Core Viewpoint - The AI Fund Yin Hua Mixed Reform Dividend Flexible Allocation Mixed Initiation A (005519) reported a profit of 1.5649 million yuan in Q2 2025, with a net value growth rate of 5.01% for the period [3]. Fund Performance - As of the end of Q2 2025, the fund's scale was 32.6497 million yuan [14]. - The fund's unit net value as of July 17 was 1.197 yuan [3]. - The fund's performance over different time frames includes: - 3-month net value growth rate: 6.99%, ranking 582 out of 880 comparable funds [3]. - 6-month net value growth rate: 8.91%, ranking 380 out of 880 comparable funds [3]. - 1-year net value growth rate: 2.26%, ranking 790 out of 880 comparable funds [3]. - 3-year net value growth rate: -26.93%, ranking 726 out of 870 comparable funds [3]. Risk Metrics - The fund's Sharpe ratio over the past three years was -0.5078, ranking 824 out of 874 comparable funds [7]. - The maximum drawdown over the past three years was 38.97%, ranking 360 out of 864 comparable funds [10]. - The highest quarterly maximum drawdown occurred in Q1 2024, at 17.45% [10]. Investment Strategy - The fund adheres to a low-volatility dividend stock selection strategy, which has outperformed its benchmark in the first half of the year [3]. - The average stock position over the past three years was 83.36%, compared to the industry average of 80.33% [13]. - The fund reached its highest stock position of 93.73% at the end of H1 2023, while the lowest was 24.17% at the end of H1 2019 [13]. Top Holdings - As of the end of Q2 2025, the fund's top ten holdings included major banks and financial institutions such as Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, China Merchants Bank, and Ping An Insurance [17].

Core Viewpoint - The dividend distribution of A-share listed banks in 2024 has reached a record high, with mid-term dividends becoming a trend [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Dividend Distribution - A-share listed banks have announced significant cash dividends for 2024, with total cash dividends amounting to approximately 631.96 billion yuan, an increase of nearly 20 billion yuan or 3.03% compared to the previous year [1] - Major state-owned banks, including Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), China Construction Bank, and Agricultural Bank of China, have collectively distributed over 700 billion yuan in dividends [1] - ICBC's total dividend for the year is 109.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.52%, while Agricultural Bank and another bank distributed 84.66 billion yuan and 71.36 billion yuan, respectively [1] Profitability and Financial Health - The six major state-owned banks reported a total net profit of approximately 1.4 trillion yuan in 2024, with an average daily profit of about 640 million yuan [1] - The non-performing loan ratio for these banks is generally below 1.3%, and their capital adequacy ratios exceed regulatory requirements [1] Stock Performance - The banking sector has shown strong stock performance, with an overall increase of 34.39% in 2024, leading the A-share market [1] - The average dividend yield for the banking sector is 3.4 percentage points higher than the yield on 10-year government bonds, attracting significant institutional investment [1] Mid-term Dividends - Mid-term dividends are becoming a trend, with some banks planning to distribute dividends based on 35% of the semi-annual profits attributable to ordinary shareholders [1] - Banks like Hangzhou Bank and Changsha Bank have also announced plans for mid-term dividends [1] Challenges for Some Banks - Certain banks, such as Zhengzhou Bank and Bohai Bank, have not distributed dividends for several consecutive years due to poor performance and capital constraints [1] - Zhengzhou Bank has experienced declines in revenue and net profit, while Bohai Bank's financial metrics have also deteriorated [1]

| | | 分析师 行业点评报告 · 银行业 城市更新主线明确,关注信贷和资产质量改善机遇 中央城市工作会议解读 2025年7月16日 核心观点 银行 张一纬 ☎：010-8092-7617 网: zhangyiwei_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130519010001 研究助理 袁世麟 网: yuanshilin_yj@chinastock.com.cn 相对沪深 300 表现图 2025-07-15 -20% 相关研究 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 事件: 7月14-15日,中央城市工作会议举行,以推进城市更新为重要抓手, ● 大力推动城市结构优化、动能转换、品质提升等。从银行角度带来增量信贷和 资产质量改善机遇: 政策效果兑现高度依赖资金配套,拓展银行增量信贷空间:会议以城市更 ● 新为核心抓手,着力推动基础设施升级、加快构建房地产发展新模式、建设便 捷高效的智慧城市,撬动增量融资需求。今年 5月发布的《关于持续推进城市 更新行动的意见》指出要健全多元化投融资方式,包括中央预算内资金、超 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the banking sector, highlighting its value for long-term investment [5][29]. Core Insights - The recent adjustments in insurance fund management are expected to enhance the dividend value of bank stocks, promoting long-term and stable investments [5][8]. - The banking sector's performance has been relatively weak compared to the broader market, with a decline of 1% in the banking sector against a 0.82% increase in the CSI 300 index [5][9]. - As of July 11, 2025, the banking sector's price-to-book (PB) ratio stands at 0.70, with a dividend yield of 5.54%, indicating attractive valuation levels [5][20]. Summary by Sections Latest Research Insights - The Ministry of Finance issued a notice on July 11, 2025, to guide insurance funds towards long-term stable investments, adjusting performance evaluation metrics for state-owned commercial insurance companies [7][8]. - The new evaluation method emphasizes a combination of annual and multi-year performance indicators, aiming to enhance the stability and growth of insurance capital [7][8]. Weekly Market Performance - The banking sector saw a 1% decline, while the CSI 300 index rose by 0.82%. Notably, state-owned banks increased by 1.31%, while city commercial banks and joint-stock banks experienced declines of 2.69% and 1.53%, respectively [5][9]. - Individual bank performances varied, with Xiamen Bank leading with an 8.73% increase, while several banks like Shanghai Bank and Jiangsu Bank faced notable declines [9][16]. Valuation and Company Analysis - As of July 11, 2025, the banking sector's PB ratio is 0.75, reflecting a 45.73% discount compared to the overall A-share market [20][25]. - The report lists key banks with their respective valuations, indicating a general decline in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025 compared to the previous year [25][28]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the enhanced evaluation of insurance funds will lead to increased allocation towards equity assets, benefiting the banking sector [5][29]. - Specific banks recommended for investment include Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, Postal Savings Bank of China, and others, indicating a positive outlook for their performance [5][29].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing interest of institutional investors in listed banks, particularly focusing on loan allocation, interest margin trends, and capital replenishment strategies. Group 1: Investor Engagement - Multiple listed banks, including Jiangsu Bank, Suzhou Bank, and Ningbo Bank, have engaged in investor relations activities, discussing key issues with investors [1] - As of July 12, 2023, 26 listed banks have been surveyed by institutions, totaling 230 instances of engagement, primarily among small and medium-sized banks [1][3] - Changshu Bank received the highest number of surveys at 33, while Ningbo Bank attracted the most institutions, with 195 participating [3][4] Group 2: Interest Margin Trends - The interest margin remains a hot topic among institutions, with the net interest margin for banks reported at 1.43% in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 0.11 percentage points [4] - Jiangsu Bank aims to maintain a net interest margin that outperforms peers by enhancing asset research capabilities and managing loan interest rates [5] - Changshu Bank plans to consolidate its interest margin advantage by optimizing both asset and liability sides, focusing on high-yield assets and controlling high-cost deposits [6] Group 3: Capital Replenishment - Capital replenishment is another key focus for investors, with regulatory updates from the Financial Regulatory Bureau regarding advanced capital measurement methods [8] - Ningbo Bank is actively researching regulatory requirements and plans to issue up to 45 billion yuan in capital bonds [8] - Suzhou Bank reported a successful conversion of nearly 5 billion yuan in convertible bonds, enhancing its capital strength [9] - Su Nong Bank intends to issue up to 1 billion yuan in secondary capital bonds to support its operations [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the supply-side reform of small and medium-sized banks, highlighting the coexistence of risks and opportunities, and emphasizes the importance of regional banks that leverage local advantages to compete with national banks in the evolving financial landscape [1][5]. Summary by Relevant Sections Supply-Side Reform of Small and Medium-Sized Banks - The operational characteristics of small and medium-sized banks are a result of the resonance between regional environments and business strategies. Identifying the survivors and outstanding performers among these banks requires a focus on regional clientele and the strategic arrangement of their assets and liabilities [1][5]. Investment Strategy for the Banking Sector - The banking sector is expected to undergo a long-term revaluation driven by several factors: 1) Continuous allocation of long-term funds by insurance and state-owned entities 2) Dissipation of systemic risk concerns 3) Underestimation of the stability of Return on Equity (ROE) [6][7]. - Current A-share listed banks maintain a dividend yield of over 4%, with a premium of more than 2 percentage points over the ten-year government bond yield, indicating a historical high. As the valuation of the banking sector recovers, although dividend yields may decline, the stability of profit growth ensures predictable and sustainable dividends, making bank stocks a scarce high-dividend asset in a low-interest-rate environment [7][11]. Valuation Metrics - The banking sector's ROE has remained stable at around 10%, significantly higher than the 6.7% of non-financial enterprises in the A-share market. Regulatory perspectives emphasize the necessity of reasonable profit growth to maintain financial system stability, suggesting that ROE is likely to remain in the 9%-10% range [11][12]. Investment Focus - Investment should concentrate on: 1) High-quality regional banks with no burdens and high provisions, which are expected to demonstrate growth and should not trade below book value [13]. 2) Banks with stable profit expectations, strong potential funding drivers, and relatively high index weightings, which are mispriced in terms of valuation and ROE expectations [13]. Historical Performance and Recommendations - The company has been a pioneer in researching and tracking regional banks since 2021, successfully recommending stocks like Suzhou Bank and Chongqing Bank, which have shown significant appreciation in value [14].

Core Viewpoint - The banking sector in China is experiencing a notable increase in internal capital increases, reflecting growing confidence in the long-term value of banks as both executives and major shareholders actively participate in stock buybacks [1][2][3]. Group 1: Executive and Shareholder Actions - Several banks, including Huaxia Bank and Jiangsu Bank, have initiated or completed stock buyback plans, indicating a trend where bank executives and major shareholders are taking proactive steps to invest in their own companies [1][2]. - Huaxia Bank announced a voluntary buyback plan of at least 30 million yuan, although its implementation has been delayed due to market conditions [1][2]. - Jiangsu Bank's executives completed their buyback plan ahead of schedule, investing 24.28 million yuan, which is 121.39% of the planned minimum amount [1][2]. Group 2: Broader Industry Trends - Over ten banks, including Suzhou Bank and Chengdu Bank, have disclosed similar buyback plans in 2023, suggesting a widespread trend within the banking industry [1][2]. - The actions of bank executives and shareholders are interpreted as a signal of confidence in the banks' future performance and stock prices, as they are willing to invest their own funds and bear market risks [2][3]. Group 3: Market Reactions and Valuation - The stock buyback announcements have provided short-term support for stock prices, with Jiangsu Bank's stock rising by 0.74% following its announcement [5]. - The average price-to-book (PB) ratio for A-share banks is currently at 0.6, with some city commercial banks below 0.5, indicating that the banking sector is undervalued [5]. - The average dividend yield for the banking sector is 3.86%, making it attractive for long-term investors, especially in light of regulatory measures encouraging long-term capital inflows [4]. Group 4: Long-term Challenges - Despite the positive signals from buybacks, the banking sector faces deeper challenges, including narrowing net interest margins and asset quality issues that have not been fundamentally resolved [5][6]. - The effectiveness of buybacks in stabilizing stock prices may be limited if they do not coincide with improvements in operational efficiency and fundamental performance [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - The convertible bond market is experiencing a significant reduction in supply, leading to increased scarcity and heightened interest from investors, particularly in bank convertible bonds [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Since July, there has been a concentrated redemption and conversion of bank convertible bonds, resulting in a shrinking asset pool. As of July 10, the total market for convertible bonds has decreased to 668.08 billion yuan, down 65.54 billion yuan from the beginning of the year [1]. - The current market is undergoing a period of intensive adjustment, with 456 convertible bonds entering redemption and conversion phases, representing 95.36% of the total market size [1]. - The convertible bond market has shown strong upward momentum this year, with the Wind convertible bond index rising by 18.17% year-to-date as of July 10 [2]. Group 2: Performance of Bank Convertible Bonds - Bank convertible bonds are particularly attractive due to the strong credit quality of the issuing banks and the performance of bank stocks, which have seen significant increases due to institutional investments [2][3]. - Several bank convertible bonds have successfully triggered mandatory redemption and conversion, achieving high conversion rates, such as Chengdu Bank and Suzhou Bank with rates of 99.94% and 99.93% respectively [3]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment and Strategy - There is a growing concern among investors regarding the high valuation of convertible bonds, with some analysts suggesting that entering the market at this stage may not be wise [2][4]. - Despite the high valuations, there remains a demand for convertible bonds, particularly from institutional investors seeking to enhance their fixed-income portfolios [5][6]. - Investment strategies are shifting, with a preference for large-cap convertible bonds linked to major stocks, especially in sectors like banking, photovoltaic, and agriculture [6].

Group 1: Financial Performance - The bank's net interest margin at the end of Q1 2025 was 1.34%, a decrease of 4 basis points compared to the end of 2024, which is better than the industry average [1] - The bank aims to manage interest margins proactively through reasonable growth in volume and effective quality improvements [1] - The bank's fee and commission income showed good growth in Q1 2025, with plans to expand sources of non-interest income through wealth management and new business initiatives [2] Group 2: Capital Adequacy - As of the end of Q1 2025, the bank's core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio was 9.80%, Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio was 11.62%, and total capital adequacy ratio was 14.54%, all meeting regulatory requirements [2] - The successful conversion of nearly 5 billion RMB in convertible bonds has strengthened the bank's capital base, supporting business development [2] - The bank will continue to optimize its business structure and enhance capital management to improve capital efficiency and risk resilience [2] Group 3: Investor Relations - The investor relations activity involved thorough communication between the company's representatives and investors, adhering to regulations without disclosing any undisclosed significant information [2]

证券研究报告 月酝知风之银行业 ——股息仍具吸引力，关注长期资金入市 银行行业 强于大市（维持） 证券分析师 袁喆奇 投资咨询资格编号：S1060520080003 许淼 投资咨询资格编号：S1060525020001 研究助理 李灵琇 一般从业资格编号：S1060124070021 2025年7月9日 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 核心摘要 2 行业核心观点：资金结构深刻变化，顺势而为重配置轻交易。资金流向的变化是推动板块估值修复中不可忽视的力量，一方面被动指数的持续扩容带来了稳定的资金流入，板块 高权重的特征仍将持续推动资金的流入，一方面银行板块低波高红利的特征更易获得险资等中长期资金的青睐，目前板块平均股息率达到3.86%，结合监管一系列引导中长期资金 入市的措施，预计板块的股息配置价值吸引力仍将持续。个股维度，我们结合股息和潜在增量中长期资金流入空间看好A股股份行板块以及部分优质区域行（成都、北京、江苏、 上海、苏州、长沙），同时关注更具股息优势的港股大行配置机会。 行业热点跟踪：中长期资金趋势性流入，高股息价值投资持续。险资持续增配银行板块。24年以来险资增配速度略有提升，新会计准则运用之后保险资金为了 ...