Core Viewpoint - FinVolution Group announced a proposed offering of convertible senior notes totaling US$130 million, with an option for an additional US$20 million, aimed at institutional buyers under Rule 144A of the Securities Act [1][9] Group 1: Notes Offering Details - The convertible senior notes will mature on July 1, 2030, unless repurchased, redeemed, or converted prior to that date [3] - Holders can convert their notes into cash, American Depositary Shares (ADSs), or a combination of both at the company's discretion [4] - The company plans to use the net proceeds from the offering for international business expansions, replenishing working capital, and funding a concurrent repurchase of ADSs [2] Group 2: Repurchase and Market Impact - The concurrent repurchase will involve buying back ADSs from certain purchasers of the notes, facilitating initial hedging for those investors [6] - The repurchase activities may influence the market price of the ADSs and the trading price of the notes [7][8] - The repurchase price for the notes will be equal to 100% of the principal amount plus any accrued interest [5] Group 3: Company Overview - FinVolution Group is a leading fintech platform in China, Indonesia, and the Philippines, established in 2007, focusing on connecting young borrowers with financial institutions [11] - As of March 31, 2025, the company had 216.2 million cumulative registered users across its platforms [11]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of FinVolution (NYSE: FINV) since the initiation of a long position, highlighting a total return of -11% during a challenging market period [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - FinVolution is a company focused on the consumer discretionary and financial services sectors in both the US and China [1]. - The investment strategy involves a long-biased and China-biased portfolio, with intentions to diversify globally [1]. Group 2: Analyst Background - The analyst has a background in commerce with high distinction from the University of Toronto, specializing in finance and economics [1]. - The analyst has 10 years of experience in investment banking and focuses on industry and company research [1].

虎嗅旗下二级市场投研服务品牌，为您提供精选上市公司价值拆解，热门赛道产业链梳理 以下文章来源于妙投APP ，作者董必政 妙投APP . 出品 | 妙投APP 作者 | 董必政 头图 | 信也官网 在金融科技行业看似平静的水面下，信也科技以2024年全年净利润23.88亿元、日赚超650万元的业 绩，悄然演绎着一场"暴利"神话。 这家成立于2007年的老牌互金平台，在经历P2P暴雷潮、监管收紧等行业动荡后，通过业务转型和 全球化布局，不仅实现了盈利的持续增长，更以18.28%的净利率远超制造业平均水平，成为资本市 场的"宠儿"。 然而，其高利润背后隐藏着怎样的商业逻辑？这种"暴利"模式是否可持续？ # 01 一、暴利数据的冰山一角 信也科技，来头不小，前身是P2P行业龙头企业拍拍贷。 2019年拍拍贷对外宣布正式升级为"信也科技集团"，并决定停止新增P2P业务。紧接着，在2020年9 月，拍拍贷彻底退出了存量网贷业务，就此彻底完成了从P2P网贷平台向助贷平台的转型。 所谓助贷平台，可以理解为贷款中介。 信也科技一手对接银行、金融消费公司等资金方，一手对接C端消费者、个体工商户等，但赚的服 务费可不止几个点。 在 ...

出品 | 妙投APP 作者 | 董必政 头图 | 信也官网 在金融科技行业看似平静的水面下，信也科技以2024年全年净利润23.88亿元、日赚超650万元的业绩，悄然演绎着一场"暴利"神话。 2019年拍拍贷对外宣布正式升级为"信也科技集团"，并决定停止新增P2P业务。紧接着，在2020年9月，拍拍贷彻底退出了存量网贷业务，就此彻底完成了从 P2P网贷平台向助贷平台的转型。 所谓助贷平台，可以理解为贷款中介。 信也科技一手对接银行、金融消费公司等资金方，一手对接C端消费者、个体工商户等，但赚的服务费可不止几个点。 在这个资金掮客的模式当中，拓客、协助放贷是影响信也科技盈利能力最重要的环节。 公司的拓客来源于网销、电销、地推等，毕竟量大出单。单从地推渠道来看，妙投就可以发现助贷可真是个"暴利"的生意。 从BOSS直聘来看，信也科技常年在国内167个地市区招地推人员，要求地推、陌拜的方式寻找满足一定芝麻分的客户，推广用户注册使用助贷APP"KOO钱 包"。 这家成立于2007年的老牌互金平台，在经历P2P暴雷潮、监管收紧等行业动荡后，通过业务转型和全球化布局，不仅实现了盈利的持续增长，更以18.28%的 净利率远 ...

Economic Overview - The first quarter economic data from China indicates a positive signal, with a notable recovery in the consumer market, laying a solid foundation for the annual economic performance [1] - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 12.4671 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%, accelerating by 1.1 percentage points compared to the previous year [1] - In March, retail sales grew by 5.9% year-on-year, an acceleration of 1.9 percentage points compared to January-February, with a month-on-month growth of 0.58% [1] Financial Technology Companies Performance - Four Chinese financial technology companies focusing on consumer credit—Xiaoying Technology, Xinyi Technology, Lexin, and Qifu Technology—reported strong growth in their first-quarter financial results, reflecting the role of consumer finance in boosting consumption [1][2] - Xiaoying Technology reported a revenue of 1.938 billion yuan and a total loan facilitation of 35.149 billion yuan in the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, with a loan balance of 58.403 billion yuan [2][3] - Xinyi Technology achieved a revenue of 3.481 billion yuan and a net profit of 738 million yuan, with a total transaction amount of 52.1 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 7.9% [3][4] - Lexin's first-quarter revenue reached 3.1 billion yuan, with a non-GAAP EBIT of 580 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 104.7% [4] - Qifu Technology reported a net income of 4.691 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.94%, with a total loan facilitation of 88.883 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 15.8% [5] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The performance of financial technology companies is attributed to the recovery of the consumer market and the significant role of consumer credit in stimulating consumption [6] - Despite the positive first-quarter data, uncertainties remain regarding the sustainability and strength of the consumption recovery, with underlying issues such as income growth and consumer confidence needing further attention [6][7] - Recent government policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market and expanding domestic demand have shown initial effectiveness, contributing to the overall economic stabilization [2][6] - The focus on service consumption as a key area for future economic stimulus reflects the government's commitment to enhancing consumer spending [6][7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of $13.00, indicating a potential upside of 51.3% from the current price of $8.59 [1][11]. Core Insights - The company reported better-than-expected earnings, achieving a net profit of RMB 738 million in Q1 2024, which represents a year-on-year increase of 38.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.4%, marking the highest quarterly profit since 2019 [6]. - The international business segment continues to grow, with a year-on-year increase of 36.4% in loan facilitation from international markets, contributing to 5.8% of total loan facilitation [6]. - The company aims to increase the proportion of international business revenue to 25% by 2025 and 50% by 2030 [6]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 12,547 million in 2023 to RMB 14,138 million in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.2% [5][8]. - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB 2,341 million in 2023 to RMB 2,763 million in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 15% anticipated for 2025 [5][8]. - The company's net take rate is projected to stabilize around 4.01% in 2025, with a slight decrease from previous estimates [9]. Business Metrics - The company facilitated loans totaling RMB 206.11 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.0% [8]. - The loan balance is expected to reach RMB 74.1 billion by Q1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 13.5% [7]. - The 90-day overdue rate is projected to be 2.04% in Q1 2025, showing a slight improvement from previous quarters [7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of $12.00 [7][8]. Core Insights - The company's Q1 2025 performance showed a net profit of 750 million RMB, exceeding Bloomberg's expectation of 600 million RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 41.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.7% [1][4]. - Loan quality has slightly improved, with the first-day overdue rate decreasing to 4.6% and the annualized net profit take rate increasing by 20 basis points to 4.1% [3][4]. - The company maintains a cautious operational approach, with a focus on improving loan quality and increasing the proportion of light capital business, which is expected to drive profit growth in the short term [1][2]. Summary by Sections Q1 2025 Performance - The company reported a net profit of 750 million RMB, which is better than expected, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.7% and a year-on-year increase of 41.4% [1]. - The overdue rate decreased by 10 basis points to 4.6%, indicating improved loan quality [1][3]. - The total loan amount for Q1 2025 was 52.1 billion RMB, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.4% [2]. Loan Quality and Capital Structure - The first-day overdue rate improved to 4.6%, and the 30-day repayment rate remained stable at 89% [3]. - The light capital business's balance proportion increased to 43.0%, which is expected to enhance profit margins due to the absence of income and provision mismatches [2][3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to 3.22 billion RMB, 3.91 billion RMB, and 4.02 billion RMB respectively, reflecting a positive outlook [4][6]. - The target price remains at $12.00 based on DCF valuation methodology [4][12].

管理层表示，国内业务风险指标和资金成本都处于历史有利水平。 一季度 ， 信也科技国际业务交易额首次突破 30 亿大关，同比增长 36% ； 独立 借款人数量达到 170 万人的历史新高，同比增长 106% 。国际业务营收 7.1 亿元，同比增长 19.5% ，占集团当 季营收的 20.4% 。 其中， 印尼和菲律宾实现了适度利润，符合预期 ， 公司预计两地在 2025 年 将产生至少 1000 万美元净利润。 公司 维持全年收入 10% 到 15% 的业绩增长指引 ， 预计国际市场的贡献 占比 将增加到 25% 。 今年 4 月， 国家金融监督管理总局发布 了助贷新规（《关于加强商业银行互联网助贷业务管理提 升金融服务质效的通知》），该通知将于 10 月生效。 在业绩交流会中，谈及助贷新规对公司未来在国内业务的影响，信也科技 CFO 徐佳圆表示："新规 的出台意味着助贷业务监管框架的完善和规范。我们还注意到，文件最终版本相对草案来说较为温 和，规定更注重定性方面，而非定量。" "新规要求银行对合作互联网平台实行名单制管理，并规范了融资成本相关内容，要求明确费用标准 并纳入合同，这有助于提升业务透明度和规范性， ...

Market Overview - US stock index futures are all down, with Dow futures down 0.75%, S&P 500 futures down 0.50%, and Nasdaq futures down 0.51% [1] - European indices also show declines, with Germany's DAX down 0.10%, UK's FTSE 100 down 0.01%, France's CAC40 down 0.54%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 down 0.37% [2] - WTI crude oil is up 0.74% at $62.49 per barrel, while Brent crude is up 0.67% at $65.82 per barrel [2] Currency and Economic Sentiment - There is a rising expectation of US dollar depreciation, with the Bloomberg dollar index's one-year risk reversal indicator showing a negative 27 basis points, indicating the lowest level on record [3] - Morgan Stanley suggests buying US assets excluding the dollar, predicting a series of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve that could support the bond market and boost corporate earnings [3] Inflation and Tariff Impact - Federal Reserve officials warn that the impact of tariffs will soon be fully realized, potentially leading to a new wave of price increases in the US economy [4] - Atlanta Fed President Bostic indicates that many companies' buffer strategies against high tariffs are running out, which could weaken overall economic activity [4] Investor Sentiment and Market Dynamics - JPMorgan's CEO warns of "extreme complacency" among investors, suggesting that the market may soon face turbulence [5] - Goldman Sachs reports that clients are increasingly seeking to withdraw funds from the US market, questioning whether the US stock market's rally has reached its peak [6] Company Performance Highlights - Lowe's reported same-store sales down 1.7% but expects this key sales metric to remain flat or grow up to 1% for the year [7] - ZTO Express achieved a 19.1% year-on-year increase in package volume, with net profit up 40.9% [7] - Baidu's Q1 net profit increased by 41.65% year-on-year, reaching 77.17 billion yuan [8] - XPeng Motors reported a net loss of 660 million yuan, a 51.5% decrease year-on-year, with total revenue up 141.5% [8] - Weibo's Q1 net profit grew by 116.36% year-on-year, reaching $107 million [9] - Target's Q1 performance fell short of expectations, leading to a downward revision of sales forecasts [10] - Full Truck Alliance reported a 19% year-on-year increase in revenue, with significant growth in operational metrics [11] - iQIYI's Q1 revenue reached 71.9 billion yuan, with a 9% quarter-on-quarter increase [12] - Xinyi Technology reported a Q1 revenue of 34.81 billion yuan, with a net profit of 7.38 billion yuan [12] - Tuya Smart's Q1 revenue grew by approximately 21.1%, exceeding expectations [12]

Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.481 billion RMB and a net profit of 738 million RMB [1] - The transaction volume for the quarter reached 52.1 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.9% [1] - The loan balance stood at 74.1 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year increase of 13.5% [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company maintains a robust growth trajectory driven by technological innovation and diversified strategies [1] - As of the end of Q1, the company has provided digital services to 114 domestic financial institutions and credit technology services to over 27.3 million users [1] - The company served 442,000 domestic micro and small enterprises in Q1, facilitating transaction volumes of nearly 15 billion RMB, which accounted for 30% of the domestic transaction volume [1] International Business Development - The company's international business has entered its eighth year, establishing localized fintech platforms in multiple countries [2] - International business transaction volume exceeded 3 billion RMB for the first time, with a year-on-year growth of 36% [2] - Revenue from international operations reached 710 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19.5%, constituting 20.4% of the company's total revenue for the quarter [2]