| 证券代码：002895 | 证券简称：川恒股份 | 公告编号：2025-089 | | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：127043 | 转债简称：川恒转债 | | 贵州川恒化工股份有限公司 提前赎回川恒转债实施暨即将停止转股的重要提示性公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要提示： 1、最后转股日：2025 年 7 月 17 日 2025 年 7 月 17 日为"川恒转债"的最后一个转股日，2025 年 7 月 17 日收市前， 持有"川恒转债"的投资者仍可进行转股；2025 年 7 月 17 日收市后，仍未转股的 "川恒转债"将按照 101.397 元/张（含当期应计利息、含税）的价格强制赎回。 2、距离 2025 年 7 月 17 日收市，"川恒转债"可转股期限仅剩 1 个交易日。特 别提醒"川恒转债"持有人务必认真阅读本公告，充分了解相关风险，注意最后转 股时间，审慎作出投资决策。 特别提示： 1、转债代码：127043；转债简称：川恒转债 2、赎回价格：101.397 元/张（含当期应计利息、含税，当期年利率为 ...

| 证券代码：002895 | 证券简称：川恒股份 | 公告编号：2025-088 | | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：127043 | 转债简称：川恒转债 | | 贵州川恒化工股份有限公司 提前赎回川恒转债实施暨即将停止转股的重要提示性公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要提示： 1、最后转股日：2025 年 7 月 17 日 2025 年 7 月 17 日为"川恒转债"的最后一个转股日，2025 年 7 月 17 日收市前， 持有"川恒转债"的投资者仍可进行转股；2025 年 7 月 17 日收市后，仍未转股的 "川恒转债"将按照 101.397 元/张（含当期应计利息、含税）的价格强制赎回。 2、距离 2025 年 7 月 17 日收市，"川恒转债"可转股期限仅剩 2 个交易日。特 别提醒"川恒转债"持有人务必认真阅读本公告，充分了解相关风险，注意最后转 股时间，审慎作出投资决策。 12、根据安排，截至 2025 年 7 月 17 日收市后仍未转股的"川恒转债"将被强 制赎回，本次赎回完成后，"川恒转债"将在深圳 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Chanhen (002895 CH), Yuntianhua (600096 CH), and NHU (002001 CH), while Skshu (603737 CH) and Yuhong (002271 CH) are rated "Hold" [3][4][8]. Core Insights - The phosphate sector is experiencing strong performance, with companies like NHU expecting a profit increase of 50-70% in 1H25, driven by resilient agricultural demand and rising prices [3]. - Chanhen and Yuntianhua are highlighted as top picks due to their earnings momentum and robust dividend profiles, with expected earnings growth of over 40% year-on-year for Chanhen in 2Q and around 10% for Yuntianhua [3][8]. - The report notes potential catalysts for growth, including rising fertilizer export prices and elevated phosphate rock prices during the peak planting season [3]. Summary by Sections Phosphate Sector - Phosphate companies are expected to lead the sector, with Chanhen and Yuntianhua showing strong earnings growth and dividend yields exceeding 6% in 2025 [3][8]. - NHU's profit guidance indicates overall sector strength, with a projected increase of 50-70% [3]. Building Materials - Skshu has issued positive profit guidance for 2Q, projecting earnings growth of 69-118% year-on-year, but the report maintains a "Hold" rating due to the growth being largely priced in [4]. - Yuhong is expected to face ongoing weakness in earnings due to challenges in new housing and engineering construction [4]. Commodity Chemicals - Satellite Chemical is facing headwinds with expected earnings declines due to turbulence in ethane/propane imports and operational risks [5]. - Wanhua and LB Group are also under pressure from anti-dumping duties affecting their core products, leading to a negative outlook for their 2Q earnings [5].

Group 1 - Cathay Pacific Haikou expects a net profit increase of 205%-218% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 15.283 billion to 15.957 billion yuan [1] - The main reason for the profit increase is the merger with Haitong Securities, which has led to significant growth in wealth management and trading revenues [1] - Shenyuan Hongyuan anticipates a net profit increase of 92.66%-111.46% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 4.1 billion to 4.5 billion yuan [6][7] Group 2 - Southern Airlines expects a net loss of 1.338 billion to 1.756 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, primarily due to changes in passenger structure and international uncertainties [2] - China Eastern Airlines projects a net loss of 1.2 billion to 1.6 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, influenced by intense domestic market competition [3] - Air China anticipates a net loss of 1.7 billion to 2.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, affected by market supply imbalances and international uncertainties [4] Group 3 - HNA Group expects to turn a profit in the first half of 2025, with a projected net profit of 45 million to 65 million yuan, attributed to improved market conditions and operational adjustments [5] - CICC forecasts a net profit increase of 55%-78% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 3.453 billion to 3.966 billion yuan [8] - CITIC Securities anticipates a net profit increase of 55%-60% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 4.43 billion to 4.573 billion yuan [9] Group 4 - Shandong Gold expects a net profit of 2.55 billion to 3.05 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing an increase of 84.3%-120.5% [10] - Poly Developments anticipates a net profit decrease of 63.15% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 2.735 billion yuan [11] - Luoyang Molybdenum expects a net profit increase of 51%-68% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 8.2 billion to 9.1 billion yuan [13] Group 5 - Longi Green Energy expects a net loss of 2.4 billion to 2.8 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, but with a significant reduction in losses compared to the previous year [14] - Tongwei Co. anticipates a net loss of 4.9 billion to 5.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, influenced by ongoing industry challenges [15] - Ganfeng Lithium expects a net loss of 300 million to 550 million yuan for the first half of 2025, an improvement from the previous year's loss [16] Group 6 - Jianghuai Automobile expects a net loss of approximately 680 million yuan for the first half of 2025, primarily due to increased competition in the international market [21] - Yonghui Supermarket anticipates a net loss of 240 million yuan for the first half of 2025, attributed to ongoing transformation challenges [22] - ST Huatuo expects a net profit increase of 107.2%-159% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 2.4 billion to 3 billion yuan [23] Group 7 - New Hope anticipates a net profit of 680 million to 780 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a turnaround from losses [25] - Linyi Intelligent Manufacturing expects a net profit increase of 32%-67% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 900 million to 1.14 billion yuan [27] - Pengding Holdings expects a net profit increase of 52.79%-60.62% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 1.198 billion to 1.26 billion yuan [29] Group 8 - Hengtong Electronics expects a net profit increase of 740.95% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of approximately 251 million yuan [30] - Shengyi Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 50%-56% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 1.4 billion to 1.45 billion yuan [31] - Founder Securities expects a net profit increase of 70%-80% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 2.299 billion to 2.43 billion yuan [33]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Guizhou Chuanheng Chemical Co., Ltd. is expected to report a significant increase in earnings for the first half of 2025 compared to the same period last year, driven by higher sales prices and increased production from its subsidiary [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company anticipates a profit of between 520 million yuan and 590 million yuan for the current reporting period, compared to a profit of 353.675 million yuan in the same period last year, representing a growth of 47.03% to 66.82% [1]. - The expected net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 490 million yuan and 560 million yuan, up from 350.093 million yuan last year, indicating a growth of 39.96% to 59.96% [1]. - Basic earnings per share are forecasted to be between 0.9197 yuan and 1.0436 yuan, compared to 0.6545 yuan per share in the previous year [1]. Reasons for Performance Change - The increase in earnings is primarily attributed to the rise in sales prices of the company's main products and stable gross margins [1]. - The production and sales volume of the main products from the company's subsidiary, Guangxi Pengyue Ecological Technology Co., Ltd., have increased, contributing to higher operating revenue [1].

| 证券代码：002895 | 证券简称：川恒股份 | 公告编号：2025-086 | | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：127043 | 转债简称：川恒转债 | | 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 股份种类 持股比例变动 稀释比例（%） A 股 川恒集团持股比例由 46.75%被动稀释至 45.90% 被动稀释 0.85% 合 计 —— —— 本次权益变动 方式 通过证券交易所的集中交易 □ 通过证券交易所的大宗交易 □ 其他 ☑（因公司可转债转股，公司总股本增加致持股 比例被动稀释） 本次增持股份 的资金来源 自有资金 □ 银行贷款 □ 其他金融机构借款 □ 股东投资款 □ 其他 □ 不涉及资金来源 ☑ 3．本次变动前后，投资者及其一致行动人拥有上市公司权益的股份情况 股东名称 股份性质 本次变动前持有股份 本次变动后持有股份 股数（股） 占总股本比例 股数（股） 占总股本比例 川恒集团 合计持有股份 277,634,700 46.75% 277,634,700 45.90% 其中：无限售条件股份 277,634,700 ...

Chuanheng Stock 2025 Semi-Annual Performance Forecast [Current Period Performance Forecast](index=1&type=section&id=%E4%B8%80%E3%80%81%E6%9C%AC%E6%9C%9F%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E8%AE%A1%E6%83%85%E5%86%B5) The company expects significant growth in net profit attributable to shareholders and net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses for the first half of 2025, with a substantial increase in basic earnings per share - The performance forecast covers the period from January 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025[4](index=4&type=chunk) Key Financial Indicators for 2025 Semi-Annual Performance Forecast | Indicator | Current Period Forecast (10,000 RMB) | Same Period Last Year (10,000 RMB) | Year-on-Year Growth | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Profit Attributable to Shareholders | 52,000.00 – 59,000.00 | 35,367.50 | 47.03% - 66.82% | | Net Profit After Deducting Non-Recurring Gains and Losses | 49,000.00 – 56,000.00 | 35,009.32 | 39.96% - 59.96% | | Basic Earnings Per Share (RMB/share) | 0.9197 – 1.0436 | 0.6545 | - | [Communication with Accounting Firm](index=1&type=section&id=%E4%BA%8C%E3%80%81%E4%B8%8E%E4%BC%9A%E8%AE%A1%E5%B8%88%E4%BA%8B%E5%8A%A1%E6%89%80%E6%B2%9F%E9%80%9A%E6%83%85%E5%86%B5) The financial data in this performance forecast has not been pre-audited by an accounting firm, and the final data will be based on the company's semi-annual report - Performance forecast data has not been pre-audited by an accounting firm[4](index=4&type=chunk) - Final financial data will be based on the company's disclosed 2025 semi-annual report[4](index=4&type=chunk) [Explanation of Performance Changes](index=1&type=section&id=%E4%B8%89%E3%80%81%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E5%8F%98%E5%8A%A8%E5%8E%9F%E5%9B%A0%E8%AF%B4%E6%98%8E) The company's performance growth is primarily due to increased sales prices of main products, stable gross profit margins, and higher production and sales volumes from its controlling subsidiary, Guangxi Pengyue Ecological Technology Co., Ltd., leading to increased operating revenue - Sales prices of main products increased compared to the same period last year[5](index=5&type=chunk) - Gross profit margin remained stable[5](index=5&type=chunk) - Both production and sales volumes of main products from controlling subsidiary Guangxi Pengyue Ecological Technology Co., Ltd. increased, leading to higher operating revenue[5](index=5&type=chunk) [Other Related Explanations](index=1&type=section&id=%E5%9B%9B%E3%80%81%E5%85%B6%E4%BB%96%E7%9B%B8%E5%85%B3%E8%AF%B4%E6%98%8E) This performance forecast data is a preliminary estimate by the company's finance department; investors should be aware of investment risks, and final data will be based on the official semi-annual report - This performance forecast data is a preliminary estimate by the company's finance department[6](index=6&type=chunk) - Final specific financial data will be based on the company's disclosed 2025 semi-annual report[6](index=6&type=chunk) - Investors are reminded to be aware of investment risks[6](index=6&type=chunk)

川恒股份（002895）公告，2025年1月1日至2025年6月30日，预计归属于上市公司股东的净利润为5.2亿 元–5.9亿元，比上年同期的3.54亿元增长47.03%-66.82%。扣除非经常性损益后的净利润为4.9亿元–5.6亿 元，比上年同期的3.5亿元增长39.96%-59.96%。基本每股收益为0.9197元/股–1.04元/股。公司主要产品 销售价格上升，毛利率稳定，控股子公司广西鹏越生态科技有限公司产品产量提升，销售量增加，营业 收入增加，导致经营业绩同比增长。 ...

| 证券代码：002895 | 证券简称：川恒股份 | 公告编号：2025-085 | | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：127043 | 转债简称：川恒转债 | | 贵州川恒化工股份有限公司 提前赎回川恒转债实施暨即将停止转股的重要提示性公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要提示： 1、最后转股日：2025 年 7 月 17 日 2025 年 7 月 17 日为"川恒转债"的最后一个转股日，2025 年 7 月 17 日收市前， 持有"川恒转债"的投资者仍可进行转股；2025 年 7 月 17 日收市后，仍未转股的 "川恒转债"将按照 101.397 元/张（含当期应计利息、含税）的价格强制赎回。 2、距离 2025 年 7 月 17 日收市，"川恒转债"可转股期限仅剩 3 个交易日。特 别提醒"川恒转债"持有人务必认真阅读本公告，充分了解相关风险，注意最后转 股时间，审慎作出投资决策。 特别提示： 自 2025 年 5 月 16 日至 2025 年 6 月 23 日，贵州川恒化工股份有限公司（以下 简称公司）股票连续 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the basic chemical industry [2] Core Viewpoints - The basic chemical sector has shown better performance than the market, with a year-to-date increase of 8.9%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 4.2 percentage points [4][16] - The global potash market is characterized by oligopoly, with major producers controlling supply and prices. Recent production cuts by key players are expected to sustain potash market conditions [5][27] - Phosphate supply remains tight, with stable prices and potential improvements in export opportunities as demand increases [5][27] Summary by Sections 1. Core Viewpoints - Policies are expected to improve supply-demand dynamics in the chemical sector, with a focus on cyclical investment opportunities [13] - The chemical industry is entering a new long-term prosperity cycle, driven by improved fundamentals and reduced risks [13][14] 2. Overall Performance of the Chemical Sector - The basic chemical industry index increased by 1.5% during the week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.4 percentage points [16] - Year-to-date, the basic chemical industry index has increased by 8.9%, significantly outperforming both the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices [16][18] 3. Individual Stock Performance in the Chemical Sector - Among 424 stocks in the basic chemical sector, 298 stocks rose while 123 fell during the week [25] - The top performers included companies like Shangwei New Materials (+72.9%) and Hongbo New Materials (+24.7%) [25][26] 4. Key News and Company Announcements - The autumn fertilizer preparation has begun, with a focus on investment opportunities in potash and phosphate fertilizers [27] - Major potash producers have announced production cuts, which are expected to tighten supply and support prices [5][27] - Phosphate prices remain stable, with potential for improved export conditions as demand increases [5][27] 5. Product Price Changes - The report highlights significant price increases in various chemical products, with notable gains in dimethylamine (+16.7%) and fatty alcohol (+8.2%) [6] - Conversely, urea prices have seen a significant decline (-15%) [6]