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国盛证券:维持周大福“买入”评级 预计公司FY2026营收增长3%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-20 02:14
Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that Chow Tai Fook (01929), a leader in the jewelry industry, is focusing on single-store operations, optimizing product design, and enhancing consumer engagement. The company is expected to achieve a net profit of HKD 78.06 billion, 88.30 billion, and 98.78 billion for FY2026-2028, with a FY2026 PE ratio of 21 times, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Chow Tai Fook's FY2026 Q2 operating results show a group RSV growth of 4.1% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [1]. - The company anticipates a 3% revenue growth for FY2026 and a 32% increase in net profit to HKD 78 billion, driven by product structure optimization and rising gold prices [4]. Group 2: Domestic Market Performance - In the domestic market, the same-store sales growth turned positive, with a 7.6% year-on-year increase in Q2, particularly in gold and jewelry products [1]. - Excluding price factors, the same-store sales volume declined by 8.6%, but the decline has narrowed compared to Q1, attributed to increased product launches and the popularity of new collections [2]. Group 3: E-commerce and Regional Performance - E-commerce sales in the domestic market grew by 28.1%, accounting for 6.7% of total sales and 15.5% of total volume, supported by IP collaborations and enhanced online consumer interactions [3]. - In the Hong Kong and Macau regions, RSV increased by 11.4%, with same-store sales growth of 6.2% in Hong Kong and 17.3% in Macau, benefiting from rising gold prices [3].
国盛证券:维持周大福(01929)“买入”评级 预计公司FY2026营收增长3%
智通财经网· 2025-10-20 02:08
Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that Chow Tai Fook (01929), as a leader in the jewelry industry, is focusing on single-store operations, optimizing product design, and enhancing consumer engagement. The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 78.06 billion, 88.30 billion, and 98.78 billion for FY2026-2028, with a corresponding FY2026 PE ratio of 21 times, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Chow Tai Fook's FY2026 Q2 operating results show a 4.1% year-on-year increase in group RSV, aligning with expectations [2]. - The company anticipates a 3% revenue growth for FY2026, with a projected net profit growth of 32% to HKD 78 billion, driven by product structure optimization and rising gold prices [6]. Group 2: Mainland China Operations - In FY2026 Q1, the mainland's RSV grew by 3%, with Q2 same-store sales showing a positive growth of 7.6%. Sales of gold jewelry and products increased by 10.6% [3]. - The increase in same-store sales is attributed to a significant rise in gold prices, which led to a 23% year-on-year increase in average selling prices for gold jewelry [3]. - The company is actively reducing inefficient stores, closing 300 stores in Q2, resulting in a total of 5,663 Chow Tai Fook jewelry stores [3]. Group 3: E-commerce Performance - Chow Tai Fook's e-commerce sales in mainland China grew by 28.1% year-on-year, accounting for 6.7% of the company's mainland sales and 15.5% of sales volume [4]. - The company is enhancing its IP collaboration and engaging consumers through comprehensive online interactions to expand its e-commerce business [4]. Group 4: Hong Kong and Macau Operations - In FY2026 Q2, RSV in Hong Kong and Macau increased by 11.4%, with same-store sales growth of 6.2% in the region [5]. - The sales growth in Hong Kong was 3.2%, while Macau experienced a robust growth of 17.3%, continuing its rapid growth trend [5].
周大福(01929):7-9月同店销售全面转正,定价黄金首饰继续领先增长
Guoxin Securities· 2025-10-19 13:57
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][6] Core Viewpoints - The company reported a 4.1% year-on-year increase in overall retail value for the period from July to September 2025, marking a recovery from a 1.9% decline in the previous quarter. Same-store sales turned positive across all markets, with a 7.6% increase in mainland China and an 8.6% increase in franchise stores. Hong Kong and Macau saw a 6.2% increase in same-store sales, with Macau leading at 17.3% [3][5] - The sales structure showed strong growth in high-margin priced products, with a 43.7% year-on-year increase in retail value for priced gold products in mainland China. Jewelry inlaid, platinum, and K-gold jewelry also saw a 10% positive growth, while jadeite experienced a doubling in growth [3][5] - The company continues to optimize store efficiency, closing 296 underperforming stores, resulting in a total of 6,041 stores at the end of the quarter. The company opened one new image store in Beijing, bringing the total to eight [3][5] Summary by Sections Retail Performance - The company achieved a comprehensive recovery in same-store sales, with mainland China direct stores growing by 7.6% (9.9% excluding watch business) and franchise stores by 8.6%. Hong Kong's same-store sales grew by 3.2%, while Macau's grew by 17.3% [3][5] Product Sales Structure - High-margin priced products continued to perform strongly, with a 43.7% increase in retail value for priced gold products in mainland China. Other categories like jewelry inlaid, platinum, and K-gold jewelry saw a 10% growth, and jadeite sales doubled [3][5] Store Optimization - The company is focused on enhancing store efficiency, having closed 296 low-performing stores, resulting in a total of 6,041 stores. Additionally, the company opened one new image store in Beijing, increasing the total to eight [3][5] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the rising demand for gold jewelry driven by value preservation and the growing trend of self-consumption among younger consumers. The company plans to invest further in research and design, enhance the layout of high-margin priced products, and optimize store structures to boost sales [4][9] - The forecast for the company's net profit for the fiscal years 2026-2028 has been raised to HKD 77.85 billion, 87.11 billion, and 95.43 billion respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 20.9, 18.7, and 17.1 [4][9]
周大福(01929):FY2026Q2内地同店销售增速转正,看好趋势持续
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-10-19 08:42
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Chow Tai Fook [6] Core Views - Chow Tai Fook's FY2026Q2 performance shows a positive trend with a 4.1% year-on-year growth in group RSV, aligning with expectations [1] - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth of approximately 3% for FY2026, with a projected net profit increase of 32% to HKD 7.8 billion [3] Summary by Sections Domestic Performance - In FY2026Q2, Chow Tai Fook's same-store sales in mainland China turned positive, with a 7.6% year-on-year increase in direct same-store sales [1] - The average selling price of gold jewelry increased by 23% year-on-year, driven by a significant rise in gold prices, which were up 46% compared to the same period in 2024 [1][2] - Excluding price factors, same-store sales volume declined by 8.6%, but the decline was less severe than in Q1, attributed to new product launches and the optimization of existing product lines [2] E-commerce Growth - Chow Tai Fook's e-commerce sales in mainland China grew by 28.1% year-on-year, accounting for 6.7% of total sales and 15.5% of total volume [2] Hong Kong and Macau Performance - In FY2026Q2, RSV in Hong Kong and Macau increased by 11.4%, with same-store sales growth of 6.2% in Hong Kong and 17.3% in Macau [3] Financial Projections - The report forecasts Chow Tai Fook's net profit for FY2026 to reach HKD 7.8 billion, with a PE ratio of 21 times [3] - Projected net profits for FY2026-2028 are HKD 78.06 billion, HKD 88.30 billion, and HKD 98.78 billion respectively [3]
周大福:前三季度中国内地零售值增长3%
Core Insights - Chow Tai Fook (1929.HK) reported a 3% growth in retail value for the first three quarters, with mainland China contributing 86.9% of the total retail value [2] Group 1: Retail Performance - The retail value of priced gold products showed a strong momentum, with a year-on-year growth of 43.7% during the quarter [2] - Retail value for jewelry, platinum, and K-gold jewelry increased by 10.0%, with jade jewelry sales more than doubling [2] - The contribution of jewelry, platinum, and K-gold jewelry to retail value rose to 15.3% in the quarter, up from 14.4% in the second quarter of FY2025, while gold jewelry and products contributed 80.8%, down from 81.4% [2] - Overall, the retail contribution of priced products increased to 29.9% in the quarter, compared to 24.8% in the second quarter of FY2025 [2] Group 2: E-commerce Performance - The retail value from e-commerce in mainland China maintained strong momentum, increasing by 28.1% year-on-year during the quarter [2] - E-commerce contributed 6.7% to the retail value in mainland China and accounted for 15.5% of total sales [2]
金价飙升,周大福大涨
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 12:43
Core Insights - Chow Tai Fook Group reported a retail value growth of 4.1% for the second quarter ending September 30, 2025, driven by a significant increase in the retail value of priced gold products, which surged by 43.7% year-on-year [1] - The company noted a full recovery in same-store sales across mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau, with same-store sales growth of 7.6% for direct stores and 8.6% for franchise stores in mainland China [1] - Despite the increase in retail value, overall sales volume declined, with same-store sales volume in mainland China dropping by 8.6% and in Hong Kong and Macau by 10% [1] Pricing Adjustments - Several gold jewelry brands, including Chow Tai Fook, have raised their product prices due to the continuous rise in gold prices, with Chow Tai Fook's gold jewelry price reaching 1279 yuan per gram [1][2] - The company plans to announce further product price adjustments soon, reflecting the ongoing volatility in gold prices [3] Market Conditions - The Shanghai Gold Exchange issued a warning regarding the recent volatility in international precious metal prices, urging members to enhance risk awareness and maintain market stability [3]
金价飙升,周大福定价黄金产品零售大涨超4成
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 11:59
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Chow Tai Fook has experienced a significant increase in retail value for its gold products, driven by rising gold prices, with a reported growth of 4.1% in retail value for the second quarter ending September 30, 2025, and a remarkable 43.7% increase in retail value for priced gold products [1] - The company reported a positive same-store sales growth of 7.6% for its direct stores in mainland China and 8.6% for franchise stores, while same-store sales in Hong Kong and Macau grew by 6.2%, with Macau showing a strong increase of 17.3% [1] - Despite the increase in retail value, the overall sales volume has declined, with a reported drop of 8.6% in same-store sales volume in mainland China and a 10% decline in Hong Kong and Macau [1] Group 2 - Chow Tai Fook and other brands have raised their gold jewelry prices, with the current price set at 1279 yuan per gram, and investment gold bars priced at 1138 yuan per gram, reflecting a daily increase of 32 yuan [1][2] - The company plans to announce product price adjustment information as early as next week [3]
金价飙升,周大福Q2定价黄金产品零售值大涨超四成
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 10:36
Core Insights - The retail value of Chow Tai Fook Group increased by 4.1% in the second quarter, driven by a significant growth of 43.7% in retail value for priced gold products [1][3] - Same-store sales in mainland China and Hong Kong/Macau showed positive growth, with mainland direct stores achieving a 7.6% increase and franchise stores 8.6% [1][3] - Despite the increase in retail value, overall sales volume declined, with same-store sales volume in mainland China down by 8.6% and in Hong Kong/Macau down by 10% [1][3] Retail Value Growth - Retail value growth in mainland China was 3.0%, while Hong Kong and Macau saw an increase of 11.4% [3] - The percentage contribution of retail value from mainland China was 86.9%, while Hong Kong and Macau contributed 13.1% [3] Same-Store Sales Performance - Same-store sales growth for direct stores in mainland China was 7.6%, while Hong Kong and Macau experienced a growth of 6.2% [3] - The same-store sales volume for jewelry, platinum, and K-gold jewelry increased by 7.2% in mainland China and 5.2% in Hong Kong/Macau [3] - Gold jewelry and products saw a same-store sales growth of 10.6% in mainland China and 10.4% in Hong Kong/Macau [3] Price Adjustments - As of October 17, gold jewelry prices have been raised to 1279 CNY per gram, with investment gold bars also seeing price increases [3][4] - Chow Tai Fook's investment gold bar price rose to 1138 CNY per gram, an increase of 32 CNY from the previous day [3] - Other brands, such as Lao Feng Xiang, have also raised their prices, indicating a trend of price adjustments across the industry [4] Market Conditions - The Shanghai Gold Exchange has issued warnings regarding market instability and significant fluctuations in international precious metal prices, urging members to enhance risk awareness [6]
周大福(01929.HK)第二季度零售值同比增长4.1%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-17 08:44
Core Insights - Chow Tai Fook (01929.HK) reported a 4.1% year-on-year increase in retail value for the three months ending September 30, 2025, with a 3.0% increase in mainland China and an 11.4% increase in Hong Kong, Macau, and other markets [1] Group 1: Retail Performance - The second quarter marked a significant turning point for the company's business, benefiting from strong growth in priced products and improvements in gold pricing products [1] - Same-store sales in mainland China turned positive with a growth of 7.6% for direct stores and 8.6% for franchise stores during the period [1] - Excluding the watch business, same-store sales growth for direct stores was 9.9% [1] Group 2: Regional Performance - Same-store sales in Hong Kong and Macau increased by 6.2% year-on-year, with Hong Kong rising by 3.2% and Macau by 17.3% [1]
周大福(01929)第二季度零售值同比增长4.1%
智通财经网· 2025-10-17 08:41
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong performance of Chow Tai Fook's retail sales, with a year-on-year increase of 4.1% in retail value for the second quarter ending September 30, 2025 [1] - Retail value growth in mainland China was 3%, while Hong Kong, Macau, and other markets saw a growth of 11.4% [1] - Same-store sales in mainland China turned positive at 7.6% growth for direct stores and 8.6% for franchise stores, excluding watch business, direct store same-store sales grew by 9.9% [1] Group 2 - The average selling price of gold jewelry and products remained strong, with mainland China's average price rising to HKD 7,900 from HKD 6,400 in the previous fiscal quarter [1] - In Hong Kong and Macau, the average selling price increased to HKD 11,700 from HKD 9,400 in the previous fiscal quarter [1] - The average selling price of jewelry embedded products in mainland China rose to HKD 11,000 from HKD 9,200, while in Hong Kong and Macau, it was HKD 15,000 [2]