丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg2] 联想集团（00992.HK） cjzqdt11111 [Table_scodeMsg1] 港股研究丨公司点评丨联想集团（00992.HK） [Table_Title] 龙头穿越周期，多项业务创历史新高 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 联想 FY2026Q3（对应日历年 2025Q4，下同）实现营收 222.04 亿美元，同比增长 18%；毛 利率 15.1%，同比下降 0.6pct；归母净利润 5.46 亿美元，同比下降 21%，主因一次性重组费 用、认股权证的非现金公允价值收益等非现金项目的影响；经调整净利润 5.89 亿美元，同比增 长 36%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 杨洋 SAC：S0490517070012 SFC：BUW100 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title2] 龙头穿越周期，多项业务创历史新高 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 联想 FY2026Q3（对应日历年 2025Q4，下同）实现营收 222.04 亿美元 ...

Core Viewpoint - Lenovo Group has achieved a record high in global PC market share, with accelerated growth in AI business, leading to overall performance exceeding expectations [1] Group 1: Performance Highlights - Lenovo reported a revenue of $22.204 billion for Q3 FY26, representing an 18% year-on-year increase; Non-HKFRS net profit reached $589 million, up 36% year-on-year [2] - AI-related business grew by 72% year-on-year, contributing 32% to total revenue, making it a key growth driver for the company [2] - The company demonstrated effective cost control, resulting in an operating profit margin increase of 0.6 percentage points to 4.3%, indicating ongoing recovery in profitability [2] Group 2: Market Position and Supply Chain - According to IDC, Lenovo's global PC market share reached 24.9% in 2025, a historic high, with Q4 2025 alone achieving 25.3% [3] - Lenovo has outpaced industry average PC sales growth for ten consecutive quarters, attributed to its strong global supply chain management and product innovation capabilities [3] - The company has implemented long-term contracts and flexible pricing strategies to mitigate cost pressures from rising prices of key components, maintaining a stable operating profit margin of 7.3% in the IDG business [3] Group 3: AI Server Business - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) reported a revenue of $5.176 billion for the quarter, a 31% year-on-year increase, with AI server revenue showing high double-digit growth [4] - The project order backlog for AI servers reached $15.5 billion, indicating strong demand and future growth potential [4] - ISG is undergoing a one-time restructuring to enhance efficiency, with expectations of achieving profitability in Q4 FY26 [4] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - Based on the continuous increase in PC market share and effective cost management, the profit forecast for FY26 Non-HKFRS net profit has been raised by 6.5% to $1.801 billion, while FY27 profit estimates remain largely unchanged [5] - The current stock price corresponds to Non-HKFRS P/E ratios of 8.2x and 7.5x for FY26 and FY27, respectively, significantly lower than some comparable companies [5] - The company’s valuation is expected to have upside potential driven by AI-driven growth and improved profitability [5]

盈利端虽受战略性重组一次性费用影响，净利润同比有所下滑，但剔除非经营性项目后，调整后归母净 利润达 5.9 亿美元，同比增长 36%，调整后净利润率提升至 2.7%，核心盈利表现亮眼。成本端，公司 费用管控成效显著，费用 / 收入比同比大幅下降 1.3 个百分点至 10.8%；研发端，在持续加大 AI 等核心 领域投入的同时，研发费用投放效率提升，研发费用同比增长 3% 至 6.4 亿美元，为长期发展筑牢技术 根基。 对于联想集团未来业绩，国投证券国际给出乐观预期，预计 2025/26 财年和 2026/27 财年的经调整净利 润分别为 18.2 亿美元(yoy+26.2%)和 21.0 亿美元(yoy+21.0%)。从长期财务预测来看，2026-2028 财年公 司收入将持续稳步增长，毛利率逐步回升，ROE 维持在 20% 以上的较高水平，盈利能力与运营效率持 续优化，存货、应收账款周转天数不断改善，整体财务状况向好。 2026 年 2 月 13 日，国投证券国际发布联想集团(992.HK)最新研报，公司 25/26 财年第三季度业绩交出 超亮眼答卷，收入突破财季历史最高纪录，所有业务集团均实现双位数增长， ...

服务器业务方面，高盛看好公司通过扩大CSP客户渗透及提升AI服务器占比，实现收入规模与盈利能力 同步改善。基于收入上调及费用率优化，高盛将FY2026净利润预测上调13%。 近日，高盛发布研报称，联想FY3Q26业绩公布后维持积极看法，认为其在存储成本上行周期中受冲击 相对较小，得益于领先的市场地位、规模优势以及较高的商用机型占比。 ...

Core Insights - Lenovo Group reported a record high revenue for the third quarter of the fiscal year 2025/26, achieving $22.2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 18% [1] - Adjusted net profit surged by 36% to $589 million, with profit growth outpacing revenue growth, indicating a significant improvement in profitability [1] - AI-related revenue became a key growth driver, soaring by 72% and accounting for 32% of total revenue, showcasing the successful implementation of the AI strategy [1] Business Segment Performance - The Intelligent Devices Group (IDG) generated approximately $15.755 billion in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 14.3%, with global PC market share rising to 25.3% [2] - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) reported revenue of about $5.176 billion, a substantial increase of 31.42%, with cloud infrastructure revenue reaching new highs and operational losses significantly improving [2] - The Solutions and Services Group (SSG) achieved revenue of approximately $2.652 billion, up 17.52%, with operating profit margin nearing historical highs at 22.5% [2] Future Outlook - Forecasts for adjusted net profit for fiscal years 2026-2028 are $1.731 billion, $2.023 billion, and $2.268 billion, with respective growth rates of 15%, 17%, and 12% [3] - The company is expected to maintain steady revenue and profit growth, with improving financial metrics such as decreasing debt-to-asset ratios and increasing liquidity ratios [3] - Lenovo's mixed AI strategy across AI terminals, infrastructure, and services is anticipated to continue benefiting from the global AI industry development [3][4]

经济观察网 联想控股（03396.HK）股价在2026年2月23日出现显著上涨，主要原因与市场对其关联公司 联想集团近期动态的积极反应有关。 股价异动原因 根据中关村在线的报道，作为全球最大的个人电脑制造商，联想集团于2026年2月宣布，受人工智能驱 动数据中心建设导致DRAM供应短缺、成本持续走高的影响，计划自3月起上调部分台式机与笔记本电 脑产品的价格。这一举措被市场解读为联想集团能够将上游原材料成本压力有效传导至下游消费者，有 助于维持其盈利能力。受此消息影响，市场对联想集团及其控股公司联想控股的未来业绩预期有所改 善。 股票近期走势 截至2026年2月23日11:02，联想控股股价报8.95港元，较前一日收盘价8.38港元上涨6.80%。当日电脑器 材行业板块整体上涨2.69%，恒生指数上涨2.66%。 以上内容基于公开资料整理，不构成投资建议。 ...

Group 1: Company Developments - Lenovo Holdings completed an increase in its stake in Lenovo Group, acquiring approximately 115 million shares for about HKD 1.125 billion, raising its total ownership to 32.34% [1] - Lenovo Group launched its "Smarter AI for all" strategy at the CES 2026, introducing AI servers and the Lenovo Qira personal intelligent agent, with AI business revenue accounting for 30% [1] - Lenovo Group reported a 15% year-on-year revenue growth and a 25% increase in net profit for the second quarter of the 2025/26 fiscal year, achieving record highs [1] Group 2: Industry Environment - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission has mandated a comprehensive review of the listing application process, affecting 70% of active projects, which may impose stricter scrutiny on Lenovo Holdings for any future capital operations [1] - Rising upstream chip costs and US-China trade tensions may pressure Lenovo Group's profits, necessitating attention to Lenovo Holdings' risk management strategies regarding its subsidiaries [2] - Lenovo Holdings has not announced any special dividend or buyback plans recently, but the upcoming annual report may reveal new capital allocation strategies [2]

据香港交易所披露，摩根大通对联想集团有限公司的多头持仓比例于2026年2月16日从6.7%增至 6.76%。 来源：滚动播报 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry or company Core Insights - Lenovo's ThinkStation P8 is positioned as the preferred workstation for global game developers, emphasizing its capabilities in creating characters, props, and environments, as well as performance capture and programming [2] - The ThinkStation P8 offers significant future-proofing with PCIe Gen 5 support, allowing for upgrades and flexibility in hardware [3] - The workstation is customizable to meet various production needs, featuring CPU options ranging from 12-core 4.7GHz to 96-core 2.5GHz processors, and GPU options including NVIDIA RTX professional-grade graphics [4] Summary by Sections - **Recommended Configuration for Asset Creation and Motion Capture**: - Operating System: Windows 11 Pro - CPU: AMD Threadripper PRO 7955WX (16-core @ 4.5GHz) - GPU: NVIDIA RTX 5000 Ada, GeForce RTX 4080 - Memory: 128GB - Storage: 1TB M.2 PCIe NVMe SSD and 2TB M.2 PCIe NVMe SSD [5] - **Recommended Configuration for Programming**: - Operating System: Windows 11 Pro - CPU: AMD Threadripper PRO 7965WX (24-core @ 4.2GHz) - GPU: NVIDIA RTX 4000 Ada - Memory: 256GB - Storage: 1TB M.2 PCIe NVMe SSD and 2TB M.2 PCIe NVMe SSD [5] - **Recommended Configuration for Character Body and Facial Capture**: - Operating System: Windows 11 Pro - CPU: AMD Threadripper PRO 7975WX (32-core @ 4GHz) - GPU: NVIDIA RTX 6000 Ada - Memory: 256GB - Storage: 1TB M.2 PCIe NVMe SSD and 2TB M.2 PCIe NVMe SSD [6] - **Recommended Configuration for Game Building**: - Operating System: Windows 11 Pro - CPU: AMD Threadripper PRO 7995WX (96-core @ 2.5GHz) - GPU: NVIDIA RTX 4000 Ada - Memory: 512GB - Storage: 1TB M.2 PCIe NVMe SSD and 2TB M.2 PCIe NVMe SSD [6] - **Recommended Monitors**: - ThinkVision P32pz-30 and ThinkVision P27pz-30, featuring 32-inch or 27-inch 4K mini-LED near-borderless displays with 99% Adobe RGB color gamut [8] - **Company Overview**: - Lenovo is a global technology giant with $62 billion in revenue, ranked 217th in the Fortune Global 500, employing 77,000 people across 180 markets, and focusing on providing smarter technology for everyone [8]

该行对联想集团2026财年第三季度(2025第四季)业绩持正面看法，预期公司凭借市场领先地位、规模优 势及更高比例商用产品布局，将较少受内存成本上涨冲击。联想服务器业务亦持续扩张，盈利能力提升 主要驱动因素包括通用服务器深入更多云服务供应商布局；人工智慧服务器扩张带动产品组合升级；以 及重组措施降低成本并提升营运效率。 高盛发布研报称，将联想集团(00992)2026财年第三季业绩纳入评估，维持2027至2029财年预测基本不 变。目标价由11.98港元升至12.53港元。维持"买入"评级。 ...