Overall Performance - Chow Tai Fook Jewelry Group's total revenue for the fiscal year 2025 (April 2024 to March 2025) was HKD 89.6 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 17.5% [2] - For the period from April to September 2025, total revenue reached HKD 39 billion, showing a smaller decline of 1.1% compared to the previous year [2][25] - The group maintained a net profit margin of 6.6%, with net profit remaining stable year-on-year [6][30] Financial Health - The group experienced significant fluctuations in cash flow, with operating cash flow showing a net outflow of HKD 29.5 billion [12][37] - The increase in financing cash flow was attributed to strategic transformation and risk defense preparations [41] - As of September 2025, total assets amounted to HKD 76.5 billion, with inventory accounting for 72.4% of current assets [14][40] Main Business - The sales of priced jewelry in the mainland market increased by 16% year-on-year, with priced gold jewelry making up 66% of sales [16][42] - The average selling price of priced gold jewelry rose to HKD 6,300, an increase of 18.9% year-on-year [44] - Cultural IP products generated total sales of HKD 3.4 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 48% [44] Development Trends - The company opened 57 new stores in the first half of the fiscal year 2026, achieving an average monthly sales of over HKD 1.3 million, a 72% increase [45] - The retail value in first and second-tier cities increased by 9.4 percentage points to 64.7%, while third and fourth-tier cities saw a decline [45] - The mainland market remains the largest revenue source, with a revenue of HKD 32.2 billion, down 2.5% year-on-year, but showing signs of recovery in same-store sales [19][46]

Core Insights - Chow Tai Fook Jewelry Group Limited reported a revenue of HKD 38.986 billion for the first half of the 2026 fiscal year, a year-on-year decrease of 1.1% [1] - Operating profit increased by 0.7% to HKD 6.823 billion, while profit attributable to shareholders rose by 0.1% to HKD 2.534 billion [1] - The company declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.22 per share for the reporting period [1] Sales Performance - Same-store sales in mainland China increased by 2.6%, while franchise retail points saw a growth of 4.8% [1] - Same-store sales in Hong Kong and Macau rose by 4.4%, driven by improved retail consumption and increased foot traffic [1] - Hong Kong's same-store sales grew by 1.8%, while Macau experienced a significant increase of 13.7% [1] Product Strategy - Chow Tai Fook optimized its product mix, with the retail value contribution of priced jewelry in mainland China rising from 27.4% to 31.8% [2] - Iconic product series achieved total sales of HKD 3.4 billion, up from HKD 2.3 billion in the previous year [2] - The company expanded its jade product offerings, launching new series and collaborations, resulting in a year-on-year doubling of jade jewelry sales [2] Store Expansion - The company opened three new flagship stores in Beijing, Shijiazhuang, and Macau during the reporting period, totaling eight new flagship stores as of September 30, 2025 [2] - Chow Tai Fook plans to open six new stores in international markets by June 2026, including new flagship stores [2] - The first new flagship store in Southeast Asia was opened at Changi Airport in Singapore in October [2]

Core Viewpoint - Chow Tai Fook's FY2026 Q2 operational performance shows a 4.1% year-on-year growth in RSV, aligning with expectations [1] Group 1: Domestic Performance - Offline same-store sales growth turned positive in Q2, with a 7.6% year-on-year increase in direct same-store sales in mainland China [1] - The average selling price of gold jewelry and products increased by 23% year-on-year, driven by a significant rise in gold prices, which increased by 46% compared to the same period in 2024 [1][2] - Excluding price factors, same-store sales volume in mainland China decreased by 8.6%, showing a narrowing decline compared to Q1 [1] Group 2: Product and Channel Strategy - The reduction in same-store sales volume is attributed to the company's increased product innovation efforts, with the successful launch of the "Chuanxi" series and the expansion of existing product lines [2] - The retail sales of gold products saw a substantial year-on-year increase of 43.7%, indicating significant growth in sales volume when excluding price factors [2] - The company closed 300 underperforming stores in Q2, reducing the total to 5,663 stores, which may help retain customer traffic in remaining stores [2] Group 3: E-commerce and Regional Performance - E-commerce sales in mainland China grew by 28.1% year-on-year, accounting for 6.7% of the company's mainland sales and 15.5% of sales volume [2] - The company is enhancing its IP collaboration and engaging consumers through comprehensive online interactions to expand its e-commerce business [2] - In FY2026 Q2, RSV in Hong Kong, Macau, and other regions increased by 11.4%, with same-store sales growth of 6.2% in Hong Kong and 17.3% in Macau [2] Group 4: Financial Projections - The company expects a 3% revenue growth for FY2026, with a projected net profit increase of 32% to HKD 7.8 billion [3] - The company anticipates net profits of HKD 78.06 billion, HKD 88.30 billion, and HKD 98.78 billion for FY2026-2028, with a PE ratio of 21 for FY2026 [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that Chow Tai Fook (01929), a leader in the jewelry industry, is focusing on single-store operations, optimizing product design, and enhancing consumer engagement. The company is expected to achieve a net profit of HKD 78.06 billion, 88.30 billion, and 98.78 billion for FY2026-2028, with a FY2026 PE ratio of 21 times, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Chow Tai Fook's FY2026 Q2 operating results show a group RSV growth of 4.1% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [1]. - The company anticipates a 3% revenue growth for FY2026 and a 32% increase in net profit to HKD 78 billion, driven by product structure optimization and rising gold prices [4]. Group 2: Domestic Market Performance - In the domestic market, the same-store sales growth turned positive, with a 7.6% year-on-year increase in Q2, particularly in gold and jewelry products [1]. - Excluding price factors, the same-store sales volume declined by 8.6%, but the decline has narrowed compared to Q1, attributed to increased product launches and the popularity of new collections [2]. Group 3: E-commerce and Regional Performance - E-commerce sales in the domestic market grew by 28.1%, accounting for 6.7% of total sales and 15.5% of total volume, supported by IP collaborations and enhanced online consumer interactions [3]. - In the Hong Kong and Macau regions, RSV increased by 11.4%, with same-store sales growth of 6.2% in Hong Kong and 17.3% in Macau, benefiting from rising gold prices [3].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that Chow Tai Fook (01929), as a leader in the jewelry industry, is focusing on single-store operations, optimizing product design, and enhancing consumer engagement. The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 78.06 billion, 88.30 billion, and 98.78 billion for FY2026-2028, with a corresponding FY2026 PE ratio of 21 times, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Chow Tai Fook's FY2026 Q2 operating results show a 4.1% year-on-year increase in group RSV, aligning with expectations [2]. - The company anticipates a 3% revenue growth for FY2026, with a projected net profit growth of 32% to HKD 78 billion, driven by product structure optimization and rising gold prices [6]. Group 2: Mainland China Operations - In FY2026 Q1, the mainland's RSV grew by 3%, with Q2 same-store sales showing a positive growth of 7.6%. Sales of gold jewelry and products increased by 10.6% [3]. - The increase in same-store sales is attributed to a significant rise in gold prices, which led to a 23% year-on-year increase in average selling prices for gold jewelry [3]. - The company is actively reducing inefficient stores, closing 300 stores in Q2, resulting in a total of 5,663 Chow Tai Fook jewelry stores [3]. Group 3: E-commerce Performance - Chow Tai Fook's e-commerce sales in mainland China grew by 28.1% year-on-year, accounting for 6.7% of the company's mainland sales and 15.5% of sales volume [4]. - The company is enhancing its IP collaboration and engaging consumers through comprehensive online interactions to expand its e-commerce business [4]. Group 4: Hong Kong and Macau Operations - In FY2026 Q2, RSV in Hong Kong and Macau increased by 11.4%, with same-store sales growth of 6.2% in the region [5]. - The sales growth in Hong Kong was 3.2%, while Macau experienced a robust growth of 17.3%, continuing its rapid growth trend [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Chow Tai Fook [6] Core Views - Chow Tai Fook's FY2026Q2 performance shows a positive trend with a 4.1% year-on-year growth in group RSV, aligning with expectations [1] - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth of approximately 3% for FY2026, with a projected net profit increase of 32% to HKD 7.8 billion [3] Summary by Sections Domestic Performance - In FY2026Q2, Chow Tai Fook's same-store sales in mainland China turned positive, with a 7.6% year-on-year increase in direct same-store sales [1] - The average selling price of gold jewelry increased by 23% year-on-year, driven by a significant rise in gold prices, which were up 46% compared to the same period in 2024 [1][2] - Excluding price factors, same-store sales volume declined by 8.6%, but the decline was less severe than in Q1, attributed to new product launches and the optimization of existing product lines [2] E-commerce Growth - Chow Tai Fook's e-commerce sales in mainland China grew by 28.1% year-on-year, accounting for 6.7% of total sales and 15.5% of total volume [2] Hong Kong and Macau Performance - In FY2026Q2, RSV in Hong Kong and Macau increased by 11.4%, with same-store sales growth of 6.2% in Hong Kong and 17.3% in Macau [3] Financial Projections - The report forecasts Chow Tai Fook's net profit for FY2026 to reach HKD 7.8 billion, with a PE ratio of 21 times [3] - Projected net profits for FY2026-2028 are HKD 78.06 billion, HKD 88.30 billion, and HKD 98.78 billion respectively [3]

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