BANK OF SUZHOU(002966)
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申万宏源:险资密集增配银行已验证趋势 期待2026年行业基本面新变化
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 08:25
Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan indicates a significant trend of long-term capital, represented by insurance funds, increasingly allocating to the banking sector, with a potential inflow space of approximately 600 billion yuan if 40% of new funds are allocated to bank stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Capital Inflow and Allocation - The unprecedented low interest rate environment is driving incremental capital towards dividend sectors, with the banking sector offering superior value. The current banking index dividend yield is about 4.3%, significantly higher than the ten-year government bond yield, making it an attractive investment option [1]. - Assuming that 40% of the new capital is allocated to OCI and 40% to bank stocks, this could lead to a potential inflow of around 600 billion yuan. Additionally, public fund reforms are expected to increase capital allocation to underrepresented sectors, with bank stock holdings in public funds dropping to a near ten-year low of 1.74% in Q3 2025, suggesting an additional potential inflow of over 370 billion yuan if allocations align with the CSI 300 [2]. Group 2: Expected Changes in Banking Fundamentals - The central bank has explicitly stated its support for stabilizing net interest margins, linking this to the expansion of monetary policy's counter-cyclical adjustment space. It is anticipated that by 2026, bank interest margins may reverse their downward trend and show a slight year-on-year increase, with banks that can improve deposit costs expected to perform better than their peers [3]. - The importance of "high provisioning" is becoming more pronounced as banks' provisioning capacity is gradually consumed. While systemic risks from real estate and platforms may ease, risks in retail sectors still require provisioning. Focus should be on banks with low non-performing loans and high loan-to-deposit ratios, as well as those with clear asset quality improvements [3]. - Some small and medium-sized banks may face revenue growth challenges due to high base pressures in their capital market operations, with reduced non-interest income growth and declining financial investment yields [3]. Group 3: Capital Focus and Investment Recommendations - Bank capital is becoming a focal point, with banks that have strong internal capital generation or substantial reserves being better positioned for stable lending and dividends. External financing remains challenging, making convertible bonds a scarce resource [4]. - The banking sector is entering a new cycle of stable profitability, with long-term capital inflows ongoing. If the macro environment sees a gradual recovery in PPI and marginal increases in long-term interest rates, this will create favorable operating conditions for banks. Even under economic pressure, banks with clear risk thresholds and stable dividend expectations remain attractive dividend assets [5]. - The report recommends focusing on a dual strategy of "leading banks (state-owned and China Merchants Bank) as the foundation" and "bottom-tier joint-stock banks and quality city commercial banks as the performers." Leading banks are expected to see valuation recovery, while quality small and medium-sized banks with improving fundamentals are likely to exhibit stock price elasticity in response to economic recovery [5].
2026年银行业投资策略:盈利新周期,估值新起点,迎银行长牛
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-11-18 04:45
证 券 研 究 报 告 盈利新周期,估值新起点,迎银行长牛 2026年银行业投资策略 证券分析师: 郑庆明 A0230519090001 林颖颖 A0230522070004 冯思远 A0230522090005 李禹昊 A0230525070004 联系人: 郑庆明 A0230519090001 2025.11.18 投资要点 www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告 2 ◼ 站在当下,我们更为坚定地看好银行板块正处于长牛修复的起点:2018年以来银行板块从"破净"到估值深度承压(最低0.49倍PB)再到当前行业整体 仍仅约0.7倍PB,核心压制无外乎两点:"看不清的风险趋势"、"难以扭转的盈利下行"。相对乐观的是,这两点在当下都已"拨云见日"。 ◼ 不容忽视,银行板块价值回归的资金驱动力:1)"前所未有的低利率环境"是带动增量资金流向红利板块最直接驱动,银行板块性价比更优。对标美国 和日本,低利率环境中红利高股息策略总体跑赢,也是险资更为青睐的投资方向;而当前银行指数股息率约4.3%,较十年国债利率溢价位居过去十年超 70%分位,在红利板块中性价比更为突出。2)耐心资本入市仅是开端,以险资为代 ...
上市银行集体撒钱 上百亿“现金红包”在路上
Mei Ri Shang Bao· 2025-11-17 23:04
Core Viewpoint - A number of listed banks in China are set to distribute substantial cash dividends to shareholders, with a total of approximately 2,637 billion yuan in cash dividends announced for the 2025 interim period, reflecting a trend of increasing shareholder returns in the banking sector [1][4]. Group 1: Dividend Announcements - Several banks, including Suzhou Bank, Hangzhou Bank, Nanjing Bank, and CITIC Bank, have announced their interim dividend distributions for 2025, with total cash dividends amounting to about 179.4 billion yuan for the week of November 17-21 [1][2]. - Suzhou Bank plans to distribute 9.39 billion yuan, Hangzhou Bank 27.55 billion yuan (up 24.10% year-on-year), Nanjing Bank 37.86 billion yuan, and CITIC Bank 104.61 billion yuan [2][3]. Group 2: Overall Dividend Trends - A total of 24 A-share listed banks have disclosed their 2025 interim dividend plans, with cumulative cash dividends reaching 2,637.90 billion yuan [4]. - Among the nine joint-stock banks, seven have either implemented or will implement interim cash distributions, with three banks, including CITIC Bank, distributing over 100 billion yuan each [3][4]. Group 3: Future Dividend Prospects - More banks are expected to announce or advance their interim dividend plans, with Jiangyin Bank and Zhejiang Commercial Bank already indicating their intentions [5]. - The trend of stable and continuous dividends is seen as a reflection of banks' operational strength and a signal to attract long-term stable capital [6]. Group 4: Market Implications - The high dividend payouts are expected to boost market confidence and enhance the defensive value of bank stocks in a low-interest-rate environment, making them attractive for medium to long-term investments [1][6]. - The stability of bank dividends and the relatively low valuations in the sector suggest a continued trend of long-term capital allocation towards bank stocks [6].
苏州银行股份有限公司2025年第二次临时股东会决议公告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-17 20:23
本行及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整,没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗 漏。 特别提示: 一、会议召开情况 登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码:002966 证券简称:苏州银行 公告编号:2025-089 苏州银行股份有限公司2025年第二次临时股东会决议公告 (一)召开时间 1、现场会议召开时间:2025年11月17日(星期一)下午15:30。 (三)召开方式:采取现场投票和网络投票相结合的方式。 (四)召集人:苏州银行股份有限公司(以下简称"本行")董事会。 二、会议出席情况 出席本次股东会的股东及股东授权委托代表共370人,代表有表决权股份1,758,018,055股,占本行有表 决权股份总数4,375,455,372股的40.1791%。 其中,出席现场会议的股东及股东授权委托代表26人,代表有表决权股份1,387,099,960股,占本行有表 决权股份总数的31.7018%;通过网络投票出席会议的股东344人,代表有表决权股份370,918,095股,占 本行有表决权股份总数的8.4772%。 本行部分董事、监事、高级管理人员出席和列席会议。江苏新天伦律师事 ...
苏州银行拟不再设立监事会
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-11-17 12:33
北京商报讯(记者 孟凡霞 周义力)11月17日,苏州银行发布2025年第二次临时股东会决议公告,会议 审议通过了《关于不再设立监事会的议案》。 该行拟修改的《公司章程》需提交股东会审议并在通过后报国家金融监督管理总局江苏监管局审核,待 核准生效之日起监事会正式撤销。届时,现任监事会成员不再担任监事及监事会相关职务;监事会、监 事会专门委员会、监事等有关公司治理制度同步废止;该行各项规章制度中涉及监事会、监事的规定不 再适用;董事会审计委员会行使《公司法》和监管制度规定的监事会职权。监事会正式撤销前,该行第 五届监事会及监事应当遵守法律法规及该行《公司章程》和各项规章制度继续履职。 据股东大会会议资料,根据《中华人民共和国公司法》(以下简称《公司法》)、国家金融监督管理总 局《关于公司治理监管规定与公司法律有关事项的通知》、中国证券监督管理委员会《关于新〈公司 法〉配套制度规则实施相关过渡期安排》等相关法律法规、监管制度的规定及国有企业监事会改革工作 的有关要求,结合苏州银行实际情况,该行拟不再设立监事会,并修改《公司章程》,删除监事会、监 事相关内容。 ...
苏州银行(002966) - 2025年第二次临时股东会法律意见书
2025-11-17 11:15
江苏新天伦律师事务所 Jiangsu New Talent Law Firm 江苏省苏州市工业园区苏桐路 37 号 4 号楼 3-4 层,邮编 215021 苏州银行股份有限公司 2025 年第二次临时股东会 之 法律意见书 苏 州 工 业 园 区 苏 桐 路 37 号 4 号 楼 电 话 ( T e l ) : 0 5 1 2 - 6 5 1 5 2 0 5 6 传 真 ( F a x ) : 0 5 1 2 - 6 5 1 5 2 0 5 5 江苏新天伦律师事务所 Jiangsu New Talent Law Firm 江苏省苏州市工业园区苏桐路 37 号 4 号楼 3-4 层,邮编 215021 正文 致:苏州银行股份有限公司 江苏新天伦律师事务所(以下简称"本所")接受苏州银行股份有限公司(以 下简称"苏州银行"或"公司")委托,指派林晓莉律师、黄璐律师(以下简称 "本所律师")出席苏州银行股份有限公司 2025 年第二次临时股东会(以下简 称"本次股东会"),对本次股东会的合法性进行见证,并出具法律意见书。 江苏新天伦律师事务所 关于 本法律意见书根据《中华人民共和国证券法》、《中华人民共和国公司法 ...
苏州银行(002966) - 2025年第二次临时股东会决议公告
2025-11-17 11:15
2025 年第二次临时股东会决议公告 本行及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整,没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示: (一)本次股东会无否决议案的情况; (二)本次股东会不存在变更前次股东会决议的情况。 一、会议召开情况 (一)召开时间 证券代码:002966 证券简称:苏州银行 公告编号:2025-089 苏州银行股份有限公司 1、现场会议召开时间:2025 年 11 月 17 日(星期一)下午 15:30。 2、网络投票时间:通过深圳证券交易所交易系统进行网络投票的时间为 2025 年 11 月 17 日上午 9:15-9:25、9:30-11:30,下午 13:00-15:00;通过深圳证券 交易所互联网投票系统投票的时间为 2025 年 11 月 17 日 9:15-15:00。 (二)会议地点:苏州工业园区钟园路 728 号苏州银行大厦 4 楼会议室。 (三)召开方式:采取现场投票和网络投票相结合的方式。 (四)召集人:苏州银行股份有限公司(以下简称"本行")董事会。 (五)主持人:本行董事长崔庆军先生。 (六)本次股东会的召开符合相关法律法规和本行章程的规定。 二、会议 ...
对近期重要经济金融新闻、行业事件、公司公告等进行点评:晨会纪要-20251117
Xiangcai Securities· 2025-11-17 02:29
Macro Strategy - Fixed asset investment in China showed a cumulative year-on-year decline of -1.70% for the first ten months of 2025, worsening from -0.50% in September. Key components such as infrastructure investment and manufacturing also experienced declines, with infrastructure down by 1.83 percentage points and manufacturing down by 1.30 percentage points. Real estate development investment saw a significant drop of -14.70% compared to -13.90% in September [2][4][5] Stock Market Overview - A-share indices experienced narrow fluctuations and slight declines from November 10 to November 14, 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.18% and the ChiNext Index down by 3.01%. The market is currently in a "slow bull" phase, with expectations of continued wide fluctuations and gradual upward movement in November [3][4][7] Industry Performance - Among the 31 first-level industries, most showed gains, with the top performers being comprehensive and textile sectors, which rose by 6.99% and 4.41% respectively. In contrast, the communication and electronics sectors faced declines of -4.77% each. Year-to-date, energy metals and components have seen significant increases of 92.91% and 85.55% respectively [5][6] Banking Sector Insights - The central bank's report emphasized maintaining reasonable growth in financial totals and solidifying credit support. The report indicated that recent weak credit growth is influenced by various factors, including local government debt replacement and the structural evolution of the economy. The central bank aims to keep financial totals, including credit and bond financing, growing steadily [14][15] - The central bank plans to enhance support for technology finance, which is a key focus of the 14th Five-Year Plan. This includes optimizing monetary policy tools to support technological innovation and ensuring that banks maintain reasonable net interest margins to facilitate continued support for the real economy [15][17] Investment Recommendations - The banking sector is expected to attract investment due to high dividend yields, with recommendations to focus on state-owned banks and potential valuation recovery opportunities in joint-stock and regional banks. Specific banks highlighted include Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Bank of China, and others [17]
下周,多家银行派发“现金红包”
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-16 09:15
南京银行将于11月20日进行2025年中期现金红利发放。该次利润分配以方案实施前的该行总股本123.64 亿股为基数,每股派发现金红利0.3062元(含税),共计派发现金红利37.86亿元。 中信银行将于11月21日进行2025年中期现金红利发放。该次利润分配以截至股权登记日的该行普通股总 股本556.45亿股为基数,向全体股东每股派发现金红利0.188元(含税),共计派发现金红利104.61亿 元。其中A股股本为407.63亿股,派发A股现金红利76.63亿元。 自9月以来,多家银行2025年中期分红已陆续落地。截至11月15日,已有上海银行(601229)、平安银 行(000001)、张家港行(002839)、沪农商行(601825)、长沙银行(601577)、苏农银行 (603323)、民生银行(600016)、常熟银行(601128)8家银行已派发2025年中期现金红利。 下周,四家A股上市银行将实施2025年中期分红。苏州银行(002966)、杭州银行(600926)、南京银 行(601009)、中信银行(601998)将分别于11月17日、18日、20日、21日进行2025年中期分红,分红 金额合 ...
银行研思录25:银行股息率排名与中期分红进度梳理-20251114
CMS· 2025-11-14 03:02
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the banking sector, but it provides detailed insights into dividend yields and distribution processes, which can inform investment decisions. Core Insights - The report outlines the latest dividend yields and mid-term dividend processes for A and H shares of listed banks, emphasizing the importance of accurately calculating dynamic dividend yields to avoid discrepancies across periods [1][2]. - It details the two processes for mid-term dividends following the 2023 revision of the regulatory guidelines, highlighting the conventional and simplified processes for implementing mid-term dividends [2]. - The report provides a comprehensive overview of key dates related to dividend distribution for both A and H shares, including the importance of purchasing shares before the ex-dividend date to qualify for dividends [3][4]. Summary by Sections Dynamic Dividend Yield Calculation - A simplified yet accurate method for calculating dynamic dividend yield is introduced, defined as "rolling 12-month EPS * cash dividend rate / share price," which helps avoid issues related to overlapping or missing annual and mid-term dividends [1]. - The report calculates the cash dividend rate using a standardized approach across different banks, resulting in a clear comparison of dividend yields as of November 13, 2025 [1]. Mid-Term Dividend Processes - The report explains the two processes for mid-term dividends: the conventional process requiring shareholder approval and a simplified process allowing for quicker implementation [2]. - The simplified process is designed to enhance flexibility for companies in distributing mid-term dividends, thereby improving shareholder returns [2]. Dividend Distribution Key Dates - For A shares, investors must purchase shares before the ex-dividend date to receive dividends on the same day, while H shares typically see a delay of about one month for dividend payments [3][4]. - The report outlines the differences in the dividend distribution timeline between A and H shares, emphasizing the need for investors to be aware of these timelines to maximize their returns [3][4]. Mid-Term Dividend Progress - As of November 13, 2025, 31 A-share banks have confirmed mid-term dividends, while 11 H-share banks have also confirmed their dividend distributions [9][11]. - The report categorizes banks based on their dividend status, detailing those that have implemented dividends, those that are pending, and those that have opted not to distribute dividends [9][10][11]. - It highlights that the end of 2025 and early 2026 is expected to be a peak period for mid-term dividend distributions, suggesting potential investment opportunities for dividend-seeking investors [11].