以下文章来源于海外独角兽 ，作者拾象投研团队 海外独角兽 . 研究科技大航海时代的伟大公司。 当大模型的"暴力美学"逐渐步入深水区，全球 AI 产业的叙事逻辑正在发生深刻演变。OpenAI、Google、Anthropic 三强割据，谁能率先推开 AGI 的大门？下一代 技术范式 continual learning（持续学习） 将如何颠覆现有格局？ 2026年1月10日的课程中，我们特别邀请到了拾象科技创始人兼 CEO 李广密老师讲授《2026AGI洞察与投资趋势》。 作为深度穿梭于硅谷与中国的一线投资人， 他将带我们跳出繁杂的现象，从宏观视角复盘 AI 军备竞赛，预判 2026 年的AI创业胜负手。 李广密老师立足于全球视野，深度复盘了过去三年 AI 浪潮的演进路径，前瞻性地提出了 2026 年 AGI 发展的核心判断。 李广密老师将结合其在硅谷的一手调研 经验，深入剖析顶级模型公司（OpenAI、Google、Anthropic）的战略分化，探讨算力基建（GPU与TPU）的阵营对抗，并揭示在"技术溢出"红利下，创业者如 何捕捉下一个千亿美金级别的"新物种"。 课程不仅涵盖了宏观的投资策略，更通过 Cur ...

Group 1 - The fourth quarter earnings season is ongoing, with major companies like Alphabet, Amazon, AMD, Qualcomm, and Palantir reporting results [1] - As of January 30, 33% of S&P 500 companies have reported their fourth quarter results, with an estimated 11.9% increase in earnings per share, marking the 10th consecutive quarter of annual earnings growth for the index [2] - Analysts had initially expected an 8.3% increase in earnings per share heading into the reporting period, which was a decrease from the previous quarter's 13.6% growth rate [3] Group 2 - Big Tech companies are setting the tone for the earnings season, with ongoing capital expenditures and themes such as artificial intelligence and economic policies continuing to influence the market [4] - Upcoming earnings reports will include updates from companies like Disney, Chipotle, PepsiCo, Uber, and Snap, indicating a broad range of sectors being analyzed [4]

Core Viewpoint - The stock market is currently experiencing signs of an AI bubble, despite the long-term bullish outlook on artificial intelligence. Group 1: Market Performance - The Invesco QQQ Trust, tracking the Nasdaq-100 index, has achieved a total return of 117% over the past three years, largely driven by the "Magnificent Seven" stocks and AI ventures [2]. Group 2: Warning Signs of an AI Bubble - **Enormous Capital Outlays**: Major data center operators, including Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet, collectively spent hundreds of billions on AI-related capital expenditures last year, indicating a surge in investment activity [4]. - **Funding Challenges for OpenAI**: OpenAI plans to spend $1.4 trillion on computing resources over the next eight years, raising questions about funding sources despite reaching $20 billion in annualized revenue last year [5]. - **Financial Engineering**: Companies with strong net income are still raising capital through financial engineering, such as a $27 billion joint venture between Meta Platforms and Blue Owl Capital, which keeps debt off Meta's balance sheet [6]. - **Interconnectedness of AI Sector**: The interconnected nature of AI companies means that struggles within one entity could lead to broader issues across the sector [7]. Group 3: Long-Term Return Uncertainty - Despite rapid adoption of AI tools, with OpenAI's ChatGPT reaching 800 million weekly users and Alphabet's Gemini app having 650 million monthly active users, only 3% of AI users pay for premium access, raising doubts about the adequacy of returns on AI investments [8]. - There is a possibility that AI may only provide incremental benefits to the economy, potentially disappointing those who expect transformative changes akin to past innovations like PCs and mobile devices [9].

欧洲议会的报告显示，欧盟仍然依赖非欧盟国家提供超过80%的数字服务和基础设施。 法国开始推动数百万公务员使用自主研发的软件替代Zoom和微软的Teams，这标志着欧洲各国政府数十 年来摆脱对美国大型科技公司依赖的努力又迈出了新一步。 近期，法国总理勒科尔尼致函法国各部委，要求他们在2026年年底前将视频会议系统迁移到Visio—— 一款法国自主研发的Zoom替代软件。他在信中写道："为了保障公共电子通信的安全、保密性和稳定 性，必须部署一套由国家控制、基于自主技术且统一的视频会议解决方案。" 随后，同样的逻辑再次显现：法国政府阻止卫星运营商欧洲通信卫星公司（Eutelsat）将其地面天线业 务出售给私募股权公司EQT，理由是该集团具有战略意义，是特斯拉创始人马斯克旗下星链互联网服务 的竞争对手。 法国的举措紧随欧洲议会通过一项决议之后，该决议呼吁成员国"尽可能通过促进欧洲数字产品和服务 的采购来加强欧洲的技术主权"。 对外经济贸易大学全球价值链研究院研究员、法国经济研究中心主任赵永升对第一财经记者表示，上述 有关禁用Zoom的决策主要针对法国公共部门。他表示，面对美国在关税乃至地缘政治方面的咄咄逼 人，欧洲喊 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the weekly sector and stock rankings provided by Limelight Alpha Management Partners, which utilizes a quantitative ranking system that combines fundamental, technical, and seasonal data to evaluate sectors and industries [1] - Limelight Alpha Management Partners ranks over 1,600 institutional quality stocks weekly, identifying the best and worst performing stocks across various market capitalizations, including ADR, large cap, mid cap, and small cap [1] - The investing group "Top Stocks for Tomorrow" offers systematic idea generation based on market cap, sector, industry, and individual stocks, along with reports on the best stocks by sector and best dividend stocks [1]

Last week we saw a plethora of important earnings results and increased market volatility. This wee should be another busy one with a lot of important companies due to report. This week we have Amazon (AMZN), Palantir (PLTR), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Alphabet (GOOGL), PayPal (PYPL), Pfizer (PFE), Uber Technologies (UBER), Disney (DIS) and Merck (MRK) all reporting in what shapes as a busy and pivotal week for stocks. Before a company reports earnings, implied volatility is usually high because the m ...

Market Overview - Gold prices dropped as much as 6% and silver fell 10% due to increased margin requirements by CME Group following a significant decline on Friday, leading to a selloff across markets as leveraged investors unwound positions to meet margin calls [1][8] - U.S.-listed gold and silver mining companies experienced declines in premarket trading, with Newmont down 2.2%, Barrick Mining down 2.8%, and Kinross Gold down 3.2% [1][8] Economic and Policy Impact - The selloff in precious metals intensified after U.S. President Donald Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair, a decision perceived as hawkish by investors [2][8] - Shares of energy companies fell as oil prices decreased by 5% after Trump indicated that Iran was engaging in discussions with Washington, which eased concerns over supply disruptions [4][8] Technology Sector Performance - The volatility VIX index rose to 19.11, nearing a two-week high, influenced by mixed earnings from major tech companies and increased policy uncertainty following Trump's nomination of Warsh [5][9] - Major tech stocks, including Nvidia and Tesla, saw declines of nearly 2% each, while Meta and Alphabet lost 1.4% and 0.9%, respectively [5][9] - Microsoft shares recorded their worst week since March 2020 due to disappointing cloud revenue, raising concerns about the returns on significant investments in artificial intelligence [6][9] - Oracle's shares dropped 3.7% after announcing plans to raise $45 billion to $50 billion in debt and equity this year [6][9] Upcoming Economic Indicators - The U.S. is expected to experience a brief government shutdown after Congress failed to approve funding, with key economic data releases scheduled for the week, including January manufacturing PMI and labor market indicators such as JOLTS and nonfarm payrolls [7][9]

Group 1 - The AI social platform Moltbook has gained significant popularity overseas, featuring 1.5 million AI agents engaging in discussions across thousands of forums, mimicking human social patterns [1][3] - Tencent's AI platform Yuanbao launched a cash red envelope activity on February 1, leading to a surge in downloads, topping the iPhone app rankings on the same day [2][3] - The advancements in large model reasoning and multi-modal capabilities indicate a strong foundation for human-like interactions in AI social platforms, suggesting a pathway from niche applications to broader social engagement [1][3] Group 2 - Google announced the public testing of its world model Genie3, allowing users to create real-time interactive virtual worlds through natural language dialogue, enhancing game development accessibility [4] - The launch of Taptap Maker by Xindong Company enables game creators to develop games directly within a chat interface, significantly lowering the barriers to game development [4] - The gaming sector is expected to benefit from AI advancements, with recommendations to focus on companies with strong platform attributes, including Xindong Company and others [4]

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming earnings season is expected to provide significant insights into various sectors, including technology, healthcare, energy, consumer goods, real estate, and finance, with major companies set to report their quarterly results [2][3][5]. Technology Sector - Major tech companies such as Amazon (AMZN), Google parent Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), AMD, Qualcomm (QCOM), and others will report earnings, focusing on AI spending, cloud service demand, and advertising trends [2][3]. - Amazon is anticipated to show a profit increase of approximately 4% year-over-year, with revenue growth of about 12%, driven by resilient e-commerce and AWS cloud services [15][19]. - Google is expected to report a profit growth of around 23% and revenue growth of about 16%, with a significant focus on its Gemini AI applications and cloud service profitability [12][14]. Healthcare Sector - Pfizer (PFE) is projected to see a decline in both revenue and profit, with expectations of $25.6 billion in revenue and $1.58 in EPS [8][9]. - Analysts are divided on Pfizer's outlook, with some maintaining a "buy" rating due to its strong pipeline in oncology and vaccines, while others express concerns over profit margins and growth pressures [10][12]. Consumer and Media Sector - Companies like Disney (DIS) and PayPal (PYPL) will report earnings, with Disney expected to see a profit decline of about 10% year-over-year, but analysts remain optimistic about its long-term growth strategy [5][6]. - Disney's expansion into new markets, such as the Abu Dhabi theme park, is seen as a positive long-term investment [5][6]. Energy and Materials Sector - Key players like ConocoPhillips (COP) and Phillips 66 (PSX) will disclose earnings, reflecting the ongoing dynamics in the energy market [3]. Real Estate and Finance Sector - The earnings reports from companies like Simon Property Group (SPG) and Prudential Financial (PRU) will provide insights into the real estate and financial sectors' performance [3].

The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) says more than 3,000 Alphabet Inc.-backed (NASDAQ:GOOGL) (NASDAQ:GOOG) Waymo vehicles are under investigation following an incident where a Waymo autonomous vehicle struck a child near an elementary school.3,067 Waymos Under InvestigationThe investigation was opened by the agency on January 28, where it estimates over 3,067 Waymo AVs, fitted with the company's 5th-generation autonomous suite, will be examined following a vehicle that struck a child ...