Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][8]. Core Views - The company's short-term performance is under pressure due to industry cost pressures and decreased production and sales. The EPS forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been lowered to RMB 2.14 and RMB 2.57, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 set at RMB 2.82. The target price has been reduced by 25% to RMB 25.68, applying a 12x PE for 2025 [4][8]. Financial Summary - For 2024, the company's revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders are projected to be RMB 8.51 billion and RMB 2.19 billion, representing year-on-year increases of 8.53% and 59.74%, respectively. The Q4 2024 revenue and net profit are expected to be RMB 2.17 billion and RMB 460 million, with year-on-year growth of 3.38% and 22.7% [4][8]. - In Q1 2025, the company is expected to report revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 2.06 billion and RMB 361 million, reflecting year-on-year declines of 2.79% and 28.29% [4][8]. Production and Sales Performance - By the end of 2024, the company's tyre sector production and sales are expected to reach 32.23 million and 31.41 million units, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 10.22% and 7.34%. The revenue for this segment is projected at RMB 8.50 billion, up 8.57% year-on-year [4][8]. - In Q1 2025, tyre sector production and sales are expected to decline to 7.92 million and 7.38 million units, with year-on-year decreases of 1.87% and 3.02% [4][8]. Strategic Developments - The company's "833plus" strategy is progressing steadily, with the Morocco project expected to achieve large-scale production in 2025. This project aims to produce 12 million high-performance tyres annually, enhancing the company's global competitiveness and profitability [4][8]. - The company has established a strong presence in the replacement market, with over 5% market share in the USA and over 4% in Europe for its tyre products in 2024. It is also recognized as a qualified supplier for several major automotive manufacturers [4][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][8]. Core Views - The company's short-term performance is under pressure due to industry cost pressures and decreased production and sales. The EPS for 2025 and 2026 has been lowered to RMB 2.14 and RMB 2.57, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at RMB 2.82. The target price has been reduced by 25% to RMB 25.68, applying a 12x PE for 2025 [4][8]. Financial Summary - For 2024, the company's revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders are projected to be RMB 8.51 billion and RMB 2.19 billion, representing year-on-year increases of 8.53% and 59.74% respectively. The Q4 2024 revenue and net profit are expected to be RMB 2.17 billion and RMB 460 million, with year-on-year growth of 3.38% and 22.7%, but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 2.68% and 29.02%. In Q1 2025, revenue and net profit are projected to be RMB 2.06 billion and RMB 361 million, showing year-on-year declines of 2.79% and 28.29% [4][8]. Production and Sales Performance - By the end of 2024, the company's tyre sector production and sales are expected to reach 32.23 million and 31.41 million units, with year-on-year increases of 10.22% and 7.34%. The revenue for this segment is projected at RMB 8.50 billion, up 8.57% year-on-year. However, in Q1 2025, production and sales are expected to decline to 7.92 million and 7.38 million units, with year-on-year decreases of 1.87% and 3.02% [4][8]. Strategic Developments - The company's "833plus" strategy is progressing steadily, with the Morocco project expected to achieve large-scale production in 2025. The global capacity layout in China, Thailand, and Morocco is enhancing the company's competitiveness and profitability, aligning with long-term sustainable development needs. The company has over 5% market share in the US replacement market and over 4% in Europe [4][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 8.52 billion yuan for 2024, an increase of 8.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.19 billion yuan, up 59.7% year-on-year [2][6] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.06 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 360 million yuan, down 28.3% year-on-year [2][6] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.9 yuan per 10 shares to all shareholders [2][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company produced 32.23 million tires, a growth of 10.2% year-on-year, with a sales volume of 31.41 million tires, increasing by 7.3% year-on-year [9] - The overall gross margin for the company was 32.8%, up 7.6 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 25.7%, up 8.2 percentage points year-on-year [9] - The company’s overseas market demand and tax refunds from the U.S. significantly contributed to the growth in revenue and profit [9] Production and Sales - In Q1 2025, tire production decreased to 7.93 million units, down 1.9% year-on-year, with a notable decline in full-steel tire production by 30.6% [9] - The decline in sales was attributed to intensified competition in the domestic market and economic pressures overseas [9] International Expansion - The company’s Morocco project commenced production on September 30, 2024, with an expected annual capacity of 12 million high-performance passenger car tires [9] - The expansion into Africa is part of the company's global strategy to enhance brand strength and optimize supply chain security [9] Future Outlook - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.94 billion yuan, 2.38 billion yuan, and 2.82 billion yuan, respectively [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" [6] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 85.11 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.5%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 21.86 billion yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 59.7% year-on-year [6] - In Q1 2025, the company experienced a revenue decline of 2.8% year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.61 billion yuan, down 28.3% year-on-year, indicating performance slightly below expectations [6] - The company is benefiting from stable overseas demand and improved profitability due to a decrease in anti-dumping tax rates in Thailand, which has led to increased product prices and tax refund benefits [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections are as follows: 2024: 85.11 billion yuan, 2025E: 100.66 billion yuan, 2026E: 112.39 billion yuan, 2027E: 125.65 billion yuan [2] - Net profit forecasts are: 2024: 21.86 billion yuan, 2025E: 17.14 billion yuan, 2026E: 21.01 billion yuan, 2027E: 25.22 billion yuan [2] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 32.8% in 2024 to 27.0% in 2027, while the return on equity (ROE) is projected to increase from 16.2% in 2024 to 13.2% in 2027 [2] Sales and Production Insights - The company’s tire production is projected to reach approximately 32.23 million units in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 10.2% [6] - The sales volume for tires is expected to be around 31.41 million units in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.3% [6] - The company is expanding its high-end product offerings and has begun supplying winter tires to Volkswagen, enhancing its brand recognition in the global market [6] Cost and Margin Analysis - The overall cost pressure from raw materials has increased, particularly due to rising rubber prices and shipping costs [6] - The gross margin is expected to decline to 22.75% in Q1 2025, down 2.46 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and 8.57 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The net profit margin is projected to decrease to 17.57% in Q1 2025, reflecting a decline of 3.63 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and 6.25 percentage points year-on-year [6]

Core Points - Company will participate in the "2025 Qingdao Listed Companies Investor Online Reception Day and 2024 Annual Performance Briefing" to enhance investor interaction [1] - The event will be held online on May 12, 2025, from 15:00 to 17:00 [1] - Key executives, including the General Manager and Financial Director, will engage with investors regarding governance, development strategy, and operational status [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has achieved significant growth in net profit attributable to shareholders, with a year-on-year increase of 59.74% in 2024, reaching 2.186 billion yuan [3] - The company is expanding steadily in both domestic and international markets, with a revenue of 8.511 billion yuan in 2024, representing an 8.53% year-on-year increase [2] - The company is recognized for its leading position in intelligent manufacturing within the industry, having received multiple national honors for its smart manufacturing practices [9] - The company has successfully entered the high-end tire supply market, becoming a qualified supplier for major automotive manufacturers, including Volkswagen and Audi [8] - The company is also making strides in the aviation tire sector, having developed capabilities to produce tires for various aircraft, including those for Boeing and Airbus [10] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a tire production volume of 32.2261 million units, a 10.22% increase year-on-year, with sales volume reaching 31.4087 million units, up 7.34% [2] - The average tire price was 270.70 yuan per unit, reflecting a 1.14% increase compared to the previous year [2] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.056 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.79% year-on-year, with a net profit of 361 million yuan, down 28.29% year-on-year [4] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities for 2024 was 1.960 billion yuan, a decrease of 17.19% year-on-year [3] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 10.856 billion yuan, 12.531 billion yuan, and 13.056 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [12] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 2.243 billion yuan, 2.664 billion yuan, and 2.835 billion yuan for the same years [12] - The company maintains a strong outlook with a leading position in intelligent manufacturing and ongoing expansion in both domestic and international markets, justifying the "Buy" rating [10]

| 证券代码：002984 | 证券简称：森麒麟 | 公告编号：2025-025 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：127050 | 债券简称：麒麟转债 | | 青岛森麒麟轮胎股份有限公司 关于参加2025年青岛辖区上市公司投资者网上集体接待日 暨2024年度业绩说明会活动的公告 为进一步加强与投资者的互动交流，构建和谐投资者关系，青岛森麒麟轮胎股 份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）将参加由青岛证监局指导，青岛市上市公司协会 与深圳市全景网络有限公司联合举办的"2025年青岛辖区上市公司投资者网上集体 接待日暨2024年度业绩说明会活动"，现将相关事项公告如下： 本次活动将采用网络远程的方式举行，投资者可登录"全景路演"网站 （http://rs.p5w.net）；或关注微信公众号（名称：全景财经）；或下载全景路演 APP，参与本次互动交流。活动时间为2025年5月12日（周一）15:00-17:00。届时公 司董事兼总经理林文龙先生、董事兼副总经理兼财务总监许华山女士、董事兼副总 经理兼董事会秘书王倩女士、独立董事李鑫先生将通过网络在线交流形式与投资者 就公司治理、发展战略、经营状况等投 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Qingdao Senqilin Tire Co., Ltd., is proposing to increase shareholder returns through a cash dividend for the first half of 2025, reflecting confidence in its future growth and financial health [2][3]. Group 1: Background and Purpose of the Proposal - The company's global production capacity is strategically located in China, Thailand, and Morocco, providing a strong foundation for competing internationally [3]. - The upcoming large-scale production from the Moroccan smart factory and ongoing partnerships with leading international automotive companies are expected to enhance the company's brand value and operational performance [3]. - The proposal aims to protect shareholder interests and address the undervaluation of the company's stock in the secondary market, thereby enhancing investor satisfaction [3]. Group 2: Details of the 2025 Mid-Year Dividend Proposal - The proposal suggests a cash dividend of RMB 3.00 per 10 shares (tax included) to all shareholders, with no stock bonuses or capital reserve transfers [4]. - The total dividend amount will be adjusted based on any changes in the company's total share capital before the distribution [4]. Group 3: Additional Notes - The company will analyze the proposal in conjunction with its operational plans and profitability, considering it reasonable and feasible [6]. - The proposal is currently a personal opinion of the chairman and requires approval from the board and shareholders before implementation, indicating some uncertainty [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [1][17]. Core Views - The company experienced a decline in gross profit in the first quarter due to rising raw material costs, but the Moroccan factory is expected to ramp up production soon, which could enhance profitability [1]. - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 85.11 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 8.5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 21.86 billion, reflecting a significant increase of 59.7% year-on-year [6]. - The report highlights the company's ongoing global expansion, particularly through the new Moroccan factory, which is anticipated to contribute positively to profits in the medium to long term [6]. Financial Summary - **Revenue Projections**: - 2024: 85.11 billion - 2025: 108.83 billion (27.9% growth) - 2026: 119.84 billion (10.1% growth) - 2027: 129.56 billion (8.1% growth) [2] - **Net Profit Projections**: - 2024: 21.86 billion - 2025: 19.92 billion (-8.9% decline) - 2026: 23.68 billion (18.9% growth) - 2027: 26.59 billion (12.3% growth) [2] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2024: 2.11 - 2025: 1.92 - 2026: 2.29 - 2027: 2.57 [2] - **Valuation Ratios**: - Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio for 2025 is projected at 10x, with a target price of 26.88 yuan based on a 14x P/E multiple [6]. - **Market Performance**: The company's stock price has fluctuated between 18.90 and 28.60 over the past 12 months, with a current market capitalization of 195.70 billion [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Insights - The company achieved a record high performance in 2024, with revenue of 8.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.53%, and a net profit of 2.19 billion yuan, up 59.74% year-on-year [2] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a decline in performance due to cost pressures, with revenue of 2.06 billion yuan, down 2.79% year-on-year, and a net profit of 361 million yuan, down 28.29% year-on-year [3] - The Moroccan project is expected to ramp up significantly in 2025, potentially producing 6-8 million tires, enhancing the company's global competitive position [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company sold 30.49 million semi-steel tires, a 7.12% increase year-on-year, and 916,400 full-steel tires, a 15.52% increase year-on-year [2] - The average selling price in 2024 was 270.7 yuan per tire, a 1.1% increase year-on-year, contributing to a gross margin of 32.84%, up 7.63 percentage points year-on-year [2] - For Q1 2025, semi-steel tire sales were 7.16 million, down 1.6% year-on-year, and full-steel tire sales were 213,700, down 34.6% year-on-year [3] Cost and Margin Analysis - The cost of raw materials increased in Q1 2025, with synthetic rubber and natural rubber prices rising by 10.9% and 27.4% respectively [3] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 22.75%, down 8.57 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 17.57%, down 6.25 percentage points year-on-year [3] Future Outlook - The Moroccan project is anticipated to enhance the company's production capacity and global presence, creating a "golden triangle" layout with operations in China, Thailand, and Morocco [4] - The company is focusing on high-end product development, having already gained recognition in the U.S. and European markets [4] - Profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 1.93 billion yuan and 2.29 billion yuan respectively, with a projected net profit of 2.54 billion yuan in 2027 [5]