded for the gold futures was 918.12 yuan per gram, with a trading volume of 76,500 contracts [3].

Core Insights - The precious metals sector experienced a rise of 1.85% on September 30, with Zhongjin Gold leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3882.78, up 0.52%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13526.51, up 0.35% [1] Precious Metals Sector Performance - Zhongjin Gold (600489) closed at 21.93, up 3.84% with a trading volume of 1.1969 million shares and a transaction value of 2.603 billion [1] - Hengbang Shares (002237) closed at 14.97, up 2.75% with a trading volume of 530,700 shares and a transaction value of 789 million [1] - Yunnan Tin (002155) closed at 22.44, up 2.65% with a trading volume of 828,000 shares and a transaction value of 1.862 billion [1] - Shandong Gold (600547) closed at 39.33, up 0.85% with a trading volume of 570,600 shares and a transaction value of 2.246 billion [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The precious metals sector saw a net outflow of 120 million from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 140 million [3] - Major stocks like Zhongjin Gold and Shandong Gold experienced varying levels of net inflow and outflow from different investor types [4] - For instance, Zhongjin Gold had a net inflow of 196 million from institutional investors but a net outflow of 230 million from retail investors [4]

Core Viewpoint - Shan Jin International's stock price has shown significant growth this year, with a year-to-date increase of 51.75% and a recent upward trend in trading volume and market capitalization [1][2]. Company Overview - Shan Jin International, established on June 18, 1999, and listed on June 8, 2000, is primarily engaged in precious and non-ferrous metal mining and trading, with gold as its main product [1]. - The company's revenue composition includes copper trading (33.67%), quality gold (32.30%), silver trading (17.01%), and other metal trades [1]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Shan Jin International reported a revenue of 9.246 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 42.14%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.596 billion yuan, up 48.43% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 5.982 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.568 billion yuan in the last three years [3]. Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 14.62% to 36,900, with an average of 68,473 circulating shares per person, a decrease of 11.34% [2]. - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, with some new entries in the top ten shareholders [3].

坐拥高品位金矿，成本效益领先同行。公司主要产品为合质金，目前已拥有6 座金矿与1座铅锌银多金 属矿，2024 年收购纳米比亚osino 金矿，正式迈出海外并购步伐，较大扩充公司黄金资源量（2024 年底 公司黄金资源量277 吨，osnio 占比接近50%）。公司旗下金矿均为大型且品位较高的矿山，平均品位 1.7 克/吨，2024 年合质金产量8 吨，全维持683.5美元/盎司，位于全球黄金开采全维持成本曲线前 10%，矿金毛利率70%以上，成本效益领先同行。2023 年山东黄金收购成为公司控股股东，持股 28.89%。 风险提示：金价下行，产量不及预期，项目建设不及预期 内生外延打开成长空间，持续关注收并购机会：1）存量金矿有增产空间：公司旗下黑河洛克、吉林板 庙子、青海大柴旦三座在产高品位优质黄金矿山，2024 年产金8 吨，其中青海大柴旦具备较大增储潜 力，大柴旦青龙沟、细晶沟项目投产后，年产金将由现有的3.5 吨增至4.6 吨以上；2）待产项目投产后 矿金产量增加约7 吨：芒市华盛金矿（权益60%）复产建成后年产金有望1.9 吨，目前矿权整合取得积 极进展；纳米比亚osino 项目（100%权益）核心 ...

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing a significant upward trend, with spot gold prices reaching a historical high of $3,819.81 per ounce, driven by factors such as potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and increased demand from gold ETFs [1][2][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - On September 29, spot gold prices rose over 1%, breaking the $3,800 per ounce mark, while spot silver prices increased by 2%, reaching $47.174 per ounce, also a historical high [2]. - The A-share market saw a strong performance in the precious metals sector, with several gold-related stocks, such as Zhaojin Mining and Xiaocheng Technology, rising over 6% [2]. Group 2: Investment Drivers - Financial investment participants, including gold ETF investors and global central banks, are identified as the main sources of the current upward trend in gold prices [3]. - In September, global gold ETF holdings surged, with a notable increase of nearly 27 tons in a single day, marking the fastest growth in three years [3]. Group 3: Future Price Predictions - UBS Wealth Management predicts that gold prices could reach $3,900 per ounce by mid-2026, supported by a favorable macroeconomic narrative for precious metals [4]. - Analysts from Dongwu Securities believe that the downward trend in real interest rates and the initiation of a rate-cutting cycle by the Federal Reserve will provide substantial upward potential for gold prices [4]. Group 4: Supporting Factors - Three main factors are expected to support the upward trend in gold prices: 1. Increased demand for safe-haven assets due to economic uncertainties and geopolitical risks [4]. 2. Continued central bank purchases of gold, driven by diversification of reserves and reduced reliance on the US dollar [4]. 3. Inflation expectations, which, if they materialize, could enhance gold's value as an inflation hedge [5]. Group 5: Regional Insights - In China, despite a recent decline in gold investment demand due to a rising stock market, expectations are that ETF holdings will recover as gold prices continue to rise [5]. - The Hong Kong government's plan to expand gold reserves and establish a central clearing system for gold is anticipated to provide additional support for gold prices [5].

继紫金矿业旗下境外黄金板块赴港上市之后，山金国际黄金股份有限公司（000975.SZ）（下称"山金国 际"）也向港交所提交了上市申请书，推进"A+H"双上市布局。 对于矿企纷纷瞄准港股的局面，9月27日，业内专家向《华夏时报》记者分析指出，港股市场具有高度 国际化和流动性的特点，可助力黄金业务扩张所需资本。同时，香港监管环境相对灵活高效，便于公司 快速完成上市流程。 在高金价、成本控制、快速增储等方面的支撑下，山金国际展现了强势的盈利能力，今年上半年黄金业 务毛利率逼近80%。而近期黄金价格再次刷新历史，保持在超过3700美元/盎司的高位。 但对于未来金价的走势市场上传出了不同的声音，有分析人士向《华夏时报》记者指出，如果美联储维 持宽松政策，金价可能仍有上行空间，但需警惕经济复苏加速或政策转向带来的回调风险。 另外，记者还注意到，除了面临金价回调的压力，山金国际相比头部金企而言，总体量较小，资源储备 较弱，且面临的市场竞争正日趋激烈。 矿业巨头接连瞄准港股 黄金巨头们在资本市场的欲求越来越高。9月14日，紫金矿业计划将旗下国际金矿业务紫金黄金国际有 限公司（下称"紫金国际"）通过联交所的上市聆讯。紧随其后， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the non-ferrous and steel industries, suggesting potential investment opportunities in these sectors [8]. Core Viewpoints - The report anticipates a new era of non-linear changes in copper and gold prices, with expectations for sustained price increases [14]. - The Grasberg mine incident is expected to significantly disrupt copper supply, enhancing the certainty of rising copper prices in the medium term [14][15]. - The report highlights that the copper smelting capacity growth is likely to slow down, which may improve smelting fees and profitability for copper smelting companies [15]. - For gold, the report emphasizes that the core pricing logic is tied to the deterioration of dollar credit in the medium term, rather than short-term interest rate expectations [16][17]. Summary by Sections 1. Non-Ferrous Metals - The report discusses the potential for copper prices to rise due to supply shortages exacerbated by the Grasberg mine incident, which could reduce copper concentrate supply by 200,000 tons in 2025 and 270,000 tons in 2026 [14]. - It notes that global demand for copper is expected to grow rapidly due to factors such as electric vehicle adoption and data center expansion [14]. - The report also mentions that the copper smelting industry is facing a "de-involution" trend, which may lead to improved smelting fees in the future [15]. 2. Steel Industry - The report indicates that steel prices are expected to find support at the bottom due to cost factors, with a potential recovery in profitability in the fourth quarter [18]. - It highlights a seasonal shift in demand, with an increase in rebar consumption by 4.96% week-on-week, although it remains down 13.71% year-on-year [24]. - The report notes that the overall steel price index has slightly decreased by 0.28%, with specific products like hot-rolled steel showing a decline of 0.65% [39]. 3. New Energy Metals - The report states that lithium production in China saw a significant year-on-year increase of 46.54% in August 2025, indicating strong supply growth in the new energy sector [43]. - It also mentions that the production and sales of new energy vehicles in China have maintained high growth rates, with August 2025 figures showing a 26.00% increase in production [47]. - The prices of lithium, cobalt, and nickel have shown an overall upward trend, reflecting strong demand in the energy metal market [54].

Core Insights - The precious metals sector experienced a significant increase of 2.98% on September 29, with Zhaojin Mining leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3862.53, up 0.9%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13479.43, up 2.05% [1] Precious Metals Sector Performance - Zhaojin Mining (code: 000506) closed at 10.88, with a rise of 6.88% and a trading volume of 980,200 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 1.068 billion yuan [1] - Other notable performers included: - Xiaocheng Technology (code: 300139) at 27.67, up 6.18% [1] - Shanshe International (code: 000975) at 22.32, up 5.98% [1] - Hengbang Shares (code: 002237) at 14.57, up 3.55% [1] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (code: 600988) at 29.00, up 3.20% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The precious metals sector saw a net inflow of 1.237 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.124 billion yuan [1] - Specific stock capital flows included: - Zhongjin Gold (code: 600489) with a net inflow of 296 million yuan from institutional investors [2] - Shandong Gold (code: 600547) with a net inflow of 279 million yuan from institutional investors [2] - Xiaocheng Technology (code: 300139) with a net inflow of 158 million yuan from institutional investors [2]