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申通快递:Q3业绩高增,市占率稳步提升
Guolian Securities· 2024-11-06 10:26
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in performance for Q3 2024, with revenue reaching 33.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 14.16%. The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters was 652 million yuan, up 195.18%, with Q3 net profit soaring to 215 million yuan, reflecting a staggering growth of 7760.86% [2][6] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 33.49 billion yuan, a 14.16% increase year-on-year. Q3 revenue was 11.92 billion yuan, growing by 16.31% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters was 652 million yuan, marking a 195.18% increase, while Q3 net profit reached 215 million yuan, a remarkable increase of 7760.86% [2][6] Market Position - The company completed a total express delivery volume of 16.11 billion pieces in the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.8%. The market share increased to 13.02%, up by 0.87 percentage points year-on-year. In Q3 alone, the company handled 5.88 billion pieces, a 27.9% increase year-on-year, with a market share of 13.49%, up 0.39 percentage points from Q2 2024 [6] Cost Management - The company has successfully reduced costs, with the cost per express delivery piece in Q3 2024 at 1.91 yuan, a decrease of approximately 7% year-on-year. The net profit per piece was 0.04 yuan, an increase of 0.04 yuan year-on-year. The cash flow situation improved significantly, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 2.698 billion yuan for the first nine months, a 40.26% increase [6] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with projected revenues of 48.31 billion yuan, 56.01 billion yuan, and 64.05 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 18.05%, 15.94%, and 14.34%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 915 million yuan, 1.246 billion yuan, and 1.526 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 168.55%, 36.16%, and 22.46% respectively [7][8]
申通快递:2024年三季报点评:单票盈利持续修复,看好业绩弹性
Guohai Securities· 2024-11-05 14:46
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The report highlights that the company's single ticket profitability is continuously recovering, indicating strong performance elasticity [2][6] - The company achieved significant revenue growth and profit increases in the first three quarters of 2024, outperforming industry growth rates [3][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2024, the company reported revenue of 33.491 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.16% - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 652 million yuan, up 195.18% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 639 million yuan, an increase of 204.77% [2][3] Business Volume and Market Share - The company completed a total of 16.110 billion express deliveries in Q1-Q3 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.77% - The market share increased to 13.02%, up 0.87 percentage points year-on-year [3][6] Cost Management and Profitability - The report notes that the company has achieved significant cost reductions through scale effects and refined management, leading to a continuous recovery in single ticket profitability - The single ticket operating cost decreased by 0.33 yuan year-on-year, while the single ticket profit attributable to shareholders was 0.04 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.02 yuan [3][6] Future Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 48.142 billion yuan, 55.065 billion yuan, and 61.996 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 18%, 14%, and 13% - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 858 million yuan, 1.229 billion yuan, and 1.556 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 152%, 43%, and 27% respectively [6][7]
申通快递:市场份额快速提升,单票盈利表现稳健
Guoxin Securities· 2024-11-01 06:39
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [3][4][6] Core Views - The company has shown impressive performance in Q3 2024, with revenue reaching 33.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.2%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 639 million yuan, up 204.8% [4][6] - The company's market share has rapidly increased to 13.5%, with a year-on-year business volume growth of 27.9% [4][6] - The company is benefiting from an active pricing strategy, with the average express delivery price decreasing by 5.2% year-on-year to approximately 2.01 yuan per package [4][6] - The company is in the third year of its "Three-Year 10 Billion Capacity Enhancement Plan," which is expected to continue optimizing its network and increasing throughput capacity [4][6] Financial Forecasts and Metrics - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 48.95 billion yuan, 55.85 billion yuan, and 62.27 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.6%, 14.1%, and 11.5% [2][7] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 950 million yuan, 1.28 billion yuan, and 1.55 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 178.7%, 35%, and 21% [2][7] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2024-2026 are projected to be 0.62 yuan, 0.84 yuan, and 1.01 yuan, respectively [2][7] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for 2024 and 2025 is estimated to be 17.5x and 13.0x, respectively [2][7]
申通快递(002468) - 申通快递投资者关系管理信息
2024-10-31 12:56
Group 1: Business Performance - In the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a business volume of 161.09 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 30.8%, with a market share of 13.02%, up by 0.87 percentage points [2] - The company's revenue for the first three quarters reached 334.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 14.2%, with third-quarter revenue of 119.2 billion yuan, up 16.3% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters was 6.52 billion yuan, a significant increase of 195.2% year-on-year [2] Group 2: Cost Management - The operating cost for the first three quarters was 315.4 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.0%, with a third-quarter cost of 112.7 billion yuan, up 13.5% [2] - The average cost per piece for express delivery in the third quarter was 1.91 yuan, showing a nearly 7% decrease year-on-year [3] Group 3: Market Trends and Strategies - The online retail sales of physical goods in China increased by 7.9% year-on-year in the first three quarters, contributing to the strong growth of the express delivery sector [1] - The company is focusing on enhancing service quality and optimizing logistics through technology and operational improvements, which is expected to sustain future growth [3] Group 4: Seasonal Performance - During the Double Eleven promotional period, express delivery volume surged, with approximately 19.2 billion packages collected from October 21 to 23, a year-on-year increase of 48.7% [4] - The average price adjustments during peak seasons are expected to stabilize and potentially increase due to rising demand and cost factors [4]
申通快递:2024年三季报点评:前三季度业绩同比增长195%,量在“利”先循环已经启动,持续看好弹性空间
Huachuang Securities· 2024-10-31 12:21
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [17]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant year-on-year revenue growth of 195% in net profit for the first three quarters, with a total revenue of 334.9 billion and a net profit of 6.52 billion, reflecting a 14.2% increase in revenue compared to the previous year [1][2]. - The report highlights a positive cycle of volume, cost, and profit, suggesting that the company is experiencing a recovery phase with improved operational efficiency and profitability [1][6]. - The company achieved a free cash flow of 500 million in 2023, marking the first positive cash flow since 2018, indicating a restoration of its financial health [1]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profit**: In Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 119.2 billion, a 16.3% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.15 billion, up 7760.9% from the previous year [1][7]. - **Volume Growth**: The company’s business volume growth rate for the first three quarters was 30.8%, outperforming competitors and the industry average [1][7]. - **Earnings Forecast**: The earnings forecast for 2024-2026 has been revised upwards to 9 billion, 14 billion, and 17 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.59, 0.92, and 1.13 [1][2]. Valuation and Target Price - The target price for the company is set at 13.74, representing a 24% upside from the current price of 11.06 [3][1]. - The report anticipates that the company will maintain a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of at least 15 times by 2025, aligning with industry recovery trends [1][2].
申通快递:3Q利润符合预期,毛利率同比显着提升
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2024-10-31 09:02
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [2][5]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 33.49 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 14.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 650 million RMB, up 195.2% year-over-year, which met expectations [3]. - In Q3 2024, the company reported a revenue of 11.92 billion RMB, a 16.3% increase year-over-year, with a net profit of 210 million RMB, reflecting a significant increase due to a low base from the previous year [3][4]. - The company continues to implement a price-for-volume strategy, resulting in a 28.0% increase in express delivery volume, totaling 5.88 billion packages [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's gross margin in Q3 was 5.4%, an increase of 2.3 percentage points year-over-year, attributed to improved capacity utilization and cost management [4]. - The net profit margin after deducting non-recurring items increased by approximately 1.2 percentage points to 1.69% in Q3, with a net profit of 200 million RMB, an increase of 210 million RMB year-over-year [4]. Future Outlook - The company has significant profit growth potential, with expectations to increase daily throughput capacity to over 75 million packages by 2024, up from the current average of 64 million [4]. - The report forecasts net profits of 910 million RMB, 1.26 billion RMB, and 1.51 billion RMB for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 168%, 38%, and 20% [5][6]. Valuation Metrics - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected to be 19, 13, and 11 times respectively [5][6].
申通快递:关于召开2024年第二次临时股东大会的通知
2024-10-30 11:02
一、召开会议的基本情况 证券代码:002468 证券简称:申通快递 公告编号:2024-060 申通快递股份有限公司 关于召开 2024 年第二次临时股东大会的通知 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整,不存在虚假记载、误导性 陈述或者重大遗漏。 申通快递股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")第六届董事会第五次会议审议通过了《关于召 开 2024 年第二次临时股东大会的议案》,决定公司于 2024 年 11 月 15 日(周五)15 时召开公司 2024 年第二次临时股东大会,现将本次会议的有关事项通知如下: (一)股东大会届次:2024 年第二次临时股东大会 (二)会议召集人:公司董事会 (三)会议召开的合法、合规性:本次股东大会会议召开符合有关法律、行政法规、部门规 章、规范性文件和公司章程的相关规定 (四)现场会议召开时间:2024 年 11 月 15 日(周五)15 时 网络投票时间:2024 年 11 月 15 日。其中: 1、通过深圳证券交易所交易系统进行网络投票的具体时间为2024年11月15日9:15—9:25, 9:30—11:30 和 13:00—15:00; 2、通过深圳证券交 ...
申通快递:监事会决议公告
2024-10-30 11:02
证券代码:002468 证券简称:申通快递 公告编号:2024-059 申通快递股份有限公司 表决结果:同意票3票,反对票0票,弃权票0票,回避票0票。 经审核,监事会认为公司《2024年第三季度报告》的编制程序符合法律、行政法规和中国证 监会监管规则的规定,报告内容真实、准确、完整地反映了上市公司的实际情况,不存在任何虚 假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏。具体内容详见公司于同日在《中国证券报》《证券日报》《证 券时报》《上海证券报》及巨潮资讯网(www.cninfo.com.cn)上披露的《2024年第三季度报告》 (公告编号:2024-055)。 2、审议通过了《关于拟变更会计师事务所的议案》 表决结果:同意票3票,反对票0票,弃权票0票,回避票0票。 第六届监事会第四次会议决议公告 本公司及监事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整,不存在虚假记载、误导性 陈述或者重大遗漏。 一、监事会会议召开情况 申通快递股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")于2024年10月20日以邮件、电话等方式发出召 开第六届监事会第四次会议的通知,会议于2024年10月30日在上海市青浦区重达路58号会议室以 现场结合通讯表决的方 ...
申通快递:董事会议事规则(2024年10月)
2024-10-30 11:02
申通快递股份有限公司 董事会议事规则 第一章 总则 第一条 为保障申通快递股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")董事会依法成立、规 范、有效地行使职权,确保董事会能够高效规范运作和科学决策,完善公司治理结构, 根据《中华人民共和国公司法》(以下简称"《公司法》")、《中华人民共和国证券 法》(以下简称《证券法》)、《上市公司治理准则》《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》 (以下简称"《上市规则》")、《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 1 号—— 主板上市公司规范运作》和《上市公司独立董事管理办法》等有关法律、法规、规范性 文件和《申通快递股份有限公司章程》(以下简称"《公司章程》")的规定,结合公 司实际情况,制定本规则。 第二条 董事会对股东大会负责。董事会会议是董事会议事的主要形式。董事按规 定参加董事会会议是履行董事职责的基本方式。 第二章 董事会的组成 第三条 董事会是股东大会的执行机构,执行股东大会通过的各项决议,向股东大 会负责并报告工作。 第四条 董事会由七名董事组成,其中,独立董事三名。 董事会设董事长一人,董事长由董事会选举产生,董事长为公司法定代表人。 董事会中兼任公司高级管理人员以及由职工代表 ...
申通快递:关于为下属子公司提供担保的进展公告
2024-10-30 11:02
证券代码:002468 证券简称:申通快递 公告编号:2024-062 申通快递股份有限公司 关于为下属子公司提供担保的进展公告 二、担保协议的主要内容 (一)申通有限为辽宁瑞银开立银行保函提供担保 三、董事会意见 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整,不存在虚假记载、误导性 陈述或者重大遗漏。 一、担保情况概述 (一)担保事项审议情况 申通快递股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")于 2024 年 8 月 30 日召开第六届董事会第四次 会议审议通过了《关于为下属子公司提供担保的的议案》,同意公司全资子公司申通快递有限公 司(以下简称"申通有限")为下属子公司辽宁瑞银申通快递有限公司(以下简称"辽宁瑞银")、 淮安子淳物流有限公司、陕西瑞银申通快递有限公司(以下简称"陕西瑞银")提供担保,由申 通有限向银行申请开具保函,用于支付上述子公司的工程款保证金,本次开具保函的金额合计不 超过人民币 3,800 万元,该担保额度已经 2024 年第一次临时股东大会审议通过,有效期至下年 度审议对外担保额度预计的股东大会召开之日止,任一时点的担保余额不得超过股东大会审议通 过的担保额度,具体内容详见公司分别于 ...