Core Viewpoint - The euro's performance is likely to continue being dominated by the US dollar's movements [1] Group 1: Market Expectations - The market has fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the European Central Bank on June 5 [1] - The US PCE data is expected to be the main catalyst for the euro today, potentially keeping it within the short-term range of 1.1300 to 1.1400 USD [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Dutch International Group's senior economist Min Joo Kang reports that the Bank of Korea may lower interest rates twice in the second half of the year, aiming to reduce the policy rate to 2.0% by the end of 2025 to support a weak economy [1] Economic Outlook - The Bank of Korea has revised its economic growth forecast for South Korea from 1.5% to 0.8% for 2025 [1] - Following a 0.25 percentage point reduction in the benchmark interest rate to 2.50%, the focus of the Bank of Korea has shifted towards promoting growth rather than curbing inflation [1] External Factors - Higher-than-expected U.S. tariffs are anticipated to suppress exports [1] - Weak construction investment is expected to negatively impact overall economic growth for the year [1]

Core Viewpoint - The New Zealand central bank's cautious stance on future interest rate cuts is seen as a positive development for the New Zealand dollar (NZD) [1] Group 1 - Analysts from ING, including Francisco Pesole, noted that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is shifting away from a dovish policy stance, which is likely to support the NZD's upward momentum [1] - RBNZ's Chief Economist Paul Conway and Governor Christian Hawkesby have also expressed caution regarding further rate cuts, reinforcing the positive outlook for the NZD [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recovery of the US dollar may remain limited due to ongoing concerns about slowing economic growth and budget deficits in the US [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - The rebound in the US consumer confidence survey conducted by the Conference Board in May has contributed to a stronger dollar [1] - More positive data is needed to rebuild market confidence in US economic growth [1] Group 2: Risks and Outlook - Concerns regarding the budget deficit are expected to persist in the short term [1] - The dollar continues to face "downside risks" in the near term [1] - The unexpected rise in consumer confidence has somewhat mitigated these risks, but caution remains regarding the pursuit of a dollar index breakthrough above the 100 mark [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent UK inflation data has diminished hopes for a rate cut by the Bank of England in June, but there remains a possibility for a cut in August due to weakening pricing power [1] Inflation Data Summary - April CPI increased by 3.5% year-on-year, up from 2.6% in March [1] - Service sector inflation rose significantly from 4.7% to 5.4%, which is a larger rebound than anticipated by the Bank of England [1] - Some of the inflation increase is attributed to road tax and the Easter period, which the Bank may overlook [1] Future Outlook - It is expected that the service sector inflation rate will decline to 4.5% during the summer, potentially allowing for a rate cut in August [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that despite higher-than-expected inflation data in the UK, the possibility of a Bank of England rate cut in August should not be ruled out [1] - UK inflation rate increased from 2.6% in March to 3.5% in April, surpassing the economists' forecast of 3.4% [1] - The rise in service sector inflation is largely attributed to one-off factors, indicating potential improvement in underlying inflation trends [1] Group 2 - The UK money market has not fully priced in expectations for a rate cut in November, suggesting uncertainty in future monetary policy [1] - LSEG data indicates a low probability of a rate cut in June, with only a 43% chance for a cut in August [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the language used to describe foreign exchange policy at the upcoming G7 meeting is unlikely to change, but even minor adjustments could lead to significant reactions and potentially weaken the US dollar [1] - Historically, joint statements from G7 meetings have served as important tools for signaling changes in exchange rate policy, particularly in the 1990s and 2000s [1] - There is speculation about whether the US Treasury might encourage other G7 members to adjust the wording related to foreign exchange, which could promote a more orderly appreciation of other currencies against the dollar [1]

Group 1 - The outlook for China's economy is becoming less pessimistic, with ING raising its 2025 GDP growth forecast from 4.5% to 4.7% [1][4] - Goldman Sachs has revised its forecast for China's GDP growth from 4.0% to 4.6% [1][4] - JPMorgan has also increased its forecast for China's 2025 economic growth from 4.1% to 4.8% [1][2] Group 2 - The reduction of tariffs between China and the US is expected to boost economic optimism, leading to a recovery in stock markets [1][5] - JPMorgan estimates that the average effective tariff rate in the US will decrease from 24% to 14%, resulting in a $300 billion "tax cut effect" [1] - Barclays has updated its outlook for the US economy, stating that a mild recession in the second half of 2025 is no longer the base case scenario [2][1] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs has raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 index from 5900 to 6100, citing the positive impact of tariff reductions on corporate earnings [5] - Yardeni Research has also increased its year-end target for the S&P 500 from 6000 to 6500 [5] - The S&P 500 index closed at 5892 points on May 14, reflecting a 4% increase compared to before the announcement of tariff reductions [5]

Group 1 - The overly pessimistic views on China's economy are decreasing, with ING raising its 2025 GDP growth forecast from 4.5% to 4.7% [1][2] - Goldman Sachs revised its forecast for China's annual economic growth from 4.0% to 4.6%, indicating a positive adjustment from previous expectations [1][2] - Morgan Stanley and Barclays have also updated their economic outlooks for the US, with Morgan Stanley predicting a "no recession" scenario and raising China's growth forecast to 4.8% [1][2] Group 2 - The reduction of tariffs between the US and China is expected to lower the average effective tariff rate in the US from 24% to 14%, resulting in a $300 billion "tax cut effect" [1] - Morgan Stanley anticipates that the US economy will avoid slow contraction in the second half of 2025, projecting slow growth instead [1] - Barclays has shifted its outlook for the US economy, stating that a mild recession in the second half of 2025 is no longer the base case [1] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs' US stock team predicts that the reduction in tariffs will boost corporate earnings per share (EPS), raising the S&P 500 index target from 5900 to 6100 points [3] - The S&P 500 index closed at 5892 points on May 14, reflecting a 4% increase compared to before the tariff reduction announcement [3] - In China, the Shanghai Composite Index rose above 3400 points for the first time in two months, indicating a recovery in the market [3]

Company Overview - ING Groep is headquartered in Amsterdam and has experienced a price change of 32.67% this year [3] - The company currently pays a dividend of $0.68 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 6.56%, which is significantly higher than the Banks - Foreign industry's yield of 3.97% and the S&P 500's yield of 1.54% [3] Dividend Performance - The annualized dividend of ING Groep is $1.36, reflecting a 33.7% increase from the previous year [4] - Over the past five years, ING Groep has increased its dividend three times year-over-year, with an average annual increase of 45.79% [4] - The current payout ratio for ING Groep is 31%, indicating that the company paid out 31% of its trailing 12-month earnings per share as dividends [4] Earnings Growth - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ING Groep's earnings in 2025 is $2.28 per share, with an expected increase of 6.54% from the previous year [5] Investment Considerations - ING Groep is considered a compelling investment opportunity due to its strong dividend performance and current Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [7] - The company is positioned well for income investors, especially compared to tech start-ups or growth businesses that typically do not offer dividends [6][7]