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2023年业绩点评:2023年业绩高于预期,期待2024年盈利表现
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance relative to the market [4][11]. Core Insights - The Chinese sports industry is entering a new phase characterized by stable overall growth and structural differentiation, with Anta Sports positioned as a rare multi-brand leader that aligns with new development trends [3]. - The company achieved a revenue of 62.36 billion RMB in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.2%, while net profit attributable to shareholders reached 10.24 billion RMB, up 34.9% year-on-year [3]. - For the years 2024 to 2026, the projected net profits are 13.26 billion RMB, 14.07 billion RMB, and 16.08 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 16, 15, and 13 times [3]. Financial Summary - In 2023, the company's revenue was 62.36 billion RMB, with a gross profit margin improvement driven by a higher proportion of direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales [3][7]. - The main brand's gross margin increased by 1.3 percentage points, while Fila's gross margin improved by 2.6 percentage points due to better discount management [3]. - The company anticipates steady revenue growth in 2024, with guidance for the main brand and Fila at 10-15%, Descente at over 20%, and Kolon at over 30% [3].
2023年报业绩点评:业绩符合我们预期,24年加大市场投放品牌力向上
海通国际· 2024-03-28 16:00
Investment Rating - Maintains an **Outperform** rating with a target price of HK$113.1, representing a 36% upside from the current price of HK$83.20 [3][5] Core Views - Anta Sports' 2023 revenue of RMB 62.36 billion (+16.2% YoY) met market expectations, with FILA and other brands surpassing the main Anta brand in revenue [4][8] - Net profit in 2023 reached RMB 10.24 billion (+34.9% YoY), exceeding market expectations but in line with the report's forecasts [4][8] - The company plans to increase marketing efforts in 2024, focusing on basketball, running, Olympic promotions, and children's products to drive brand growth [4][8] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024-2026 is projected to grow at a low double-digit rate, with expected revenues of RMB 69.89 billion, RMB 78.29 billion, and RMB 87.69 billion, respectively [5][9] - Net profit for 2024-2026 is forecasted at RMB 13.2 billion, RMB 14.34 billion, and RMB 16.59 billion, with YoY growth rates of 29%, 8.6%, and 15.7%, respectively [5][9] - Gross margins for Anta, FILA, and other brands are expected to remain strong, with slight improvements in 2024 [4][9] Brand Performance - Anta brand revenue in 2023 was RMB 30.31 billion (+9.3% YoY), while FILA and other brands grew by 16.6% and 57.7%, respectively [4][8] - FILA's gross margin improved by 2.6 percentage points to 69.0%, driven by better discount rates and product mix [4][8] - Other brands, including Descente and Kolon, achieved record store efficiencies, with Descente surpassing RMB 5 billion in revenue [4][8] Growth Drivers - Anta's basketball series, led by the Kyrie Irving line, is expected to boost global brand recognition [4][8] - The company's sponsorship of the Paris Olympics will enhance its global brand image [4][8] - FILA's expansion in golf, tennis, and fashion categories is expected to drive further growth in 2024 [4][8] Valuation - The company is valued at 22x PE for 2024, with a target price of HK$113.1, reflecting its strong multi-brand platform and global operational capabilities [5][9]
港股公司信息更新报告:业绩超预期尽显龙头风采,期待主品牌革新释放活力
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2024-03-28 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][39]. Core Views - The company achieved record high performance in 2023, with revenue of 62.36 billion yuan (up 16.2% year-on-year) and net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.24 billion yuan (up 34.9%) [4][13]. - The report anticipates that the main brand's innovation will release vitality, and the earnings forecasts for 2024-2026 have been adjusted upwards due to the expected one-time gain from Amer's listing of approximately 1.6 billion yuan [4][39]. Summary by Sections 1. 2023 Performance Highlights - The company reported a revenue of 62.36 billion yuan, with a net profit of 10.24 billion yuan, exceeding expectations [4][13]. - The performance in the first and second halves of 2023 showed revenue of 29.65 billion yuan (up 14.2%) and 32.71 billion yuan (up 18.1%) respectively [13]. 1.1 Brand Performance - Revenue growth by brand in 2023: Anta increased by 9.3% to 30.31 billion yuan, FILA grew by 16.6% to 25.10 billion yuan, and other brands surged by 57.7% to 6.95 billion yuan [18][19]. - The DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) channel for Anta saw a revenue increase of 24.2%, while e-commerce grew by 2.6% [5][18]. 1.2 Category Breakdown - In 2023, footwear revenue was 25.33 billion yuan (up 12.7%), apparel revenue was 35.07 billion yuan (up 18.8%), and accessories revenue was 1.96 billion yuan (up 18.1%) [22]. 1.3 Amer Brand Improvement - Amer's revenue reached 31.25 billion yuan (up 30.1%), with EBITDA of 3.75 billion yuan (up 45.4%) [23]. 2. Channel Performance - E-commerce revenue for the company was 20.5 billion yuan (up 11%), accounting for 32.8% of total revenue [24]. - The total number of Anta stores increased by 228 to 9,831, while FILA closed 12 stores, bringing the total to 1,972 [25]. 3. FILA's Profitability - FILA's revenue was 25.10 billion yuan with a gross margin of 69% (up 2.6 percentage points) [27][28]. - The operating profit margin (OPM) for FILA improved to 27.6% (up 7.6 percentage points) [32]. 4. Earnings Forecast and Investment Advice - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 13.43 billion yuan, 13.66 billion yuan, and 15.65 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 4.7, 4.8, and 5.5 yuan [4][39].
业绩表现超预期,24年安踏、FILA指引双位数增长
申万宏源· 2024-03-27 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports [2] Core Views - Anta Sports reported a strong performance in 2023, with revenue increasing by 16% to 62.36 billion RMB and net profit rising by 35% to 10.236 billion RMB, exceeding expectations [2][6] - The company aims for double-digit growth in 2024 for both Anta and FILA brands, supported by effective brand management and operational improvements [2] - The successful IPO of Amer Sports is expected to contribute positively to Anta's performance in 2024, with a projected one-time gain of approximately 1.6 billion RMB [2] Financial Performance Summary - In 2023, Anta's revenue reached 62.36 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 16% [2][9] - The net profit for 2023 was 10.236 billion RMB, reflecting a 35% increase compared to the previous year [2][9] - The gross margin improved by 2.4 percentage points to 62.6%, while the net profit margin increased by 2.3 percentage points to 16.4% [2][6] - The company plans to achieve revenues of 70.32 billion RMB in 2024, with a projected growth rate of 13% [9] Brand Performance - Anta brand revenue grew by 9.3% to 30.306 billion RMB in 2023, with a gross margin of 54.9% [2] - FILA brand revenue increased by 16.6% to 25.103 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 69.0% [2] - Other brands saw a significant revenue increase of 57.7% to 6.947 billion RMB, benefiting from outdoor trends and high brand recognition [2] Store Expansion and Channel Strategy - Anta's adult stores increased by 129 to 7,053 in 2023, with expectations to reach 7,100-7,200 stores in 2024 [2] - FILA's store count decreased by 12 to 1,972, but is expected to recover in 2024 with an increase to 2,100-2,200 stores [2] - The company is optimizing its new brand stores while expanding its main brand presence [2] Profitability and Efficiency - The company achieved a significant improvement in profitability, with operating profit margin rising by 3.7 percentage points to 24.6% [2] - Inventory turnover days decreased by 15 days to 123 days, indicating improved efficiency [2] - Operating cash flow increased by 62% year-on-year to 19.634 billion RMB [2]
2023年业绩点评:23年业绩超预期,奥运年期待多品牌龙头延续高质量增长
EBSCN· 2024-03-27 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports (2020.HK) with a current price of HKD 83.55 [2]. Core Views - Anta Sports achieved a revenue of HKD 623.56 billion in 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders, including the impact of the joint venture AMER, was HKD 102.36 billion, up 34.9% year-on-year, exceeding expectations [6][10]. - The company is expected to continue its high-quality growth in 2024, driven by its multi-brand strategy and the upcoming Paris Olympics [10][13]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profit Growth**: In 2023, revenue grew by 16.2% year-on-year, while net profit (including AMER) increased by 34.9%. Excluding AMER, net profit rose by 44.9% [6][10]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The EPS for 2023 was HKD 3.69, with a proposed final cash dividend of HKD 1.15 per share, leading to an annual payout ratio of 50.7% [6][10]. - **Profitability Metrics**: The gross margin improved by 2.4 percentage points to 62.6%, and the operating margin increased by 3.7 percentage points to 24.6% [8][9]. - **Retail Performance**: The main brand Anta, FILA, and other brands saw significant revenue growth, with Anta growing in the mid-single digits to high-teens range throughout the year [6][10]. Brand and Market Strategy - **Multi-Brand Strategy**: Anta continues to focus on a "single focus, multi-brand, globalization" strategy, enhancing its competitive edge in various market segments [10][11]. - **Brand Performance**: Anta brand maintained its leading position in the domestic running market, while FILA expanded its presence in high-end fashion sports [10][11]. - **Global Expansion**: The successful listing of AMER on the NYSE in early 2024 is expected to further support Anta's global expansion efforts [11][12]. Future Outlook - **Revenue Projections**: The company targets a revenue growth rate of 10-15% for Anta and FILA in 2024, with higher targets for Descente and Kolon [13]. - **Store Expansion Plans**: Anta plans to increase its store count significantly across its brands, with specific targets set for 2024 [13]. - **Profit Forecast Adjustments**: The report has raised profit forecasts for 2024 and 2025 by 12% and 2% respectively, reflecting the strong performance and future potential [13][14].
2023年归母净利润增长35%,多品牌引领增长
Guoxin Securities· 2024-03-27 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [3][18] Core Insights - The company reported a 35% growth in net profit attributable to shareholders in 2023, driven by a healthy inventory and strong cash flow [1][5] - Revenue increased by 16.2% to 62.36 billion yuan, with net profit rising to 10.24 billion yuan [1][19] - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio of 51% for the year [1][6] - The growth momentum accelerated in the second half of 2023, with revenue growth of 18.1% and net profit growth of 37.1% [1][13] Financial Performance - Revenue and net profit projections for 2024-2026 are set at 134.6 billion, 134.8 billion, and 147.8 billion yuan respectively, reflecting growth rates of 31.5%, 0.2%, and 9.6% [18][19] - The company’s gross margin improved by 2.4 percentage points to 62.6% in 2023, with a significant reduction in inventory levels [1][5] - Operating cash flow increased by 62% to 19.6 billion yuan, with net cash reaching 33.5 billion yuan [1][6] Brand Performance - Anta and FILA showed steady growth, with revenues of 30.3 billion and 25.1 billion yuan respectively, while other brands grew by 58% to 6.9 billion yuan [1][10] - FILA's operating profit margin increased significantly by 7.6 percentage points to 27.6%, driven by improved gross margins and store efficiency [10][11] - The company plans to maintain its revenue growth targets for all brands, aiming for 10%-15% growth for Anta and FILA in 2024 [16][18] Market Strategy - The company is focusing on enhancing its brand matrix and expanding its market presence, particularly in Southeast Asia and the Middle East [17][18] - The strategy includes leveraging star endorsements and optimizing product channels to drive growth [18][19] - The company aims to increase its store count, targeting 7,100 Anta stores and 2,100 FILA stores by the end of 2024 [16][18]
运营质量提升将推动2024年持续高质量增长;维持“买入”评级
浦银国际证券· 2024-03-27 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports (2020.HK) with a target price of HKD 101, representing a potential upside of 20.9% from the current price of HKD 83.6 [3][15]. Core Views - Anta's brand strength, operational capabilities, and fundamentals have shown consistent improvement, outperforming peers, which is expected to drive high-quality growth in 2024 [3][4]. - The management aims for a long-term compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10%-15% for Anta and Fila's revenue from 2023 to 2026, aligning 2024's revenue growth targets with this long-term goal [4][9]. - The report emphasizes the importance of operational quality improvements over mere financial performance, highlighting significant reductions in inventory and improved operational efficiency [4][9]. Financial Performance Summary - Anta's revenue for FY23 reached RMB 62.36 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.2%, while net profit grew by 34.8% to RMB 10.23 billion, exceeding market expectations [9][11]. - The gross profit margin improved to 62.6% in FY23, up from 60.2% in FY22, driven by enhanced profitability in the second half of the year [9][11]. - The report forecasts revenue for 2024 to be RMB 70.49 billion, with a projected net profit of RMB 12.73 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13% and 24.4% respectively [8][12]. Operational Insights - Anta's inventory turnover days decreased by 15 days to 123 days, indicating improved inventory management despite a shift towards direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales [4][9]. - The company has maintained a healthy channel inventory level, with a stock-to-sales ratio of 4-5 times, supporting operational efficiency [4][9]. - The report notes that the launch of new products, such as the Owen basketball shoes, and the ongoing optimization of store formats are expected to enhance brand positioning and consumer engagement [4][9].
2023年业绩超预期,各品牌经营利润率均实现提升
Shanxi Securities· 2024-03-27 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for Anta Sports (02020 HK) [2] Core Views - Anta Sports' 2023 performance exceeded expectations with significant growth in revenue and net profit [2][3] - The company's offline channels outperformed e-commerce, with a 16 2% YoY increase in revenue to RMB 62 356 billion and a 34 9% YoY increase in net profit to RMB 10 236 billion [1][3] - All brands achieved improved operating profit margins, with FILA brand reaching a historical high of 27 6% [2][4] Revenue Breakdown - Anta brand revenue grew 9 3% YoY to RMB 30 306 billion, accounting for 48 6% of group revenue [1] - FILA brand revenue increased 16 6% YoY to RMB 25 103 billion, representing 40 3% of group revenue [4] - Other brands revenue surged 57 7% YoY to RMB 6 947 billion, contributing 11 1% to group revenue [5] Channel Performance - DTC channel revenue for Anta brand grew 24 2% YoY to RMB 17 005 billion, accounting for 56 1% of Anta brand revenue [1] - E-commerce revenue increased 11 0% YoY but its share of group revenue declined by 1 5 percentage points to 32 8% [1] - Traditional wholesale and other channels revenue decreased 22 7% YoY to RMB 3 370 billion [1] Profitability - Gross margin improved by 2 4 percentage points to 62 6% in 2023, driven by Anta's DTC transformation and FILA's retail discount improvement [5] - Operating cash flow surged 61 6% YoY to RMB 19 634 billion [5] - Inventory turnover days decreased by 15 days to 123 days, with inventory declining 15 1% YoY to RMB 7 210 billion [5] Store Expansion - Anta brand stores increased by 129 to 7,053, while Anta Kids stores grew by 99 to 2,778 by end of 2023 [1] - FILA brand stores decreased by 12 to 1,972, with plans to expand to 2,100-2,200 stores by end of 2024 [4] - Descente and Kolon Sport stores are expected to reach 220-230 and 180-190 respectively by end of 2024 [5] Future Outlook - Anta brand and FILA brand are expected to achieve 10%-15% retail sales growth in 2024 [6] - Descente brand is projected to grow retail sales by at least 20%, while Kolon Sport is expected to grow by at least 30% in 2024 [6] - The company anticipates recording a one-time gain of RMB 1 6 billion in H1 2024 due to Amer Sports' IPO [5]
火力全开;安踏品牌重塑推动未来增长;上调目标价
交银国际证券· 2024-03-27 16:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Anta Sports (2020 HK) with a target price of HKD 135.00, indicating a potential upside of 61.6% from the current closing price of HKD 83.55 [1][13]. Core Insights - Anta's 2023 net profit exceeded expectations, with a strong profit margin expansion. The sales and net profit for 2023 grew by 16.2% and 34.9% year-on-year, reaching RMB 62.356 billion and RMB 10.236 billion, respectively [1][5]. - The report highlights that the brand revamp of Anta is expected to drive future growth, with a focus on single-store sales growth and overseas expansion [1][5]. - The operating profit margin for Anta is projected to exceed 20% in 2024, with FILA and other brands maintaining margins around 25% [1][5]. Financial Performance Summary - **2023 Performance**: Sales reached RMB 62.356 billion, with a net profit of RMB 10.236 billion, reflecting a 34.9% increase year-on-year. The gross profit margin improved by 2.4 percentage points to 62.6% [4][5]. - **2024 Projections**: Revenue is expected to grow to RMB 71.151 billion, with a net profit forecast of RMB 13.571 billion, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22% for earnings per share [4][14]. - **Dividend Policy**: The dividend payout ratio has increased to 50.7% in 2023, up from 44.3% in 2022, with expectations to maintain around 50% in the future [1][5]. Brand Performance - **Anta Brand**: Sales for the Anta brand grew by 9.3% in 2023, with a significant increase in single-store sales expected due to new product launches and store formats [1][5]. - **FILA Brand**: FILA's operating profit margin increased by 7.6 percentage points to 27.6% in 2023, driven by reduced discounts and effective marketing strategies [1][5]. - **Other Brands**: Other brands under Anta, including Descente and Kolon, are projected to see sales growth exceeding 20% and 30%, respectively, in 2024 [1][5]. Market Position and Strategy - Anta is focusing on brand revitalization and overseas expansion, with plans to establish research and development centers globally. The upcoming Paris Olympics is expected to enhance brand visibility [1][5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of localizing product designs to cater to different markets, particularly in regions like the Middle East [1][5].
利润端增速超预期,期待奥运年业绩表现
Ping An Securities· 2024-03-26 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Anta Sports (2020.HK) is "Strong Buy" with expectations of outperforming the market by over 20% within the next six months [10]. Core Views - The report highlights that Anta Sports has exceeded profit growth expectations and anticipates strong performance in the Olympic year [6][4]. - The company achieved a revenue of 62.36 billion yuan in 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.2% [6]. - The report emphasizes the growth potential from three main segments: professional sports, fashion sports, and outdoor sports, alongside the benefits from the sports and outdoor industry boom [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Anta Sports reported a total revenue of 62.36 billion yuan in 2023, up 16.2% year-on-year [6]. - Gross profit reached 39.03 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 62.6%, reflecting a 20.8% increase from the previous year [6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 10.24 billion yuan, a 34.9% increase, with a net profit margin of 16.4% [6]. - The company plans to increase its dividend payout to 1.97 HKD per share, with a payout ratio of 50.7% [6]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from the Anta brand was 30.31 billion yuan, a 9.3% increase, driven by reduced retail discounts and a higher direct-to-consumer (DTC) ratio [6]. - FILA brand revenue was 25.10 billion yuan, up 16.6%, attributed to improved store efficiency [6]. - Other brands generated 6.95 billion yuan, a significant increase of 57.7%, mainly from Descente and Kolon [6]. Future Projections - The report projects net profits for 2024 and 2025 to be 12.08 billion yuan and 14.18 billion yuan, respectively, with an expected net profit of 16.56 billion yuan in 2026 [6][7]. - The current stock price corresponds to a 2024 price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.8, indicating a favorable valuation [6].