Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry, indicating an expected performance exceeding the benchmark index by over 10% [1][36]. Core Insights - The communication industry has seen significant advancements with the release of Grok4 and Kimi K2, which are expected to enhance capabilities in various applications such as programming and robotics [3][15]. - The earnings forecasts for major players in the server, optical module, and copper connection sectors are promising, with notable year-on-year growth expected [5][16]. - The ongoing global competition in computing power is shifting from model training to service quality and competitive advantages, suggesting a robust outlook for investments in the sector [7][18]. Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The communication industry is rated as "Outperform," with expectations of exceeding the benchmark index by over 10% [1][36]. Industry Trends - Grok4, launched by xAI, boasts a tenfold improvement in reasoning capabilities compared to its predecessor, with applications in complex task execution and programming [3][14]. - Kimi K2, a new MoE model, has achieved state-of-the-art results in several foundational tests, indicating significant advancements in AI capabilities [4][15]. Earnings Forecasts - Industrial Fulian anticipates a net profit of 11.96-12.16 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 36.8%-39.1% [5][16]. - Other companies like Guangxun Technology and Huagong Technology also project substantial profit growth, with increases ranging from 30% to 95% year-on-year [5][16]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on both overseas and domestic computing power chains, highlighting companies such as Industrial Fulian and Huagong Technology as key players [8][19]. - The ongoing arms race in computing power is expected to yield numerous investment opportunities in the coming years, particularly in the context of domestic algorithm optimization [17][18]. Market Overview - The overall market showed positive performance during the week of July 7-11, 2025, with notable increases in various indices, including a 2.36% rise in the ChiNext Index [8][19]. - Specific sectors such as equipment manufacturers and IoT led the weekly gains, indicating strong investor interest [8][19].

资金流入比率方面，华工科技、光迅科技、震有科技等流入比率居前，主力资金净流入率分别为 9.33%、9.13%、8.80%。（数据宝） F5G概念资金流入榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅 | 今日换手率 | 主力资金流量（万 | 主力资金净流入比率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | （%） | （%） | 元） | （%） | | 002281 | 光迅科 技 | 4.41 | 7.86 | 27215.85 | 9.13 | | 000988 | 华工科 技 | 5.07 | 5.60 | 25135.73 | 9.33 | | 300570 | 太辰光 | 8.96 | 15.98 | 17280.05 | 5.35 | | 301183 | 东田微 | 13.92 | 43.69 | 14224.28 | 8.16 | | 300548 | 长芯博 创 | 3.19 | 14.02 | 11403.33 | 3.87 | | 603083 | 剑桥科 技 | 1.52 | 23.75 | 10903.95 | 3.42 | | 002792 ...

截至7月15日收盘，液冷服务器概念上涨1.90%，位居概念板块涨幅第7，板块内，63股上涨，博汇股份 20%涨停，利欧股份涨停，方盛股份、润泽科技、欧陆通等涨幅居前，分别上涨10.31%、9.49%、 9.26%。跌幅居前的有龙蟠科技、双良节能、江苏雷利等，分别下跌6.08%、5.02%、2.27%。 今日涨跌幅居前的概念板块 | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 中国AI 50 | 3.91 | 低辐射玻璃(Low-E) | -3.55 | | ERP概念 | 3.35 | 硅能源 | -2.85 | | 共封装光学(CPO) | 2.39 | POE胶膜 | -2.39 | | F5G概念 | 2.25 | 农村电商 | -2.37 | | 英伟达概念 | 2.02 | 煤炭概念 | -2.36 | | 华为盘古 | 1.92 | 赛马概念 | -2.24 | | 液冷服务器 | 1.90 | 超超临界发电 | -2.22 | | 同花顺果指数 | 1.85 | 光热发电 | -2.21 | | AI PC | 1.72 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Accelink Technologies is "Sell" with a target price of Rmb24.6, indicating an expected share price return of -46.7% [2][5]. Core Insights - Accelink Technologies expects a net profit growth of 55%-95% YoY for 1H25, with guidance of Rmb323 million to Rmb407 million, driven by strong optical transceiver demand and an improved product mix [1][4]. - The mid-point of the 2Q25 earnings guidance at Rmb215 million is slightly below expectations, suggesting potential downside risk to the share price, which is currently trading at a high valuation of 37x FY25 PE compared to peers at around high-teens [1][5]. - The valuation of Accelink is considered demanding due to lower profitability in the domestic transceiver market and relatively lower earnings growth compared to competitors like Innolight and Eoptolink [1][5]. Summary by Sections Earnings Guidance - For 2Q25, Accelink's net profit guidance is Rmb215 million, a 64% increase from Rmb131 million in 2Q24, while for 1H25, the guidance is Rmb365 million, a 75% increase from Rmb209 million in 1H24 [4]. Valuation - The target price of Rmb24.6 is based on a P/E multiple of 20.0x 2025E EPS, which is one standard deviation below the stock's five-year historical forward PER [5]. Market Capitalization - Accelink Technologies has a market capitalization of Rmb37,228 million (approximately US$5,196 million) [2].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Recommended" rating for the telecommunications industry, considering the sustained high prosperity of the sector driven by AI, 5.5G, and satellite communications [2][5]. Core Insights - The overall market performance for the week (July 7-13, 2025) saw the Shanghai Composite Index rise by 1.09%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.78%, and the ChiNext Index by 2.36%. The telecommunications sector, represented by the Shenwan Communications Index, increased by 2.13% during the same period [2][11]. - Within the telecommunications sector, the highest increase was seen in the communication network equipment and devices, which rose by 4.16%, while the communication application value-added services had the lowest increase at 0.16% [2][14]. - Notable individual stock performances included Hengbao Co., which surged by 21.13%, followed by Changxin Bochuang at 19.84% and Shijia Photon at 14.85% [2][16]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The telecommunications sector is experiencing a high level of prosperity, with significant contributions from advancements in AI and 5.5G technologies, as well as satellite communications [2][3]. - The report highlights a strong performance in the telecommunications sector, with a notable increase in stock prices across various sub-sectors [2][11]. Sub-sector Performance - The communication network equipment and devices sub-sector led the gains with a 4.16% increase, while other sub-sectors also showed positive trends [2][14]. - The report indicates a general upward trend across the telecommunications sub-sectors during the week [2][15]. Individual Stock Highlights - Hengbao Co. led the stock performance with a 21.13% increase, indicating strong market interest and potential investment opportunities [2][16]. - Other notable performers included Changxin Bochuang and Shijia Photon, reflecting a robust market environment for telecommunications stocks [2][16]. Future Focus Areas - The report suggests focusing on the computing power industry chain, particularly the upstream optical chip segment and the module segment, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing demand for AI and computing power [3].

Core Viewpoint - Guangxun Technology (002281.SZ) reported strong growth in its 2025 semi-annual performance forecast, with net profit expected to reach between 323 million to 407 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 55% to 95% [1][2] Group 1: Performance Highlights - In the first half of 2025, Guangxun Technology's net profit is projected to be between 323 million to 407 million yuan, significantly up from 209 million yuan in the same period last year [2] - The company's net profit excluding non-recurring gains is expected to be between 311 million to 394 million yuan, with a growth rate of 50.47% to 90.84% [2] - Basic earnings per share are anticipated to be between 0.41 yuan to 0.51 yuan, a substantial increase from 0.27 yuan per share in the previous year [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The rapid expansion of global computing power investment, particularly in data centers, has driven a surge in demand for high-end optical devices and high-speed optical modules [2][3] - The global optical module market is expected to exceed 20 billion USD in 2025, with data center applications accounting for over 60% of this market [3] Group 3: R&D and Competitive Advantage - Guangxun Technology has established a professional R&D team of over 1,000 people, maintaining a high level of R&D investment at around 10% of its main business revenue over the past three years [4] - In Q1 2025, R&D expenses reached 231 million yuan, a significant increase of 55.14% year-on-year, representing 10.38% of total revenue [4] - The company has made breakthroughs in cutting-edge fields such as silicon photonics and CPO (Co-Packaged Optics), further solidifying its market position [3][4] Group 4: Employee Incentives - To attract and retain talent, Guangxun Technology has launched a stock incentive plan, proposing to grant up to 15.07 million restricted shares to no more than 985 eligible employees [5] - The plan includes 8 directors and senior management who will collectively receive 506,300 shares, accounting for 3.73% of the total grant [5] - Core technical and business personnel, totaling 977 individuals, will receive 13.05 million shares, representing a substantial 86.62% of the total grant [5]

Market Overview - US stock markets experienced a decline, with the Dow Jones down 0.94%, Nasdaq down 0.92%, and S&P 500 down 0.79%. Notable declines included Tesla at 6.79%, Apple at 1.69%, and Google A at 1.53%, while Amazon saw a slight increase of 0.03% [1] International Trade and Policy - The first wave of tax letters from Trump will affect 14 countries, including Japan and South Korea, with tax rates ranging from 25% to 40%, effective from August 1. The EU is reportedly close to reaching an agreement [2] - An EU spokesperson indicated that negotiations for a US-EU trade agreement have made progress, with a principle agreement expected [3] Company Developments - OpenAI is incurring high costs for talent retention, with equity compensation accounting for 119% of its revenue. Meanwhile, Meta is actively recruiting talent, with a senior AI executive from Apple set to join [4] - Samsung Electronics is expected to see a 39% decline in operating profit for Q2 due to weak AI chip sales [5] - Figure's CEO stated that humanoid robots are key to AGI and plans to deploy 100,000 units within four years [6] - Colin Murdoch, Chief Business Officer of Google DeepMind, announced that Isomorphic Labs, which designs drugs using AI, is preparing for its first human trials [7] Economic Forecasts - Goldman Sachs has revised its expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, now anticipating a potential cut in September, with a terminal rate of 3% to 3.25% [8] Domestic Industry Highlights DRAM Industry - Changxin Storage, a major domestic DRAM manufacturer, has initiated its IPO counseling, with a registered capital of 601.9 billion yuan and a valuation of 140 billion yuan. The success of Changxin and Yangtze Memory is expected to significantly impact the domestic semiconductor industry [11] Photovoltaic Industry - Major polysilicon manufacturers have raised prices for certain orders to 37 yuan per kilogram due to recent policy changes and industry self-discipline. The overall production of polysilicon is projected to increase, albeit at a limited rate [12] Petrochemical Industry - The price of butanone has risen by 4.54% to 8,267 yuan per ton, with a month-on-month increase of 28.51%. Supply disruptions due to maintenance at major production facilities are contributing to price increases [13] Automotive Components - A new mandatory national standard for passenger car brake systems will take effect on January 1, 2026, introducing new requirements for electric transmission brake systems and single-pedal braking [15] Company Earnings Forecasts - Industrial Fulian expects a net profit of 6.727 billion to 6.927 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 47.72% to 52.11%, driven by growth in cloud computing [16] - Rockchip anticipates a net profit of 520 million to 540 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 185% to 195%, supported by AIoT product demand [17] - Loxin Technology projects a net profit of 250 million to 270 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 65% to 78% [17] - China Power expects a net profit of 800 million to 1.15 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 68.28% to 141.90% [17]

股东的净利润 比上年同期增长：55.00%—95.00% 盈利：31,112 万元—39,460 万元 证券代码：002281 证券简称：光迅科技 公告编号：（2025）036 武汉光迅科技股份有限公司 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 归属于上市公司 盈利：20,870 万元 比上年同期增长：50.47%—90.84% 基本每股收益 盈利：0.41 元/股—0.51 元/股 盈利：0.27 元/股 二、与会计师事务所沟通情况 本次业绩预告未经会计师事务所审计。 扣除非经常性损 盈利：20,677 万元 益后的净利润 本次业绩预告是公司财务部门初步测算的结果，最终财务数据以公司披露的 证券代码：002281 证券简称：光迅科技 公告编号：（2025）036 武汉光迅科技股份有限公司董事会 二○二五年七月八日 三、业绩变动原因说明 报告期内，得益于全球算力投资的快速增长，算力中心和数据中心建设加速， 推动了对高端光器件和高速光模块的市场需求，公司持续优化业务布局和调整产 品结构，预计营业收入和净利润较上年同期大幅增长。 四、其他相关说明 一、本期业绩预计 ...

扭亏为盈 ☑同向上升 同向下降 | 项目 | 本报告期 | | | 上年同期 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公司 股东的净利润 | 盈利：32,348 | 万元—40,696 | 万元 | 盈利：20,870 | 万元 | | | 比上年同期增长：55.00%—95.00% | | | | | | 扣除非经常性损 益后的净利润 | 盈利：31,112 | 万元—39,460 | 万元 | 盈利：20,677 | 万元 | | | 比上年同期增长：50.47%—90.84% | | | | | | 基本每股收益 | 盈利：0.41 | 元/股—0.51 | 元/股 | 盈利：0.27 | 元/股 | 证券代码：002281 证券简称：光迅科技 公告编号：（2025）036 武汉光迅科技股份有限公司 2025 年半年度业绩预告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、本期业绩预计情况 （一）业绩预告期间： 2025 年 1 月 1 日至 2025 年 6 月 30 日 （二）业绩预告情况 预 ...

光迅科技（002281）公告，预计2025年上半年净利润为3.23亿元—4.07亿元，比上年同期的2.09亿元增 长55.00%—95.00%。 ...