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苏州银行2024年三季报点评:严守资产质量,兼顾规模成长
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Suzhou Bank, with an updated target price of 8.80 CNY per share [2][5]. Core Views - Suzhou Bank shows steady performance, with a negative revenue growth due to interest margin pressure, but net profit maintains double-digit growth. The bank has increased its efforts in asset quality management and bad debt disposal, resulting in stable asset quality [2][3]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 11,866 million CNY, with a slight increase of 0.9% from 2022. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 4,601 million CNY, reflecting a growth of 17.4% [4]. - The bank's net interest income is forecasted to decline by 7.6% in 2024, while net profit growth rates are adjusted to 10.4%, 5.7%, and 7.4% for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [3][4]. - The bank's asset quality remains strong, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio stable at 0.84% as of Q3 2024, and a provision coverage ratio of 474% [3][4]. Loan and Deposit Growth - Loan growth has slightly slowed to 14.1% year-on-year, while deposits increased by 15.2%. The bank added 51.7 billion CNY in loans and 34.2 billion CNY in deposits in Q3 2024 [3][4]. Asset Quality - The report indicates an increase in bad debt generation, but overall asset quality remains robust. The bank has intensified its efforts in bad debt disposal, with significant write-offs in Q3 2024 [3][4].
详解苏州银行2024三季报:信贷平稳增长,资产质量稳健
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2024-11-01 07:42
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Suzhou Bank is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that Suzhou Bank's net interest income growth has slowed due to a decline in net interest margin, with a cumulative year-on-year revenue growth rate decreasing by 0.6 percentage points to 0.6% [4][14] - The bank's asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.84% and a slight increase in the annualized net generation rate of non-performing loans to 0.59% [12][14] - The report suggests that the bank's retail strategy continues to deepen, leveraging its position in Suzhou to enhance its customer base [15] Summary by Sections Overview of Q3 Report - The net interest income growth rate has decreased, primarily due to a decline in net interest margin, with cumulative revenue growth at 0.6% [4] - The bank's management expenses have slightly increased, while the cumulative profit before provisions (PPOP) has decreased by 1.2 percentage points to -1.9% [4] Net Interest Income - In Q3, the net interest margin decreased by 15 basis points, leading to a year-on-year decline in net interest income of 6.51%, which is a 3.4 percentage point increase in the decline compared to Q2 [7][14] Asset and Liability Growth and Structure - The bank's loan issuance in Q3 was stable, primarily focused on corporate loans, with a total loan issuance of 5.17 billion [9][11] - Deposits increased by 2.57 billion in Q3, with a year-on-year increase of 5.92 billion [9][11] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio remains stable at 0.84%, with a slight increase in the annualized net generation rate of non-performing loans to 0.59% [12][14] - The provision coverage ratio has decreased to 473.66% [12][14] Other Financial Metrics - Non-interest income grew by 17% year-on-year, with a significant increase in other non-interest income [14] - The cost-to-income ratio has slightly increased, with a cumulative annualized cost-to-income ratio of 35.33% [14] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests maintaining a "Buy" rating, with adjusted revenue and net profit forecasts for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E [15]
苏州银行:2024年三季报点评:盈利维持双位数高增,大股东增持彰显信心
EBSCN· 2024-11-01 04:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Suzhou Bank (002966.SZ) with a current price of 7.64 yuan [1]. Core Views - Suzhou Bank achieved a revenue of 9.3 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 4.18 billion yuan, up 11% year-on-year [3][4]. - The bank's return on average equity (ROAE) stands at 12.9%, a slight decrease of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The bank's financial performance shows a dual-digit profit growth, with net interest income and non-interest income growth rates of -6.5% and 18.5%, respectively [4]. Revenue and Profitability - Revenue growth remains positive year-on-year, with net profit growth of 11.1% in the first three quarters [4]. - The bank's non-interest income has increased significantly, accounting for 36% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 18.5% [11]. - The net interest margin (NIM) is reported at 1.41%, narrowing by 7 basis points compared to the first half of 2024 [7][10]. Asset and Liability Management - As of the end of Q3 2024, the bank's interest-earning assets and loans grew by 13.8% and 14.1% year-on-year, respectively [5]. - The bank's deposit growth has improved, with a year-on-year increase of 15.2% [6]. - The bank's capital adequacy ratios are robust, with a core Tier 1 capital ratio of 9.41% [13][21]. Credit Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remains low at 0.84%, with a stable asset quality [12]. - The bank's provision coverage ratio is at 473.7%, indicating a strong ability to cover potential losses [12][21]. Future Outlook - The bank's net profit growth forecasts for 2024-2026 are maintained at 15.2%, 12.7%, and 10.4%, respectively, with adjusted EPS estimates of 1.41, 1.59, and 1.75 yuan [14]. - The report highlights the potential for capital increase through the conversion of convertible bonds, which could support future growth [13].
苏州银行:盈利维持高增,规模扩张积极
Ping An Securities· 2024-11-01 04:01
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Strong Buy" (maintained) [2][9][16] Core Views - The company maintains robust profit growth with a revenue increase of 1.1% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2024, achieving an operating income of 9.29 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.18 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.1% year-on-year growth [5][6] - The annualized weighted average ROE stands at 12.9% [5] - The company is actively expanding its scale, with total assets reaching 677.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 16.1% [7][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported an operating income of 9.29 billion yuan, up 1.1% year-on-year, and a net profit of 4.18 billion yuan, up 11.1% year-on-year [5][6] - The annualized net interest margin (NIM) is 1.41%, down 30 basis points year-on-year [7] - Non-interest income grew by 18.5% year-on-year, with investment-related non-interest income increasing by 41.3% [6][9] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remains stable at 0.84%, with a year-to-date NPL generation rate of 0.56% [9][13] - The provision coverage ratio is at 474%, indicating a strong risk mitigation capacity [9][13] Growth Prospects - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with projected net profits of 5.08 billion yuan, 5.63 billion yuan, and 6.26 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 10.4%, 10.9%, and 11.2% [9][12] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the favorable regional environment and ongoing reforms aimed at enhancing efficiency [9][12]
苏州银行:2024年三季报点评:业绩双位数增长,资产质量保持稳定
Huachuang Securities· 2024-11-01 03:53
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for Suzhou Bank with a target price of 8.71 yuan, compared to the current price of 7.64 yuan [3] Core Views - Suzhou Bank achieved double-digit growth in net profit with stable asset quality in Q3 2024 [1] - Revenue growth slowed due to declining net interest income, but net profit maintained double-digit growth thanks to stable asset quality [1] - Loan growth slowed, with corporate loans growing faster than retail loans [1] - Net interest margin (NIM) declined due to rising liability costs [1] - Asset quality remained stable with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio flat at 0.84% and provision coverage ratio at 473.7% [1] Financial Performance - Q3 2024 revenue reached 9.289 billion yuan, up 1.1% YoY [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.179 billion yuan, up 11.09% YoY [1] - Cumulative net interest margin for the first three quarters was 1.41%, down 7bps from the first half of 2024 [1] - Loan balance grew 14.1% YoY, with corporate loans growing faster than retail loans [1] - Deposit balance increased by 2.569 billion yuan in Q3, up 15.16% YoY [1] Asset Quality - NPL ratio remained flat at 0.84% in Q3 2024 [1] - Provision coverage ratio declined by 13.1 percentage points to 473.7% [1] - Net NPL formation rate decreased by 5bps to 0.74% [1] Financial Forecasts - Revenue is expected to grow from 11.866 billion yuan in 2023 to 13.407 billion yuan in 2026 [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to increase from 4.601 billion yuan in 2023 to 6.163 billion yuan in 2026 [2] - NIM is projected to decline from 1.58% in 2023 to 1.19% in 2026 [7] - Loan balance is expected to grow from 293.401 billion yuan in 2023 to 442.346 billion yuan in 2026 [6] - Deposit balance is forecasted to increase from 363.820 billion yuan in 2023 to 567.885 billion yuan in 2026 [6] Valuation Metrics - Price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to decline from 6.09x in 2023 to 4.67x in 2026 [2] - Price-to-book (PB) ratio is projected to decrease from 0.71x in 2023 to 0.56x in 2026 [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to grow from 1.25 yuan in 2023 to 1.64 yuan in 2026 [2]
苏州银行:利润增速保持10%以上,资产质量稳定优异
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2024-11-01 02:51
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Suzhou Bank [5] Core Views - Suzhou Bank's revenue for the first three quarters reached 9.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.1%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.2 billion, up 11.1% year-on-year, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.84%, remaining stable compared to the previous quarter [1][2] - The bank's asset quality remains strong, with a non-performing loan generation rate of 0.49% in Q3, which is still at a low level despite a slight increase from the previous half [2] - The bank's total assets reached 677.2 billion by the end of September, a 12.5% increase from the beginning of the year, with loans growing by 12.6% [3] Financial Performance - Interest income decreased by 6.5% year-on-year, while non-interest income saw a decline of 16.3% in fees, but other non-interest income increased by 41.3% [1] - The bank's net interest margin decreased by 7 basis points to 1.41% [1] - The bank's provision coverage ratio decreased by 13 percentage points to 474% by the end of September [2] Asset and Liability Management - By the end of September, deposits reached 417.8 billion, a 14.8% increase from the beginning of the year, with personal deposits growing by 4.6 billion [3] - The bank's loan balance was 330.3 billion, with a significant increase in corporate loans [3] Future Outlook - The report suggests that Suzhou Bank, as a quality regional city commercial bank, is expected to continue its rapid and high-quality development in the medium to long term, supported by its strong asset quality and leading profit growth [3]
苏州银行:2024年三季报点评:盈利稳健增长,资产质量优异
Minsheng Securities· 2024-10-31 12:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Suzhou Bank, with a closing price of 7.64 yuan on October 30, 2024, corresponding to 0.7 times the 2024 PB [3][5]. Core Views - Suzhou Bank has demonstrated robust profit growth with a year-on-year increase of 11.1% in net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters of 2024. The bank's asset quality remains strong, with a stable non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.84% and a high provision coverage ratio of 474% [2][3]. - The bank's revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 reached 9.29 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.1%. The growth in non-interest income, particularly from the bond market, has been a significant contributor to revenue stability [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, Suzhou Bank reported a net interest income decline of 6.5% year-on-year, while non-interest income saw a substantial increase of 41.3% [2]. - The bank's total assets, total loans, and total deposits grew by 16.1%, 14.1%, and 15.2% year-on-year, respectively, indicating steady expansion [2][10]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio remained stable at 0.84%, with a decrease in the attention ratio to 0.83%. The annualized NPL generation rate was calculated at 0.59%, showing an improvement [2][20]. - The provision coverage ratio decreased slightly but remains robust, indicating strong risk mitigation capabilities [2][20]. Earnings Forecast - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 1.36 yuan, 1.48 yuan, and 1.63 yuan, respectively, with a consistent two-digit growth rate expected [3][19]. - The report anticipates a stable growth trajectory for the bank's revenue and profit, supported by favorable credit demand in its operational region [3][19].
苏州银行2024年三季报点评:盈利能力稳健,资产较快扩张
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2024-10-31 09:30
Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintain) [1] Core Views - The company has demonstrated robust profitability with a double-digit growth in net profit for the first three quarters of 2024, achieving a revenue of 9.289 billion yuan (YoY +1.10%) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.179 billion yuan (YoY +11.09%) [1] - The bank's net interest margin has narrowed to 1.41%, down 7 basis points from the first half of 2024, while investment income has significantly increased by 56.21% year-on-year in Q3 2024, providing strong support for revenue [1] - The bank's asset quality remains strong, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.84%, unchanged for five consecutive quarters, and a provision coverage ratio of 473.66% [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the bank's revenue was 9.289 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.10%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.179 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.09% [1] - Q3 2024 saw a slight decline in revenue by 0.59% year-on-year, with net interest income experiencing a larger drop due to the continued narrowing of the net interest margin [1][2] - The bank's net interest margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 1.41%, which is a decrease of 7 basis points compared to the first half of the year [1] Asset Quality and Capital - The total assets of the bank reached 677.2 billion yuan by the end of Q3 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 16.05%, with loans increasing by 14.14% [2] - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 0.84%, and the provision coverage ratio slightly decreased to 473.66%, indicating solid asset quality [3] - The bank has received approval for the issuance of 17 billion yuan in perpetual bonds, which is expected to support ongoing business expansion [3] Deposits and Loans - The bank continues to show strong growth in deposits, with corporate deposits and retail deposits increasing by 24.87% and 20.72% year-on-year, respectively [2] - Corporate loans have maintained a high growth rate of 24.60% year-on-year, while retail loan demand has shown relatively weak recovery [2] Future Projections - The bank's net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 are 5.099 billion yuan, 5.754 billion yuan, and 6.497 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 10.83%, 12.85%, and 12.91%, respectively [1]
苏州银行:业绩增长稳而优,期待息差更有力
申万宏源· 2024-10-31 09:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Suzhou Bank [2][7] Core Views - Suzhou Bank's performance shows steady growth with a 1.1% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first nine months of 2024, and a 11.1% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders [2][3] - The bank's asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio holding steady at 0.84% and a provision coverage ratio of 474% [2][7] - The report highlights the need for effective measures to stabilize the net interest margin, which has seen a decline [3][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2024, Suzhou Bank achieved revenue of 9.3 billion yuan, up 1.1% year-on-year, and a net profit of 4.2 billion yuan, up 11.1% year-on-year [2][3] - The bank's net interest income decreased by 6.5% year-on-year, impacting revenue growth by 4.5 percentage points, while non-interest income grew by 19% [3][10] Loan and Deposit Trends - Total loans increased by 14.1% year-on-year, with corporate loans contributing significantly, while retail loans saw a decline [4][5] - The bank's interest margin for the first nine months of 2024 was 1.41%, down 30 basis points year-on-year [5][11] Asset Quality - The NPL generation rate for the third quarter of 2024 was estimated at 0.7%, influenced by increased write-offs [7][12] - The provision coverage ratio decreased by 13 percentage points to 474%, but remains at a leading level compared to peers [7][12] Future Outlook - The report projects a continued growth in net profit for 2024-2026, with year-on-year increases of 10.3%, 10.4%, and 10.7% respectively [7][10] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.68 times for 2024, supporting the "Buy" rating [7][10]
苏州银行(002966):季报点评:信贷稳步投放,资产质量稳健
HTSC· 2024-10-31 07:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Suzhou Bank with a target price of RMB 9.56 [8][9]. Core Views - Suzhou Bank's net profit, revenue, and pre-provision operating profit (PPOP) for the first nine months of 2023 increased by 11.1%, 1.1%, and decreased by 1.9% year-on-year, respectively. The growth rates are slightly better than the previous half-year [2]. - The bank's credit growth is stable, with a focus on improving asset quality and a clear strategic goal, which should allow it to enjoy a valuation premium [2][6]. - The bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remains stable at 0.84%, with a provision coverage ratio of 474%, indicating solid asset quality [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2023, the bank's net interest margin was 1.41%, down 7 basis points from the first half of the year, primarily due to asset-side pressure. Net interest income decreased by 6.5% year-on-year [3]. - The bank's total assets, loans, and deposits grew by 16.1%, 14.1%, and 15.3% year-on-year, respectively, showing a stable expansion in credit [3]. Income Sources - The bank's fee and commission income decreased by 16.3% year-on-year, but the decline has narrowed compared to the first half of the year. Investment income grew significantly by 46.0% year-on-year, contributing to revenue growth [4]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio as of September 2023 was 0.84%, unchanged from June 2023, while the ratio of special mention loans decreased to 0.83% [5]. - The annualized credit cost for Q3 2023 was 0.50%, down 6 basis points year-on-year, supporting profit release [5]. Valuation and Forecast - The report forecasts the bank's net profit for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be RMB 51 billion, RMB 56 billion, and RMB 62 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.8%, 10.2%, and 10.1% [6]. - The target price of RMB 9.56 corresponds to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.75 for 2025, reflecting a premium over comparable banks [6][16].