Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies including Xinyangfeng, Senqilin, Ruifeng New Materials, Sinopec, and others [10]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights significant price increases in phosphate rock (10.00%) and glyphosate (6.79%), while products like butadiene and aniline saw substantial declines [3][4]. - It suggests focusing on import substitution, domestic demand, and high dividend opportunities in the current market environment [5][21]. - The international oil prices are stabilizing, with WTI at $60.79 per barrel and Brent at $63.90 per barrel, indicating a projected average of $70 for 2025 [5][20]. Summary by Sections Industry Tracking - International oil prices are fluctuating within a narrow range, with market assessments indicating a stable supply outlook [22]. - The domestic propane market experienced a decline after an initial stabilization, with average prices at 4988 CNY/ton [25]. - The domestic coal market showed mixed price movements, averaging 532 CNY/ton, with expectations of increased demand as summer approaches [26]. Price Movements - Significant price increases were noted in phosphate rock and glyphosate, while butadiene and aniline experienced notable declines [19]. - The report indicates a weak overall performance in the chemical industry, with mixed results across sub-sectors due to past capacity expansions and weak demand [21]. Investment Opportunities - The report emphasizes the potential for investment in sectors benefiting from import substitution, such as lubricating oil additives and special coatings [21]. - It also highlights the resilience of the tire industry, suggesting companies like Senqilin and Sailun Tire as potential investment targets [21]. - The report recommends focusing on high-quality assets with strong dividend yields, particularly in the oil sector, including Sinopec and China National Offshore Oil Corporation [21].

Core Viewpoint - The company has approved an increase in its foreign exchange hedging business limit for 2025 to mitigate foreign exchange risks and stabilize costs amid a complex external environment [3][7]. Group 1: Foreign Exchange Hedging Business - The company has decided to conduct foreign exchange hedging activities for 2025, with a total scale not exceeding 650,000 million RMB or equivalent foreign currency [2][3]. - The maximum expected margin and premium to be utilized for these transactions will not exceed 50,000 million RMB or equivalent foreign currency, and these amounts can be used in a rolling manner within the approved limits [3][7]. - The decision to adjust the hedging limit is based on the company's ongoing "833plus" strategic plan and the need for effective cost management and risk mitigation due to increased international transactions [3][4]. Group 2: Risk Management and Compliance - The company will adhere to a prudent principle in its foreign exchange hedging activities, ensuring that all transactions are based on normal business operations and not for speculative purposes [4][5]. - The funding for these hedging activities will come from the company's own funds and other legally permitted sources, without involving raised funds [4]. - The company has established management systems and procedures to ensure effective risk control and compliance with relevant accounting standards [6][7]. Group 3: Approval Process - The board of directors and the supervisory board have both approved the adjustment of the foreign exchange hedging business limit for 2025, emphasizing the importance of this decision for the company's stable operation and shareholder interests [7][8].

证券代码：002984 证券简称：森麒麟 公告编号：2025-029 债券代码：127050 债券简称：麒麟转债 青岛森麒麟轮胎股份有限公司 关于调整2025年度开展外汇套期保值业务额度的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 青岛森麒麟轮胎股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 1 月 10 日召 开第四届董事会第二次会议、第四届监事会第二次会议，审议通过了《关于 2025 年度开展外汇套期保值业务的议案》，同意 2025 年度公司及子公司（包括全资子 公司、控股子公司等合并报表范围内的子公司，以下合称"子公司"）开展外汇 套期保值业务，上述业务规模合计不超过 500,000 万元人民币或等值外币，预计 动用的交易保证金和权利金上限不超过 50,000 万元人民币或等值外币，在上述 额度内可循环滚动使用，并提请董事会授权公司管理层在额度范围内具体实施上 述外汇套期保值业务相关事宜，授权期限自公司董事会审议通过之日起 12 个月 内有效。 具 体 内 容 详 见 公 司 于 2025 年 1 月 11 日 在 巨 潮 资 讯 网 （ww ...

青岛森麒麟轮胎股份有限公司 关于调整2025年度开展外汇套期保值业务额度 的可行性分析报告 一、调整2025年度外汇套期保值业务额度的必要性 伴随青岛森麒麟轮胎股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）"833plus"战略规划的 深入实施，公司全球化发展步伐的进一步加快，公司跨境投资、融资、设备及原 材料采购等国际交易日益频繁。鉴于外部环境复杂多变，不确定性风险较大，现 有外汇套期保值额度已不能满足公司日常经营需要，为进一步锁定成本，有效规 避外汇风险，防范汇率大幅波动给公司及子公司（包括全资子公司、控股子公司 等合并报表范围内的子公司，以下合称"子公司"）经营带来的不利影响，提高外 汇资金使用效率，合理降低财务费用，减少汇率波动的影响，更好地维护公司及 全体股东的利益，公司拟调整2025年度开展外汇套期保值业务额度。 二、外汇套期保值业务基本情况 1、主要涉及币种及业务品种 公司及子公司拟开展的相关外汇业务仅限于从事与公司实际经营业务所使用 的主要结算货币相同的币种，包括美元、欧元、人民币、泰铢、日元、迪拉姆等。 公司及子公司拟开展的外汇业务的具体方式或产品主要包括并不限于远期结售汇、 外汇掉期、外汇期权、利率互换 ...

| 证券代码：002984 | 证券简称：森麒麟 | 公告编号：2025-028 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：127050 | 债券简称：麒麟转债 | | 青岛森麒麟轮胎股份有限公司 一、监事会会议召开情况 青岛森麒麟轮胎股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）第四届监事会第四次会议于 2025年6月3日在青岛公司会议室以现场结合通讯的方式召开，会议通知已于2025年5月 28日以通讯及直接送达方式通知全体监事。 本次会议应参加表决监事3名，实际参加表决监事3名。其中，现场参加监事1名， 监事刘炳宝先生、纪晓龙先生因工作原因，以通讯方式参加。会议由监事会主席刘炳宝 先生主持，会议的召集和召开符合《公司法》等有关法律、行政法规、部门规章、规范 性文件及《公司章程》的有关规定。 二、监事会会议审议情况 （一）审议通过《关于调整2025年度开展外汇套期保值业务额度的议案》 表决结果：赞成票3票，反对票0票，弃权票0票。 经审核，监事会认为：公司调整2025年度开展外汇套期保值业务额度是从满足公司 实际经营角度出发，以进一步锁定成本、防范和规避外汇风险为目的，有利于公司稳健 经营，防范汇率大幅波 ...

| 证券代码：002984 | 证券简称：森麒麟 | 公告编号：2025-027 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：127050 | 债券简称：麒麟转债 | | 青岛森麒麟轮胎股份有限公司 本次会议应参加表决董事9名，实际参加表决董事9名。其中，现场参加董事5名， 董事王宇先生，独立董事李鑫先生、丁乃秀女士、谢东明先生因工作原因，以通讯方式 参加。会议由董事长秦龙先生主持，公司部分监事和高级管理人员列席了本次会议。会 议的召集和召开符合《公司法》等有关法律、行政法规、部门规章、规范性文件及《公 司章程》的有关规定。 二、董事会会议审议情况 （一）审议通过《关于调整2025年度开展外汇套期保值业务额度的议案》 第四届董事会第四次会议决议公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、董事会会议召开情况 青岛森麒麟轮胎股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）第四届董事会第四次会议于 2025年6月3日在青岛公司会议室以现场结合通讯的方式召开，会议通知已于2025年5月 28日以通讯及直接送达方式发出。 度开展外汇套期保值业务额度的公告》（ ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market - A" for the basic chemical industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights that cost and macroeconomic changes have driven a significant increase in polyester prices, with a long-term positive outlook for tire companies with global layouts [1][3] - The fire at the Kumho Tire factory in Gwangju is expected to negatively impact tire supply in South Korea [2][26] - The U.S. tire import dependency is projected to reach 68.8% in 2024, indicating a substantial supply gap that is unlikely to be filled in the short to medium term [5][26] Summary by Sections Chemical Market - The chemical market is experiencing dual support from cost and macroeconomic factors, with viscose and polyester leading in price increases, rising by 8.72% and 8.63% respectively [12][17] - The manufacturing PMI for April 2025 is reported at 49, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points month-on-month, while the PPI has decreased by 2.4% year-on-year [12][21] Tire Sector - The Kumho Tire factory fire has halted production and is expected to affect tire supply in South Korea, as this facility is a key manufacturing center [2][27] - The tire industry is facing challenges due to U.S. tariff policies, which cover major tire-exporting countries, making it difficult for U.S. markets to meet demand [5][26] - Tire operating rates in China have shown improvement, with semi-steel tire operating rates at 78.33% and full-steel tire rates at 65.09%, both increasing significantly week-on-week [28][30] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on tire companies with diversified global operations, such as Senqilin, Sailun Tire, and Linglong Tire, due to their competitive advantages in the current market environment [5][33] - The report emphasizes that the cost advantages of Chinese tire manufacturers are expected to become more pronounced under the current tariff conditions [5][26]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market - A" for the basic chemical industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights that cost and macroeconomic changes have driven a significant increase in polyester prices, with a long-term positive outlook for tire companies with global layouts [1][3] - The fire at the Kumho Tire factory in Gwangju is expected to negatively impact tire supply in South Korea [2][26] - The U.S. tire import dependency is projected to reach 68.8% in 2024, indicating a substantial supply gap that is unlikely to be filled in the short to medium term [5][27] Summary by Sections Chemical Market - The chemical market is experiencing dual boosts from cost and macroeconomic factors, with viscose and polyester leading in price increases, rising by 8.72% and 8.63% respectively [12][17] - The manufacturing PMI for April 2025 is reported at 49, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points month-on-month, while the PPI has decreased by 2.4% year-on-year [12][20] Tire Sector - The Kumho Tire factory fire has halted production and is expected to affect the supply chain, as the factory is a key manufacturing center [26][27] - The tire industry is facing challenges due to U.S. tariffs, with a high import dependency that complicates supply issues [27][28] - Tire operating rates have improved, with semi-steel tire operating rates at 78.33%, up 20.0 percentage points week-on-week [28] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on tire companies with global diversification strategies, such as Senki Lin, Sailun Tire, and Linglong Tire, due to their competitive advantages under current tariff conditions [5][31][33]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the chemical industry, indicating a positive outlook based on expected economic recovery and demand improvement [1]. Core Insights - The basic chemical industry is expected to see a recovery in profitability, with 2024 revenues projected to reach CNY 2,219.98 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.66%, while net profit is expected to decline by 8.18% to CNY 108.87 billion [6][26]. - The oil and petrochemical sector is anticipated to maintain stable revenues and profits, with 2024 revenues estimated at CNY 7,941.40 billion, a decrease of 2.81%, and net profit expected to grow by 0.58% to CNY 372.14 billion [1][26]. - The report highlights that 23 out of 33 sub-industries in the basic chemical sector experienced revenue growth in 2024, with significant increases in chlor-alkali and textile chemicals [6][15]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The basic chemical industry is experiencing a decline in profitability, with gross and net profit margins at 16.27% and 5.13%, respectively, both down from 2023 [26]. - The report notes that the industry has been in a continuous decline in profitability from 2022 to 2024, but signs of stabilization are emerging [26]. Sub-Industry Performance - In 2024, chlor-alkali and textile chemicals showed the highest profit growth rates at 262.84% and 125.27%, respectively [15][26]. - Conversely, non-metallic materials and other plastic products faced significant profit declines of 79.24% and 67.49% [15][26]. Quarterly Analysis - For Q4 2024, the basic chemical industry reported revenues of CNY 565.72 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.15%, but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 0.90% [6][7]. - Net profit for Q4 2024 was CNY 14.16 billion, down 10.73% year-on-year and 51.03% quarter-on-quarter [6][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in rapidly developing downstream sectors, particularly in new materials, energy security, and policy-driven demand recovery [1][26]. - Recommended companies include China National Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil, and various technology firms in the semiconductor and new energy materials sectors [1][26].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the chemical industry [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the potential revaluation of phosphate rock value due to ongoing supply-demand tensions, with increasing demand for phosphate fertilizers and lithium iron phosphate batteries [6][4]. - The chemical industry is expected to enter a restocking cycle in 2025, driven by low inventory levels and improving profitability among leading chemical companies [5][27]. - The report emphasizes the expansion of phosphate production capacity by Batian Co., which is set to increase its phosphate rock extraction capacity to 2 million tons per year [4][6]. Summary by Sections Core Target Tracking - The report tracks key companies in the chemical sector, including Batian Co., which is expanding its phosphate production capacity significantly [4][6]. - It also notes the performance of various chemical products, with a focus on price increases for butadiene and polyester filament due to favorable market conditions [10][14]. Market Observation - The chemical sector has shown a relative performance of 6.7% over the past month, outperforming the CSI 300 index [2]. - The report indicates that the chemical industry is experiencing a recovery phase, with several companies poised for growth due to favorable market dynamics [5][27]. Data Tracking - The report provides detailed tracking of price movements for key chemical products, including butadiene, polyester filament, and various fertilizers, indicating a general upward trend in prices [10][12][17]. - It also highlights the current chemical industry sentiment index at 93.10, reflecting a positive outlook for the sector [6][33]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with low-cost expansion capabilities, such as Wanhua Chemical and various tire manufacturers, as well as those benefiting from rising product prices [5][7]. - It emphasizes the importance of high dividend yield companies in the chemical sector, particularly state-owned enterprises with stable financials [8][29].