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小核酸赛道,挤满了下一代大药
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-26 21:06
Core Insights - The small nucleic acid drug sector is experiencing a significant surge, marking the beginning of a golden era driven by technological breakthroughs and capital enthusiasm [2][11][22] Industry Developments - On January 5, 2026, Sanofi's APOC3 siRNA drug Plozasiran was approved for domestic market use to treat hyperlipidemia [1] - On January 9, 2026, Rebio Biotech, known as "China's first small nucleic acid stock," successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with its stock price soaring by 40% on the first day, leading to a market capitalization exceeding 13 billion HKD [1] - China National Pharmaceutical Group announced a 1.2 billion CNY acquisition of Hegia Biotech, securing the world's first clinically validated liver-targeted delivery platform capable of annual dosing [1] Market Trends - The global small nucleic acid drug market has seen nearly 100 business development (BD) collaborations in the past three years, with transaction numbers and amounts increasing annually, reaching over 30 BD deals in 2025 totaling nearly 30 billion USD [4][9] - Notable transactions in 2025 included Novartis acquiring Avidity Biosciences for 12 billion USD and multiple other significant deals involving RNA therapies [7][9] Clinical Advancements - Ionis's APOC3 ASO drug Olezarsen showed promising results in reducing triglyceride levels by up to 72% in patients with severe hypertriglyceridemia, leading to an increase in peak annual sales forecast from 1.5 billion USD to 2.5 billion USD [12] - GSK's ASO therapy Bepirovirsen is expected to be the first drug to achieve functional cure for chronic hepatitis B, with a peak annual sales potential of 2 billion USD [12] Emerging Opportunities - The small nucleic acid drugs are expanding into various therapeutic areas, including obesity and kidney diseases, with promising results from clinical trials demonstrating significant weight loss and metabolic health improvements [13][15] - The number of small nucleic acid drugs in development globally has surpassed 1,200, with siRNA and ASO therapies being the most prominent [17] Strategic Collaborations - Domestic companies are increasingly recognized for their innovative value in small nucleic acid drugs, with active BD transactions, including significant collaborations by Rebio Biotech and other firms [18][21] - Companies like Saintin Biotech are forming strategic partnerships with major pharmaceutical firms to advance their small nucleic acid drug pipelines [19] Conclusion - The convergence of technological advancements, capital influx, and successful clinical outcomes is propelling small nucleic acid drugs into a pivotal position within the pharmaceutical industry, with China poised to become a global innovation hub [22]
Eli Lilly or Viking Therapeutics: Which Stock Is More Likely to be a Millionaire-Maker?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-26 16:35
Core Insights - Eli Lilly and Viking Therapeutics are both engaged in the rapidly growing weight loss drug market, with Eli Lilly's tirzepatide generating significant revenue and Viking's candidates advancing in late-stage clinical trials [1][6]. Industry Overview - The weight loss drug market is projected to reach nearly $100 billion by the end of the decade, indicating strong growth potential for these products [2][6]. Eli Lilly's Position - Eli Lilly's weight loss drugs, particularly Mounjaro and Zepbound, generated over $10 billion in sales in the most recent quarter, showcasing their market leadership alongside Novo Nordisk [3]. - The company is also exploring the introduction of an oral weight loss drug, orforglipron, which is currently under regulatory review and could positively impact stock performance upon approval [4]. Viking Therapeutics' Development - Viking Therapeutics is developing both injectable and oral candidates, currently in phase 3 and phase 2 trials, respectively, with promising results in regulating blood sugar levels and appetite [5]. - There is potential for Viking to capture market share in the obesity drug space, especially if they successfully advance their candidates or secure partnerships or acquisitions with larger companies [6][7].
A Look Into Eli Lilly and Co Inc's Price Over Earnings - Eli Lilly and Co (NYSE:LLY)
Benzinga· 2026-01-26 15:00
Core Viewpoint - Eli Lilly and Co Inc. has shown a mixed short-term performance with a 1.76% decrease over the past month, but a significant 31.78% increase over the past year, prompting long-term shareholders to consider the company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Current share price of Eli Lilly is $1060.01, reflecting a 0.40% drop [1] - The stock has decreased by 1.76% over the past month [1] - The stock has increased by 31.78% over the past year [1] Group 2: P/E Ratio Analysis - The P/E ratio is a measure of the current share price relative to the company's earnings per share (EPS), used by long-term investors to assess performance against historical data and industry benchmarks [4] - Eli Lilly has a lower P/E ratio compared to the aggregate P/E of 127.31 for the Pharmaceuticals industry, suggesting potential undervaluation [5] - A lower P/E ratio may indicate either undervaluation or weak growth prospects, highlighting the need for cautious interpretation [7] Group 3: Investment Considerations - The P/E ratio should be evaluated alongside other financial metrics, industry trends, and qualitative factors for a comprehensive analysis of a company's financial health [7] - Investors are encouraged to take a holistic approach to investment decisions to enhance the likelihood of successful outcomes [7]
My Top AI Healthcare Stock to Buy and Hold for 20 Years
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-26 12:25
Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming industries and creating investment opportunities, particularly in healthcare [1] - Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) is positioned as a leading AI healthcare stock with significant initiatives [2] Group 1: AI Initiatives by Eli Lilly - Eli Lilly is launching TuneLab, an AI drug discovery platform, available for free to smaller biotech companies to enhance drug discovery [5] - The company is partnering with Nvidia to develop the most powerful AI supercomputer in the pharmaceutical industry [6] - Eli Lilly is establishing an AI drug discovery lab in the San Francisco Bay Area in collaboration with Nvidia to expedite drug discovery processes [6] Group 2: Long-term Growth Potential - Eli Lilly's AI initiatives are expected to reduce R&D costs and research time, benefiting the company and its shareholders [7] - The company is poised to capitalize on the growing weight-loss market, maintaining leadership even after losing patent exclusivity on some products [8] - Eli Lilly has strengthened its product pipeline through internal development and acquisitions, with promising offerings in neuroscience, immunology, and oncology [8]
5 Stocks To Keep an Eye On in 2026, According to Experts
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-25 13:39
Core Viewpoint - The Dow Jones Industrial Average reached an all-time high at the beginning of the year, but there are still significant growth opportunities in various sectors, particularly healthcare, finance, and retail, especially if the U.S. Federal Reserve continues to lower interest rates [1] Healthcare Sector - **Novo Nordisk ADR (NVO)**: The company is recognized for its diabetes drugs and GLP-1 weight loss injections. The stock experienced a 150% increase in 2023/24 but faced a decline in 2025 due to competition and pricing issues. Currently, it has a forward P/E of around 16 and a dividend yield of 3%. A new oral pill version of Wegovy has been approved, and there is a potential upside of 50% in 2026 if shares can be acquired for under $60 [2][3] - **Eli Lilly (LLY)**: This company is a competitor to Novo Nordisk, known for its tirzepatide injections and other medications. Eli Lilly is involved in AI for drug development, with a significant investment from Nvidia. The stock has a "Strong Buy" rating with a high price target of $1,500, closing at $1,078.52 on January 21 [4][5] Retail Sector - **TJX Companies Inc. (TJX)**: The company operates discount retailers such as T.J. Maxx and Marshalls, and is positioned favorably compared to many competitors in the retail space, indicating potential for growth [6]
Novo Nordisk Vs. Eli Lilly: The Tide May Be Turning For The Underdog
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-25 11:26
Core Viewpoint - The author has shifted investment from Pfizer to Novo Nordisk, indicating a strong belief in the potential of Novo Nordisk as a valuable investment opportunity [1]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - The author aims to identify potential high-growth investments (5–10 baggers) in small- and mid-cap companies through fundamental analysis [1]. - Focus areas include early-commercial-stage life sciences companies, insurers, homebuilders, and select consumer-facing businesses [1]. Group 2: Author's Background - The author operates a boutique law firm specializing in investment transactions and disputes, with training from top U.S. law schools and leading Wall Street law firms [1]. - The writing serves to sharpen the author's thinking and engage with followers, emphasizing clarity in communication [1].
Should You Dump Eli Lilly's Shares After This Setback?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-24 20:25
Group 1 - The weight loss market is becoming increasingly competitive, with Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk as the leading companies, both having strong pipelines and recent approvals [1] - Eli Lilly's oral GLP-1 candidate, orforglipron, faced a delay in FDA approval, now expected by April 10, extending the review time from the original plan of February [2] - Novo Nordisk has already launched the oral version of Wegovy, which could capture a significant market share before Eli Lilly's orforglipron is available [4][5] Group 2 - The first-mover advantage is crucial in the weight loss market, as seen with Wegovy's earlier approval compared to Eli Lilly's Zepbound, although Zepbound has shown higher sales as of Q3 2025 [6] - Orforglipron demonstrates competitive efficacy, particularly for patients with diabetes, and Eli Lilly has a promising mid- and late-stage pipeline beyond this candidate [7][8]
Guggenheim Reduces PT on Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) to $1,161, Reiterates ‘Buy’ Rating
Insider Monkey· 2026-01-24 14:29
Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is identified as the greatest investment opportunity of the current era, with a strong emphasis on the urgent need for energy to support its growth [1][2][3] Investment Opportunity - A specific company is highlighted as a potential investment opportunity, possessing critical energy infrastructure assets that are essential for meeting the increasing energy demands of AI data centers [3][7] - This company is not a chipmaker or cloud platform but is positioned to benefit significantly from the anticipated surge in electricity demand driven by AI technologies [3][6] Energy Demand and Infrastructure - AI technologies, particularly large language models like ChatGPT, are extremely energy-intensive, with data centers consuming as much energy as small cities [2] - The company in focus owns critical nuclear energy infrastructure, making it central to America's future power strategy [7] - It is capable of executing large-scale engineering, procurement, and construction projects across various energy sectors, including oil, gas, and renewables [7] Financial Position - The company is noted for being completely debt-free and holding a substantial cash reserve, which is nearly one-third of its market capitalization [8] - It also has a significant equity stake in another AI-related company, providing investors with indirect exposure to multiple growth opportunities without the associated premium costs [9] Market Trends - The company is positioned to capitalize on the onshoring trend driven by tariffs, as well as the surge in U.S. LNG exports under the current administration's energy policies [5][14] - Wall Street is beginning to take notice of this company due to its unique position and undervaluation compared to other energy and utility firms [8][10] Future Outlook - The influx of talent into the AI sector is expected to drive continuous innovation and advancements, reinforcing the importance of investing in AI-related companies [12] - The overall narrative suggests that investing in AI and its supporting infrastructure is not just about financial returns but also about participating in a transformative technological revolution [15]
Guggenheim Reduces PT on Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) to $1,161, Reiterates ‘Buy’ Rating
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-24 14:29
Core Insights - Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE: LLY) is recognized as a strong long-term investment option, with a focus on holding the stock for 20 years [1] Group 1: Price Target and Ratings - Guggenheim has reduced its price target for Eli Lilly from $1,163 to $1,161 while maintaining a 'Buy' rating, indicating confidence in the company's performance despite the slight adjustment [2] Group 2: FDA Designation and Oncology Pipeline - Eli Lilly announced that the FDA granted Breakthrough Therapy designation to sofetabart mipitecan (LY4170156) for adults with platinum-resistant ovarian cancer, which enhances the visibility of the company's oncology pipeline [3] - The designation accelerates development timelines and regulatory engagement, following positive Phase 1a/b data [3] Group 3: Clinical Trial Progress - At ASCO 2025 and ESMO 2025, Eli Lilly presented favorable responses across all dose levels and folate receptor alpha expression, demonstrating a strong tolerability profile with limited serious safety signals [4] - The asset is advancing into the global Phase 3 Framework-01 trial, positioning it as a potential differentiated entrant in the ovarian cancer market, which has high unmet needs [4] Group 4: Company Focus and Market Position - Eli Lilly is a global pharmaceutical company that develops medicines across various therapeutic areas, including diabetes, oncology, immunology, and neuroscience [5]
Should You Forget Eli Lilly and Buy These Unstoppable Stocks Instead?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-23 18:05
Group 1: Eli Lilly and GLP-1 Drugs - Eli Lilly is currently leading the GLP-1 weight loss drug market with its injection-based products Mounjaro and Zepbound, generating significant excitement among investors [2][7] - The company's price-to-earnings ratio has surged to 51, significantly higher than the S&P 500 average of around 28, indicating that Wall Street may be overly optimistic about its future [2][3] - Competition is emerging in the GLP-1 space, particularly from Novo Nordisk, which has introduced a pill version of its weight loss drug, potentially threatening Eli Lilly's market position [3][7] Group 2: Alternatives in the Pharmaceutical Sector - Investors should consider other pharmaceutical companies beyond GLP-1 drugs, such as Merck and Bristol Myers Squibb, which focus on cardiometabolic therapies, cancer, and immune disorders [5][6] - Both Merck and Bristol Myers Squibb are currently under the radar due to their lack of exposure to GLP-1 drugs, but they face challenges related to upcoming patent expirations that could impact their revenue and profits [6][7] - Patent cliffs are a normal occurrence in the pharmaceutical sector, and while they pose risks, they are not uncommon for companies like Merck and Bristol Myers Squibb [6]