以下文章来源于财联社AI daily ，作者卞纯 财联社AI daily . 财联社及科创板日报旗下产品——未来已来，AI前沿，独家、深度、专业！ 伯克希尔·哈撒韦掌门人、"股神"沃伦·巴菲特在2016年至2018年期间买入了苹果公司的股票，这堪称他职业生涯中最明智的投资决策之 一。 根据披露，截至今年6月30日，伯克希尔持有2.8亿股苹果股票，远低于2023年底的9.06亿股。其中大部分抛售发生在2024年第二季度， 当季减持了近4亿股。 然而，他在2024年抛售了大量苹果公司股票，并在今年进一步减持，在现在看来，这可能是一个令人遗憾的错误。 据相关估算， 随着苹果股价周一大涨，巴菲特出售三分之二苹果持仓的决定令伯克希尔错失了约500亿美元的潜在收益 。 由于人们对iPhone销售的乐观情绪重燃，苹果股价周一大涨，盘中创下264.38美元的新高。截至收盘，上涨3.94%，收于创纪录的262.24 美元。 根据巴菲特在2021年致股东信中披露的信息，伯克希尔最初买入了总计约10亿股苹果股票，主要买入时间在2016年至2018年，平均买入 价格为每股35美元。 据估算，伯克希尔出售苹果股票的平均价格约为每股18 ...

The Oracle of Omaha has kept a great deal of Berkshire Hathaway's cash on the sidelines while the market's been roaring higher.There's no denying that Warren Buffett is one of the world's most brilliant stock pickers. The impressive gains Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A 0.39%) (BRK.B 0.30%) continues to dish out prove as much.To say Buffett is 100% right 100% of the time, however, would be inaccurate. He gets things wrong on occasion, too. For instance, after steering food company Heinz into what turned into a di ...

Core Viewpoint - Berkshire Hathaway's decision to significantly reduce its Apple stock holdings has resulted in a missed opportunity of approximately $50 billion in potential gains as Apple's stock price surged to nearly $262 per share, surpassing the average selling price of Berkshire's shares [1][3][5] Group 1: Apple Stock Holdings - As of June 30, 2023, Berkshire's Apple holdings decreased from 906 million shares at the end of 2022 to 280 million shares, indicating a reduction of two-thirds of its position [1][5] - The recent optimism surrounding iPhone's market prospects has led to a nearly 4% increase in Apple's stock price, raising its market capitalization to $3.89 trillion, making it the second-largest company in the U.S. by market value [3][4] - The average selling price of Berkshire's Apple shares was approximately $185, while the current price is about $262, indicating a missed appreciation of around $50 billion [7] Group 2: Reasons for Selling - Various interpretations exist regarding Buffett's motivation for selling Apple shares, including concerns over a potential increase in corporate tax rates and the need to diversify risk as Apple's holdings once constituted over 40% of Berkshire's portfolio [9] - The reduction in Apple stock has brought its proportion in Berkshire's portfolio down to around 25%, effectively spreading risk [9] - There is speculation that Buffett aims to bolster cash reserves before stepping down as CEO in 2025, with Berkshire holding over $330 billion in cash as of June 30 [9] Group 3: Other Stock Reductions - Berkshire also reduced its stake in Bank of America by approximately 40%, selling around 400 million shares, which has resulted in an unrealized potential gain of about $4 billion due to the stock's recent performance [11][13] - The performance of Berkshire's Class A shares has lagged behind the S&P 500 index, with a year-to-date increase of about 9%, suggesting that the reduction in key holdings like Apple may be a contributing factor [15]

Core Insights - Berkshire Hathaway's decision to significantly reduce its Apple stock holdings in 2024 and 2025 has resulted in an estimated loss of about $50 billion in unrealized gains [1][3]. Group 1: Apple Stock Holdings - As of June 30, 2023, Berkshire's Apple holdings decreased from 906 million shares at the end of 2022 to 280 million shares, with most of the reduction occurring in Q2 2024 [3]. - The sale of two-thirds of its Apple stake was unexpected, as Warren Buffett previously regarded Apple as one of the four pillars of Berkshire's value, alongside its insurance, utility, and railroad businesses [3]. Group 2: Financial Impact - Berkshire's initial average purchase price for Apple shares was approximately $35 per share, while the average selling price was around $185 per share, yielding over $90 billion in pre-tax gains [4]. - With Apple's current share price near $262, the missed appreciation on the sold shares amounts to about $50 billion [4]. - The company incurred nearly $20 billion in corporate income taxes from the sale, reducing net gains to approximately $155 per share [4]. Group 3: Reasons for Selling - Buffett hinted at potential future increases in corporate tax rates as a factor in the decision to sell [5]. - Observers noted that the reduction was necessary to lower the high concentration of Apple in Berkshire's portfolio, which once exceeded 40% [5]. - There is speculation that Buffett aims to bolster cash reserves before stepping down as CEO by the end of 2025, with cash holdings exceeding $330 billion as of June 30 [5]. Group 4: Other Holdings - Berkshire also reduced its stake in Bank of America by approximately 40%, selling around 400 million shares, which has resulted in an unrealized gain of about $4 billion due to the stock's price increase [6][8]. - Berkshire's Class A shares have risen about 9% this year, lagging behind the S&P 500's total return of 16%, with the Apple reduction potentially being a contributing factor [9].

There have been a number of articles recently, here at Seeking Alpha and elsewhere, discussing possible strategies for dealing with an equity market that seems expensive to experienced investors with good long-term results. In such a market it'sI am a retired professor, a retired investment adviser, and currently a private investor and full-time tennis pro. I bought my first stock in a custodial account in 1958. I am a student of history, particularly military and economic/market history. The intellectual p ...

Core Insights - Warren Buffett is concluding his tenure as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway with a significant acquisition, yet it signals a broader caution regarding market valuations [1][10] - The company has amassed a cash reserve of $344 billion, indicating a lack of attractive investment opportunities in the current market [8][12] Company Overview - Berkshire Hathaway operates as a diversified conglomerate, owning 189 companies outright and holding a substantial portfolio of publicly traded stocks [3] - The investment strategy of Buffett emphasizes purchasing quality companies at favorable prices and maintaining them for the long term [4][6] Investment Strategy - Buffett's approach is influenced by Benjamin Graham's concept of "Mr. Market," which illustrates the tendency of the market to misprice stocks [5] - The current market conditions have led Buffett to sell stocks and accumulate cash, reflecting a cautious stance as the S&P 500 approaches all-time highs [8][12] Recent Developments - Buffett's recent acquisition of Occidental Petroleum's chemicals business for approximately $10 billion represents a small fraction (less than 3%) of the cash reserves, highlighting the scarcity of appealing investment options [10][11] - Despite generating around $6 billion in interest and dividend income from cash holdings in Q2, the company could potentially achieve higher returns through strategic investments [9]

Key Points Buffett doesn't invest a lot in technology stocks. His top holding has been a massive winner, and it's just getting its footing with AI. A recent purchase could be a great way for value investors to gain exposure to the AI trend. 10 stocks we like better than Berkshire Hathaway › Warren Buffett said his longtime friend Bill Gates showed him ChatGPT soon after its release. After asking it to write a parody of My Way (presumably Frank Sinatra's, not Usher's) in Spanish, he was quite impr ...

This is arguably the actual secret to Berkshire Hathaway's long-term market-beating success, although there's one detail here that needs to be drawn out.And yet, Berkshire enjoys all the flexibility that neither fund managers nor private equity firms fully enjoy. That's the flexibility to do both, either, or neither, or even do nothing at all; as of the latest quarterly report, Berkshire holds $340 billion in cash just waiting to be invested in something. Buffett's in no hurry either. He's just waiting for ...

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have increased over 65% year-to-date, reaching nearly $4,350 per ounce, driven by investor demand amid inflation and economic uncertainty [1] Group 1: Investment Sentiment - Central banks and investors are increasingly turning to gold as a safe-haven asset due to persistent inflation, macroeconomic risks, trade wars, and stock market volatility [1] - Analysts and hedge fund founders are recommending significant allocations to gold, with suggestions ranging from 5% to 20% of investment portfolios [5][6][7] Group 2: Warren Buffett's Perspective - Warren Buffett has historically expressed skepticism about gold as a long-term investment, citing its lack of cash flow and value generation [2][8] - Despite his previous criticisms, Buffett made a notable investment in Barrick Gold during Q2 2020, which he later offloaded by Q4 2020, indicating a short-term trading strategy rather than a long-term commitment [4] Group 3: Future Price Predictions - Analysts predict that gold prices could reach $5,000 per ounce by 2026, with some noting a correlation between gold and bitcoin as decentralized store of value assets [7]

Core Insights - Berkshire Hathaway's insurance operations are fundamental to its business model and growth, with GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, and Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group as key components [1][8] - Effective management of underwriting expenses is crucial for profitability, impacting both short-term earnings and long-term growth potential [2][4] Underwriting Expense Management - The disciplined management of underwriting expenses directly influences Berkshire's combined ratio, which is a measure of underwriting profitability [3][8] - Underwriting expenses have increased over the past two years due to higher business volumes, but they are essential for driving profitability and investment capacity [4] Peer Comparison - Progressive Corporation and Allstate Corporation also rely on controlling underwriting expenses to maintain profitability and ensure long-term growth [5][6] Stock Performance - Berkshire Hathaway's stock (BRK.B) has increased by 7.9% year-to-date, aligning with industry performance [7][8] - The stock trades at a price-to-book value ratio of 1.57, slightly above the industry average of 1.54, and carries a Value Score of D [10] Earnings Estimates - The consensus estimate for BRK.B's third-quarter 2025 EPS has increased by 23% over the past 30 days, while the full-year 2025 estimate has seen a slight increase of 0.3% [11][12] - Revenue estimates for 2025 and 2026 indicate year-over-year growth, although the 2025 EPS is expected to decline [12]