| 证券代码：002984 | 证券简称：森麒麟 | 公告编号：2025-063 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：127050 | 债券简称：麒麟转债 | | 青岛森麒麟轮胎股份有限公司 可转换公司债券2025年付息公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： 1、"麒麟转债"将于 2025 年 11 月 11 日按面值支付第四年利息，每 10 张 "麒麟转债"（面值 1000 元）利息为人民币 15.00 元（含税）。 2、债权登记日：2025 年 11 月 10 日（星期一） 3、除息日：2025 年 11 月 11 日（星期二） 4、付息日：2025 年 11 月 11 日（星期二） 5、"麒麟转债"票面利率：第一年 0.30%、第二年 0.50%、第三年 1.00%、 第四年 1.50%、第五年 1.80%、第六年 2.00%。 6、"麒麟转债"本次付息的债权登记日为 2025 年 11 月 10 日，凡在 2025 年 11 月 10 日（含）前买入并持有本期债券的投资者享有本次派发的利息；2025 年 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [5][6]. Core Insights - The company achieved record high sales and revenue in Q3, with total revenue reaching 6.438 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.54%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.015 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 41.2% [5][6]. - The decline in net profit is attributed to a one-time tax refund received in the previous year and the impact of U.S. trade tariffs affecting profitability [5]. - The company’s tire sales volume remained stable at approximately 23.31 million units for the first three quarters, with a notable recovery in Q3 [5][6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2024: 8.511 billion yuan - 2025: 8.699 billion yuan - 2026: 10.649 billion yuan - 2027: 12.151 billion yuan - The expected growth rates for total revenue are 8.5% for 2024, 2.2% for 2025, 22.4% for 2026, and 14.1% for 2027 [4][6]. - The forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be: - 2025: 1.407 billion yuan - 2026: 1.820 billion yuan - 2027: 2.101 billion yuan [4][6]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to be 23.8% in 2025, with a gradual increase to 25.5% by 2027 [4][6]. Sales and Production Insights - The company’s Q3 tire sales volume reached approximately 8.44 million units, marking a year-on-year increase of 2.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.7% [5]. - The recovery in sales is attributed to improved production rates at the Qingdao plant and the gradual ramp-up of the Morocco facility [5][6]. - The Morocco facility is expected to contribute significantly to sales in the coming years, with sufficient orders in hand [5][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company achieved record high sales and revenue in Q3, with total revenue reaching 6.438 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, and a net profit of 1.015 billion yuan, down 41.2% year-on-year [6][5] - The decline in net profit is attributed to a one-time tax refund received in the previous year and the impact of U.S. trade tariffs on profitability [6] - The company's tire sales remained stable, with approximately 23.31 million tires sold in the first three quarters, showing a slight increase in Q3 [6] - The Moroccan production base is in a ramp-up phase, contributing to sales growth, although it is still in a loss-making position due to depreciation costs [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025 are estimated at 8.699 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 2.2% [5] - The net profit for 2025 is forecasted to be 1.407 billion yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 35.6% year-on-year [5] - The company expects to maintain a high operating rate at its existing bases in Qingdao and Thailand while gradually increasing output from the Moroccan base [6] - The projected net profits for 2026 and 2027 are 1.820 billion yuan and 2.101 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 11 and 10 [6][5]

Group 1 - The report highlights that Fengshen Co., the only centrally controlled tire listed company in China, has entered a growth phase with a 168% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q3 2025 [2][6][7] - The company achieved a revenue of 5.543 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a 13.58% increase year-on-year, despite a decline in net profit [6][8] - The average selling price of products increased by 7.88% year-on-year to 1198 yuan per tire, contributing to improved profitability [8][10] Group 2 - Dongfang Tower benefited from the potassium fertilizer boom, reporting a 77.57% increase in net profit for Q3 2025, with a revenue of 3.392 billion yuan [16][17] - The company’s gross profit margin increased by 10.23 percentage points to 40.53% due to rising potassium prices [17][19] - The average price of potassium chloride reached 3269 yuan per ton in Q3 2025, up 773 yuan per ton year-on-year [17][19] Group 3 - Longbai Group's net profit decreased by 34.68% year-on-year in Q3 2025, impacted by falling titanium dioxide prices, with a revenue of 6.105 billion yuan [23][24] - The average price of titanium dioxide fell by 2018 yuan per ton year-on-year, leading to a significant profit squeeze [25][27] - The company is pursuing a strategic acquisition of Venator UK's titanium dioxide assets to enhance its global presence [27][29] Group 4 - Shanmei International reported a 30.20% decline in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit drop of 49.74% [32][33] - The company’s coal production increased by 8.73% year-on-year, while trade coal sales fell by 28.50% [35][36] - The average selling price of self-produced coal decreased by 24.72% year-on-year, affecting overall profitability [36][37] Group 5 - Fenhong Media achieved a total revenue of 9.607 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a 3.73% year-on-year growth [38][39] - The company’s gross profit margin improved significantly, reaching 74.1% in Q3 2025 [40][41] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.5 yuan per share, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns [41][42] Group 6 - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank reported a 0.67% increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit growth of 3.74% [43][44] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio decreased to 1.12%, reflecting improved asset quality [44]

Core Viewpoint - The company has made progress on its "833plus" strategic plan, establishing four digital tire intelligent manufacturing bases in China, Thailand, and Morocco, and continues to advance the plan steadily [1] Group 1: Strategic Progress - The "833plus" strategic plan was proposed in 2021 with a 10-year completion timeline [1] - The company has successfully built manufacturing bases in Qingdao, China; Rayong, Thailand; and Tangier, Morocco [1] - The strategic plan is reported to be progressing smoothly [1]

Core Viewpoint - Qingdao Senqilin Tire Co., Ltd. has announced its 2025 semi-annual profit distribution plan, which includes a cash dividend of 3.0 yuan per 10 shares, approved by the shareholders' meeting on September 15, 2025 [1][2][21]. Summary by Sections Profit Distribution Plan - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 3.0 yuan per 10 shares (tax included), with no stock bonus or capital reserve conversion [1][4][21]. - The total distribution amount will be adjusted based on any changes in total share capital due to convertible bond conversions or other factors before the record date [2][4]. Implementation Dates - The record date for the distribution is set for November 7, 2025, and the ex-dividend date is November 10, 2025 [5][6]. Distribution Method - Cash dividends will be directly credited to the accounts of shareholders through the securities custody company on the ex-dividend date [7]. Convertible Bond Adjustment - Following the distribution, the conversion price of the "Qilin Convertible Bonds" will be adjusted from 19.66 yuan per share to 19.36 yuan per share, effective November 10, 2025 [8][21][22].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q3 2025 earnings, showing a slight increase in revenue but a significant decline in net profit, while also highlighting the progress of its Moroccan factory and commitment to smart manufacturing [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 6.44 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.5% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 41.2% - The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 990 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 42.2% - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.32 billion yuan, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increases of 3.9% and 12.4% respectively - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was 340 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 47.0% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.6% - The net profit after deducting non-recurring items for Q3 was 330 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 50.5% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.3% [1]. Strategic Developments - The company is fully advancing its Moroccan factory, which is expected to gradually contribute profits next year - The "Senqilin (Morocco) annual production of 12 million high-performance passenger car and light truck radial tire project" has been completed and is operational, with expectations for large-scale production and profit contribution next year - The global capacity layout of Senqilin in China, Thailand, and Morocco provides a strong backing for the company to participate in global competition, enhancing overall competitiveness and profitability [1]. Smart Manufacturing Initiatives - The company is a pioneer in implementing smart manufacturing, with a demonstrative effect in the industry - It has developed a smart factory IoT system covering five main modules: smart central control system, smart production execution system, smart warehousing and logistics system, smart detection and scanning system, and smart scheduling and warning system - In 2022, the company received the "2022 National Intelligent Manufacturing Demonstration Factory" honor, becoming the only Chinese tire company to receive national-level intelligent manufacturing awards four times [2]. Shareholder Returns - The company is focusing on shareholder returns by implementing a mid-term dividend for 2025 - It plans to distribute a cash dividend of 3.0 yuan (including tax) for every 10 shares based on the total share capital on the dividend registration date, without issuing new shares or converting reserves into share capital [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Considering the ramp-up of the Moroccan factory and tire industry demand trends, the company is projected to achieve revenues of 9.0 billion, 11.38 billion, and 13.06 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.7%, 26.5%, and 14.7% respectively - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 1.41 billion, 1.99 billion, and 2.46 billion yuan for the same period, with year-on-year changes of -35.5%, +40.9%, and +23.6% - Based on the closing price on November 1, the corresponding PE ratios are projected to be 14, 10, and 8 times, maintaining a "strong buy" rating [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) as of October 31, 2025 [1]. Core Insights - The company continues to advance its Morocco project, with a quarter-on-quarter improvement in net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 2025 [2][10]. - The company reported a total revenue of 6.438 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.54%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.015 billion yuan, a decrease of 41.17% year-on-year [5][7]. - The company has established a global production capacity "golden triangle" in China, Thailand, and Morocco, enhancing its competitive position in international markets [10]. - The company aims to establish eight smart manufacturing bases, three R&D centers, and three user experience centers globally over the next decade as part of its "833plus" strategic plan [10]. - The company has entered the supply chains of major international automotive brands, enhancing its brand value [10]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.318 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.94% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.36% [6][8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 2025 was 343 million yuan, a decrease of 47.03% year-on-year but an increase of 10.29% quarter-on-quarter [6][8]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 23.03%, down 16.49 percentage points year-on-year and down 3.42 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [6][8]. - The net profit margin for Q3 2025 was 14.81%, down 14.26 percentage points year-on-year and down 0.24 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [6][8]. - The net cash flow from operating activities for Q3 2025 was 172 million yuan, a decrease of 79.19% year-on-year but an increase of 1046.67% quarter-on-quarter [6][8]. Future Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 8.897 billion yuan, 10.672 billion yuan, and 12.607 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.432 billion yuan, 1.811 billion yuan, and 2.206 billion yuan [12][13]. - The expected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14, 11, and 9 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [12][13].

Summary of the Conference Call for Senqilin Company Overview - **Company**: Senqilin - **Industry**: Tire Manufacturing Key Financial Metrics - **Q3 Revenue**: 2.318 billion CNY, up 3.94% YoY, up 12.35% QoQ [2][3] - **Net Profit**: 343 million CNY, down 47.03% YoY, up 10.56% QoQ [2][3] - **Sales Volume**: 8.44 million units, up 2.36% YoY, up approximately 12% QoQ [2][5] - **Gross Margin**: 23%, down 8.73 percentage points YoY, down approximately 3.42 percentage points QoQ [2][5] Operational Highlights - **Production Capacity**: Over two-thirds of production capacity is located overseas, with significant contributions from the Morocco factory expected by 2026 [2][9] - **Customer Transition**: Completed customer transition to avoid tariff risks related to EU anti-dumping measures [4][10] - **Material Costs**: Raw material cost management remains stable, with expectations of low prices in the coming year [11] Challenges and Risks - **Morocco Factory Issues**: Facing power supply problems, expected to be resolved by the end of November, which has slowed production ramp-up [2][6] - **Impact of US Tariffs**: Current tariffs have not significantly impacted demand, but future adjustments may be necessary as EU anti-dumping measures come into effect [19] Market Dynamics - **EU Anti-Dumping Measures**: Expected to shift demand from Chinese imports to overseas production, benefiting companies like Senqilin with overseas factories [7][10] - **Global Tire Market Changes**: Major international brands are reducing production capacity, creating opportunities for Chinese tire manufacturers to capture market share [15] Future Outlook - **Sales Projections**: Anticipated sales of 10 million units from the Morocco factory by 2026, with a strong focus on EU retail customers and the US replacement market [6][20] - **Gross Margin Expectations**: While domestic competition may pressure margins, strong customer relationships in non-EU markets may mitigate risks [13][22] - **Overall Sentiment**: Positive outlook for 2026, with expectations of increased overseas capacity and potential price increases to offset domestic pressures [22]

Core Viewpoint - Senqilin (002984.SZ) reported a slight increase in revenue for the first three quarters of the year, but a significant decline in net profit compared to the previous year [1] Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue for the first three quarters reached 6.438 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 1.54% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company was 1.015 billion, showing a year-on-year decrease of 41.17% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 999 million, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 42.18% [1]