证券之星消息，1月29日非白酒板块较上一交易日上涨5.18%，会稽山领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4157.98，上涨0.16%。深证成指报收于14300.08，下跌0.3%。非白酒板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601579 | 会稽山 | 22.98 | 10.00% | 31.69万 | | 26669 | | 600059 | 古越龙山 | 10.89 | 10.00% | 83.06万 | | 8.63亿 | | 600084 | 中信尼雅 | 6.62 | 9.97% | 13.39万 | 8853.71万 | | | 600616 | 金枫酒业 | 5.95 | 6.82% | 51.73万 | | 3.01亿 | | 002568 | 百润股份 | 21.66 | 6.80% | 21.92万 | | 4.62亿 | | 600600 | 顾思明如 | 63.57 | 5.49% | 15.55万 | | 9.65亿 | | 60 ...

证券之星消息，1月28日非白酒板块较上一交易日下跌0.4%，*ST椰岛领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4151.24，上涨0.27%。深证成指报收于14342.9，上涨0.09%。非白酒板块个股涨跌见下表： 从资金流向上来看，当日非白酒板块主力资金净流出3164.16万元，游资资金净流入6359.21万元，散户资 金净流出3195.05万元。非白酒板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600238 | *ST椰岛 | 6.19 | -3.28% | 11.31万 | 7073.22万 | | 600600 | 関豊明加 | 60.26 | -1.50% | 7.99万 | 4.83 Z | | 000929 | *ST兰黄 | 10.00 | -1.38% | 9.21万 | 9072.38万 | | 600543 | 草高股份 | 5.71 | -1.21% | 4.84万 | 2771.20万 | | 600616 | 金枫湿业 | 5.57 | -1.07% ...

上市企业：珠江啤酒（002461）,重庆啤酒（600132）,燕京啤酒（000729）,兰州黄河（000929）,惠泉啤 酒（600573） 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国无醇啤酒行业市场行情动态及竞争战略分析报告》 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年12月中国啤酒产量为223万千升，同比下降8.7%；2025年中国啤酒累 计产量为3536万千升，累计下降1.1%。 2020-2025年中国啤酒产量统计图 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-liquor sector experienced a slight increase of 0.18% on January 23, with *ST Lanhuang leading the gains, while the overall market indices also showed positive movement [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4136.16, up by 0.33% [1]. - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14439.66, up by 0.79% [1]. - The non-liquor sector stocks showed varied performance, with *ST Lanhuang rising by 2.72% to a closing price of 10.96 [1]. Group 2: Stock Performance - The top performers in the non-liquor sector included: - *ST Lanhuang: 10.96, +2.72%, trading volume of 49,400 shares, turnover of 54.08 million [1]. - Zhongxin Niya: 6.34, +1.44%, trading volume of 87,300 shares, turnover of 54.87 million [1]. - Huijuan Beer: 12.16, +0.16%, trading volume of 51,800 shares, turnover of 62.91 million [1]. - Conversely, stocks like Weilang Co. and ST Xifa saw declines of 2.12% and 1.88%, respectively [2]. Group 3: Capital Flow - The non-liquor sector experienced a net outflow of 23.53 million from institutional funds and 36.39 million from speculative funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 59.92 million [2]. - Notable capital flows included: - Qingdao Beer: -35.13 million from institutional funds, with a retail outflow of -49.91 million [3]. - *ST Yedao: +5.45 million from institutional funds, with a retail inflow of +1.50 million [3].

证券之星消息，1月22日非白酒板块较上一交易日上涨0.72%，威龙股份领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4122.58，上涨0.14%。深证成指报收于14327.05，上涨0.5%。非白酒板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603779 | 威龙股份 | 7.07 | 6.00% | 18.17万 | 1.27亿 | | 600084 | 中信尼雅 | 6.25 | 5.57% | 15.62万 | 9618.59万 | | 600543 | 莫高股份 | 5.84 | 1.92% | 9.96万 | 5763.77万 | | 000729 | 菲克啤酒 | 12.42 | 1.55% | 1 22.39万 | 2.78亿 | | 600616 | 金枫酒业 | 5.68 | 1.25% | 11.45万 | 6478.38万 | | 600573 | 惠泉啤酒 | 12.14 | 1.00% | 6.97万 | 8443.35万 | | 600059 | 古越龙山 | ...

证券之星消息，1月21日非白酒板块较上一交易日下跌0.99%，燕京啤酒领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4116.94，上涨0.08%。深证成指报收于14255.12，上涨0.7%。非白酒板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000929 | *ST兰黄 | 10.60 | 3.41% | 4.93万 | 5173.81万 | | 600084 | 中信尼雅 | 5.92 | 0.85% | 6.90万 | 4081.56万 | | 600543 | 莫高股份 | 5.73 | 0.70% | 6.53万 | 3716.69万 | | 600132 | 重庆啤酒 | 52.70 | -0.17% | 1.94万 | 1.02亿 | | 600616 | 金枫酒业 | 5.61 | -0.18% | 10.40万 | 5794.50万 | | 600573 | 惠泉啤酒 | 12.02 | -0.33% | 5.78万 | 6913.12万 | | 002568 | 百润股 ...

Core Insights - The report indicates that the adjustment period for high-end liquor is expected to end, highlighting the long-term investment value in this sector. The price of mainstream liquor has decreased from approximately 2200 yuan around the Spring Festival in 2025 to about 1560 yuan currently, with a notable decline since June [4][30][32] - The beer industry is anticipated to benefit from a low base effect in 2026, with emerging retail channels and government consumption stimulus policies expected to drive recovery [5][42] - The dairy industry is currently in a transitional phase, with low milk prices expected to rebound as demand improves and supply stabilizes. The long-term growth potential remains strong due to ongoing consumption upgrades [5][60][63] - The condiment sector is projected to benefit from a gradual recovery in restaurant consumption, with both B2B and B2C channels expected to see improved sales as consumer spending recovers [5][79] Liquor Industry - High-end liquor is expected to stabilize after a period of adjustment, with long-term investment value becoming more apparent. The market share of premium liquor brands continues to rise, and the consumption upgrade trend remains intact despite short-term impacts [4][30][34] - The competition in the mid-range liquor segment has intensified, with brands experiencing varying levels of performance due to market pressures. The demand for mid-range products has been notably affected by weak business consumption [36][39] - Inventory management is crucial, with manufacturers actively controlling supply to maintain price stability. The introduction of information systems has improved inventory management capabilities [40][39] Beer Industry - The beer market is expected to recover due to a low base effect from 2025, with national leaders likely to benefit significantly. The rise of instant retail channels is also anticipated to drive growth in non-on-premise beer sales [42][43] - The industry is entering a mature phase, with a focus on premiumization and product structure upgrades. The market share of high-end products is increasing, reflecting a shift in consumer preferences [47][50] - Cost stability is expected in 2026, with barley prices remaining low and contributing to profit margins. The overall cost structure is anticipated to support profitability in the beer sector [51][53] Dairy Industry - The dairy sector is currently experiencing a down cycle in milk prices, but a rebound is expected as demand improves and supply stabilizes. The long-term growth potential remains strong due to increasing consumer preferences for high-quality dairy products [60][63] - The population base in China supports the demand for dairy products, with significant growth potential in rural areas where consumption is currently lower compared to urban areas [66][70] - The industry is witnessing a shift towards high-quality growth, with leading companies focusing on improving profitability through better cost management and efficiency [60][77] Condiment Industry - The condiment sector is expected to benefit from a gradual recovery in restaurant consumption, with B2B channels likely to see significant improvements as consumer spending increases [79][84] - The industry has shown resilience, with a stable growth rate over the past five years. The market size for condiments has surpassed 650 billion yuan, driven by rising consumer demand and changing eating habits [83][84] - Cost advantages are anticipated in 2026, with raw material prices remaining low, which will help maintain stable growth in the condiment sector [79][80]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Industry**: Baijiu (Chinese liquor) and Soft Drinks - **Key Insights**: The Baijiu industry is nearing a bottom in terms of valuation, expectations, and holdings, with a potential turning point expected in Q3 2026. The soft drink market is showing strong performance from leading companies, with expectations for revenue growth above the industry average in 2026 [1][9]. Baijiu Industry Insights - **Market Dynamics**: The overall sentiment for Baijiu sales during the Spring Festival is cautious, with expectations of a year-on-year decline potentially reaching double digits. However, Moutai's significant price reduction may stimulate sales during low-frequency consumption scenarios [2][8]. - **Company Strategies**: - **Moutai**: Plans to stabilize overall product supply while adjusting the product mix to increase the availability of premium Moutai and 500ml Flying Moutai. This strategic shift is expected to have a profound impact on pricing and growth logic [4]. - **Luzhou Laojiao**: Focuses on maintaining stable apparent prices and ensuring stability in pricing, channels, and organizational structure to provide growth momentum during the recovery phase [5]. - **Investment Recommendations**: Companies such as Moutai, Fenjiu, and local brands like Gujing Gongjiu are recommended for their market share logic, while Wuliangye and Luzhou Laojiao are noted for their dividend security [1][8]. Soft Drink Market Insights - **Market Performance**: Leading companies in the soft drink sector are expected to maintain revenue growth above the industry average in 2026. Notable performers include Nongfu Spring and Dongpeng Special Drink, while Master Kong and Uni-President are seen as stable defensive investments [9][10]. - **Current Trends**: The market is experiencing significant competition, but leading companies are expected to leverage their channel and product advantages to maintain robust performance [9]. Tea Beverage Market - **Key Players**: Companies like Guming and Shanghai Auntie are rapidly expanding, with Guming planning to promote breakfast scenarios and Shanghai Auntie introducing coffee and health products. Both companies express confidence in same-store sales for 2026 [11]. Dairy Industry Insights - **Market Condition**: The dairy sector is currently experiencing weak demand but is expected to see a recovery in 2026. Companies like Yili, Mengniu, and New Dairy are recommended due to their stable fundamentals and growth potential [3][12][13]. Frozen Food Industry Insights - **Market Outlook**: The frozen food sector is showing positive prospects for 2026, with strong winter stocking and improved confidence among distributors. Companies like Anjijia, Qianwei Yangchun, and Sanquan Foods are optimistic about their outlook [14][15]. Seasonality and Consumer Behavior - **Consumer Trends**: The upcoming Spring Festival is expected to influence consumer behavior significantly, with increased stocking efforts noted across various sectors, including snacks and frozen foods. Companies are adjusting their strategies to meet this seasonal demand [17][18]. Recommendations for Investment - **Baijiu**: Focus on companies with strong market share logic and dividend security, such as Moutai and Luzhou Laojiao [8]. - **Soft Drinks**: Invest in leading brands like Nongfu Spring and Dongpeng, which are expected to outperform the market [9][10]. - **Dairy and Frozen Foods**: Look for opportunities in Yili, Mengniu, and Anjijia, which are positioned for growth in the recovering market [12][14]. Conclusion - The Baijiu industry is at a critical juncture, with potential for recovery in 2026, while the soft drink and dairy sectors are showing resilience and growth potential. Investors are advised to focus on companies with strong fundamentals and strategic positioning to capitalize on upcoming market opportunities [6][9][12].

Overall Sector Review - The food and beverage sector significantly underperformed the market, with a year-to-date decline of -0.62%, lagging behind the Shanghai Composite Index by 15.0 percentage points [2] - The sector experienced a deep correction after an initial rebound driven by expectations of consumption recovery and supportive policies, but the actual recovery rate was lower than anticipated, leading to a consensus on weak domestic demand [2] Subsector Performance - The snack sector outperformed with a year-to-date increase of 28.88%, driven by channel expansion and a revenue growth rate of 30.97% in the first three quarters [4] - Soft drinks also showed resilience with a 10.11% stock price increase, benefiting from strong travel demand and low-cost, high-frequency consumption [4] - The restaurant chain sector saw a rebound with gains of approximately 10.34% and 10.29% for pre-processed and baked goods, respectively [4] - The liquor sector, particularly high-end liquor, faced challenges with weaker sales and declining prices, while beer performance was supported but affected by high-end market constraints [4] Investment Insights - The sector is under pressure from deflationary trends and a weak recovery, with consumer confidence remaining low, indicating a shift to a "new normal" of low growth [8] - High-end consumption has shown slight recovery due to stock market wealth effects, but sustainability remains a concern [9] - The food and beverage sector's valuation is at historical lows, with a current PE (TTM) of 21.9X, indicating potential investment opportunities in undervalued segments [12] Fund Holdings - As of Q3 2025, the food and beverage sector's fund holdings decreased to 6.38%, nearing levels seen in 2016, with the liquor segment comprising 5.52% of this [14] - Fund holdings in the liquor sector increased for certain subsectors, including white liquor and seasoning products, while others saw declines [16] Long-term Trends - The liquor industry is undergoing its longest adjustment period since 2003, with significant price corrections and a potential bottoming out of valuations [21] - The white liquor sector has underperformed the market with a year-to-date return of -4.87%, reflecting weak demand and a divergence from broader market trends [24] - The third quarter of 2025 saw a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the white liquor sector, indicating a deep adjustment phase [27] Pricing Dynamics - The white liquor market is experiencing a general decline in prices, particularly in high-end segments, while lower price segments show resilience [29] - The average price of high-end products like Moutai has dropped significantly, while mid-range and lower-range products have maintained stability or slight increases [31] Investment Recommendations - The white liquor sector is advised to focus on inventory reduction and demand recovery, with a preference for leading brands that can maintain pricing power and product stability [32]

Market Overview - The non-white liquor sector experienced a decline of 0.45% on January 15, with Kuaijishan leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4112.6, down 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.41% to 14306.73 [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the non-white liquor sector included: - *ST Yedao: Closed at 6.44, up 3.21% with a trading volume of 86,100 shares and a turnover of 54.65 million yuan [1] - ST Xifa: Closed at 10.83, up 2.75% with a trading volume of 54,700 shares and a turnover of 58.89 million yuan [1] - *ST Lanhong: Closed at 9.71, up 1.68% with a trading volume of 31,700 shares and a turnover of 30.79 million yuan [1] - Conversely, Kuaijishan saw a decline of 2.25%, closing at 20.41 with a trading volume of 85,300 shares and a turnover of 175 million yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The non-white liquor sector experienced a net outflow of 5.02 million yuan from institutional investors and 10.70 million yuan from retail investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 15.72 million yuan [2] - Key capital flows for selected stocks included: - Jinfeng Wine Industry: Net inflow of 11.50 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 6.69 million yuan from retail investors [3] - *ST Yedao: Net inflow of 10.16 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 6.46 million yuan from retail investors [3] - ST Xifa: Net inflow of 0.94 million yuan from retail investors, but a net outflow of 0.42 million yuan from institutional investors [3]