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商业航天行业深度系列(一):以第一性原理推演中国商业航天降本革命
Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "stronger than the market" [1] Core Insights - The report concludes that 2026 will mark a turning point for China's commercial aerospace industry, with a shift from state-driven missions to market-driven profitability, driven by the deployment of low-orbit satellite constellations and advancements in reusable rocket technology [1][6] - The commercial rocket launch service market in China is projected to grow from 10.26 billion yuan in 2025 to 47.39 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of approximately 35.8% [1][12] - The report emphasizes that the core components of rocket launch services are engines (54%) and structural components (24%), which together account for 78% of the value in the launch service segment [1][12] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The commercial aerospace industry is defined as activities that provide aerospace products and services through social capital investment under national policy guidance, including the R&D, manufacturing, launch, and operation of spacecraft and rockets [6][7] - The global aerospace economy is expected to reach $612 billion by 2024, with commercial aerospace revenues accounting for approximately $480 billion, representing about 78% of the total [6][7] Market Dynamics - The demand for satellite launches is expected to surge as China enters a concentrated deployment phase for low-orbit satellite constellations, with over 200,000 satellites planned for deployment [18][19] - The report highlights that the competition for low-orbit frequency resources is intensifying, necessitating faster deployment of satellite constellations [19][21] Cost Structure and Efficiency - The report breaks down the cost structure of rockets, indicating that engines and structural components dominate the value chain [1][12] - It outlines a pathway for reducing launch costs, projecting that the unit cost of launching payloads could decrease significantly as technology advances [1][12] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in key segments such as propulsion systems, satellite communication systems, materials and structural components, and testing and validation services [2][4] - Specific companies to watch include 应流股份 (603308), 斯瑞新材 (688102), and 上海瀚讯 (300762), among others [2][4]
机构:商业航天有望迎来“政策+技术+资本”三重共振
开源证券认为,2026年,国内商业航天有望迎来"政策+技术+资本"三重共振,值得高度期待。火箭产 业链:受益标的航天动力、西部材料(002149)、航天工程(603698)、飞沃科技(301232)、天力复 合、航天机电(600151)、超捷股份、斯瑞新材、高华科技、银邦股份(300337)、航天发展 (000547)等。卫星产业链及太空算力:推荐中科星图、航天宏图、普天科技(002544)、亚信安全、 永信至诚等,受益标的星图测控、顺灏股份(002565)、旭升集团(603305)、佳缘科技(301117)、 中国卫星、上海港湾(605598)、臻镭科技、盛邦安全、霍莱沃、航天环宇、天银机电(300342)、上 海瀚讯、乾照光电(300102)。 央视新闻消息,2025年,我国商业航天保持快速发展。全年完成发射50次,占比我国全年宇航发射总数 54%。其中,商业运载火箭发射25次;海南商业航天发射场投入使用并实施9次发射,建成以来累计完 成10次发射;其他商业卫星发射16次。全年入轨商业卫星311颗,占比我国全年入轨卫星总数84%。可 重复使用运载火箭技术加速突破,朱雀三号重复使用运载火箭完成首飞,实现二子 ...
主力个股资金流出前20:信维通信流出18.51亿元、贵州茅台流出14.80亿元
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-01-21 07:11
Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of main funds from various stocks, with notable amounts withdrawn from companies across different sectors, suggesting a potential shift in investor sentiment and market dynamics [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance and Fund Outflows - The top stock with the largest fund outflow is XW Communication, with a withdrawal of 1.851 billion yuan and a decline of 10.16% in its stock price [2] - Guizhou Moutai follows with a fund outflow of 1.480 billion yuan and a decrease of 1.64% [2] - TBEA Co., Ltd. experienced a fund outflow of 1.294 billion yuan and a drop of 3.83% [2] - Other notable companies with significant outflows include: - Sanzi Gaoke: -0.993 billion yuan, -4.43% [2] - Goldwind Technology: -0.892 billion yuan, -2.34% [2] - Zhongji Xuchuang: -0.829 billion yuan, -0.53% [2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The consumer electronics sector is represented by XW Communication and Lens Technology, both experiencing substantial fund outflows [2][3] - The beverage industry, highlighted by Guizhou Moutai, shows a minor decline in stock price despite significant fund outflow [2] - The power equipment sector, including TBEA Co., Ltd. and China Western Power, reflects mixed performance with varying fund outflows [2][3] - The telecommunications sector, represented by companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Fenghuo Communication, also shows notable fund withdrawals [2][3]
中美竞逐万亿美元新赛道,五层解构下的投资蓝图
Tebon Securities· 2026-01-21 04:07
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the commercial aerospace industry [1] Core Insights - The aerospace sector is transitioning from being viewed as a "cost center" driven by national will to a "growth engine" driven by commercial demand, with significant investments and strategic planning from both the US and China [6][9] - The global aerospace economy is projected to reach $613 billion in 2024, with commercial aerospace contributing 78%, and is expected to exceed $1 trillion by 2032 [6][9] - The value chain of commercial aerospace is divided into five core levels: "space, ground, terminal, rocket, and application," each presenting unique market opportunities and technical challenges from 2026 to 2030 [10][29] Summary by Sections 1. Space: Satellite Manufacturing - The satellite manufacturing market in China is expected to grow from approximately 7.1 billion yuan in 2025 to about 39.4 billion yuan by 2030, reflecting a shift from sporadic research models to continuous, batch engineering deliveries [16][18] 2. Ground: Ground Systems - The ground systems market is projected to increase from around 1.2 billion yuan in 2025 to approximately 39.1 billion yuan by 2030, evolving from a supporting role to a core infrastructure essential for stable satellite constellation operations [21][22] 3. Terminal: Key Variable for Commercial Aerospace - The terminal market is anticipated to grow from 500 million yuan in 2025 to about 141.9 billion yuan by 2030, driven by multiple vertical industries and potential consumer scenarios [23][24] 4. Rocket: Core Constraint - The cost of rocket launches is a critical constraint, with reusable technology expected to reduce costs by 80%-90% compared to traditional expendable rockets. The market for rocket launch services is projected to grow from approximately 10.7 billion yuan in 2025 to about 34.3 billion yuan by 2030 [25][26] 5. Application: Final Value Realization - The application market is expected to expand from 200 million yuan in 2025 to 525 billion yuan by 2030, with the revenue share from applications projected to rise from single digits to over 67% by around 2030 [27][28] 6. Investment Opportunities - Investment opportunities in commercial aerospace can be categorized into three main tracks: 1. Launch and manufacturing segments, which are expected to benefit directly from increased orders and visibility 2. Core components and systems, characterized by high technical barriers and critical for long-term competitiveness 3. Downstream applications and operational services, which, while currently limited in scale, hold the greatest long-term potential for value realization [29][30]
主力个股资金流出前20:信维通信流出12.30亿元、特变电工流出6.71亿元
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-01-21 04:04
Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of capital from various stocks, with notable declines in share prices across multiple sectors, suggesting a bearish sentiment in the market. Group 1: Major Stocks with Capital Outflows - Xinyi Communication experienced a capital outflow of 1.23 billion, with a price drop of 7.98% [1][2] - Tebian Electric witnessed a capital outflow of 671 million, with a price decline of 2.5% [1][2] - Shanzi Gaoke had a capital outflow of 636 million, with a decrease of 4.8% [1][2] - Tianyin Electromechanical saw an outflow of 501 million, with a drop of 2.34% [1][2] - Kweichow Moutai experienced a capital outflow of 431 million, with a decline of 0.84% [1][2] Group 2: Additional Stocks with Notable Outflows - Baiwei Storage had a capital outflow of 388 million, with a price drop of 1.55% [1][2] - Fenghuo Communication saw an outflow of 363 million, with a slight increase of 0.19% [1][2] - Goldwind Technology experienced a capital outflow of 357 million, with a price increase of 0.54% [1][2] - Shannon Chip Creation had an outflow of 337 million, with a decline of 1.36% [1][2] - Agricultural Bank saw a capital outflow of 333 million, with a drop of 1.67% [1][2] Group 3: Further Stocks with Capital Outflows - China Satellite Communications experienced a capital outflow of 332 million, with a decline of 1.3% [3] - Shanghai Electric saw an outflow of 326 million, with a price drop of 2.7% [3] - Wuliangye experienced a capital outflow of 324 million, with a decline of 1.52% [3] - Shanghai Hanxun had an outflow of 303 million, with a drop of 2.15% [3] - Jiuding New Materials saw a capital outflow of 297 million, with a significant decline of 6.03% [3]
上海瀚讯(300762) - 关于上海瀚讯2025年度向特定对象发行股票并在创业板上市之发行保荐书
2026-01-19 08:18
国泰海通证券股份有限公司 关于 上海瀚讯信息技术股份有限公司 2025 年度向特定对象发行股票并在创业板 上市 之 发行保荐书 保荐机构(主承销商) (中国(上海)自由贸易试验区商城路 618 号) 二零二六年一月 上海瀚讯信息技术股份有限公司 向特定对象发行股票并在创业板上市之发行保荐书 国泰海通证券股份有限公司 关于上海瀚讯信息技术股份有限公司 2025 年度向特定对象发行股票之发行保荐书 深圳证券交易所: 国泰海通证券股份有限公司(以下简称"国泰海通"、"保荐人"或"本保 荐人")接受上海瀚讯信息技术股份有限公司(以下简称"上海瀚讯"、"公司" 或"发行人")的委托,担任上海瀚讯本次向特定对象发行 A 股股票的保荐人。 国泰海通及其保荐代表人根据《中华人民共和国公司法》(以下简称"《公司 法》")、《中华人民共和国证券法》(以下简称"《证券法》")、《上市公 司证券发行注册管理办法》(以下简称"《注册管理办法》")、《证券发行上 市保荐业务管理办法》(以下简称"《保荐管理办法》")等法律法规和中国证 券监督管理委员会(以下简称"中国证监会")、深圳证券交易所(以下简称"深 交所")的有关规定,诚实守信, ...
上海瀚讯(300762) - 关于上海瀚讯2025年度向特定对象发行股票并在创业板上市之上市保荐书
2026-01-19 08:18
国泰海通证券股份有限公司 关于 上海瀚讯信息技术股份有限公司 2025 年度向特定对象发行股票 并在创业板上市 之 上市保荐书 保荐机构(主承销商) (中国(上海)自由贸易试验区商城路 618 号) 二零二六年一月 上海瀚讯信息技术股份有限公司 上市保荐书 声 明 国泰海通证券股份有限公司(以下简称"国泰海通"、"保荐机构"或"本 保荐机构")及其保荐代表人孔海宾、归剑元根据《中华人民共和国公司法》(下 称《公司法》")、《中华人民共和国证券法》(下称"《证券法》")、《上 市公司证券发行注册管理办法》(以下简称"《注册管理办法》")《证券发行 上市保荐业务管理办法》(以下简称"《保荐管理办法》")等有关法律、法规 和中国证券监督管理委员会(以下简称"中国证监会")的有关规定以及深圳证 券交易所(以下简称"深交所")的有关业务规则,诚实守信,勤勉尽责,严格 按照依法制定的业务规则和行业自律规范出具本上市保荐书,并保证上市保荐 书的真实、准确、完整。 如无特别说明,本上市保荐书中所涉简称与《上海瀚讯信息技术股份有限公 司 2025 年度向特定对象发行股票募集说明书》一致。 3-3-1 | 声 | 明 1 | | ...
上海瀚讯(300762) - 2025年度向特定对象发行A股股票募集说明书(申报稿)
2026-01-19 08:18
证券代码:300762 证券简称:上海瀚讯 上海瀚讯信息技术股份有限公司 (上海市嘉定区鹤友路 258 号) 2025 年度向特定对象发行 A 股股票 募集说明书 (申报稿) 保荐机构(主承销商) (中国(上海)自由贸易试验区商城路 618 号) 本募集说明书所述事项并不代表审批机构对于本次向特定对象发行股票相 关事项的实质性判断、确认、批准,本募集说明书所述向特定对象发行股票相 关事项的生效和完成尚待取得有关审批机构的批准、核准或注册。 1-1-1 上海瀚讯信息技术股份有限公司 向特定对象发行股票募集说明书 二〇二六年一月 上海瀚讯信息技术股份有限公司 向特定对象发行股票募集说明书 发行人声明 本公司及全体董事、监事、高级管理人员承诺募集说明书及其他信息披露 资料不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏,并对其真实性、准确性及 完整性承担相应的法律责任。 本募集说明书按照《上市公司证券发行注册管理办法》《公开发行证券的公 司信息披露内容与格式准则第 61 号——上市公司向特定对象发行股票募集说明 书和发行情况报告书》等要求编制。 本次向特定对象发行股票完成后,公司经营与收益的变化由公司自行负责; 因本次向特 ...
上海瀚讯(300762) - 向特定对象发行股票申请获得深圳证券交易所受理的公告
2026-01-19 08:18
上海瀚讯信息技术股份有限公司 证券代码:300762 证券简称:上海瀚讯 公告编号:2026-004 上海瀚讯信息技术股份有限公司 董事会 2026 年 1 月 19 日 向特定对象发行股票申请获得深圳证券交易所 受理的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确和完整,不存在任 何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 上海瀚讯信息技术股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")近日收到深圳证券交 易所(以下简称"深交所")出具的《关于受理上海瀚讯信息技术股份有限公司 向特定对象发行股票申请文件的通知》(深证上审〔2026〕11 号),深交所对 公司报送的向特定对象发行股票募集说明书及相关申请文件进行了核对,认为申 请文件齐备,决定予以受理。 公司本次向特定对象发行股票事项尚需通过深交所审核,并获得中国证券监 督管理委员会(以下简称"中国证监会")作出同意注册的决定后方可实施。最 终能否通过深交所审核,并获得中国证监会作出同意注册的决定及其时间尚存在 不确定性。公司将根据该事项的进展情况及时履行信息披露义务,敬请广大投资 者注意投资风险。 特此公告。 ...
上海瀚讯(300762) - 发行人最近一年的财务报告及其审计报告以及最近一期的财务报告
2026-01-19 08:18
上海瀚讯信息技术股份有限公司 审计报告及财务报表 二○二四年度 上海瀚讯信息技术股份有限公司 审计报告及财务报表 审 计 报 告 一、 审计意见 我们审计了上海瀚讯信息技术股份有限公司(以下简称上海瀚讯) 财务报表,包括 2024 年 12 月 31 日的合并及母公司资产负债表,2024 年度的合并及母公司利润表、合并及母公司现金流量表、合并及母公 司所有者权益变动表以及相关财务报表附注。 我们认为,后附的财务报表在所有重大方面按照企业会计准则的 规定编制,公允反映了上海瀚讯 2024 年 12 月 31 日的合并及母公司 财务状况以及 2024 年度的合并及母公司经营成果和现金流量。 (2024 年 01 月 01 日至 2024 年 12 月 31 日止) | | 目录 | 页次 | | --- | --- | --- | | 一、 | 审计报告 | 1-5 | | 二、 | 财务报表 | | | | 合并资产负债表和母公司资产负债表 | 1-4 | | | 合并利润表和母公司利润表 | 5-6 | | | 合并现金流量表和母公司现金流量表 | 7-8 | | | 合并所有者权益变动表和母公司所有者权益变 ...